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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, December 11th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Chiefs @ Broncos
The Chiefs take on the Broncos on Sunday, December 11th at Empower Field at Mile High, Denver. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs (9-3) vs. Denver Broncos (3-9)
- Date: Sunday, December 11th, 2022
- Time: 4:05 PM ET
- Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Chiefs @ Broncos
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Kansas City Chiefs - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Kansas City Chiefs are hoping to get back in the win column after falling 27-24 to the Cincinnati Bengals. The loss was costly, as it came against an AFC opponent. Going into the game, the oddsmakers had the Chiefs as the -2.5 favorite. The two teams combined point total of 51 remained below the betting line of 53. This was a difficult loss for Kansas City, as they held 7 point lead heading into the 4th quarter. Through 12 games, the Chiefs have an ATS record of 4-8. So far, they have an over-under record of 5-7. This week's betting total of 43.0 is lower than the line in their previous games.
As the Chiefs prepare to take on Denver, they have played well on offense, ranking 1st in points per game at 29.2. Even though they have a tough matchup against the league's 2nd ranked defense, look for Kansas City to continue their strong offensive play. This season, Kansas City has been one of the better passing teams in the league, averaging 306.5 yards per game through the air. Although the Broncos' defense has been able to limit opposing teams in the passing game, Kansas City should still be able to continue to generate big plays through the pass.
Denver Broncos - NFL Betting Analysis
Heading into week 14, the Broncos will look to get back in the win column, as they are coming off a 10-9 loss to the Baltimore Ravens. Denver went into the game as the 9.0-point underdogs on the spread. With an over-under betting line of 40, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 19. In the losing effort, the Broncos blew a 6-point lead heading into the 4th quarter, as Baltimore outscored them by 7 in the final period. Through 12 games, the Broncos have an ATS record of 4-8. So far, they have an over-under record of 1-11. This week's betting total of 43.0 is right in line with their previous games.
As the Broncos prepare to take on Kansas City, they are ranked 32nd in scoring at 13.8 points per game and are matched up against a Chiefs defense allowing 22.5 points per game (15th). Although the Broncos come into the game ranked just 21st in pass yards per game, they will benefit from facing a Kansas City secondary that is vulnerable through the air. On the ground, Denver has a tough matchup against a Chiefs unit ranked 6th in rush yards allowed. For the season, Denver is 24th in offensive rush yards.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Chiefs vs. Broncos
The Kansas City Chiefs are looking to continue their recent dominance over Denver, as they have won 5 straight games vs the Broncos. The over-under record in these games sits at 2-3, with the average scoring total coming in at 41.2 points. As Kansas City faces off with Denver, they are hoping to carry over last year's momentum, as they defeated the Broncos by scores 28-24 and 22-9.
The Kansas City Chiefs have gone 1-2 vs the spread in these games. The Chiefs' offense has averaged 27.6 points per game over the 5 most recent meetings with Denver, compared to the Broncos at 13.6.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Chiefs have gone 2-1 straight up. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 0-3. Their over-under record in these games was 1-2
When looking at their past 3 road matchups, Kansas City has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 32.67 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
Across their previous 3 regular season games, the Broncos have a straight-up record of just 0-3. Like their straight-up record, Denver struggled vs the spread, going 1-2. Over these games, they put together an over-under record of 0-3.
Across the Broncos' last 3 home games, the team averaged 11.33 points per game while allowing 16.67. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-3, while going 0-3 straight-up.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Broncos 9.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 43.0
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