Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Week 1 DFS Cash Game Value Plays For FanDuel And DraftKings


Week 1 is finally here! After a long offseason without football, it has been a pleasure to be digging into the prices for this first slate of the regular season. I have been over the slate a few times and the changing landscape of the NFL has led to this column moving in a couple of different directions.

The last few weeks have been even more active than usual. We had sudden retirements, holdouts, blockbuster trades, big-name cuts, and subsequent additions. All of this has presented plenty of opportunities for value this week, be that at quarterback, running back, wide receivers or tight ends.

This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries. Let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 1 of the 2019 NFL season.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive In-Season Lineup Tools, Lineup Optimizer and over 150 days of Premium DFS Research. Sign Up Now!

 

Week 1 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays

Jacoby Brissett, IND @ LAC | DK: $4,400, FD: $6,000

Before his retirement, Andrew Luck was the second-highest priced quarterback on the slate. Between his incredible offensive line and beefed-up receiving corps, no one batted an eyelid at the price. However, his retirement has left us an opportunity in Week 1. Instead of Luck and his $6,700 salary, we get the opportunity to use Brissett and his $4,400 salary. The Chargers were 22nd against quarterbacks last season and head into the season without their premier safety in sophomore Derwin James. This game has the makings to potentially be a high scoring affair, and Brissett will reap the benefits of playing behind that offensive line as he looks to put down a marker after a tough 2017 season behind a less than stellar line. In terms of ROI, Brissett has ever chance to be the leader in that category among quarterbacks this week.

Nick Foles, JAX vs. KC | DK: $5,300, FD: $6,500

This is a fascinating one because Foles is walking into a potential shoot out in his first game as a Jaguar. The Jaguars are welcoming the Kansas City Chiefs to Jacksonville, and they have made very minor upgrades on the defense that ranked 31st against opposing quarterbacks last season. Foles also has a key element that previous quarterbacks have lacked in Jacksonville, a pass-happy offensive coordinator in the form of John DeFilippo. DeFilippo comes to Jacksonville with a little bit of a cloud over his head after the disaster in Minnesota next year but with a familiar quarterback at his disposal, he will be keen to show his offense can go toe-to-toe with the Chiefs high flying offense. The Jaguars may start a little slow as they build through Leonard Fournette, but as the game opens up so should the opportunities for Foles to take advantage of a Chiefs Defense which could still have plenty of holes in it this season.

 

Week 1 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays

Tony Pollard, DAL vs. NYG | DK: $4,500, FD: $5,200

Suddenly Pollard has gone from potentially being one of the most over-owned players on this slate to a value play. Yes, Ezekiel Elliott is back, but he is unlikely to see more than 25-30 snaps, which leaves plenty of time for Pollard to be on the field. Even if he only sees 15 touches this week that could be extremely good value at this price in that offense. The Giants Defense ranked 28th against backs last season, and they certainly are not better this season.

Adrian Peterson, WSH @ PHI | DK: $3,700 FD: $5,600

This feels like a ridiculous price to me, because for all intents and purposes Peterson is going to see a massive workload in this game from what I can see. Derrius Guice has seen a little action in the preseason, but it seems unlikely the Redskins are going to throw him in with a heavy workload in his first professional regular-season game. With the offensive line looking dreadful pass blocking in the preseason, I fully expect the Redskins to keep the ball on the ground and the man to do that is their old reliable workhorse Peterson.

Devin Singletary, BUF @ NYJ | DK: $3,600, FD: $5,300

The release of LeSean McCoy has opened up an opportunity for Singletary. Yes, they still have Frank Gore and TJ Yeldon on the roster but they did not release McCoy to have Yeldon and Gore carry this team. Singletary is unlikely to see 25-or-30 touches this season, but 15-to-20 is more than possible. The Jets made moves to improve their defense in 2019 but lost Avery Williamson which will hurt the middle of their defense a lot. Singletary could be another back who gives you a large ROI at this price.

 

Week 1 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays

Dede Westbrook, JAX vs. KC | DK: $4,800, FD: $5,900

We should never read too much into the preseason, but something for the Jaguars in Week 3 was telling. Nick Foles threw the ball 10 times in that game, three of those were to Leonard Fournette, one was intercepted and the other six were all in the direction of Westbrook. Westbrook had a 65% catch rate last season and should be someone Foles relies on a lot out of the slot this season. That will never be more of the case than in this potential shootout against the Chiefs.

Randall Cobb, DAL vs. NYG | DK: $4,200, FD: $5,000

This one was simple for me. There is at best a limited Elliott in the backfield, and Amari Cooper is hobbling back into practice after missing time. That leaves three names in this offense that the Cowboys can rely on, Jason Witten, Michael Gallup and Randall Cobb. Cobb has proven himself to be an often reliable pass catcher in this league and will take the Cole Beasley role. The Cowboys made a conscious decision to let Beasley walk and bring in Cobb this past offseason. That a more than good enough reason for me to gamble on him at this price.

Damion Willis, CIN @ SEA | DK: $3,000, FD: $4,500

Willis has come out of the blue to be a name to consider this week. The young receiver has stepped up in practice and is now expected to start opposite Tyler Boyd in Week 1. Willis comes into the NFL with 856 yards and 10 touchdowns on 56 receptions for Troy in college last season. He has earned the right to be on the field for the Bengals in Week 1 and they may be chasing the game at some point this week against a strong Seattle rushing offense. He only needs a few catches to return you solid value on this price, and if he hits a touchdown then he could be a big winner for you in all sorts of formats this week.

 

Week 1 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays

Greg Olsen, CAR vs. LAR | DK: $3,200, FD: $5,200

The Olsen/Newton combination has been very successful for the Panthers over the past few years. When Olsen is on the field he makes headline plays over and over for this team. He has a career 62.4% catch rate in Carolina, which got as high as 71% last season. He has also averaged 12.4 yards per reception and 56 yards per game in Carolina, and now he faces a Rams team who ranked 20th against the tight end last season. The Rams do not appear to have got significantly better in that realm and Newton and Olsen will be crucial for the Panthers to stay in this one.

Mark Andrews, BAL @ MIA | DK: $3,000, FD: $5,400

It was a strong start to his career for Andrews. He caught 68% of his targets last season and really took off with Lamar Jackson under center. Four of his five games over 50 yards came with Jackson throwing the ball, and that confidence should only grow this season. This matchup against a now very young and inexperienced Dolphins Defense presents all kind of opportunities for Andrews to offer real value at a low price.

More Weekly DFS Analysis




More Recent Articles

 

Keenan Allen - Fantasy Football Disaster Recovery

Welcome to Disaster Recovery, where each week I'll examine why your studs played like duds. This isn't a place to find out why you should have sat a player for somebody on your bench. Disaster Recovery is to examine the guys who you didn't think twice about starting, and deciding if you should be panicking at all about... Read More


NFL Survivor Pool Picks (Week 7) - Targets and Avoids

Another week, more upsets. The Cowboys, Chiefs and Chargers all went down knocking out about 15-20 percent of remaining entrants in survivor pools, including myself. The Baltimore and New England wins were never in doubt, but the Redskins and Packers just barely squeaked out wins. If you've made it this far, you've done a job... Read More


Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers - Week 7

Whether due to their own play, the play of others, or injuries, players' stock increases and decreases on a weekly basis. Perhaps more than any other, the NFL is a league that experiences ups and downs at a rapid pace. With only 16 games, there’s little room for error and seemingly endless opportunities for improvement.... Read More


Running Back Metrics That Matter - NFL NextGen Stats

It's been a month--a full month!--since the last time we took a look at our beloved running backs. I don't think there is a hotter topic of discussion between pro- and anti-analytics than rushing. The guys fighting for stat-supremacy are all about using the passing game as much as possible while ditching the run; the... Read More


Titanic Disappointment - Will Ryan Tannehill Help Tennessee?

In the midst of being shutout by the Denver Broncos on Sunday, Tennesse Titans coach Mike Vrabel made a move that many casual NFL fans had been expecting for the past few weeks: he decided to give Ryan Tannehill a shot at quarterback instead of Marcus Mariota. While Tannehill wasn't noticeably better on Sunday, throwing... Read More


Warning Signs: Todd Gurley, Brandin Cooks, Robert Woods, Jared Goff

This is going to be a special edition of Warning Signs. Usually, we take a look at players from different teams who have disappointed thus far. This week, I am going to focus on a single team full of players to worry about. It is not good to have a team of big stars where... Read More


FAAB Bidding - Week 7 Waiver Wire Targets

Assisting our famous waiver wire pickups list, and our weekly waiver wire columns by position, this column focuses on suggested waiver wire bidding percentages for fantasy football owners in leagues using a Free Agent Acquisition Budget (FAAB). As a caveat, these prices do not by any means indicate how much these free agent players will... Read More


We Must Overreact Immediately! Week 6 Outliers

In Week 6, several players exploded in fantasy lineups. There were a few receivers that were above the rest of the pack in Week 6, such as Stefon Diggs, Terry McLaurin, Chris Godwin and Tyreek Hill, but there shouldn't be any surprises there as those guys should have been in fantasy lineups. At the quarterback... Read More


Deeper League Free Agent Pickups for Week 7

The bye week difficulties continue this week with Carolina, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, and Tampa Bay all getting their rest in Week 7. It should be noted, however, that just because a player is currently in their bye week, doesn't mean you should avoid them on the waiver wire. In fact, this is often the easiest way... Read More


Week 7 Waiver Wire Pickups & Adds

All of a sudden, the Chargers look like one of the worst teams in football and the Jets look like a playoff contender. Maybe things won't shake out that way in the end but it goes to show how quickly things change in the "Not For Long" NFL. For that reason, we advise looking at... Read More


The Cut List - Players on the Chopping Block (Week 7)

This is your weekly list of players to drop. I will do my best to limit this list to injured players and players you might consider holding. If you roster pure handcuffs or backups, obviously you can let them go at any time. The players on this list will, ideally, be guys that aren't clearly... Read More


Week 7 Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Below are RotoBaller's Week 7 defense tiers and rankings, or which defenses to stream, start and target off the waiver wire for Week 7 of the NFL and fantasy football season. In case you missed it, this is our seventh year now writing this weekly column. Our weekly tiered defense rankings are a guide to making waiver... Read More


Week 7 Kicker Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Week 6 is done, and we've seen some outstanding games thus far. We've also seen a lot of surprising teams through six weeks. The San Francisco 49ers, after picking in the top 10 for four straight years, are 5-0 with one of the most complete teams in football. As far as kickers go, we're seeing... Read More


Running Back Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 7

Some of you have been rewarded for your meticulous roster planning by receiving excellent production from your running backs. Unfortunately, many of you have been equally prepared when making roster decisions, but have been undermined by injuries, inconsistent usage, or underwhelming performances. If that applies to you, then those unwanted outcomes have forced you to... Read More


Wide Receiver Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 7

We weren't really surprised by the top-scoring fantasy wide receivers from Week 6. Out of the top-20 receivers, only Jamison Crowder, Auden Tate and Jaron Brown were less than 50% owned. Jaron Brown (0% owned) was only targeted five times but he scored two touchdowns off of those five targets. Auden Tate (23% owned) hauled... Read More