Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

MLB DFS Prop Picks for 8/23/19 - Monkey Knife Fight


One of the interesting aspects of the ups and downs that come with a long Major League Baseball season is that production tends to fluctuate. For some players, their greatness lies in their consistency. Mike Trout, for example, has a .448 on-base percentage in August, which is excellent, yet only slightly better than the .438 on-base percentage that he posted through the end of July.

The leaders in on-base percentage this month include: Alex Bregman (.488), Jorge Soler (.486), Carlos Santana (.473), Michael Brantley (.468), J.D. Martinez (.464), Adam Eaton (.463), Anthony Rizzo (.463), Giovanny Urshela (.459), Trevor Story (.455), and Josh Donaldson (.452). Some of these players are OBP beasts and the numbers are not unexpected. On the other hand, there are a few players here, like Soler and Urshela, who have had unexpected breakout seasons and a few more, like Eaton and Donaldson, are surging late.

Riding the hot hand is one factor to consider when making your picks on Monkey Knife Fight, and here are some more angles to consider for Friday's Star Shootout MLB prop picks.

Editor's Note: Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight have released the best, most fun, fastest growing DFS props game! It's super simple to play and win real money. Just choose your MLB, NBA, NHL or PGA game, and make your picks! Get a 100% instant deposit bonus up to $50 using promo code: BALLER. That's $50 for free - don't miss out!

Play Now!

 

STAR SHOOTOUT - MAIN

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Jacob deGrom UNDER 8.5 STRIKEOUTS – As brilliant as deGrom has been over the past couple of seasons, he’s averaging 7.6 strikeouts per home start this season and faces a Braves team that has a relatively low road strikeout rate (22.2%), which is fifth best in the National League. Furthermore, deGrom has managed nine or more strikeouts in three of 12 home starts.

Alex Bregman UNDER 2.5 HITS + WALKS – The Astros third baseman is awesome and is facing 21-year-old Angels starting pitcher Jose Suarez, but this is a really big number to cover. Bregman has a .390 on-base percentage at home and a .384 OBP against left-handed starters, both of which are very good, neither of which says you should expect him to reach base three times! Bregman has recorded at least three hits plus walks in 30 of 123 games this season so even with favorable circumstances – at home against an overmatched rookie pitcher – it’s a lot to ask.

Christian Yelich OVER 1.5 TOTAL BASES – Okay, time for some positivity. Yelich is slugging .794 at home and .765 against right-handed starting pitchers. Diamondbacks starting pitcher Merrill Kelly is allowing a slugging percentage of .468 on the road, which doesn’t indicate that he’s going to be able to keep Yelich under wraps.

RAPID FIRE

Bryce Harper -0.5 runs + RBI vs. Dexter Fowler – Harper is hot, with 36 runs plus RBI and a 1.121 OPS in his past 15 games and faces a Marlins team that is sending a pitcher, Hector Noesi, to the mound with a 9.39 ERA in his first three MLB starts. Fowler has returned to relevance and gets a favorable matchup, too, facing Rockies rookie starting pitcher Peter Lambert, who has a 6.55 ERA. In his past 15 games, as productive as he’s been, Fowler has 23 runs plus RBI, so the edge still goes to Harper.

Bryce Harper +0.5 hits + walks vs. Mike Trout – Trout is relentlessly great and has a .451 on-base percentage in his past 20 games, but Harper has a .385 OBP in his past 15 games and, as noted, has a good matchup in Miami. At least it’s good enough to like Harper as the underdog.

George Springer +0.5 hits + walks vs. Jose Altuve – Springer is solid, with a .374 home on-base percentage and .367 OBP against left-handed starters. Altuve has a .365 on-base percentage at home but his advantage in this matchup would figure to come from his .420 OBP against left-handed starters. That’s not enough to prefer the favorite in this matchup, however.

STAR SHOOTOUT - LATE

View Contest

OVER/UNDERS

Lance Lynn OVER 7.5 STRIKEOUTS – The Rangers’ surprising ace is putting up 7.8 strikeouts per road start and faces a White Sox lineup that is among the worst at making contact, with a home strikeout rate of 25.1%. Lynn has also recorded at least eight strikeouts in nine of 13 road starts.

Jack Flaherty OVER 6.5 STRIKEOUTS – Not only does the Cardinals starter average seven strikeouts per home start but he gets to face a Rockies team that is abysmal on the road, striking out 26.4% of the time, the worst mark in the National League.

Zack Greinke UNDER 5.5 STRIKEOUTS – As effective as the veteran starter has been this season, he’s not especially overpowering, averaging 5.8 strikeouts per home start and recording 14 strikeouts in his first three starts for the Astros. The biggest issue is that Greinke is facing an Angels lineup that makes contact, striking out just 19.2% of the time on the road, the second-best mark in baseball (behind only the Astros).

Dylan Cease OVER 5.5 STRIKEOUTS – The White Sox rookie has had some ups and downs but is showing promise, and that includes recording at least six strikeouts in three of his past four starts. More importantly, though, he gets to face a Rangers team that has the highest road strikeout rate (27.7%) in baseball.

RAPID FIRE

Ketel Marte +0.5 total bases vs. Charlie Blackmon – Blackmon is much more dominant at home, slugging .430 on the road, and gets a difficult matchup against Cardinals starting pitcher Jack Flaherty. Marte, on the other hand, is slugging .558 on the road and goes against Brewers starting pitcher Jordan Lyles. That makes him a good value underdog.

 

 

More 2019 Fantasy Baseball Advice




More Recent Articles

 

Wide Receiver Matchups To Target In Week 14

In Week 13, Davante Adams and Tyreek Hill were the high-end options that had great matchups. Adams had a huge two-touchdown game while Hill only came up with 55 scoreless yards, falling victim to game flow as the Chiefs led from start to finish, scoring a defensive touchdown in the process. Several of the wide receivers... Read More


Fantasy Football Starts and Sits: Matchups Analysis for Week 14

Welcome to our Week 14 matchup analysis and start/sit column for fantasy football. We'll be covering every single contest from the Sunday slate in one convenient location, helping you make the best decisions for your fantasy lineups. Be sure to check back regularly because this article will be updated as news comes in regarding injuries and other... Read More


Monday Night Fantasy Football Starts/Sits - Week 14

Finally, we had a good fantasy matchup last week. And now, as punishment, we get this. The Eagles against the Giants is a good rivalry game. But for fantasy? Not so much. Even key players Saquon Barkley and Carson Wentz have been severely disappointing in 2019. The game is not going to be something to... Read More


Playoffs Panic Room? Outlooks for Slumping WRs and RBs

As your fantasy football playoffs open, some of your projected starters have not performed up to expectations in recent weeks. But knowing their track records of production in the past and/or earlier this year, it may be hard to sit them. You want reassurance on some of these suddenly lackluster players before the postseason begins.... Read More


Fantasy Football Playoff RB Handcuffs: Add Them Now!

The fantasy football postseason has begun, so it’s time to re-evaluate your depth, especially at running back. With only three weeks left on most fantasy scoreboards and each matchup possibly being your last, there is no more time for stashing players for potential contributions later. You also cannot waste roster space on guys who will... Read More


Key Starters and Tough Calls - Lineup Spotlights for Week 14

Welcome to Week 14, RotoBallers! Below you will find some of my spotlight plays and tough lineup decisions for the upcoming week of the fantasy football playoffs. These player selections are based on my Premium Weekly Lineup Rankings, available as part of the RotoBaller's NFL Premium Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for a... Read More


Red Zone Usage Risers and Fallers - Week 14

We are at a crucial point in the season. Either your league is in playoff season, or it's just about to begin. Now is the week to get your team in shape before that final push! On a personal note, some of the fallers may have caused me some fantasy pain this season, see if... Read More


QB vs Pass Rush Matchups To Watch - Week 14

Week 14 is here, and the fantasy playoffs are rolling. Some people are on byes for the week which can help if you've got key players in bad matchups, but others are scrapping to keep their season alive. Real teams start at quarterback, and they're pretty important for fantasy as well. Quarterbacks have changed the... Read More


Inside the Tent - Week 14 NFL Injury Insight

At RotoBaller, we can't stress enough the importance of keeping up with injuries and playing your best lineup week after week. Players are going to get injured, that's an unavoidable fact. What's avoidable though is making the wrong roster decisions based on the injuries surrounding your fantasy squad. If you want to dominate your leagues... Read More


Fantasy Football News and Injuries - Running Updates

Below is a quick-hit list of running notes on relevant injuries and player news, including pre-game reports and live in-game updates. Stay tuned for updates all throughout the week and on Sunday morning game day:   Week 14 Le'Veon Bell (illness) has officially been ruled out for this week. Evan Engram and Daniel Jones have been... Read More


Week 14 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More


Fantasy Football IDP Rankings for Week 14 (Top 100)

The fantasy playoffs are here for most of us, so every position matters that much more. IDP spots often become an afterthought or a set-it-and-forget-it situation but it could be that linebacker who has a monster game or that key interception that makes the difference between winning or going home. Look to our streamer suggestions... Read More


Week 14-16 Playoff Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

The playoffs are here, and that means we're going to do things a little differently. I want to take a look at the playoffs as a whole (and in this case we are considering Weeks 14-16) and determine which DSTs you can ride all the way through and which ones you should stream this week.... Read More


Star Players Who Might Miss the Fantasy Playoffs

As we head into the playoff weeks of fantasy football, you'll hear many experts preach (correctly) the need to stash high-upside handcuffs or backups at quarterback or tight end. You'll inevitably hear about looking ahead three weeks for favorable playoff schedules and thinking less about what the player has done up until now or whether... Read More


Week 14 Busts? Players To Consider Avoiding

It's finally here... The fantasy playoffs for most leagues. Hopefully you have a chance to win a fantasy championship in the next few weeks. If you're lucky, you have a first-round bye and won't have to worry about anything this week except for picking out a Christmas tree and setting up all your holiday decorations.... Read More