Week 10 Fantasy Football Matchups We Love: The Fantasy Matchmaker

Welcome back to the Week 10 Fantasy Matchmaker article looking at Week 10 matchups we love! This is my weekly series for RotoBaller where I look at the matchup strength for pretty much every viable fantasy football player across the fantasy skill positions.

With only five weeks left in the fantasy football regular season, each decision we make becomes more and more crucial. I am here to assist with those decisions from the angle of matchup strength. How good or bad an opponent has been against one of the fantasy skill positions should not be the only factor in your weekly decisions. Just like there are no single metrics that tell the whole story or predict the future of a player’s fantasy success (or lack thereof), environmental conditions such as matchup strength should be used in conjunction with other factors. I am not telling you to start or sit the players I highlight each week in this series. Rather, I am highlighting individual player matchups I like and dislike, typically meaning I think they will either exceed their positional rank for that week or will fall short.

In this article, I will present my updated rankings for matchup strengths for the QB, RB, WR, and TE positions based on my adjusted fantasy points allowed process and present some players whose matchups I love, and other players whose matchups I am trying to avoid.

Editor's Note: Our incredible team of writers won two writing awards and received 12 award nominations by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. A big congrats to our very own Byron Lindeque (Golf) and Jordan McAbee (NASCAR) for both winning Writer Of The Year awards! Be sure to follow RotoBaller's analysis and advice all year long, and win more. Win More With RotoBaller!

 

My Methodology

The common method for analyzing fantasy football matchups and strength of opponent is by fantasy points allowed. How many fantasy points has that opponent been allowing to that position on average? This is something I track weekly, but I take it a bit further as only looking at raw fantasy points allowed per game does not tell the whole story. My strength of schedule scoring entering Week 9 includes what each team has given up in Weeks 1-9 (including the average). I also incorporate “opponent-adjusted” data, looking at what teams are giving up compared to what their opponents have averaged at each fantasy skill position.

This is also called Points Over Average (POA). For example, when comparing raw fantasy points allowed per game and POA allowed per game, one of the biggest discrepancies is the Patriots versus RBs. The Patriots are ranked 18^th versus RBs in raw fantasy PPG allowed. But they are ranked as the sixth-toughest matchup when adjusting for opponents faced. And over the last three games, they have been the fifth-toughest RB matchup.

The Patriots have allowed 24.2 PPR PPG to the RB position through nine weeks. However, the combined PPG average of their opponents’ RBs is 30.9 PPR PPG. So while allowing 24.2 raw PPG to RBs ranks 18^th, they have a POA allowed of -6.7 (24.2 PPG minus 30.9 PPG). This is partly due to the Patriots facing the Dolphins twice.

The Dolphins' RB PPG is still skewed somewhat by the 100+ fantasy points scored by Raheem Mostert and De'Von Achane against the Broncos. Their season-long PPG therefore drives up their opponents’ combined PPG, leading to a larger POA gap. But they have held opposing RB groups below their PPG average in six of nine games, and in the three games they have allowed a positive POA, it was only an average of +3.3 points. My ranking process incorporates raw fantasy points allowed as well as season-long POA, POA over the last five games, and POA over the last three games.

RotoBaller generates positional and overall player rankings (all positions) for Points Per Reception (PPR), half PPR, and Standard (no PPR) each week, which will be included when looking at matchups for each positional group. The idea is to show each relevant skill position player’s matchup and positional rank for that week. Each table will be filtered based on the positional rankings so you can see the matchup strength for the must-starts as well as for borderline starters, flex options, and desperation dart throws.

I encourage you to check out RotoBaller’s Week 10 ranks, available here. I will conclude the article by looking back at my takes from last week, both the matchups I loved and matchups I avoided, to point the microscope at myself and see how I did. I had my best hit rate of the season last week with eight of my 12 calls coming through (67%). I will try to keep the good times rolling here in Week 10.

 

Week 10 Fantasy Football Quarterback Matchups

The following shows the projected matchup strength for the QB position in Week 10. The table includes the QB, the Week 10 positional rank (according to RotoBaller), the opponent, and the opponent’s projected rank versus fantasy QBs according to my scoring system. The table is filtered in the same order as the RotoBaller positional rankings.

The additional data points I am including for QBs are the projected point totals in each game, the spread, and the implied total points for the QB’s team (all from FanDuel.com).

 

Week 10: QB Matchups We Love

Taylor Heinicke (QB17)
Opponent: @ARI
Opponent Rank vs. QB: 27th

Taylor Heinicke is firmly in the QB streamer conversation with Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, and Tua Tagovailoa on bye in Week 10. Heinicke gets a great matchup with the 27^th-ranked Cardinals. Season-long, the Cardinals have a POA allowed of +3.0 PPG to the QB position, including a positive POA allowed in five of the last six games. They did hold Lamar Jackson 7.7 points below his season average, but that was more due to the Ravens leaning heavily on the run in that game, to the point that the Cardinals allowed Baltimore’s RBs to score 13.4 points above their season average.

And in Heinicke’s limited action so far in 2023, the potential is there for him to be a better fantasy asset than Desmond Ridder, which hopefully will lead to more fantasy consistency for Drake London and Kyle Pitts. Heinicke has attempted 59 passes on the season in two games, and while his completion rate is below 60%, he has averaged 7.9 air yards per pass attempt (AKA QB aDOT).

In a vacuum, this number is not that impressive, but when you look at Ridder’s QB aDOT of only 6.5, you can see the potential for things to improve with him under center. And Heinicke also brings with him a slight rushing floor. Over the last two seasons, in which he started 24 of the 25 games he played in Washington, Heinicke averaged 3.5 rush attempts for 16.4 rushing yards per game. Again, nothing that will win you your league, but all positive signs for a QB streamer with above-average weapons in a great matchup.

Will Levis (QB16)
Opponent: @TB
Opponent Rank vs. QB: 28^th

Will Levis made my matchups to avoid list in Week 9, which ended up being the correct call as he finished as the QB21. I did not like the matchup on the road in Pittsburgh for the rookie in only his second NFL start. But as has been the case on multiple occasions in this article series, he is moving directly to my matchup love list in Week 10. The Buccaneers have been a different fantasy QB opponent since their Week 5 bye and in the fantasy-friendly direction. In the four games before their bye, the Buccaneers had a POA allowed of -5.7 below their opponents’ QB PPG averages. Their POA allowed was negative in all four games.

In the four games since the bye, that POA allowed has jumped to +8.1 and they have allowed a positive POA in three of four games. And C.J. Stroud just went full ham and eggs on this defense in Week 9. Tennessee is a run-heavy offense, ranking eighth in the NFL with a 46.9% run rate. But the Buccaneers are on the opposite end of the spectrum against the RB position, ranking as the second-toughest fantasy RB matchup in adjusted fantasy points allowed. I like the rookie’s chances of outperforming the QB16 rank this week.

Will Levis is DROPPING DIMES
pic.twitter.com/nUTKoQsg99

— High Point Sports (@HPointSports) November 3, 2023

 

Week 10: Not Great, Bob – QB Matchups to Avoid

Deshaun Watson (QB19)
Opponent: @BAL
Opponent Rank vs. QB: 1st

This is a risky call because Deshaun Watson’s QB19 rank is already factoring in his brutal matchup against the Ravens. Baltimore enters Week 10 as the toughest fantasy QB matchup and having watched every minute of their Week 9 game against the Seahawks, I don’t see any QB outside of the upper echelon finding much success against this squad (and Joshua Dobbs somehow).

Looking only at raw fantasy points allowed, the Ravens have given up an average of 10.3 PPG to QBs. That is 5.6 PPG below the league average of 15.9. Their season-long POA allowed is -3.4, and if you remove the weird spike game for Joshua Dobbs (he had a +9.2 POA in that game), that POA allowed drops to -5, which would lead the league by a comfortable margin. And in two of the last three games, the Ravens (while at home) completely shut down Jared Goff and Geno Smith. I see the same thing happening to Watson in Baltimore in Week 10.

Aidan O’Connell (QB25)
Opponent: NYJ
Opponent Rank vs. QB: 3^rd  

This call is a little different than my typical logic for QBs. But there are not many matchups among the borderline starting QBs that scare me. This call is talking directly to managers playing in leagues with two QB slots. Any starting QB becomes valuable in two-QB formats, to the point where it can seem like any starting QB should be started over a position player no matter what. O’Connell in Week 10 is an example of that not being the case. O’Connell has a brutal matchup against the third-ranked Jets. The Jets are the only team with a lower POA allowed to QBs than the Ravens.

This game is tied for the lowest over/under of Week 10 at only 36.5 points, and the Raiders’ implied total of 17.8 points is tied for the third-lowest for the week. This will likely be an ugly, low-scoring game with both teams in game scripts more conducive to the run game. And that is where I see the Raiders going as the Jets rank 24^th against fantasy RBs. Not a lot of passing and little success when they do pass is a recipe for fantasy disaster, which is why I say play your best available position player in that Superflex slot instead of O’Connell.

Week 10 Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Matchups

The following WR table shows the top 70 WRs for Week 10 (according to RotoBaller; PPR), opponent, and opponent rank versus fantasy WRs.

Week 10: WR Matchups We Love

Brandon Aiyuk (WR15)
Opponent: @JAX
Opponent Rank vs. WR: 25^th  

I have been on the Brandon Aiyuk train since his days at Arizona State. While things got a little dicey during his second season, Aiyuk is now one of the elite WRs in the NFL. Checking in as the WR13 in PPR PPG, Aiyuk gets an ideal matchup with the 25^th-ranked Jaguars in Week 10.

The Jaguars have a POA allowed of +3.6 on the season and +4.9 over the last five games. The only WR group they have stymied this season was the Falcons in Week 4, holding them six points below their season average. They have been friendly to opposing teams’ top receivers, allowing top-10 weeks to Stefon Diggs in Week 5 and Michael Pittman Jr. in Week 6, and have not had a negative POA allowed since Week 4.

The 49ers are coming off a bye and should be close to full offensive strength with Brock Purdy farther away from the concussion and Deebo Samuel returning to the lineup. And Aiyuk’s peripheral metrics have been excellent:

I hope everyone’s ready for Aiyuk’s monster second half.

Tgt share: 12th
TPRR: 5th (tied)
YPRR: 2nd (behind Tyreek)
Rec yds/tm pass attempt: 2nd (behind Tyreek)
Yds/Rec: 3rd
Air yards share: 1st
WOPR: 4th (tied)

WR schedule rest of way: Top 3 easiest pic.twitter.com/owG1Lk2F1s

— Scott Rinear (@MunderDifflinFF) November 10, 2023

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR34)
Opponent: WAS
Opponent Rank vs. WR: 32^nd

The Commanders are the most fantasy-friendly opponent for WRs in adjusted fantasy points allowed to the position. All three of the Seahawks’ WRs have this same tasty matchup in Week 10, but I am choosing Jaxon Smith-Njigba (JSN) because he is the most likely to exceed his positional rank this week.

JSN’s involvement and usage have been creeping upward over the last four games and he has found the end zone twice. In Weeks 1-4, JSN never exceeded a 60% snap share. Since then, his snap share has increased to 71% and he has found the end zone twice. JSN is following a pattern we have seen before. A talented rookie WR starts slowly only to find their groove during the second half of the season.

JSN has not had a monster week yet, but his peripheral numbers are trending in the right direction. Along with snap share, JSN’s receiving yards per target shot up drastically coming out of Seattle’s Week 5 bye. Over the first four games, JSN averaged only 3.1 receiving yards per target. In Weeks 6-9, that average has been at 9.1. His average depth of target (aDOT) has increased, leading to an increase in the value of his targets. DK Metcalf did miss Week 6, which ended up being JSN’s best fantasy day of the season. But he has maintained this increased involvement in the last three games with Metcalf in the lineup.

 

 

Week 10: Not Great, Bob – WR Matchups to Avoid

George Pickens (WR34)
Opponent: GB
Opponent Rank vs. WR: 6^th

George Pickens has been on a downward trend as of late. Pickens was dominant while Diontae Johnson missed time with an injury. From Week 2 through Johnson’s first game back in Week 7, Pickens earned a 28.9% target share and was the WR15 in that span (PPR, PPG).

But with Johnson returning to full health, Pickens’ numbers have plummeted over the last two games. In Weeks 8 and 9, Pickens’ target share dropped to 14.9%, with only three catches on 10 targets. Kenny Pickett has shown that he can support one fantasy-relevant WR but he is not good enough to support two WRs consistently.

Add to that a bad matchup with the sixth-toughest WR matchup (Packers) and I am looking for other options in Week 10, even with multiple top WRs on bye. The Packers have a season-long POA allowed of -3.2 PPG to WRs. That is a solid number but they have been even tougher recently, with a POA allowed of -4.9 in the last five games.

This is skewed somewhat by their Week 9 matchup with the Rams. The Rams’ WR group was healthy but backup QB Brett Rypien got the start. In that context, holding the Rams’ WR group 17.1 points under their average is not as significant, but overall they are one of the toughest WR matchups in adjusted fantasy points allowed.

Amari Cooper (WR25)
Opponent: @BAL
Opponent Rank vs. WR: 5th

This might be slightly cheating to include Deshaun Watson’s WR1 after already calling out Watson as a QB matchup to avoid, but I think it’s valid. The reason is that Cooper will be a mighty tempting auto-start coming off a 24.9-point week, finishing as the WR4 (PPR).

And in positive matchups, I think a healthy Watson is a good start and Cooper is a great start most weeks. But this is far from a positive matchup. Most of the same logic I discussed regarding Watson applies to Cooper as well. The Ravens have been a slightly better matchup for WRs than QBs, but that is largely due to the first month of the season when they were dealing with some defensive injuries. Baltimore allowed a positive WR POA in each of the first three games, and have done so in five of their nine games. But as they’ve gotten healthier, those numbers have shored up recently.

They have allowed a negative WR POA in three of the last four games, including games against the Seahawks and Lions’ WR groups. Their season-long POA is -3.0 PPG, but over the last five games, that number is -5.7 PPG. Deshaun Watson was not the starter the last time these teams faced each other (Week 4), but Cooper was held to one catch for 16 yards on five targets. And that game was in Cleveland. I do not have high hopes for any of the fantasy skill position players on the Browns in Week 10, except for Jerome Ford. The one area where the Ravens’ defense has shown weakness is in fantasy points allowed to RBs via receiving output (PFR).

 

Week 10 Fantasy Football Running Back Matchups

The following RB table shows the top 50 RBs for Week 10 (according to RotoBaller; PPR), opponent, and opponent rank versus fantasy RBs.

This chart also includes my rankings for RB points from receiving output only (PFR). The PFR ranks are included next to the overall RB ranks. What we are looking for with that side-by-side inclusion are discrepancies that may change the outlook of a matchup (depending on the RB).

Currently, the notable differences include the following:

• The Giants rank 15 spots better versus RB PFR than overall RB, ranking as the second-toughest matchup in adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs via PFR. Impacted players: Tony Pollard.
• The Rams are 14 spots better versus RB PFR than overall RB, ranking as the fifth-toughest matchup in adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs via PFR. Impacted players: None. The Rams are on bye. Impacted players in Week 11: Kenneth Walker III and Zach Charbonnet.
• The Panthers are 14 spots better versus RB PFR than overall RB, ranking 16^th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs via PFR. Impacted players: None. Even with the large discrepancy, the Panthers are still a good matchup for RB PFR. The discrepancy is made possible by the Panthers ranking 30^th (third-easiest) against RBs overall.
• The Seahawks are 12 spots better versus RB PFR than overall RB, ranking 15^th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs via PFR. Impacted players: None. It is the same scenario as the Panthers. The discrepancy is made possible by the Panthers ranking 27^th (sixth-easiest) against RBs overall.
• The Ravens are 10 spots worse versus RB PFR than overall RB, ranking 17^th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs via PFR. The Ravens rank fifth versus RBs overall but can be beaten by RBs through the air. Impacted players: Jerome Ford and Kareem Hunt.
• The Falcons are 13 spots worse versus RB PFR than overall RB, ranking 27^th in adjusted fantasy points allowed to RBs via PFR. The Falcons rank 14^th versus RBs overall but are a softer matchup for pass-catching RBs. Impacted players: James Conner.

Here is the chart showing these rank differences more clearly:

Now onto Week 10 RB matchups I love.

 

Week 10: RB Matchups We Love

Javonte Williams (RB18)
Opponent: BUF
Opponent Rank vs. RB: 28^th
Opponent Rank vs. RB PFR: 29^th   

I am not sure what Javonte Williams has to do to start receiving more hype. And yes, “don’t play for the Broncos” would be a clever comeback to that question in the form of a statement, but I am more interested in his recent trend, which should have put the “coming back from the injury” concerns to rest.

I realize that Williams has not been lighting the fantasy world on fire this season, but his volume and opportunity, especially in the last two games, are what all of us wished for him at the start of the season. The main reason he is not garnering more discussion is because he has not been scoring TDs, with his first TD finally coming in Week 8 (receiving TD). But TD regression is real and if Williams’ usage continues where it currently sits, then positive TD regression should be in his near future.

His upturn in usage to “bell-cow” status started in Week 7 and, like Breece Hall earlier in the season, this willingness of his team to give him most of the RB work is the telling sign he is at least very close to being fully recovered. In Week 7, Williams received 65.2% of the Broncos’ RB rush attempts, his highest rate since Week 2.

In Week 8, his RB rush share was 84.4%, his highest of the season, including 27 rush attempts. The Broncos won that game against the Chiefs and then headed into their Week 9 bye. His bell-cow workload (which also included six catches on seven targets in the last two games) should continue in Week 10 against the Bills, who rank as a top-five (easiest) matchup for RBs, both overall and RB PFR. Williams’ breakout game is coming in Week 10.

One of the more interesting situations to monitor post Bye Week is Javonte Williams’ usage.

30 Touches in Week 8 with a season high snap share & total yards.

He could make a big impact in the second half of the season with Bell Cow usage. Trending up. pic.twitter.com/b54jwDEwbz

— TheOGfantasyfootball (@TheOGfantasy) November 9, 2023

James Cook (RB22)
Opponent: DEN
Opponent Rank vs. RB: 29^th
Opponent Rank vs. RB PFR: 26^th    

Staying in the same game, James Cook has had an up-and-down season in 2023. He started strong, averaging 15.3 rush attempts and 4.3 targets per game in the first three games. Then he decreased to 10.3 rush attempts and 1.7 targets per game in Weeks 4-6. His targets have gone back up over the last three games (2.7 per game) but his rush attempts are still at 11 per game in that span, including only six carries against the Bengals in Week 9.

He’s been very efficient outside of a two-game stretch (Weeks 4 and 5) in which he rushed for only 25 yards on 17 attempts (1.5 yards per carry). Outside of those games, he has rushed for 510 yards on 103 carries (5.0 yards per carry). Cook has always been efficient. His limitations since entering the NFL center around volume. He has had spurts of “primary RB” volume this season, it just has not been consistent.

I love Cook this week because this looks like it will be one of his high-volume games against the Broncos. The Broncos are not the utter disaster they were on defense earlier in the season. Looking at adjusted fantasy points allowed, they now sit as the 15^th-toughest matchup for QBs and the 13^th-toughest matchup for WRs.

But on the rushing side, although still affected by the 100 points they gave up to the Dolphins’ RBs (I am not sure we will ever stop talking about that), the Broncos are still a good matchup for fantasy RBs, especially dual-threat RBs like Cook. They rank 29^th (fourth-easiest) against RBs overall and rank 26^th (seventh-easiest) against RB PFR. This could be Cook’s second 20-touch game of the season. Sign me up.

 

Week 10: Not Great Bob, RB Matchups to Avoid

Alexander Mattison (RB21)
Opponent: NO
Opponent Rank vs. RB: 9^th
Opponent Rank vs. RB PFR: 4^th

I have been lower than the consensus on Alexander Mattison ever since Dalvin Cook left. I appreciate the value of an RB set to see a large workload, but Mattison is a “meh” RB at best and my projections had the Vikings being extremely pass-heavy. Through five weeks, he was the RB19 (PPR). The Vikings traded for Cam Akers, who gradually started to eat into Mattison’s volume.

Mattison’s RB rush share held steady between 75% and 85% until Week 5 when it dropped to 57.1%. Since Week 5, it had been closer to 65%, still a solid number but noticeably impacted by Akers. We will never know due to the heartbreaking Achilles injury Akers sustained in Week 9, but I think Akers was on his way to overtaking Mattison in the Vikings’ backfield.

And Akers was only part of the wheels falling off for Minnesota, as they lost Kirk Cousins for the season (also to an Achilles injury) and Justin Jefferson is still out with injury. Looking through this settling dust, Mattison is back in a position to see a large workload, now on a team that will not be as pass-happy.

I still don’t think Mattison is a very good RB, and he faces a tough matchup against the Saints in Week 10. The Saints rank as the ninth-toughest matchup for RBs overall and are an even stingier fourth-toughest matchup for RB PFR. The Vikings are playing with a lot of pride in the wake of all the injuries, and Joshua Dobbs might be my new favorite player in the NFL, but the Vikings will have a rough time against the Saints. I don’t think much of the scoring they do produce will come from Mattison.

Rachaad White (RB15)
Opponent: TEN
Opponent Rank vs. RB: 12^th
Opponent Rank vs. RB PFR: 3^rd

Rachaad White has been quietly putting up decent fantasy days in PPR formats. Seen by some as the next Joe Mixon (poor efficiency but high volume), White has relied heavily on receiving output to ascend to the overall RB15 in PPR formats (PPG). His 12.8% target share is not especially high, but he falls in the group of RBs with more than 50% of their fantasy points coming from receiving output.

And that is the main reason I do not like this matchup. Overall, the Titans rank as the 12^th-toughest RB matchup, and their RB POA allowed is negative. So it is already a poor matchup for White as a relatively inefficient runner. But the Titans have been even tougher against RBs in the receiving department, ranking as the third-toughest matchup for RB PFR.

 

Week 10 Fantasy Football Tight End Matchups

The following TE table shows the top 25 TEs for Week 10 (according to RotoBaller; PPR), opponent, and opponent rank versus fantasy TEs.

 

Week 10: TE Matchups We Love

Trey McBride (TE10)
Opponent: ATL
Opponent Rank vs. TE: 21^st

Trey McBride’s switch from forgotten second-round TE to fantasy relevance and waiver wire darling happened quickly. McBride went from a game-high of three targets in Weeks 1-5 to 11 targets in Weeks 6 and 7. He was on the TE radar and his rostership started to grow.

Then in Week 8, McBride had one of the better TE fantasy performances you could ask for, catching 10 of 14 targets for 95 yards and a TD, good enough to be the overall TE1 (PPR). McBride showed he is not yet matchup-proof as he came back down to earth against the Browns in Week 9, the current toughest matchup for fantasy TEs. Even with the tough matchup, you cannot glean much from that game with Clayton Tune throwing the passes for Arizona.

Now Kyler Murray is back, and while we shouldn’t expect Murray to immediately return to top-shelf fantasy QB play in his first game back, that whole passing attack will be singing a different tune in Week 10 (I’ll be here all week). And it is a much softer matchup against the Falcons, ranked 21^st against TEs.

The Falcons have been better against TEs over the last five games (POA allowed of -0.6) but that includes games against the Commanders, Buccaneers (before Cade Otton broke out), and the Titans. The Falcons have a positive POA allowed to the better TEs they have faced (Sam LaPorta, Evan Engram, Dalton Schultz, T.J. Hockenson). Maybe it’s premature, but I am already putting McBride at least close to that group of TEs and he should have another excellent fantasy day against the Falcons.

2nd Year TE Target Share Leaders over the last 4 weeks:

Trey McBride 24% 👀
Chigoziem Okonkwo 17%
Cade Otton 16%
Jake Ferguson 14%
Connor Heyward 13%
Drew Ogletree 5%
Isaiah Likely 4%
Daniel Bellinger 4%

— Scott Spratt (@Scott_Spratt) November 9, 2023

 

Week 10: Not Great Bob, TE Matchups to Avoid

Jonnu Smith (TE14)
Opponent: ARI
Opponent Rank vs. TE: 9^th

Again staying in the same game, the Cardinals have been a tough matchup for fantasy TEs this season, allowing a negative POA in six of nine games, ranking as the ninth-toughest matchup. They have given up a positive POA over the last two, but one of those TEs was Mark Andrews, and the Cardinals’ POA allowed in that game was only +0.3. I made a decision to fade the Falcons’ TE position, and maybe it’s take-lock, but I am not fading Pitts as the QB switch to Taylor Heinicke helps Pitts more than Smith.

 

Last Week's Postmortems

I am fine with being wrong about things, especially when it comes to fantasy football, where most of us are wrong more often than we are right. So, each new week, I will include a postmortem of the previous week’s players whose fantasy matchups I loved and those whom I advised to avoid. I will subjectively judge myself based on the results of the previous week, with my take either being a “HIT” or a “MISS,” or in some cases a “PUSH” (or N/A for a player who was ruled out due to injury after the article published).

Week 9 QB Matchups I Loved

Derek Carr

• Week 9 Rank: QB10
• Week 9 Matchup: CHI (Rank: 21^st)
• Week 9 Finish: QB11 (16.7 points)
• Verdict: PUSH

Baker Mayfield

• Week 9 Rank: QB14
• Week 9 Matchup: HOU (Rank: 28^th)
• Week 9 Finish: QB7 (19 points)
• Verdict: HIT

Week 9 QB Matchups I Avoided

Daniel Jones

• Week 9 Rank: QB16
• Week 9 Matchup: LV (Rank: 4^th)
• Week 9 Finish: QB30 (1.9 points)
• Verdict: HIT*

*Left game early due to injury

Will Levis

• Week 9 Rank: QB18
• Week 9 Matchup: PIT (Rank: 13^th)
• Week 9 Finish: QB21 (9.7 points)
• Verdict: HIT

Week 9 QB Hit Rate: 100% (3-0)

Week 9 WR Matchups I Loved

Diontae Johnson

• Week 9 Rank: WR25
• Week 9 Matchup: TEN (Rank: 25^th)
• Week 9 Finish: WR6 (22 points)
• Verdict: HIT

Demario Douglas

• Week 9 Rank: WR41
• Week 9 Matchup: WAS (Rank: 32^nd)
• Week 9 Finish: WR27 (10.5 points)
• Verdict: HIT

Week 9 WR Matchups I Avoided

Jakobi Meyers

• Week 9 Rank: WR24
• Week 9 Matchup: NYG (Rank: 7^th)
• Week 9 Finish: WR17 (13.5 points)
• Verdict: MISS

Week 9 WR Hit Rate: 67% (2-1)

Week 9 RB Matchups I Loved

Joe Mixon

• Week 9 Rank: RB212
• Week 9 Matchup: BUF (Rank: 28^th)
• Week 9 Finish: RB9 (17.8 points)
• Verdict: HIT

Darrell Henderson Jr.

• Week 9 Rank: RB31
• Week 9 Matchup: GB (Rank: 25^th)
• Week 9 Finish: RB38 (5.5 points)
• Verdict: MISS

Week 9 RB Matchups I Avoided

Tony Pollard

• Week 9 Rank: RB16
• Week 9 Matchup: PHI (Rank: 1^st)
• Week 9 Finish: RB26 (9.3 points)
• Verdict: HIT

Aaron Jones

• Week 9 Rank: RB19
• Week 9 Matchup: LAR (Rank: 5^th)
• Week 9 Finish: RB7 (17.9 points)
• Verdict: MISS

Week 9 RB Hit Rate: 50% (2-2)

Week 9 TE Matchups I Loved

Hunter Henry

• Week 9 Rank: TE19
• Week 9 Matchup: WAS (Rank: 27^th)
• Week 9 Finish: TE10 (13.9 points)
• Verdict: HIT

Week 9 TE Matchups I Avoided

Dalton Schultz

• Week 9 Rank: TE10
• Week 9 Matchup: TB (Rank: 8^th)
• Week 9 Finish: TE1 (27 points)
• Verdict: MISS

Week 9 TE Hit Rate: 50% (1-1)

Week 9 Total Hit Rate: 67% (8-4)

 

Thank you so much for reading! I love diving deep into the data in search of statistics and combinations of statistics that can help you make the best decisions possible in the maze of fantasy football decisions. If you have any questions about this article or general questions about fantasy football, reach out to me on X (@MunderDifflinFF).

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