👉 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE SPRING
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

Who's #1? Making a Case for the First Overall Pick in Re-draft Leagues

Tonight's contest is a Fatal Four Way match and it is for the right to be selected number one in 2017 fantasy football drafts. This match will be contested under PPR rules and will be no disqualification!

Last year's top consensus pick is back to stake a claim for a repeat, but he'll have stiff competition from a trio of running backs this year.

As always, league rules and format matter, but for the majority of re-draft leagues, these are the players you need to consider. Without further ado, let's get this show underway!

Editor's Note: The FFPC Baby Gorilla Tournament is now open, featuring a $100,000 grand prize and a $675,450 total prize pool! This 12-team, Tight End Premium contest uses a 20-round draft format, with the overall winners determined by total points scored during Weeks 15–17. Get $25 to use toward your first entry by signing up through our link. Grab your team now! Sign Up Now!

 

Meet Our Contestants

Le'Veon Bell (RB, PIT)

This will be Bell's fifth professional season and his third time in contention for the top overall pick. Bell is coming off his best year with weekly averages of 105.7 rushing yards and 51.3 receiving yards. He was the best non QB in fantasy football on a per game basis. If you hopped out of your Delorean and told me you saw the 2017 NFL season and that Le'Veon Bell played 16 games, this discussion would end as quickly as it began - Bell would be awarded the title without even having the match. Unbelievably, with all the advancements in science and technology, somehow time travel still eludes us. Therefore, we must look to the past in order to predict the future.

Bell entered the league in 2013, but has only once, in 2014, played all 16 games. When talking about the first player drafted, you know all four contenders are going to have strong cases, so we have to find a way to differentiate. There's no doubting Bell's production on the field. The knocks against him are largely off the field.

Bell's career got off to a delayed start because of a preseason foot injury in 2013. In 2015, he sat out the first two games of the season due to a violation of the substance abuse policy. He then tore his MCL and PCL after playing just six games. In 2016, he again sat out the start of the season because of another substance abuse policy violation. Playing for a top offense and being an elite producer whenever on the field, there is no reason to doubt his production, but through four years, we have four instances of Bell missing games due to injury or suspension. That may be enough to keep him off the throne.

 

Ezekiel Elliott (RB, DAL)

Since I'm a Cowboys fan, Elliott should definitely be the first overall pick because the Cowboys are great and all their players are great. No? You don't like that logic? Alright, I'll be honest here - I hated the Elliott pick when the Cowboys made it. I even wrote an article about it. But while I hated the selection, I acknowledged the greatness Elliott could achieve behind what will likely go down as one of the best offensive lines in history (the combination of Tyron Smith, Travis Frederick, and Zack Martin).

The rookie somehow lived up to the hype, finishing just shy of 2,000 total yards (1631 rushing, 363 receiving). If we assume he is only going to improve as he matures, then his ceiling is almost limitless. But much like the pill Bradley Cooper's character was taking to gain his abilities, Elliott's "pill" is the Cowboys offensive line. While I don't foresee the line falling off any time soon, it did lose Ronald Leary and Doug Free without really replacing them. Zeke is the least talented of the four participants in this match (which is not to say he's untalented - he's just got some stiff competition here) and even the slightest decrease in quality of circumstances can be enough to knock a guy off the ladder that was already on the outside looking in. Elliott's ceiling is there. He is tied to an explosive offense and the reports that he will be more involved in the passing game only help, but he's likely going to come up a little short in the battle for the top spot.

 

David Johnson (RB, ARI)

If you take David Johnson's receiving stats alone, he would have finished as a mid-WR3 last season. The man plays running back. He touched the ball a whopping 373 times last year (293 on the ground, 80 in the air). He totaled over 2,000 all purpose yards (and has stated he wants to be a 1,000-1,000 player this season). He is built like a freight train. Yes, he sprained his MCL in a meaningless week 17 game last year that looked far worse than it ended up being, but other than that, Johson has never really been injured. He's Le'Veon Bell with a weaker supporting cast, but without any of the off-the-field concerns or injury risks.

No player was more consistent than DJ in 2016. He averaged over 20 fantasy points per game, posting double-digit totals in every single week. He is locked into a three-down role with arguably the weakest backups in the league. While Bell has competition for targets in Antonio Brown and Martavis Bryant and Elliott shares a field with Dez Bryant (and he's also nowhere near the pass catcher Bell and DJ are), Johnson is the second best wide receiver on his team. The only guy ahead of him is 34 year old Larry Fitzgerald. Both Johnson and Bell give you a WR3 and an RB1, but DJ comes with lower risk. That gives him the ever so slight edge over Bell.

 

Antonio Brown (WR, PIT)

If David Johnson is the king of the running backs, the only other player that could potentially top him has to be a wide receiver. The lone receiver in this contest and the consensus top pick from a year ago stakes his claim to the throne once again. Antonio Brown's PPR finishes at WR since 2013: 2, 1, 1, 1. In 2014 and 2015, he outscored every running back as well. In 2016, the only players to outscore him were the other three on this list. With AB, you are getting the epitome of consistency. The man has caught over 100 balls for four straight seasons. He's just two years removed from a 193 target, 136 catch season. He is the closest thing to Jerry Rice we've ever seen. If you take Brown first overall, no one is going to fault you.

The problem with taking Brown at the top spot has nothing to do with Brown himself. At the end of the day, despite what 2015 and Zero-RB advocates may have fooled you into thinking, running backs still run fantasy football. Having an elite, consistent producer at the running back position trumps the same at wide receiver. In 2015, receivers dominated like no other year. In fact, it was the only year in the past 10 where the average top-10 running back outscored the average top-10 receiver. It was an anomaly by all accounts. The fact remains that it is easier to find receivers later in the draft than running backs. You can't replace the elite level production that the "big three" RBs provide.

 

The Verdict

It goes without saying that you can't go wrong with any of these guys. No one in your league is going to lambaste you for taking Elliott, Bell, or Brown. But the man scoring the pinfall in this match is David Johnson. With DJ, you get a running back with the elite talent, great situation, and consistency, and you don't get any of the excess baggage. If I am lucky enough to pick #1 in any of my leagues, I'm going with David Johnson and you should too.




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jalen Nailor

Raiders Expect Jalen Nailor to Take "Big Leap" in "Featured Role"
MLB

Rockies-Mets Game Postponed Due to Inclement Weather
CFB

Mario Craver Enters No. 1 Wide Receiver Role for Marcel Reed
Raisel Iglesias

Braves Officially Reinstate Raisel Iglesias From Injured List on Tuesday
CFB

LaNorris Sellers a Strong Rebound Candidate in 2026
CFB

Cam Coleman Poised for Monster Year at Texas?
Cedric Tillman

on the Trade Block?
CFB

Will Hammond Pushing to Be Ready for Week 1
Alex Fitzpatrick

Looking to Keep Up Ball-Striking Output at Quail Hollow
Emmett Johnson

Andy Reid Compares Emmett Johnson to LeSean McCoy
CFB

Notre Dame Leads College Football in Returning Snaps
Ty Simpson

a Great Fit With the Rams?
CFB

Two Ole Miss Football Players Arrested, Charged with DUI
Alvin Kamara

"Excited" to Share the Backfield With New RB Addition
Carson Beck

Could Carson Beck Sit on the Bench for his Entire Rookie Season?
Devaughn Vele

Upside Takes a Hit After the NFL Draft
Brenen Thompson

Compared to Tyreek Hill
Jonathan Taylor

Could Jonathan Taylor Finish as the RB1 if he Stays Healthy?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Firmly Entrenched in Top Tier of Dynasty Receivers
Drew Allar

Wasn't Always Set Up to Succeed in College
Darnell Washington

Trending Down in a New-Look Offense?
Saquon Barkley

Still a Dynasty Target for Managers Looking to Win Now
Fernando Mendoza

Will Fernando Mendoza's Skill Set Translate to the NFL?
Michael Wilson

Could Actually Benefit From Cardinals' Quarterback Situation
Michael Penix Jr.

Falcons Unsure on Michael Penix Jr.'s Status for Training Camp
C.J. Stroud

Texans Praise C.J. Stroud for Offseason Work
Jake Ferguson

a Lower-Cost TE1 in Dynasty Leagues
Tyrese Maxey

Limited to 13 Points in Second-Round Opener
Tyreek Hill

Is a Reunion with Kansas City in the Cards for Tyreek Hill?
Joel Embiid

Stays Quiet in Game 1 Against Knicks
Brock Bowers

Back Atop the Dynasty Rankings
Jalen Brunson

Torches 76ers With 35 Points Monday
Dylan Harper

Leads Spurs With 18 Points Monday
Mack Hollins

a Dynasty Faller as Patriots Re-Tool the Offense
Julius Randle

Collects First Double-Double of Postseason
Anthony Edwards

Tallies 18 Points in Comeback Game
Victor Wembanyama

Posts Unique Triple-Double
Jackson LaCombe

Sets New Record With Another Assist
Mikael Granlund

Continues Postseason Success With Third Goal
Mitchell Marner

Notches Two Points in Series-Opening Win
Ben Griffin

Looks Solid on the Surface Heading to Charlotte
Taylor Hall

Makes History With Overtime Winner
Rickie Fowler

Faces a Challenge at Quail Hollow
Nikolaj Ehlers

Collects Two Points in Comeback Win
Cale Makar

Good to Go for Game 2 Against Wild
Gary Woodland

on a Nice Wave Approaching Truist Championship
Ridly Greig

Suspended for Two Games
Sepp Straka

Hoping for More Success at Truist Championship
J.J. Spaun

Approaching Charlotte With Optimism
Alex Smalley

Carries Momentum into Truist Championship
Nicolai Hojgaard

Roller Coaster Heads to Charlotte
Keegan Bradley

Desperate to Bounce Back from Doral Encounter
Dallas Mavericks

Masai Ujiri Hired as Mavericks Team President
Anthony Edwards

to Come Off Bench Monday
Chicago Bulls

Bryson Graham Hired as Bulls Lead Executive
Jalen Williams

Sidelined Tuesday vs Lakers
Carter Bryant

Unavailable for Game 1 Against Minnesota
Anthony Edwards

Set to Return Monday with Restrictions
Joel Embiid

is Cleared for Monday's Game 1
Kevin Huerter

is Questionable for Tuesday's Contest
Ayo Dosunmu

is Ruled Out for Game 1 on Monday
Jeremy Sochan

is Available for Game 1 on Monday
Roman Anthony

Pulled Early on Monday After Tweaking his Wrist
Jhoan Duran

to Come Off the Injured List on Tuesday
Owen Tippett

Remains Out Monday
Roope Hintz

Recovering From Hamstring Injury
Tyler Seguin

Expects to Be Ready for Training Camp
Sam Carrick

Could Practice Tuesday
Alexander Nikishin

Won't Play Monday
Jeremy Lauzon

Expected to Miss Round 2
William Karlsson

Rejoins Golden Knights Lineup Monday
Jackson Chourio

Brewers Reinstate Jackson Chourio From the Injured List
Tarik Skubal

to Undergo Elbow Surgery
Chase Elliott

Earns his Second Texas Motor Speedway Victory
Denny Hamlin

Misses Out on Winning at Texas
Alex Bowman

Finishes Third for the Second Week in a Row at Texas
Tyler Reddick

Earns Seventh Top-Five Finish of the Season at Texas
Chris Buescher

Scores his First Career Texas Finish in the Top Five
CFB

Bryce Underwood in Better Situation Entering Sophomore Season
CFB

Nico Iamaleava Emerging as Leader, Playmaker for UCLA
Raisel Iglesias

to be Activated on Tuesday
Orlando Magic

Jamahl Mosley Out as Magic Head Coach
Scottie Barnes

Caps Season with Efficient Game 7 Showing
Donovan Mitchell

Finishes with 22 Points in Deciding Game
Jarrett Allen

Leads Frontcourt Effort with 19 Rebounds
Jack Della Maddalena

Gets Dominated At UFC Perth
Carlos Prates

Shines At UFC Perth
Jakub Dobes

Backstops Canadiens to Game 7 Victory
Beneil Dariush

Suffers A First-Round TKO Loss
Quillan Salkilld

Remains Unbeaten In The UFC
Quinn Hughes

Takes Over Postseason Scoring Lead With Three-Point Effort
Cale Makar

Shakes Off Injury to Collect Three Points in Game 1
Owen Tippett

a Game-Time Decision Monday
Logan Stanley

Practices Fully Sunday
Sam Carrick

Will Miss Second-Round Matchup
Tim Elliott

Drops Decision At UFC Perth
Noah Ostlund

Expected to Miss Round 2
Steve Erceg

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Ollie Schmid

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Marwan Rahiki

Remains Unbeaten
Bryce Eldridge

Giants to Promote No. 1-Ranked Prospect Bryce Eldridge to MLB Roster
Anthony Volpe

Reinstated From Injured List, Optioned to Triple-A
Ranger Suarez

Exits Sunday's Start With Hamstring Tightness
Agustín Ramírez

Marlins Demote Agustin Ramirez to Triple-A
Ben Rice

Exits Sunday's Contest With Left-Hand Contusion
Christopher Bell

Is Christopher Bell Worth Rostering for Texas Lineups?
Cal Raleigh

Considered Day-to-Day With Soreness in his Side
William Byron

Might have the Speed to Compete for the Win at Texas
Joey Logano

Provides Solid Upside for Texas DFS Lineups
Joe Ryan

Exits Early From Start on Sunday Due to Elbow Soreness
Chase Briscoe

Could Chase Briscoe be A Sneaky Pick for Texas Lineups?
Ty Gibbs

Should DFS Managers Roster Ty Gibbs at Texas?
Daniel Suarez

Is Daniel Suarez Worth Rostering After Career-Best Starting Position at Texas?
Daniel Palencia

Cubs Reinstate Daniel Palencia From the Injured List on Sunday
Kyle Busch

Is a DFS Risk Starting in the Top 10 at Texas
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Braves Place Ronald Acuna Jr. on Injured List With Strained Hamstring
Nick Lodolo

Expected to Make Season Debut on Friday
Tyler Reddick

One of the Favorites to Win at Texas
Chase Elliott

Could Contend for Another Win at Texas
Carson Hocevar

on Pole at Texas
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Wrecks in Practice at Texas
Chris Buescher

Looking to Continue Strong Run at Texas
Austin Dillon

Blows Engine in Practice at Texas
Cal Raleigh

Scratched From Lineup, No Reason Given
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Exits With Left-Hamstring Tightness
Yandy Díaz

Yandy Diaz Leaves With Side Tightness, Considered Day-to-Day
Jacob Misiorowski

Leaves Start Early on Friday With Hamstring Cramp
Jack Della Maddalena

Returns At UFC Perth
Carlos Prates

Set For UFC Perth Main Event
Quillan Salkilld

Set For Co-Main Event
Beneil Dariush

An Underdog At UFC Perth
Steve Erceg

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Tim Elliott

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Ollie Schmid

Set For His UFC Debut
Marwan Rahiki

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Gary Woodland

Riding Momentum Into Cadillac Championship
Jordan Spieth

Brings Boom-or-Bust Potential to Cadillac Championship
Adam Scott

Looks Poised for Another Strong Finish at Doral
Maverick McNealy

Needs Approach Game to Click at Doral
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF