TAP FOR 6 MONTHS OF PREMIUM FREE 💰
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

MLB Dynasty Rankings for 2017: Top 25

All ranking projects are beasts, and the deeper we go, the more beastly they become. Ranking players at one position against players at another is easy enough. Shuffling the positions together to form a top 500 list can be unwieldy. Adding in the "dynasty" tag is the ultimate complication.

Before we hit the top 25, let's talk about methodology. Not all dynasty leagues are created equal - the term is understood to mean that owners keep most/all of their roster year-to-year. To some, it also means the league is very deep (over 800 players rostered). However, I get plenty of questions on twitter about 10-team, 23-player roster dynasties.

For the purposes of this ranking, I'm going to use an industry league as the model. It's a 20-team, 45-player roster format. It's up to you to mentally adjust the rankings to fit your own league depth and settings.

By the way, if you are interested in more MLB rankings columns, head on over to our 2017 fantasy baseball rankings dashboard. Throughout the offseason, you will find tiered positional rankings, keeper values articles, our team prospect breakdowns, fantasy baseball prospect rankings, and more - all in one easy place.

 

My Dynasty Rankings Approach

For scoring, we'll use standard 5x5 stats. Since we're concerned with 2017 and beyond (a lot of the beyond), I tend to prioritize raw talent over counting stats like runs and RBI. A good player will get his opportunities over time. A bad player will eventually lose a favorable lineup role.

I'm mostly interested in how a player will perform over the next five years. While players with even longer term value should be acknowledged as possessing such, a LOT of things can go wrong between now and 2022. I might pay a penny for a dollar of 2022 value. That reflects my own personal preferences. I also place a disproportionate value on 2017 expectations. For established major league players, over half of my ranking reflects what they'll do this year. There are many exceptions for the young, old, and infirm.

Fortunately, we're using the same information to form our expectations about 2017 and beyond. So while other dynasty rankers may tell you they're doing an even 20 percent valuation of the next five seasons, it works out about the same as my method. There will only be a few notable differences.

Perhaps you've heard TINSTAAPP - There's No Such Thing As A Pitching Prospect. There's a dynasty corollary - there's no such thing as a reliable pitcher. Relative to position players, all pitchers have a massively elevated risk of injury, especially the career altering variety. As such, their dynasty value takes a big hit. Not even Clayton Kershaw is safe.

While, pitchers are riskier dynasty investments, you do need a full complement of hurlers to win a league. In general, I recommend building the foundation of your roster with hitters then diversifying to pitchers. It's also easier to find a free Robert Gsellman or Michael Montgomery than a comparably talented hitting prospect.

One last note...because this is such a large project, I have decided to take an iterative approach. Today, we talk about the top 25. Next week, I'll release the next 25 or 50 names. When I do so, I may have edits to make to the top 25. This will continue until we have a very long list of players. By then, the top of the list should polished smooth and shiny.

Shall we?

 

Top 25 Dynasty Assets for 2017

Rank Player Position Age
1 Mike Trout OF 25
2 Nolan Arenado 3B 25
3 Mookie Betts OF 24
4 Manny Machado SS/3B 24
5 Kris Bryant 3B/OF 25
6 Carlos Correa SS 22
7 Bryce Harper OF 24
8 Corey Seager SS 22
9 Trea Turner 2B/OF 23
10 Xander Bogaerts SS 24
11 Trevor Story SS 24
12 Jose Altuve 2B 26
13 Paul Goldschmidt 1B 29
14 Francisco Lindor SS 23
15 Christian Yelich OF 25
16 Nomar Mazara OF 21
17 Anthony Rizzo 1B 27
18 Clayton Kershaw SP 28
19 Josh Donaldson 3B 31
20 Miguel Cabrera 1B 33
21 Starling Marte OF 28
22 Jonathan Villar 2B/SS/3B 25
23 Robinson Cano 2B 34
24 Charlie Blackmon OF 30
25 Freddie Freeman 1B 27

 

I think you can see the general cadence of the list. First we have the very young, very awesome bats, all aged between 22 and 25. Then we move onto the very good veterans with a couple under-established youngsters shuffled in.

Trout's number one ranking requires no explanation. He's too consistently good to rank anywhere else, even if there are a couple players who might be better than him sometime around 2025. Just like in re-draft, the distance between Trout and the rest of the field is huge.

Coors Field offers an exception to the talent over counting stats rule. Arenado has posted consecutive 40 home run, 130 RBI seasons without even going wild. The lack of stolen bases is a shame, but he has upside to push 150 RBI in a perfect year. That's category shattering potential. There's still nothing wrong with preferring Betts, Machado, Bryant, or Correa. In fact, Correa's a good buy low opportunity after injuries slowed him in 2016.

To my eye, Harper's ranking is a tad high. For a brief moment, he burned brighter than any other player in baseball. The overall resume still reads as "good player with massive upside." There's volatility here. If I was merely considering the most likely outcome (the modal projection), Harper would be ranked between Goldy and Lindor. The super-high ceiling drags the average projection up to the #7. Your personal valuation of Harper should reflect your risk preferences.

Following Harper are four very good shortstops. Take your pick of profile. Seager and Bogaerts have the steady, high floor approach. Turner snags oodles of stolen bases and will have three eligibilities in 2017. Story may lead all shortstops in home runs over the next five seasons.

Here's where things get interesting. The next five players - Altuve, Goldy, Lindor, Yelich, and Mazara - offer the gamut of strategic choice for owners. Contend now with Goldschimdt, build for later with Mazara, or try to walk the line with the other trio.

Rizzo's ranking probably looks bearish at first glance. And honestly, it might be. I know I'd pick him after Goldschmidt but before Kershaw. Speaking of Kershaw, the appropriate place to take him is adjacent to older stars like Donaldson and Cabrera.

Rounding out the list are four reliable veterans and Villar. While the Brewers utility star is a regression risk, he should hit and run enough to provide big value over the next three years. As a late bloomer, he may fade faster than the typical 25-year-old. This is another instance where risk tolerance will decide your path.




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Maxx Crosby

Traded to Baltimore in Blockbuster Deal
Deni Avdija

to Miss Seventh Straight Game
Brandon Williams

is Returning on Friday
Klay Thompson

is Upgraded to Available on Friday
Amen Thompson

is Available on Friday
Daniel Gafford

Won't Play on Friday
Andrew Wiggins

is Downgraded to Out
Deandre Ayton

is Ruled Out for Friday's Game
LeBron James

Won't Suit Up on Friday
Mattias Janmark

Undergoes Season-Ending Surgery
Dalton Schultz

Texans, Dalton Schultz Agree on One-Year Extension
John Gibson

Starting Against Panthers
Roope Hintz

Available Against Avalanche
Sidney Crosby

Rejoins Practice Friday
Bobby McMann

Traded to Seattle
Justin Faulk

Lands in Detroit
Nazem Kadri

Avalanche Bring Back Nazem Kadri
Joe Mixon

Texans Release Joe Mixon
Harrison Barnes

is Ruled Out for Friday
Quinn Priester

Brewers Concerned About Quinn Priester's Wrist Injury
Dejounte Murray

is Cleared for Friday's Game
VJ Edgecombe

Misses Friday's Practice
Corbin Carroll

Taking Live At-Bats in Camp
Joel Embiid

to be Re-Evaluated in One Week
Yanic Konan Niederhauser

to Undergo Foot Surgery
Jayson Tatum

is Officially Returning on Friday
Brayden Schenn

Islanders Trade for Brayden Schenn
Elmer Soderblom

Penguins Acquire Elmer Soderblom
Ricky Tiedemann

Could Resume Throwing Soon
Jackson Chourio

"Fine" After Suffering Hand Contusion
Trey Yesavage

Blue Jays "Still View" Trey Yesavage as a Starter
Max Holloway

A Favorite At UFC 326
Charles Oliveira

Set For BMF Title Fight
Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders Prefer Not to Start Fernando Mendoza Immediately?
Reinier de Ridder

Reinier De Ridder Looks To Bounce Back
Caio Borralho

Set For UFC 326 Co-Main Event
Rob Font

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Clarke Schmidt

Ditching New Sweeper Grip
Raul Rosas Jr.

Looks For His Fifth Consecutive Win
J.J. Wetherholt

Is JJ Wetherholt Already the Best Cardinals Hitter?
Corey Perry

Lightning Acquire Corey Perry
Drew Dober

Returns At UFC 326
Michael Johnson

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Rafael Devers

Could Return to Game Action Next Week
Nick Foligno

Wild Acquire Nick Foligno
Bobby Brink

Wild Acquire Bobby Brink
Geno Smith

Raiders Release Geno Smith
Josue Briceño

Josue Briceno has Wrist Surgery, Expected to Miss Multiple Months
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Hopes to be Ready for Opening Day
Jackson Chourio

Won't Play in WBC on Friday
Carlos Correa

Scratched With Neck Injury
Brandon Woodruff

is a Risky Draft Choice
Jackson Merrill

Likely to Bounce Back in 2026
Junior Caminero

Could be Risky at Current ADP
Nic Dowd

Golden Knights Acquire Nic Dowd
Jeff Petry

Traded to Wild
Nicolas Roy

Shipped to Colorado
David Perron

Returns to Detroit
Michael Bunting

Stars Add Michael Bunting From Nashville
Conor Garland

Moves to Columbus
John Carlson

Ducks Acquire John Carlson
Owen Caissie

Off to Slow Start in Camp
Logan Henderson

Sharp in Spring Training
Robby Snelling

Punches Out Six Over Three Scoreless Frames
Bryce Eldridge

Performing Well in Cactus League
Dylan Beavers

Holding his Own in Spring Games
Chase Burns

has Uneven Command in Spring Training
Alexis Lafrenière

Alexis Lafreniere Collects Three Points in Victory
Igor Shesterkin

Picks Up Victory Against Maple Leafs
Grant Williams

Good to Go Friday
Ivica Zubac

to Remain Out Friday
Aaron Nesmith

Listed as Probable for Friday
Danielle Hunter

Texans, Danielle Hunter Agree to One-Year, $40.1 Million Extension
Trey Murphy III

Available Thursday Night
Zion Williamson

Cleared to Take on Kings
Andrew Nembhard

Expected to Play Against Lakers Friday
Pascal Siakam

Probable for Friday's Action
DJ Moore

Bears Working to Finalize Deal to Send DJ Moore to Buffalo
Stefon Diggs

Patriots Releasing Stefon Diggs
Trent McDuffie

Chiefs Sending Trent McDuffie to Rams in Blockbuster Deal
Taylor Moore

Looking to Build on Cognizant Classic Finish
Robert MacIntyre

Brings Solid Form to Bay Hill
Scottie Scheffler

the Tournament Favorite at Bay Hill
Xander Schauffele

Trending Well Ahead of API
Si Woo Kim

Looking to Return to Top Form at Bay Hill
Ben Griffin

Looking to Return to Form at Arnold Palmer Invitational
PGA

Nico Echavarria Looks to Build on Cognizant Classic Win at Arnold Palmer
Sam Burns

Searching for Consistency at Arnold Palmer Invitational
Daniel Berger

Offers Sneaky Upside at Bay Hill
Justin Thomas

Making Season Debut at API Following Lower-Back Surgery
NASCAR

Collin Morikawa Hopes To Better Last Year's Runner-Up Finish at API
Tommy Fleetwood

Isn't As Confident of a Start at Bay Hill as Previous Weeks
Kyler Murray

Will be Released
Trey Hendrickson

Bengals Not Using the Franchise Tag on Trey Hendrickson
Daniel Jones

Colts Place Transition Tag on Daniel Jones
Adam Scott

Might Endure Tough Times at Bay Hill
Aldrich Potgieter

Extremely Risky When it Comes to Bay Hill
PGA

Sungjae Im to Make Season Debut at Arnold Palmer Invitational
Jordan Spieth

an All-or-Nothing Option at Bay Hill
Harry Hall

Trying to Rebound After the Genesis Invitational
Ryan Gerard

Needs Better Start at Bay Hill
Kenneth Walker III

Won't Get the Franchise Tag
Patrick Cantlay

Still Plagued by Bad Putting Ahead of Arnold Palmer Invititational
Daniel Jones

Colts Expected to Use Transition Tag on Daniel Jones
Breece Hall

Jets Placing Franchise Tag on Breece Hall
CFB

Mark Stoops Joining Texas Coaching Staff
Jason Day

Attempts to Bounce Back from The Genesis Invitational
Jacob Bridgeman

Rolling into Arnold Palmer Invitational
Russell Henley

Looks to Defend Title at the Arnold Palmer Invitational
Khalil Mack

Will Play in 2026
MMA

Lone'er Kavanagh Gets Back In The Win Column
Brandon Moreno

Gets Outclassed
Marlon Vera

Loses Fourth Fight In A Row
Daniel Jones

Colts Have "50/50" Chance to Get a Deal Done With Daniel Jones
David Martinez

Remains Undefeated In The UFC
Daniel Zellhuber

Loses Third Consecutive Fight
King Green

Gets Second-Round TKO Win
Felipe Bunes

Drops Decision At UFC Mexico City
Édgar Cháirez

Edgar Chairez Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Ryan Blaney

Falls to Eighth Despite Running Most of the Race in the Top Five At COTA
Ty Gibbs

Wins A Stage and Finishes Fourth At COTA
Christopher Bell

Earns First Top-Five Finish of the 2026 Season at COTA
Kyler Murray

"Repeatedly" Linked to Jets
Shane Van Gisbergen

Falls Short of Victory At COTA
Tyler Reddick

Wins At COTA and Makes NASCAR History
David Montgomery

Texans Acquire David Montgomery From Lions
Kyler Murray

Likely to be Released
Travis Etienne Jr.

Not Expected to be Franchise-Tagged
Tyler Reddick

Could Make History at COTA
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen Still the Favorite at COTA
Christopher Bell

Will Be Tough to Beat at COTA
AJ Allmendinger

Could Contend at COTA
Connor Zilisch

Carries Plenty of Upside for DFS at COTA
Chase Elliott

May be A Strong Contender Again at COTA
Chris Buescher

Is Nothing But Consistent at Road Courses
Ross Chastain

May Be An Underrated Competitor for the Win at COTA
William Byron

Is William Byron a Viable DFS Option for COTA?
Carson Hocevar

Needs Clean Race at COTA
Kyle Larson

Could be A Decent DFS Option for COTA Lineups
Ryan Blaney

Could Ryan Blaney be A Sleeper DFS Option for All Formats for COTA?
Chase Briscoe

Should DFS Players Roster Chase Briscoe at COTA?
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Is A Favorable Value Option for COTA DFS Lineups
Ty Gibbs

Could Ty Gibbs Be A Rosterable DFS Play for COTA?
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF