Undervalued Hitters At Every Position - 6 Fantasy Baseball Value Picks (2026)

March 9, 2026

Joey's 6 fantasy baseball sleeper hitters for 2026 drafts. His ADP analysis to help target undervalued players, and also to avoid overpriced players.

One of the biggest keys to winning a fantasy baseball championship is all about value. Finding the right values in fantasy baseball drafts will go a long way in rounding out your roster. Those who took a chance on Cal Raleigh or Pete Crow-Armstrong in last year's drafts were in a much better spot come August/September.

In this article, we will go through the best undervalued hitters at every position. We will list an overvalued player at that position and analyze which player might be a better draft target later. We will compare different average draft positions (ADPs) from NFBC drafts as of February 15 to determine the best hitters to pick throughout your fantasy baseball drafts.

So, let's dive into the most undervalued hitters at each of the six positions.

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Catcher Draft Targets, Avoids

Overvalued:
William Contreras, Milwaukee Brewers - ADP 53.81

Draft Instead:
Will Smith, Los Angeles Dodgers - ADP 96.22

ATC Projections Comparison

The difference between William Contreras and Will Smith isn't much. They will both hit around 17 to 20 home runs, drive in roughly 70 runs, and bat for a solid average. However, the two catchers are going more than 40 spots apart in NFBC leagues. That makes Contreras an overvalued selection, and Smith an undervalued hitter to target at the position.

Smith has been one of the most consistent catchers in fantasy in recent years. He has hit at least 17 home runs in four consecutive seasons, totaled at least 75 RBI in three of the past four seasons, and is coming off his best contact season in 2025. The Dodgers catcher batted a career-high .296 at the plate last year.

While Smith won't play every day like Contreras, he puts up consistent numbers when he is in the lineup. That should continue into 2026. The Dodgers catcher ranked in the 90th percentile or better in xwOBA (.378), expected slugging (.496), launch angle sweet-spot rate (41.7%), chase rate (19.5%), and walk rate (14.7%). With those metrics, it's hard to see much of a drop-off for Smith this year.

Will Smith is going off the board as the C9 on average.

February NFBC DC ADP: 105.3 (2 C Format)

Probably more in the 150+ ADP range for single C formats.

Really good value play in #FantasyBaseball. pic.twitter.com/wV2bzUHRJj

— Eric Cross (@EricCrossMLB) February 18, 2026

That's why he is an undervalued catcher target at his 96.2 ADP in NFBC leagues. He plays in the best offense in baseball and has the recent fantasy success to repeat his numbers this year. So, make sure to target Smith instead of selecting Contreras in the first four rounds.

First Base Draft Targets, Avoids

Overvalued:
Bryce Harper, Philadelphia Phillies - ADP 45.85

Draft Instead:
Vinnie Pasquantino, Kansas City Royals - ADP 76.27

ATC Projections Comparison

Bryce Harper might have the leg up over Vinnie Pasquantino in the stolen base department, but the Royals first baseman was practically better than Harper in every other category. Pasquantino had more home runs (32), more RBI (113), a better batting average (.264), and had the exact same number of runs scored (72) as the Phillies first baseman.

Therefore, Pasquantino is such an undervalued hitter to target in drafts. He just put together the best season of his career in 2025 and will remain a nice source of home runs, RBI, and batting average. The lefty slugger ranked in the upper half of the league in expected slugging (.463), average exit velocity (90.9 mph), barrel rate (10.8%), and squared-up rate (30.1%) in 2025.

Although he will not contribute anything in the stolen base department, his power numbers make him a top target at the position. Fantasy managers shouldn't take Harper early, knowing that Pasquantino is there later. In ATC's projections for the 2026 season, the two sluggers are expected to put up very similar numbers.

One (Harper) has a fourth-round ADP, while the other (Pasquantino) has a seventh-round ADP. The latter is the better target in drafts.

Second Base Draft Values, Avoids

Overvalued:
Jackson Holliday, Baltimore Orioles - ADP 186.47

Draft Instead:
Gleyber Torres, Detroit Tigers - ADP 236.35

ATC Projections Comparison

These two ADPs do not make much sense, especially given the fact that Jackson Holliday is going 100 picks sooner than Gleyber Torres in current NFBC leagues. Jackson will supply fantasy managers more in the stolen base department, but Torres is simply the better all-around player. He hit .256 with 16 home runs, 74 RBI, 79 runs scored, and four stolen bases last year.

His 2025 metrics also suggest that Torres should remain a consistent fantasy option this season. He ranked in the 80th percentile or better in xwOBA (.363), expected batting average (.269), launch angle sweet-spot rate (38.6%), squared-up rate (29.2%), chase rate (17.1%), and walk rate (13.5%). In comparison, Holliday landed in the 70th percentile or better in just one category (chase rate).

Therefore, fantasy managers should avoid Holliday at his 186.5 ADP and take Torres at his 236.4 ADP. The Tigers second baseman is fully healthy entering the season after undergoing sports hernia surgery in the offseason and is set to play every day. His solid home run numbers, RBI numbers, runs scored, and batting average make him a logical target in the late rounds.

Holliday may also miss the first few weeks of recovery from a fractured hamate bone, which has caused his ADP to drop, but he remains quite overvalued.

ATC projects Torres to have another 620+ plate appearance season. That'll help him finish with around 15 home runs, 70 RBI, 80 runs scored, and a .255 batting average.

Third Base Draft Values, Avoids

Overvalued:
Alex Bregman, Chicago Cubs - ADP 111.00

Draft Instead:
Matt Chapman, San Francisco Giants - ADP 157.00

ATC Projections Comparison

It's hard to pick Alex Bregman at his 111.0 ADP in NFBC leagues when Matt Chapman -- who is going 50 picks later -- posts around the same numbers each season. Chapman has hit more home runs (65), totaled more RBI (193), scored more runs (240), and been a sneaky source of stolen bases over the past two seasons. The Giants third baseman also stole 15 bases in 2024 and nine bases last year.

Bregman is also set to now hit in one of the most pitcher-friendly ballparks in the league. According to Statcast, Wrigley Field is tied for the second-lowest park factor since the start of the 2023 season, and fantasy managers all saw what Kyle Tucker did in his only season with the Cubs last year. So, that could mean a much lower home run total for Bregman in 2026.

Even if Bregman posts his usual numbers and finds success in his new home, Chapman is still the better target at his 157.0 ADP in NFBC leagues. The five-time Gold Glove winner has hit at least 20 home runs in four of the past five seasons, has totaled over 70 RBI in three of the past five years, has scored over 75 runs in three of the last four seasons, and has been stealing more bases recently.

Matt Chapman hits home run number 1⃣9⃣9⃣ of his career pic.twitter.com/lbVdvIWYZf

— SFGiants (@SFGiants) August 27, 2025

All that makes Chapman an undervalued hitter target in the middle round of drafts. ATC projections also believe that to be the case, as the Giants veteran is expected to post very similar numbers to Bregman in 2026.

Shortstop Draft Values, Avoids

Overvalued:
Trea Turner, Philadelphia Phillies - ADP 26.04

Draft Instead:
Geraldo Perdomo, Arizona Diamondbacks - ADP 74.59

ATC Projections Comparison

Both Trea Turner and Geraldo Perdomo were very similar fantasy players last year. Both scored a lot of runs, hit for a high average, and were led by their stolen base numbers. Both players also showed the ability to be a key contributor in the home run department. Turner hit .304 with 15 home runs, 94 runs scored, and 36 stolen bases, while Perdomo hit .290 with 20 home runs, 98 runs scored, and 27 stolen bases.

However, Turner is going almost five rounds earlier than Perdomo in drafts. While Turner isn't necessarily an avoid in drafts, this is more a case of Perdomo being extremely undervalued in current NFBC leagues. The Diamondbacks shortstop just put together a breakout campaign in 2025 in which he finished fourth in National League MVP voting.

Geraldo Perdomo GRAND SLAM pic.twitter.com/21NVAt7MXZ

— Talkin' Baseball (@TalkinBaseball_) July 10, 2025

Even if his home run numbers come down a bit due to his 6.2% barrel rate last year, he'll still be a valuable asset in the other four categories. His .278 expected batting average ranked in the 91st percentile, and his 32.3% squared-up rate placed him in the 92nd percentile last year. Don't forget, Perdomo also brought in 100 runs atop Arizona's lineup a season ago.

There's just too much to love about Perdomo's all-around game. That's why he's a clear undervalued target in all leagues. It wouldn't be surprising to see another 20-home run, 25-stolen base campaign.

Outfield Draft Values, Avoids

Overvalued:
Riley Greene, Detroit Tigers - ADP 72.15

Draft Instead:
Teoscar Hernandez, Los Angeles Dodgers - ADP 127.86

ATC Projections Comparison

Riley Greene was clearly the better fantasy player than Teoscar Hernandez last season. Greene had a breakout campaign in which he hit .258 with 36 home runs, 84 runs scored, 111 RBI, and two stolen bases across 157 games for the Detroit Tigers. On the other hand, Hernandez had a down year, hitting only .247 with 25 home runs, 65 runs scored, 89 RBI, and five stolen bases across 134 games for the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Despite those different numbers, Hernandez is actually the better pick in fantasy drafts this year.

A major reason Hernandez's numbers were down a season ago was a nagging groin injury. The 33-year-old slugger dealt with that injury from May until the end of the year. Before that injury, the Dodgers outfielder was well on his way to a career year. He had a .315 batting average with nine home runs, 34 RBI, and four stolen bases in his first 33 games. Then, he suffered a groin strain on May 5.

But with Hernandez fully healthy heading into the 2026 season, fantasy managers should expect him to put up his usual power numbers while also contributing solid stolen base numbers. The veteran just stole 12 bases during the 2024 season, and his sprint speed has hovered around the 80th percentile in recent years.

Given that Greene doesn't provide much in the stolen base department and could post very similar home run/RBI numbers as Hernandez, the Dodgers outfielder is an undervalued target at his 127.9 ADP in NFBC leagues. Even while battling through an injury last year, the two-time All-Star hit at least 25 home runs for the fifth consecutive season.

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