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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Monday, May 1st 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Braves vs. Mets
The Braves take on the Mets on Monday, May 1st 2023 at Citi Field, New York. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Atlanta Braves (18-9) vs. New York Mets (15-12)
- Date: Monday, May 1st 2023
- Time: 4:40 ET
- Venue: Citi Field, New York
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Braves vs. Mets
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Atlanta Braves - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
At 18-9, the Atlanta Braves travel to take on the New York Mets, ranked 1st in the NL East. When playing away from home, the Braves have been excellent, posting a record of 11-2.
Having been favored in 88.9% of their games, Atlanta has an above .500 record against the runline at 14-13. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 16-10.
Taking the mound for Atlanta is Charlie Morton. Heading into play, he has a mark of 3-2. Runs have been hard to come by against Charlie Morton, as he has an ERA of just 2.76. In his outings, opposing batters are hitting .259 against the right-hander. So far, Morton has given up three home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .326. Morton has a WHIP of 1.40, with 12 walks allowed.
Atlanta enters play averaging 5.1 runs per game, placing them 10th in the MLB. As a team, the Braves are batting a healthy .255, placing them 11th in the league. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above average rate, with 41 home runs (4th). Atlanta's overall OBP of .335 is good for 5th in the league.
New York Mets - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the New York Mets host the Atlanta Braves, they have a record of 15-12, placing them 2nd in the NL East. New York will be looking to move above .500 at home, as they are currently 5-5 at Citi Field.
Despite being the favorite in 19 of their 27 games, New York's record against the runline is only 13-14. The team has an over/under record of 11-15, with an average betting line of 8.
For New York, Tylor Megill gets the start, currently holding a record of 3-1. Coming into play, New York Mets has put together an ERA of 3.96. To date, he has a batting average allowed of .258. Tylor Megill has given up five home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .347. With a total of 12 walks, Megill has a WHIP of 1.48.
Offensively, New York is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 4.5 runs per game. Through 27 games, the Mets have the 20th-ranked batting average at .240. In terms of home runs, New York ranks 21st, with a total of 27 long balls. New York's strong OBP of .332 is 10th best in the league.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Braves vs. Mets
Heading into today's matchup between Atlanta and New York, the Braves are the betting favorite at -111 on the moneyline. Atlanta's implied win probability sits at 52.61%. The MLB predictive model shows the Mets knocking off Atlanta in an upset win. It is recommended to take New York on the moneyline with some positive odds.
Recommended Betting Pick: Mets Moneyline
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