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Who's #1? Making a Case for the First Overall Pick in Re-draft Leagues

Tonight's contest is a Fatal Four Way match and it is for the right to be selected number one in 2017 fantasy football drafts. This match will be contested under PPR rules and will be no disqualification!

Last year's top consensus pick is back to stake a claim for a repeat, but he'll have stiff competition from a trio of running backs this year.

As always, league rules and format matter, but for the majority of re-draft leagues, these are the players you need to consider. Without further ado, let's get this show underway!

Editor's Note: The FFPC Baby Gorilla Tournament is now open, featuring a $100,000 grand prize and a $675,450 total prize pool! This 12-team, Tight End Premium contest uses a 20-round draft format, with the overall winners determined by total points scored during Weeks 15–17. Get $25 to use toward your first entry by signing up through our link. Grab your team now! Sign Up Now!

 

Meet Our Contestants

Le'Veon Bell (RB, PIT)

This will be Bell's fifth professional season and his third time in contention for the top overall pick. Bell is coming off his best year with weekly averages of 105.7 rushing yards and 51.3 receiving yards. He was the best non QB in fantasy football on a per game basis. If you hopped out of your Delorean and told me you saw the 2017 NFL season and that Le'Veon Bell played 16 games, this discussion would end as quickly as it began - Bell would be awarded the title without even having the match. Unbelievably, with all the advancements in science and technology, somehow time travel still eludes us. Therefore, we must look to the past in order to predict the future.

Bell entered the league in 2013, but has only once, in 2014, played all 16 games. When talking about the first player drafted, you know all four contenders are going to have strong cases, so we have to find a way to differentiate. There's no doubting Bell's production on the field. The knocks against him are largely off the field.

Bell's career got off to a delayed start because of a preseason foot injury in 2013. In 2015, he sat out the first two games of the season due to a violation of the substance abuse policy. He then tore his MCL and PCL after playing just six games. In 2016, he again sat out the start of the season because of another substance abuse policy violation. Playing for a top offense and being an elite producer whenever on the field, there is no reason to doubt his production, but through four years, we have four instances of Bell missing games due to injury or suspension. That may be enough to keep him off the throne.

 

Ezekiel Elliott (RB, DAL)

Since I'm a Cowboys fan, Elliott should definitely be the first overall pick because the Cowboys are great and all their players are great. No? You don't like that logic? Alright, I'll be honest here - I hated the Elliott pick when the Cowboys made it. I even wrote an article about it. But while I hated the selection, I acknowledged the greatness Elliott could achieve behind what will likely go down as one of the best offensive lines in history (the combination of Tyron Smith, Travis Frederick, and Zack Martin).

The rookie somehow lived up to the hype, finishing just shy of 2,000 total yards (1631 rushing, 363 receiving). If we assume he is only going to improve as he matures, then his ceiling is almost limitless. But much like the pill Bradley Cooper's character was taking to gain his abilities, Elliott's "pill" is the Cowboys offensive line. While I don't foresee the line falling off any time soon, it did lose Ronald Leary and Doug Free without really replacing them. Zeke is the least talented of the four participants in this match (which is not to say he's untalented - he's just got some stiff competition here) and even the slightest decrease in quality of circumstances can be enough to knock a guy off the ladder that was already on the outside looking in. Elliott's ceiling is there. He is tied to an explosive offense and the reports that he will be more involved in the passing game only help, but he's likely going to come up a little short in the battle for the top spot.

 

David Johnson (RB, ARI)

If you take David Johnson's receiving stats alone, he would have finished as a mid-WR3 last season. The man plays running back. He touched the ball a whopping 373 times last year (293 on the ground, 80 in the air). He totaled over 2,000 all purpose yards (and has stated he wants to be a 1,000-1,000 player this season). He is built like a freight train. Yes, he sprained his MCL in a meaningless week 17 game last year that looked far worse than it ended up being, but other than that, Johson has never really been injured. He's Le'Veon Bell with a weaker supporting cast, but without any of the off-the-field concerns or injury risks.

No player was more consistent than DJ in 2016. He averaged over 20 fantasy points per game, posting double-digit totals in every single week. He is locked into a three-down role with arguably the weakest backups in the league. While Bell has competition for targets in Antonio Brown and Martavis Bryant and Elliott shares a field with Dez Bryant (and he's also nowhere near the pass catcher Bell and DJ are), Johnson is the second best wide receiver on his team. The only guy ahead of him is 34 year old Larry Fitzgerald. Both Johnson and Bell give you a WR3 and an RB1, but DJ comes with lower risk. That gives him the ever so slight edge over Bell.

 

Antonio Brown (WR, PIT)

If David Johnson is the king of the running backs, the only other player that could potentially top him has to be a wide receiver. The lone receiver in this contest and the consensus top pick from a year ago stakes his claim to the throne once again. Antonio Brown's PPR finishes at WR since 2013: 2, 1, 1, 1. In 2014 and 2015, he outscored every running back as well. In 2016, the only players to outscore him were the other three on this list. With AB, you are getting the epitome of consistency. The man has caught over 100 balls for four straight seasons. He's just two years removed from a 193 target, 136 catch season. He is the closest thing to Jerry Rice we've ever seen. If you take Brown first overall, no one is going to fault you.

The problem with taking Brown at the top spot has nothing to do with Brown himself. At the end of the day, despite what 2015 and Zero-RB advocates may have fooled you into thinking, running backs still run fantasy football. Having an elite, consistent producer at the running back position trumps the same at wide receiver. In 2015, receivers dominated like no other year. In fact, it was the only year in the past 10 where the average top-10 running back outscored the average top-10 receiver. It was an anomaly by all accounts. The fact remains that it is easier to find receivers later in the draft than running backs. You can't replace the elite level production that the "big three" RBs provide.

 

The Verdict

It goes without saying that you can't go wrong with any of these guys. No one in your league is going to lambaste you for taking Elliott, Bell, or Brown. But the man scoring the pinfall in this match is David Johnson. With DJ, you get a running back with the elite talent, great situation, and consistency, and you don't get any of the excess baggage. If I am lucky enough to pick #1 in any of my leagues, I'm going with David Johnson and you should too.




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

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Kyler Murray

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Logan Webb

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Mike Matheson

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Jake Tonges

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Anthony Edwards

Carries Heavy Usage in Defeat
Chig Okonkwo

a Clear Breakout Candidate in Washington
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Gets Pulled in Game 3 Loss on Friday
Victor Wembanyama

Joins Historic Playoff Company
Mikal Bridges

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Aaron Jones Sr.

Still a Low-Cost, Short-Term Dynasty Target
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Romeo Doubs

' Buy Window Could Soon Be Wide Open
Joel Embiid

Held to 18 Points in 76ers Game 3 Loss
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Jalen Brunson

Tallies 33 Points to Take 3-0 Series Lead
VEG

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Pat Bryant

Working With Training Staff This Offseason
Jacoby Brissett

in Communication With Cardinals Despite Skipping Workouts
Daniel Jones

Could Take Part in 7-on-7 Drills at OTAs
Tyler Glasnow

Dodgers Put Tyler Glasnow on Injured List With Back Spasms
Sam Merrill

Iffy for Game 3 on Saturday
Anthony Edwards

Rejoins Starting Lineup Friday
Kevin Huerter

Likely to Remain Out Saturday
Jarred Vanderbilt

Considered Questionable for Saturday
Jalen Williams

Ruled Out for Game 3 Against Lakers
Ayo Dosunmu

Cleared to Play Friday
Anthony Edwards

Available Friday Night
Joel Embiid

is Returning for Game 3 on Friday
Brandon Ingram

Undergoes Heel Surgery
Josh Hart

is Available to Play in Game 3
OG Anunoby

is Downgraded to Out for Game 3 on Friday
Mitchell Robinson

is Returning for Game 3
Mats Zuccarello

Expected to Play Saturday
Joel Eriksson Ek

to Be a Game-Time Decision Saturday
Jonas Brodin

Still Out Saturday
Josh Manson

Could Return Saturday
Kaedan Korczak

Scratched for Game 3 Against Ducks
Radko Gudas

Likely to Remain Out Friday
Sam Carrick

Won't Play Friday
Isiah Pacheco

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Rico Dowdle

Dynasty Ceiling Limited By Backfield Committee in Pittsburgh
Rashid Shaheed

a High-Risk, High-Reward Buy-Low Candidate for Dynasty Managers
Marcus Mariota

Is Marcus Mariota Worth Stashing as an Injury Replacement in Dynasty Leagues?
Jacoby Brissett

a Clear Sell-High Candidate for Dynasty Managers
Blake Snell

to Make Season Debut for Dodgers on Saturday
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Can Najee Harris Re-Establish Some Dynasty Value in 2026?
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Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
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Jets Talking to a "Number of Veteran Quarterbacks"
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Walker Lyons Could be Go-To Target for Bear Bachmeier
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Ty Benefield a Potential Game-Changer for LSU Defense
Chet Holmgren

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Hayden Lowe Set for Significant Role Following Miami's NFL Departures
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Taylor Wein in Position for Big Season on Oklahoma's Defensive Line
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Rasheem Biles an Instant Impact Player for Texas
Dan Vladar

Looks to Return to Winning Ways Thursday
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Mikko Rantanen

Played Through Torn MCL Late in the Season
Rasmus Dahlin

Ready to Go Friday
Alexander Nikishin

Set to Return Thursday
Christian Dvorak

Available Thursday
Owen Tippett

Remains Out Thursday
Roman Anthony

Heading for the Injured List
CFB

Sam Leavitt Expected to Be Full-Go for Fall Camp
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Could Return in 4-6 Weeks After Successful Elbow Surgery
Cole Ragans

Royals Hopeful That Cole Ragans Makes his Next Start
Mark Stone

Nets Late Power-Play Goal in Losing Effort
Emilio Pagán

Emilio Pagan has Grade 2 Hamstring Strain, Expected to Miss 4-8 Weeks
Joe Ryan

Listed as Scheduled Starter for Saturday Against Cleveland
Tyler Glasnow

Not Expected to Land on the Injured List
Framber Valdez

Suspension Reduced to Five Games
Framber Valdez

Suspended Six Games
Tyler Glasnow

Exits Early on Wednesday With Back Pain
CFB

Brauntae Johnson the Next Star in Notre Dame's Secondary?
CFB

Ethan Barbour a Name to Know in Georgia's Tight End Room
CFB

Payton Pierce Next Up at Linebacker for Ohio State
CFB

Javin Gordon to Play Significant Role for Tennessee?
CFB

Tanook Hines Stepping into WR1 Role for USC
CFB

Rueben Owens II has "Star Potential" in Fourth Campaign
Brandon Woodruff

has Fluid Drained From his Right Shoulder
Brandon Woodruff

to Resume Throwing on Saturday, Return Imminent?
Carlos Correa

to Have Season-Ending Ankle Surgery
Jacob Misiorowski

Listed as Friday's Probable Starter
Logan Webb

Dealing With Knee Discomfort
Carlos Correa

Expected to Miss Significant Time With Ankle Injury
Collin Morikawa

Withdraws From Truist Championship
Xander Schauffele

Carries Elite Form Into Quail Hollow
Hideki Matsuyama

Looks to Bounce Back at Truist Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick

Secures Third Win of 2026 Season
Patrick Cantlay

Continues Playing Well Heading to Truist Championship
Ludvig Aberg

Returns to Action For Truist Championship
Justin Thomas

Searching for Consistency at Quail Hollow
Jordan Spieth

Looks to Break Through at Quail Hollow
Adam Scott

Brings Strong Form to Quail Hollow
Robert MacIntyre

a Steady Option at Truist Championship
Jason Day

Looks to Overcome Approach Struggles at Quail Hollow
Akshay Bhatia

Looks for Complete Game at Truist Championship
Emilio Pagán

Emilio Pagan Headed for Injured List With Hamstring Injury
Justin Rose

to Continue Mid-Season Club Change at Truist Championship
Si Woo Kim

is Back to Peak Form Ahead of Truist Championship
Sam Burns

to Bounce Back at Truist Championship
Cameron Young

Looks to Carry Dominance to Quail Hollow
Rory McIlroy

Returns to Familiar Stomping Grounds This Week at Quail Hollow
Chris Gotterup

Looking to Bounce Back at Quail Hollow
Tommy Fleetwood

Looking For Better Iron Play at Quail Hollow
CFB

Mario Craver Enters No. 1 Wide Receiver Role for Marcel Reed
CFB

LaNorris Sellers a Strong Rebound Candidate in 2026
CFB

Cam Coleman Poised for Monster Year at Texas?
CFB

Will Hammond Pushing to Be Ready for Week 1
Alex Fitzpatrick

Looking to Keep Up Ball-Striking Output at Quail Hollow
CFB

Notre Dame Leads College Football in Returning Snaps
CFB

Two Ole Miss Football Players Arrested, Charged with DUI
Ben Griffin

Looks Solid on the Surface Heading to Charlotte
Chase Elliott

Earns his Second Texas Motor Speedway Victory
Denny Hamlin

Misses Out on Winning at Texas
Alex Bowman

Finishes Third for the Second Week in a Row at Texas
Tyler Reddick

Earns Seventh Top-Five Finish of the Season at Texas
Chris Buescher

Scores his First Career Texas Finish in the Top Five
CFB

Bryce Underwood in Better Situation Entering Sophomore Season
CFB

Nico Iamaleava Emerging as Leader, Playmaker for UCLA
Jack Della Maddalena

Gets Dominated At UFC Perth
Carlos Prates

Shines At UFC Perth
Beneil Dariush

Suffers A First-Round TKO Loss
Quillan Salkilld

Remains Unbeaten In The UFC
Tim Elliott

Drops Decision At UFC Perth
Steve Erceg

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Ollie Schmid

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Marwan Rahiki

Remains Unbeaten
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF