June 23, 2024

Kyle Busch, fresh off a disappointing trip to Iowa, will look to bounce back on Sunday when he starts 30th in the USA Today 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway. Heading into the weekend, Kyle Busch is perhaps the most challenging driver to project as there are two different narratives for the future Hall-of-Famer at Loudon. On the one hand, you have a driver that has 32 starts, three wins, and 11 top-five finishes, all of which are either the most or tied for the most of any active driver in the Cup Series today at this track. While these figures would typically be arguments for why Busch is a core play this weekend, we also need to be mindful of how dreadful he has looked here in recent years. In three of the last four races, the Richard Childress Racing star has three DNFs, two of which came within the first 20 laps of the race. In the two races here in the Next Gen car, the two-time Cup Series champion is averaging just 7.73 DraftKings points, which is the fourth worst among full-time drivers. So now the question becomes, which Kyle Busch will we see this weekend? Will we see the one who dominated at this venue for so long, or will we see the driver who has struggled to keep his car on the track? Although it is typically best to stick to data and trends when answering these types of questions there is also something to be said for someone being due. Considering Busch has had such bad luck in three of the last four races at this track, and given that he had a mechanical issue as recently as last weekend, KFB is due for luck to swing his way. As a driver who is clearly one of the all-time greats, one who has had tremendous success at this track, and one who is priced at just $7,700 on DraftKings despite starting 30th, the No. 8 should be heavily targeted this weekend, someone you will want to have plenty of exposure to in DFS.--Adam Erhardt - RotoBaller
Source: DriverAverages.com