X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

The Stretch Four is Dead - Long Live the Switch Four

By Keith Allison [CC-BY-SA-2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

Trevor Crippen analyzes the power forward position in the NBA. See RotoBaller for other fantasy basketball strategy, draft rankings, and sleepers.

The NBA Finals are a Funeral for the No-D Stretch Four

Whoever ends up winning in Sunday's Game 7 of the NBA Finals, there's one lesson to be taken from these Finals. Slow-footed, three-point shooting big men who are minuses on defense, like the Cavaliers' Kevin Love and Channing Frye, might be exciting floor-spacing options who can help run up the score against bad teams in the regular season. But against good teams like Golden State, they become a non-factor (at best) because they can't add enough on offense to make up for their defense. It's ironic, but the Warriors, a team most famous for embracing the power of the three point shot in stretching the floor, might be responsible for killing off the concept of the traditional slow-footed, floor-spacing stretch four.

Consider the way the Warriors have built their team -- there's not a slow-footed big stretch four in sight. The closest thing they have to one is Marreese Speights (who never met a shot he didn't like) and he's basically exclusively used at center by the Warriors and has been buried on the bench in the playoffs in favor of more traditional defense/rebounding big men like Andrew Bogut, Festus Ezeli, and Anderson Varejao (if the Warriors even play a big man at all).

Meanwhile, consider the opposition. The Cavaliers stocked up on guys to use as stretch fours, because they thought that would be the answer to the Warriors. But Channing Frye has turned into a nightly DNP-CD even as Kevin Love continues to be a running punchline. It turns out the answer to the Warriors has actually been a combination of playing old man Richard Jefferson and having LeBron James transform from the mild-mannered Bruce Banner of the first four games into the Incredible Hulk he's been in games five and six (you won't like him when he's angry).

 

Who is the Modern Four?

So if slow stretch fours are starting to lose their place in the NBA, who is taking their place? I just mentioned the 35-year-old Jefferson, who has been enjoying a career renaissance in these Finals. He's a bigger wing (6'7", 233) who can rebound well, plausibly defend power forwards and wings, and shoot and pass well enough not to bog up the offense. With him on the floor instead of Love, the Cavs have clearly been a much better team, and it really says a lot that even the old and busted version of this sort of player has been more relevant than the best possible version of the stretch four in Love.

The Warriors employ rich man's version of that sort of versatility on both sides of the ball in Draymond Green. When the Warriors play Green at center in their small-ball lineups, Harrison Barnes brings a younger version of what Jefferson does. Before he lost the ability to make a basket, Barnes was having himself a nice Finals in that role. But the best possible answer at the four in this series has been LeBron, who can combine the ability to defend multiple positions and provide rim protection alongside his myriad of offensive contributions to allow the rest of the team to play smaller and get away with it.

What do all of those "fours" have in common? None of them can be classified as pure power forwards. They can all play and defend different positions, allowing them to switch on defense and making it easier for other players to fit around them. Players like these -- "tweener" big men with the speed and skills to defend 1-5 like LeBron or Draymond and larger wings who can plausibly guard power forwards like Barnes and Jefferson -- are something I've decided to call "switch fours."  They allow you to space the offense with a combination of their general skills as passers and shooters, while they don't give up defense like stretch fours because they can make up for some size-mismatches with their athleticism and versatility.

The fact that these are the guys having success at the four in the Finals while guys like Love and Frye so visibly fail is something to consider as we try to project the NBA going forward. Other teams are sure to be noticing the same things. It's going to be interesting to watch what happens in the trade market (where Love's value has hit an all-time low), in free agency (where Ryan Anderson will be testing the market value of the all-offense, no-defense stretch four), and in the NBA draft (where Marquette's Henry Ellenson is projected to go somewhere in the lottery with a game that highly resembles that of Kevin Love).

This isn't to say the power forward position will be completely killed off and everyone will go small. But it's going to affect the type of guys who are going to get reliable minutes in the league. If you're not an all-timer like Dirk Nowitzki, you're going to need to be to do more than stretch the floor to play at the four in this league, especially as big men who can shoot become less and less rare. You'll need to be able to protect the rim like Serge Ibaka or Kristaps Porzingis, or be able to chase guys around on the perimeter (a skill that, along with his rebounding, has single-handedly kept Tristan Thompson on the floor for the Cavs).  Scouts see the potential for both of those defensive skills in international draft prospect Dragan Bender. This is why he's talked about as a stretch four who could go 3rd overall in the draft despite barely seeing the court as an 18 year old for Maccabi Tel Aviv over the past year.

 

What Does This Mean in the Fantasy Game?

When you're planning out your fantasy draft this season, keep this in the back of your head when considering a shooting big man. The cat's out of the bag. These bad defense guys are only going to get more and more exposed as the league plays faster and takes more threes. There's considerable downside for them to get played off the court at times. Don't overrate the value of rookies with this skillset coming out of the draft. Don't get your hopes up about the upside of guys like Ryan Anderson getting a ton of minutes unless he ends up on another terrible team that doesn't care about defense like New Orleans. And while Kevin Love's value will increase if he can into a situation where he can play more of a primary role, don't assume he'll return to being full-on Minnesota Kevin Love.

Meanwhile, keep an eye out for the types of "switch fours" who might be able to make a difference in the right role. Jae Crowder is an example of the kind of guy who came out of nowhere into NBA prominence because he could take on this kind of role. When you're trying to find a true sleeper in fantasy leagues for next season, you should be looking for guys like Crowder who can be the next great switch four. An example of a lesser-known guy I like in that role is James Ennis of the Pelicans -- he's always been a great athlete, he's a bigger wing (6'7", 210) who can chase guys around on the perimeter but is still strong enough to hang with bigger guys, and he's started to show he's developed a decent long range shot, hitting 48% from three in a cup of coffee as a starter down the stretch with the Pelicans. With Ryan Anderson an unrestricted free agent and a dearth of decent wings in New Orleans, Ennis seems primed to take on a solid role in New Orleans as a SF who can play some small ball four.

As for dynasty and keeper league owners eying next week's NBA draft, think about guys in the draft who could conceivably be switch fours. At the top of the draft, Brandon Ingram certainly fits the bill. While I threw some cold water on Marquese Chriss in a prior piece, I can see what NBA teams see in him, and why teams would see him as worth taking a chance on in the lottery.  If he can learn how to play basketball, he could fit the role of being the type of big guy who could both passably shoot threes and be able to chase guys around the perimeter. Baylor's Taurean Prince is another guy who'll go in the first round as an athletic 6'8" wing who can guard bigger players. I think he'll go a lot higher than most draft boards currently show, as teams covet a player who can fill exactly this role.

It's time to switch your mindset when it comes to the PF position in the NBA. Sell on stretch fours before the market crashes and start buying stock in the switch four.

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Mark Hubbard

Primed for a Bounce-Back Week in Bermuda
Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Questionable with Back Spasms
Jameis Winston

Elevated to No. 2 QB, Expected to Start if Jaxson Dart Can't Go
Dereck Lively II

Questionable with Knee Sprain
Boone Jenner

Exits Win With Upper-Body Injury
Lee Hodges

Searching for a Spark in Bermuda
Bilal Coulibaly

Out with Calf Contusion
Frederik Andersen

Pulled by Concussion Spotter
Valeri Nichushkin

Sustains Lower-Body Injury in Win
Jaylon Tyson

Out with Concussion
Thatcher Demko

Suffers Lower-Body Injury Tuesday
Tobias Harris

Out on Wednesday
Thomas Chabot

Injured Versus Stars
Anthony Stolarz

Exits Early Tuesday
Auston Matthews

Hurt in Tuesday's Loss
Bam Adebayo

Still Out Wednesday
Cooper Flagg

Good to Go Wednesday
Anthony Davis

Questionable to Suit Up Wednesday
Evan Mobley

Resting on Wednesday
Darius Garland

Won't Play on Wednesday
Donovan Mitchell

Sits Out Wednesday's Game
Stephen Vogt

Wins Back-to-Back AL Manager of the Year Honors
Milwaukee Brewers

Pat Murphy Named NL Manager of the Year Again
Patrick Fishburn

Looking to Bounce Back in Bermuda
Eric Cole

Carrying Momentum into Bermuda
Isaiah Stewart

Doubtful Versus the Bulls
Ausar Thompson

Out Again on Wednesday
Jalen Duren

Expected to Play on Wednesday Night
Cade Cunningham

Questionable Versus Chicago
Tommy Edman

to Have Ankle Surgery Next Week
Ketel Marte

Diamondbacks Unlikely to Trade Ketel Marte
Roman Anthony

to Have a Normal Offseason
Jarren Duran

Red Sox Think Jarren Duran Needs a Fresh Start
MacKenzie Gore

Nationals Expected to Trade MacKenzie Gore?
Sahith Theegala

Finishes Tied for 27th at Bank of Utah Championship
Sam Stevens

Finishes Tied for 36th at Baycurrent Classic
Patrick Rodgers

Finishes Tied For Sixth at World Wide Technology Championship
Luke List

Finishes 75th at World Wide Technology Championship
Ben Kohles

Finishes Tied for 63rd at World Wide Technology Championship
PGA

Nico Echavarria Finishes Tied for 14th at World Wide Technology Championship
Luke Clanton

Finishes Tied for 46th at World Wide Technology Championship
Blades Brown

Finishes Tied for 18th at Korn Ferry Tour Championship
Victor Hedman

Iffy for Wednesday
Devin Vassell

Good to Go for Wednesday
Ryan McDonagh

to Sit Out "a Few Games"
Josh Giddey

Is Questionable Wednesday Against the Pistons
Charlie McAvoy

Back in Action Tuesday
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Listed as Questionable for Wednesday
Scott Laughton

Unavailable Tuesday
LaMelo Ball

Ruled Out for Wednesday
Ryan Strome

Won't Play Tuesday
TreVeyon Henderson

Upgrades to Full Practice Participation
Shayne Gostisbehere

Ready to Face Capitals
Taylor Hendricks

Will Miss a Second Straight Game on Tuesday
Thatcher Demko

Returns to Canucks Crease Tuesday
Devin Carter

Ruled Out Tuesday Against Denver
Justin Tucker

Suspension Lifted, Eligible to Sign With Any Team
J.K. Dobbins

Could Land on Injured Reserve
Travis Hunter

Undergoes Season-Ending Knee Surgery
Tarik Skubal

Tigers Unlikely to Trade Tarik Skubal
Joe Burrow

Week 14 a Realistic Return Date for Joe Burrow?
Framber Valdez

Cubs Could Land Framber Valdez in Free Agency
Jaylen Warren

to See More Touches?
Deshaun Watson

Browns Not Opening Deshaun Watson's 21-Day Practice Window
Jake Walman

Plays Key Role in Comeback Victory
Alexis Lafrenière

Alexis Lafreniere Bags Three Points in Monday's Win
Matthew Wood

Scores First Career Hat Trick at MSG
Brad Marchand

Stays Hot in Vegas
William Eklund

Could Be an Option Tuesday
Nick Leddy

Available on Tuesday
Romeo Doubs

Questionable to Return in Week 10 Due to Chest Injury
Sandy Alcantara

Marlins Ready to Trade Sandy Alcantara
Ketel Marte

Diamondbacks Motivated to Move Ketel Marte
Hunter Greene

Reds to Listen to Offers on Hunter Greene
Paul Skenes

Pirates Won't Trade Paul Skenes
Joe Burrow

Could Return for Thanksgiving Game
Pete Alonso

Mets Expected to Let Pete Alonso Walk in Free Agency
Kyle Tucker

to Sign With Yankees, Blue Jays, or Dodgers
Drake Baldwin

Named NL Rookie of the Year
Kyle Hendricks

Hanging Up his Cleats After 12 Seasons
Freddy Peralta

Red Sox Linked to Freddy Peralta
Nick Kurtz

Named AL Rookie of the Year
Brandon Aiyuk

49ers Won't Open Brandon Aiyuk's Practice Window This Week
Matthew Golden

Officially Out Against Eagles
TreVeyon Henderson

on Week 11 Injury Report With Knee Injury
Matthew Golden

Not Expected to Play on Monday Night
Casey Mittelstadt

Out Week-to-Week
Garrett Wilson

Expected to Miss 3-4 Weeks With Knee Sprain
Isiah Pacheco

May Not be Ready to Return in Week 11
Dalton Kincaid

Labeled Week-to-Week With Hamstring Injury
Oronde Gadsden

Diagnosed With Bruised Quad, Considered "Day-to-Day"
Rashod Bateman

Dealing With a Sprained Ankle
Jayden Daniels

Won't Travel to Madrid in Week 11
Terry McLaurin

Won't Play in Week 11
CFB

Nic Anderson Could Return for LSU this Season
Emmanuel Clase

Indicted on Gambling Charges, Facing 65 Years in Prison
Randy Brown

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
Gabriel Bonfim

Extends His Win Streak
Joseph Morales

Gets First-Round Submission Win
Matt Schnell

Suffers First-Round Submission Loss
Muslim Salikhov

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Uros Medic

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Ismael Bonfim

Loses Back-to-Back Fights
Chris Padilla

Remains Unbeaten In The UFC
Marco Tulio

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Christian Leroy Duncan

Scores Second-Round Knockout Victory
Aaron Judge

Headlines AL Silver Slugger Award Winners
Randy Brown

Set For UFC Vegas 111 Main Event
Gabriel Bonfim

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Joseph Morales

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 111
Matt Schnell

Set For UFC Vegas 111 Co-Main Event
Uros Medic

Aims To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Muslim Salikhov

Looks For His Fourth Consecutive Win
Chris Padilla

Looks To Remain Unbeaten In The UFC
Ismael Bonfim

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Marco Tulio

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Christian Leroy Duncan

Set To Open Up UFC Vegas 111 Main Card
CFB

Luke Fickell Will Return as Wisconsin's Head Coach in 2026

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP