X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

The Stretch Four is Dead - Long Live the Switch Four

By Keith Allison [CC-BY-SA-2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

Trevor Crippen analyzes the power forward position in the NBA. See RotoBaller for other fantasy basketball strategy, draft rankings, and sleepers.

The NBA Finals are a Funeral for the No-D Stretch Four

Whoever ends up winning in Sunday's Game 7 of the NBA Finals, there's one lesson to be taken from these Finals. Slow-footed, three-point shooting big men who are minuses on defense, like the Cavaliers' Kevin Love and Channing Frye, might be exciting floor-spacing options who can help run up the score against bad teams in the regular season. But against good teams like Golden State, they become a non-factor (at best) because they can't add enough on offense to make up for their defense. It's ironic, but the Warriors, a team most famous for embracing the power of the three point shot in stretching the floor, might be responsible for killing off the concept of the traditional slow-footed, floor-spacing stretch four.

Consider the way the Warriors have built their team -- there's not a slow-footed big stretch four in sight. The closest thing they have to one is Marreese Speights (who never met a shot he didn't like) and he's basically exclusively used at center by the Warriors and has been buried on the bench in the playoffs in favor of more traditional defense/rebounding big men like Andrew Bogut, Festus Ezeli, and Anderson Varejao (if the Warriors even play a big man at all).

Meanwhile, consider the opposition. The Cavaliers stocked up on guys to use as stretch fours, because they thought that would be the answer to the Warriors. But Channing Frye has turned into a nightly DNP-CD even as Kevin Love continues to be a running punchline. It turns out the answer to the Warriors has actually been a combination of playing old man Richard Jefferson and having LeBron James transform from the mild-mannered Bruce Banner of the first four games into the Incredible Hulk he's been in games five and six (you won't like him when he's angry).

 

Who is the Modern Four?

So if slow stretch fours are starting to lose their place in the NBA, who is taking their place? I just mentioned the 35-year-old Jefferson, who has been enjoying a career renaissance in these Finals. He's a bigger wing (6'7", 233) who can rebound well, plausibly defend power forwards and wings, and shoot and pass well enough not to bog up the offense. With him on the floor instead of Love, the Cavs have clearly been a much better team, and it really says a lot that even the old and busted version of this sort of player has been more relevant than the best possible version of the stretch four in Love.

The Warriors employ rich man's version of that sort of versatility on both sides of the ball in Draymond Green. When the Warriors play Green at center in their small-ball lineups, Harrison Barnes brings a younger version of what Jefferson does. Before he lost the ability to make a basket, Barnes was having himself a nice Finals in that role. But the best possible answer at the four in this series has been LeBron, who can combine the ability to defend multiple positions and provide rim protection alongside his myriad of offensive contributions to allow the rest of the team to play smaller and get away with it.

What do all of those "fours" have in common? None of them can be classified as pure power forwards. They can all play and defend different positions, allowing them to switch on defense and making it easier for other players to fit around them. Players like these -- "tweener" big men with the speed and skills to defend 1-5 like LeBron or Draymond and larger wings who can plausibly guard power forwards like Barnes and Jefferson -- are something I've decided to call "switch fours."  They allow you to space the offense with a combination of their general skills as passers and shooters, while they don't give up defense like stretch fours because they can make up for some size-mismatches with their athleticism and versatility.

The fact that these are the guys having success at the four in the Finals while guys like Love and Frye so visibly fail is something to consider as we try to project the NBA going forward. Other teams are sure to be noticing the same things. It's going to be interesting to watch what happens in the trade market (where Love's value has hit an all-time low), in free agency (where Ryan Anderson will be testing the market value of the all-offense, no-defense stretch four), and in the NBA draft (where Marquette's Henry Ellenson is projected to go somewhere in the lottery with a game that highly resembles that of Kevin Love).

This isn't to say the power forward position will be completely killed off and everyone will go small. But it's going to affect the type of guys who are going to get reliable minutes in the league. If you're not an all-timer like Dirk Nowitzki, you're going to need to be to do more than stretch the floor to play at the four in this league, especially as big men who can shoot become less and less rare. You'll need to be able to protect the rim like Serge Ibaka or Kristaps Porzingis, or be able to chase guys around on the perimeter (a skill that, along with his rebounding, has single-handedly kept Tristan Thompson on the floor for the Cavs).  Scouts see the potential for both of those defensive skills in international draft prospect Dragan Bender. This is why he's talked about as a stretch four who could go 3rd overall in the draft despite barely seeing the court as an 18 year old for Maccabi Tel Aviv over the past year.

 

What Does This Mean in the Fantasy Game?

When you're planning out your fantasy draft this season, keep this in the back of your head when considering a shooting big man. The cat's out of the bag. These bad defense guys are only going to get more and more exposed as the league plays faster and takes more threes. There's considerable downside for them to get played off the court at times. Don't overrate the value of rookies with this skillset coming out of the draft. Don't get your hopes up about the upside of guys like Ryan Anderson getting a ton of minutes unless he ends up on another terrible team that doesn't care about defense like New Orleans. And while Kevin Love's value will increase if he can into a situation where he can play more of a primary role, don't assume he'll return to being full-on Minnesota Kevin Love.

Meanwhile, keep an eye out for the types of "switch fours" who might be able to make a difference in the right role. Jae Crowder is an example of the kind of guy who came out of nowhere into NBA prominence because he could take on this kind of role. When you're trying to find a true sleeper in fantasy leagues for next season, you should be looking for guys like Crowder who can be the next great switch four. An example of a lesser-known guy I like in that role is James Ennis of the Pelicans -- he's always been a great athlete, he's a bigger wing (6'7", 210) who can chase guys around on the perimeter but is still strong enough to hang with bigger guys, and he's started to show he's developed a decent long range shot, hitting 48% from three in a cup of coffee as a starter down the stretch with the Pelicans. With Ryan Anderson an unrestricted free agent and a dearth of decent wings in New Orleans, Ennis seems primed to take on a solid role in New Orleans as a SF who can play some small ball four.

As for dynasty and keeper league owners eying next week's NBA draft, think about guys in the draft who could conceivably be switch fours. At the top of the draft, Brandon Ingram certainly fits the bill. While I threw some cold water on Marquese Chriss in a prior piece, I can see what NBA teams see in him, and why teams would see him as worth taking a chance on in the lottery.  If he can learn how to play basketball, he could fit the role of being the type of big guy who could both passably shoot threes and be able to chase guys around the perimeter. Baylor's Taurean Prince is another guy who'll go in the first round as an athletic 6'8" wing who can guard bigger players. I think he'll go a lot higher than most draft boards currently show, as teams covet a player who can fill exactly this role.

It's time to switch your mindset when it comes to the PF position in the NBA. Sell on stretch fours before the market crashes and start buying stock in the switch four.

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

GG Jackson II

Out on Friday
Marcus Smart

Rejoins Lakers Lineup
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Returns Against Grizzlies
Jalen Suggs

to Return to Magic Lineup Saturday
Anthony Davis

to Miss at Least Two Games
Guerschon Yabusele

Available Friday
Mitchell Robinson

Won't Have Minutes Restriction Friday
Karl-Anthony Towns

Ready to Face Bulls
Connor Brown

Considered Questionable for Saturday
Malik Monk

Won't Suit Up on Saturday
Gleyber Torres

Undergoes Sports-Hernia Surgery
Dylan Strome

Remains Out Friday
Elias Lindholm

to Miss Several Weeks
Donovan Mitchell

Unavailable For Friday's Matchup With Raptors
Jarrett Allen

Won't Play on Friday Night
Kaapo Kakko

Could Be an Option Saturday
Gustav Nyquist

Ruled Out for Saturday
Bo Bichette

Not Expecting to Need Offseason Knee Surgery
William Nylander

Considered a Game-Time Call for Saturday
Chris Kreider

Returning to Ducks Lineup Friday
Obi Toppin

Will Undergo Foot Surgery on Monday
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Questionable For Matchup Versus Sacramento
Joel Embiid

To Remain On Minutes Restriction On Friday
Amen Thompson

Fourth-Year Option Picked Up on Friday
LaMelo Ball

Questionable For Saturday's Game
Nico Collins

Officially Cleared to Face Broncos on Sunday
Jalen Williams

Undergoes Follow-Up Procedure, Will Miss More Time
Brock Purdy

Questionable to Play, but Won't Start in Week 9
T.J. McConnell

Out of Action on Friday
Travis Hunter

ACL is Intact
Cleveland Cavaliers

Chris Livingston Reaches Two-Way Deal With Cleveland
Brandon Miller

Fourth-Year Option Picked Up on Friday
Mitchell Robinson

Returning To Starting Lineup On Friday
Alvin Kamara

Questionable for Week 9, Trending Toward Playing
George Springer

Back in Leadoff Spot for Game 6 of World Series
Michael Penix Jr.

Not Listed on Injury Report For Week 9
Drake London

Practices in Full on Friday, Will Play in Week 9
Puka Nacua

Officially Cleared to Return in Week 9
D'Andre Swift

Ruled Out for Week 9 Due to Groin Injury
Rico Dowdle

Will "Start and Get the Bulk of the Carries" in Week 9
Isiah Pacheco

Ruled Out for Sunday
Trey Hendrickson

Doubtful vs Bears
Calvin Ridley

Officially Ruled Out for Week 9
Rhamondre Stevenson

Officially Ruled Out for Week 9
Joe Flacco

Questionable to Play Against Bears
Travis Hunter

to Miss the Rest of the Season?
Bryce Young

Good to Go for Week 9
Jayden Daniels

Will Start on Sunday Night Against Seattle
David Onama

Set For UFC Vegas 110 Main Event
Steve Garcia

Returns At UFC Vegas 110
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Set For Co-Main Event
Ante Delija

In Search For His Second UFC Win
Miami Dolphins

Chris Grier Out as Dolphins GM, Mike McDaniel Safe for Now
Themba Gorimbo

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 110
Brian Thomas Jr.

Standing Out at Practice
Jeremiah Wells

Looks To Return To The Win Column
Yadier del Valle

Looks To Remain Undefeated
CFB

Arizona State Quarterback Sam Leavitt Out for the Season
Travis Hunter

Will Be Placed on Injured Reserve After Suffering Knee Injury
Isaac Dulgarian

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Daniel Frunza

Looks For His First UFC Win
Charles Radtke

Looks To Bounce Back
Allan Nascimento

Set To Open Up UFC Vegas 110 Main Card
Cody Durden

In Dire Need Of Victory
Puka Nacua

Says He'll Return in Week 9
Jason Dickinson

Aggravates Shoulder Injury Thursday
Gustav Nyquist

Sustains Injury in Thusday's Win
Sean Couturier

Injured Versus Predators
Elias Lindholm

Hurt Against Sabres
Seth Jarvis

Makes Early Exit Thursday
Brock Boeser

Exits Win Early
Jordan Harris

to Miss Two Months After Ankle Surgery
Ilya Mikheyev

a Game-Time Call Thursday
Samuel Ersson

Lands on Injured Reserve
Alexander Romanov

Returns to Action Thursday
Roope Hintz

Still Out Thursday
George Springer

"Strong Possibility" That George Springer Returns in Game 6 of World Series
Matt Duchene

Remains Sidelined Thursday
Martin Necas

Inks Eight-Year Extension With Avalanche
Mathew Barzal

Scratched on Thursday for Disciplinary Reasons
Bryce Miller

Not Expected to Need Elbow Surgery
Washington Nationals

Nationals Finalizing a Deal to Hire Blake Butera as Next Manager
CFB

Arch Manning Listed as Questionable for Vanderbilt Matchup
CFB

Arion Carter Listed as Questionable Ahead of Oklahoma Matchup
Minnesota Twins

Twins Name Derek Shelton as Their New Manager
CFB

Jordyn Tyson Questionable for Iowa State Matchup with Hamstring Injury
George Springer

Not in the Lineup for Game 4 of World Series
George Springer

Pulled Early in Game 3 With Side Injury
Baltimore Orioles

Orioles Finalizing Deal to Hire Craig Albernaz as the Next Manager
William Byron

Dominates at Martinsville and Advances to the Championship Round
Kyle Larson

Advances to the Championship Round After Top-Five Finish
Ryan Blaney

Falls Short of the Victory and Title Contention at Martinsville
Chase Elliott

Eliminated From 2025 Title Contention Despite Strong Martinsville Run
CFB

Behren Morton Will Start Against Kansas State
CFB

Lane Kiffin Says Money Won't Impact his Decision-Making
CFB

Arch Manning in Concussion Protocol, Misses Practice Monday
Christopher Bell

Eliminated From Championship 4 After a Too Conservative Season
Joey Logano

Lack of Championship-Caliber Speed Leads to Elimination
Chase Briscoe

Finishes Last at Martinsville
Denny Hamlin

Don't Think Denny Hamlin's Engine Failure Affects his Championship Prospects
Ciryl Gane

Fight With Tom Aspinall Ends In No-Contest
Ciryl Gane

Tom Aspinall Vs. Ciryl Gane Ends in No-Contest
Virna Jandiroba

Suffers Unanimous-Decision Loss
Mackenzie Dern

Wins Vacant Strawweight Title
Mario Bautista

Gets Outclassed
Umar Nurmagomedov

Gets Back In The Win Column
Jailton Almeida

Drops Decision
Alexander Volkov

Wins Split Decision At UFC 321
Azamat Murzakanov

Remains Undefeated
Chris Buescher

Is Chris Buescher A Playable DFS option for Martinsville?
Ryan Preece

is an Intriguing DFS Option For Martinsville
Daniel Suarez

May be Worth Rostering in DFS for Martinsville
Austin Dillon

Is Austin Dillon Worth Rostering in DFS for Martinsville This week?
Christopher Bell

Kyle Larson Should Advance to Championship 4
Joey Logano

Don't Expect Joey Logano to Significantly Contend for Championship 4
William Byron

A DFS Must-Start Due to Lap-Leader Points
Ross Chastain

Hail Melon Nostalgia Masks Ross Chastain's Martinsville Mediocrity
Josh Berry

a Top Contender for DFS Place-Differential Points
Brad Keselowski

an Intriguing Martinsville Option
Shane Van Gisbergen

Now Competent on Ovals, but Don't Start Him Here
Kyle Busch

Qualifies Well but Probably Won't Have Staying Power
Carson Hocevar

Lack of Finesse Makes Him a Risky Martinsville Pick

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP