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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Tuesday, May 2nd 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Reds vs. Padres
The Reds take on the Padres on Tuesday, May 2nd 2023 at PETCO Park, San Diego. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds (12-17) vs. San Diego Padres (16-14)
- Date: Tuesday, May 2nd 2023
- Time: 9:40 ET
- Venue: PETCO Park, San Diego
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Reds vs. Padres
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Cincinnati Reds - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Cincinnati Reds take on the San Diego hoping to improve on their record of just 12-17, placing them 4th in the NL Central. Cincinnati will be looking to pick things up on the road, as they have gone just 3-11 to start the season.
Despite being favored eight times in 29 games, Cincinnati has managed to maintain an above .500 record against the runline. The team's over/under record comes in at 16-13 with an average betting line of 9.
Cincinnati pitcher Graham Ashcraft gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 2-0. Graham Ashcraft heads into action with an ERA of just 2.10. On the season, he has held opposing hitters to a batting average of just .192. Opposing hitters have gone deep one time against Graham Ashcraft, who has a WOBA allowed of .268. Ashcraft has a WHIP of 1.17, with 15 walks allowed.
Cincinnati's offense enters play with the 18th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.4 runs per game. So far, the Reds have combined for a team batting average of .247, placing them 16th in the league. In terms of home runs, the team is struggling to generate power at just 20 deep shots (26th). To date, Cincinnati has the MLB's 12th-rated OBP, sitting at .327.
San Diego Padres - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 16-14, the Cincinnati Reds will host the Cincinnati Reds, currently ranked 3rd in the NL West. San Diego will be looking to move above .500 at home, as they are currently 8-8 at PETCO Park.
San Diego has been favored in 20 out of 30 games and covered the runline exactly half of them (15-15). The team's over/under record comes in at 13-15 with an average betting line of 9.
Taking the mound for San Diego is Michael Wacha. Heading into play, he has a mark of 2-1. Michael Wacha will be looking to bring down an ERA of 6.75. His batting average allowed of .311 is high compared to other pitchers. Michael Wacha has given up four home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .396. With a total of seven walks, Wacha has a WHIP of 1.58.
San Diego's offense comes into this game averaging 4.3 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. Through 30 games, the Padres have the 22nd-ranked batting average at .235. In total, the team has hit 36 home runs (10th), making up for their mediocre batting average. Throughout the season, San Diego is ranked 17th in OBP (.320).
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Reds vs. Padres
Heading into today's matchup between San Diego and Cincinnati, the Padres are the betting favorite at -189 on the moneyline. San Diego's implied win probability sits at 65.4%. Led by a strong offensive performance, the MLB predictive model recommends taking the Padres on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Padres Moneyline
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