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Rest of Season Third Base Rankings - May Update


Now that we are midway through May, it's a perfect time to update our Rest-of-Season mixed rankings and provide some analysis. RotoBaller writers Nick Mariano, Pierre Camus, Bill Dubiel and Scott Engel want you to crush the competition and know that rankings can't end on draft day.

Third base has been hit-and-miss in the early goings. A lot of the predictable studs are being studly, a few surprises have risen through the ranks. I'm most fascinated by some of the guys who were drafted early but who have severely underachieved--is a bounce-back in store or is this what 2019 will look like for them?

Check out our fantasy baseball rankings dashboard for the latest and greatest ranks at any time. Also, you can read our analysis on the other positions here: first base, second base, shortstop, outfield, starting pitcher, and relief pitcher.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season MLB Premium Pass for 50% off, with exclusive access to our season-long articles, 15 in-season lineup tools and over 200 days of expert DFS research/tools. Sign Up Now!

 

Third Base Tiered Ranks - 5x5 Mixed Leagues (May)

In case you missed it, our very own "Big Pick Nick" Mariano was recently named the #1 overall most accurate industry expert ranker for the 2018 season. You can see his secret sauce below! Additionally, industry legend Scott Engel recently joined the RotoBaller team and provides his insights as well. Scott is an FSWA Hall Of Famer and award winner.

Ranking Tier Player Position Nick Pierre Bill Scott Composite
1 1 Nolan Arenado 3B 7 11 4 4 6.500
2 1 Alex Bregman 3B/SS 13 12 13 8 11.500
3 1 Jose Ramirez 2B/3B 20 7 8 15 12.500
4 1 Javier Baez 2B/SS/3B 23 13 28 9 18.250
5 2 Manny Machado 3B/SS 33 23 15 22 23.250
6 2 Anthony Rendon 3B 24 24 33 28 27.250
7 2 Kris Bryant 3B/OF 57 26 26 36 36.250
8 2 Eugenio Suarez 3B 41 44 41 46 43.000
9 2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3B 60 60 47 53 55.000
10 3 Joey Gallo 3B/1B/OF 26 59 90 65 60.000
11 3 Matt Chapman 3B 53 74 53 85 66.250
12 3 Matt Carpenter 1B/2B/3B 102 75 76 91 86.000
13 3 Justin Turner 3B 106 85 75 86 88.000
14 3 Josh Donaldson 3B 69 113 78 107 91.750
15 4 Mike Moustakas 3B 89 120 91 105 101.250
16 4 Wil Myers 3B/OF 101 94 102 119 104.000
17 4 Miguel Andujar 3B 128 98 89 175 122.500
18 4 Travis Shaw 1B/2B/3B 159 140 113 147 139.750
19 5 Rafael Devers 3B 162 236 134 72 151.000
20 5 Carlos Santana 1B/3B 170 163 115 180 157.000
21 5 Max Muncy 1B/2B/3B 115 215 159 141 157.500
22 5 Maikel Franco 3B 163 189 189 99 160.000
23 6 Yandy Diaz 3B 132 203 182 155 168.000
24 6 Nick Senzel 2B/3B/OF 173 146 187 168 168.500
25 6 Ryan McMahon 1B/3B/2B 176 170 205 227 194.500
26 6 Tim Beckham SS/3B 174 165 206 246 197.750
27 6 Asdrubal Cabrera SS/2B/3B 186 255 191 182 203.500
28 6 Michael Chavis 3B 142 #N/A 277 #N/A 209.500
29 6 Eduardo Escobar SS/3B 178 213 350 195 234.000
30 6 Niko Goodrum 1B/2B/3B/SS/OF 248 242 255 202 236.750
31 6 Jurickson Profar SS/3B/1B/2B 275 301 225 264 266.250
32 7 Brian Anderson 3B/OF 280 269 311 244 276.000
33 7 Yuli Gurriel 1B/2B/3B 349 344 263 278 308.500
34 7 Tommy La Stella 2B/3B 388 273 287 #N/A 316.000
35 7 Renato Nunez 3B 204 252 512 #N/A 322.667
36 7 Miguel Sano 1B/3B 278 391 366 289 331.000
37 7 Evan Longoria 3B 303 369 342 #N/A 338.000
38 8 Jeimer Candelario 3B 334 328 361 #N/A 341.000
39 8 Wilmer Flores 1B/3B/2B 341 355 376 #N/A 357.333
40 8 Joey Wendle 2B/3B/SS/OF 400 424 278 #N/A 367.333
41 8 Scott Kingery SS/3B/OF 391 390 322 #N/A 367.667
42 8 Ronny Rodriguez 1B/2B/3B/SS 374 #N/A #N/A #N/A 374.000
43 8 Jung Ho Kang 3B 394 332 429 #N/A 385.000
44 8 David Bote 2B/3B 455 331 #N/A #N/A 393.000
45 8 J.D. Davis 3B 471 395 324 #N/A 396.667
46 8 David Fletcher 3B 348 374 475 #N/A 399.000
47 8 Todd Frazier 3B 404 359 460 #N/A 407.667
48 8 Jake Lamb 3B 487 441 305 #N/A 411.000
49 8 Johan Camargo 2B/3B/SS 351 494 406 #N/A 417.000
50 8 Kyle Seager 3B 485 419 395 #N/A 433.000
51 8 Yolmer Sanchez 2B/3B 365 #N/A 528 #N/A 446.500
52 8 Ian Happ 3B/OF 449 489 407 #N/A 448.333
53 8 Rio Ruiz 3B #N/A 449 #N/A #N/A 449.000
54 8 Colin Moran 3B/1B 477 397 476 #N/A 450.000
55 8 Patrick Wisdom 3B #N/A 460 #N/A #N/A 460.000
56 8 Logan Forsythe 2B/3B 476 #N/A #N/A #N/A 476.000
57 8 Isiah Kiner-Falefa C/2B/3B 490 445 501 #N/A 478.667
58 8 Eduardo Nunez 2B/3B #N/A 477 504 #N/A 490.500
59 9 JaCoby Jones 3B #N/A 492 #N/A #N/A 492.000
60 9 Hernan Perez 2B/3B/OF/SS #N/A 501 #N/A #N/A 501.000
61 9 Zack Cozart SS/2B/3B #N/A #N/A 502 #N/A 502.000
62 9 Martin Prado 3B #N/A 493 539 #N/A 516.000
63 9 Brandon Drury 3B/OF #N/A #N/A 530 #N/A 530.000
64 9 Jedd Gyorko 1B/3B #N/A #N/A 534 #N/A 534.000
65 9 Chris Owings 2B/3B/OF #N/A 497 578 #N/A 537.500
66 9 Matt Duffy SS/3B #N/A #N/A 542 #N/A 542.000
67 9 Matt Davidson 3B #N/A #N/A 561 #N/A 561.000
68 9 Yairo Munoz 2B/3B/SS/OF #N/A #N/A 573 #N/A 573.000

 

Rankings Analysis - Top Tiers

Tier One

The most fascinating case in all of third base is, to me, Jose Ramirez. The fantasy monster form 2018 has been a shadow of his former self; as of this writing he is under the Mendoza Line, with a batting average sitting at .195. The ten steals he's contributed are all well and good, but it's impossible not to be disappointed given that you likely used your first pick or paid absolute top-dollar for the 39/34 fantasy juggernaut from a year ago. At just 26, it's not like there is any real decline here. I'll not speculate about an injury hampering him either (that's been done plenty). Pierre and I believe strongly in a bounce-back as the season wears on, and I'll stand by that ranking as long as Ramirez stays healthy. He didn't all of a sudden get worse after two MVP-level seasons.

Tier Two

Most of the usual suspects here as well. Vlad Guerrero, Jr. is, shockingly, not setting the world on fire so far. Insane that a 20-year-old is struggling a bit against major league pitching, I know. This is very much a case of sticking with a stud, because that's very much what Vladito is. He just hit two bombs in one game this week, and I am very confident (more so than my colleagues) that he will figure things out sooner rather than later. He's been called up, he's entrenched in the lineup--the breakout is coming.

Kris Bryant is somewhat quietly having a really nice season. He hasn't come close to his MVP season from a couple years ago, but he's making some legitimate strides in improving as an overall hitter. His walk rate is currently the highest of his career (15.6%) and at the same time he's got his strikeout rate down to just 17.2%, another career best. One hot streak could have Bryant back in the MVP discussion again, but the very real improvements he's showing are why I have so much optimism for the rest of the season.

Tier Three

I'm apparently still low on Joey Gallo, and perhaps I shouldn't be. The same reasons I believe Kris Bryant is showing some real, sustainable improvement apply to Gallo, as Kyle Glaser notes here:

I have been a big Debbie Downer on Gallo's profile as a hitter thus far in his career--tons of strikeouts, the whole "more homers than singles" thing, all of that. My current ranking stands as a significant improvement over where I had him in the preseason, and when we check back in again I'll likely have him up higher if he continues to prove he's more patient at the plate. That power certainly isn't going anywhere...

 

Rankings Analysis - Middle Tiers

Tier Four (Note - rankings were published prior to the news that Andujar's season is over)

Boy, I really wish Wil Myers would turn things around but it's simply not looking great for him. In the two seasons in which Myers has played at least 155 games, he turned in a 28/28 season and a 30/20 campaign. The gifts have always been there for the former blue-chip prospect. So far in 2019 health hasn't been Myers' biggest issue--it's been contact. The 28-year-old is currently posting the worst swinging-strike percentage of his career by far (14.8%) which has led to a career-worst 36.8% strikeout rate. Myers is trending in the wrong direction this year, and if his .342 BABIP doesn't hold we may not have even seen the worst of it yet.

Tier Five

I think my colleagues are sleeping on Carlos Santana so far in 2019. Santana has always been an OBP machine, but he's never emerged as a true star thanks to a typically low batting average. A large piece of that may have to do with his BABIP, which is consistently, remarkably low. His career average sits at .266, and last year was as low as .231. That number is starting to normalize a bit (.301), and his batting average has risen to a healthy .271. I'm trusting that the shift back to the comfy confines of Cleveland, where he spent all of his early career, is enough to revitalize this corner infielder. The 25+ bombs certainly won't hurt either.

 

Rankings Analysis - Lower Tiers

Tier Six

Michael Chavis has been a revelation for the Red Sox offense since his call-up. In just 22 games, Chavis has smacked seven homers, driven in 21 runs, scored 15 times and is hitting a robust .296. That power may very well be real, as he's posted pretty good ISO marks at every stop in the minors, and it never hurts to have that big old monster in left field to bang balls off of. I expect some regression in just about every metric, particularly his stellar current walk rate (14.6%), but I expect Chavis to remain in the fantasy mix as long as he's got a roster spot.

Tier Seven

Tommy La Stella is one of the bigger surprises of this entire season, and I'm not sure I've got a great explanation as to why. The counting stats speak for themselves--11 homers already, 24 runs, 25 RBI and a .301 batting average that is 30 points higher than his career average. The peripheral stats are completely confounding though; La Stella has cut his strikeout rate by more than half since last year to an absurd 6.0%, and he is very nearly DOUBLING his slugging percentage from 2018. In fact, La Stella's current .245 BABIP indicates that he's been unlucky this year, and that he might be capable of hitting even better than he already is. I think it's fair to assume he'll regress closer to the mean over the course of the season, but this is very much a situation where I'm holding on and enjoying the ride while it's happening.

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