Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Later-Round Outfielders - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values and Targets

Welcome officially to the 2022 fantasy baseball season! Now that an MLB deal is in place, a lot more fantasy drafts will be taking place -- and we're here as always to guide you through it. Once you reach the late rounds of drafts, everyone is looking to draft players with upside that can provide a great return on value. You can afford to start taking a risk or two on a variety of different players, including emerging prospects, overlooked veterans, players returning from injury, or even talented players who may have some playing time concerns. The early rounds are critical and the middle rounds shape the core of your starting squad, but the late rounds are where you have the opportunity to select hidden gems who can play a huge role for your fantasy team.

Today, we're looking at some late-round outfielders for you to consider drafting in your season-long leagues this season. Are their ADPs undervalued? Will they make significant fantasy contributions and become a late-round sleeper draft target that you're going to want to prioritize? Read on to see our take.

Our editors have hand-picked these specific MLB players for your draft prep enjoyment. Normally only available to Premium subscribers, the five outlooks below are meant to give you a taste of the in-depth analysis you receive with our industry-leading 2022 Draft Kit. Be sure to subscribe today and start reading all of our in-depth 2022 player outlooks, and many other premium articles and tools, available exclusively in our 2022 Draft Kit.

Featured Promo: Get any full-season MLB and DFS Premium Pass for 50% off. Exclusive access to our Team Sync platform, Premium articles, daily Matchup Rating projections, 15 lineup tools, DFS cheat sheets, Research Stations, Lineup Optimizers and much more! Sign Up Now!


Dylan Carlson, St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals outfielder Dylan Carlson showed improvement at the plate last season after struggling in 2020. He slashed .266/.343/.437 with 18 home runs, 65 RBI, 79 runs, and two stolen bases over 619 plate appearances last season. The 23-year-old showed an advanced approach at the plate by posting a 0.38 BB: K and demonstrated his ability to lift the ball by increasing his launch angle from 9.3 in 2020 to 15.1 in 2021. Carlson should see an increase in power as his 12.2% HR/FB should improve (17.2% HR/FB in Triple-A), and he finished last season strong by popping three homer runs over his previous six games. He is a switch-hitter who plays good defense and should be in the Cardinals' everyday lineup.

The former first-rounder is projected to his fifth for a potent Cardinals lineup, including Paul GoldschmidtNolan Arenado, and breakout star Tyler O'Neill. Although there should be more power in store for Carlson, Steamer is projecting the switch hitter to mash 20 long balls along with a .251/.330/.423 slash line and a .325 wOBA over 146 games. According to RotoBaller's Expected Draft Values, Carlson's Steamer projection makes him roughly fair value at his current NFBC ADP of 155. The Cardinals outfielder has plenty of upside and is a good bet to surpass his Steamer projections in 2022.

-- Brad Camara - RotoBaller


Avisail Garcia, Miami Marlins

Avisail Garcia was rewarded with a four-year, $53 million contract with the Miami Marlins after posting the best year of his career with the Milwaukee Brewers in 2021. Overall, he slashed .262/.330/.490 with 29 homers, eight steals, 86 RBI, and 68 runs scored over 135 games. The 30-year-old posted a career-high 12.2 barrel %, .515 xSLG (87th percentile), .367 xwOBA (85th percentile), and 26.1 HR/FB%. He is projected to hit third in the batting order and provide Miami's lineup an offensive boost. The one downside of the move from Milwaukee to Miami is that Garcia will now play half his games in spacious Loan Depot Park instead of the hitter-friendly confines of American Family Field.

ATC projects Garcia to slash .231/.277/.435 with 23 home runs, 75 RBI, 70 runs scored, and eight stolen bases over 561 plate appearances in 2022. According to Rotoballer's Expected Draft Value, Garcia's ATC projections make him below fair value at his current ADP of 188. The Marlins outfielder will provide solid counting stats and is a good bet to hit 20+ homers and swipe 6-8 bags in 2022.

--Brad Camara - RotoBaller


Andrew Benintendi, Kansas City Royals

Kansas City Royals outfielder Andrew Benintendi didn't amaze anyone with his numbers last season but contributed a little bit in each category, hitting .276 with 17 HRs, 8 SBs, 63 runs, and 73 RBI over 134 games. His 8.9% barrel rate (55th percentile) and 34.5% flyball rate helped him mash the second-most home runs of his career. Don't be surprised if there's an uptick in that department next season. The seven home run difference from Benintendi's expected total (23.7 xHR) can be blamed a bit on Kauffman Stadium. However, just 10.5% of his flyballs left the park, below the 10.6% rate that Kauffman had in 2021. The 27-year-old doesn't have exceptional speed (63rd percentile sprint speed), but with the way the Royals like to run, Benintendi should attain the 12 SBs that Steamer projects him to reach.

He'll also be hitting in the middle of the Royals lineup, which, although not the strongest, will still get him at least 75 RBI and runs across a full season. The former top prospect outperformed his .276 batting average (.261 xBA) last year. But, he's a career .274 hitter, far from his career .246 xBA, so don't assume a drop-off is coming. Once again, Benintendi won't blow anyone away in 2022, but he will provide fantasy managers with enough production to justify taking him at his ADP of 191

-- Spencer Seguin - RotoBaller


Alex Kirilloff, Minnesota Twins

Minnesota Twins outfielder Alex Kirilloff was limited to 59 games in his first season in the majors after undergoing wrist surgery in late July. He is expected to be ready by Spring Training, whenever it officially starts. The former Twins' top prospect slashed .251/.299/.423 with eight home runs, 34 RBI, 23 runs scored, and one stolen base over 231 plate appearances in 2021. Kirilloff also posted an impressive 12.8 percent barrel rate and kept his strikeouts down by owning a low 22.5 K%. He has raw power and will develop into a solid major league hitter. The 24-year-old held a career .318 batting average and a .503 slugging percentage in the minors. He is expected to hit the bottom of the order, limiting his RBI and runs scored opportunities. ATC is on board with this estimate and projects the young slugger to slash .271/.321/.460 with 21 home runs, 66 RBI, 58 runs scored, and five stolen bases over 496 plate appearances in 2022. According to Rotoballer's Expected Draft Values, ATC's projections have Kirilloff at roughly fair value with his ADP of 190. Kiriloff can hit for power and could smash his ADP if he can put it all together in 2022.

--Brad Camara - RotoBaller


Myles Straw, Houston Astros

In a game where fantasy managers are obsessing over stolen bases, Myles Straw swiped the quietest 30 bags imaginable in 2021. His overall line of .271/.349/.348 might explain why, as it's tough to be a major leaguer with so little power that your OBP exceeds your slugging percentage over a full season of plate appearances. Straw isn't going to suddenly transform into a power hitter if his 88 mph average airborne exit velocity and 1.3% rate of Brls/BBE are any indication, but he should still deliver the steals that managers crave.

He has a great eye (21.9% chase rate) that allowed him to work a 10.5 BB% despite opposing pitchers not having to fear him at all, helping him get on base to steal a bag. Straw's 92.6 Z-Contact% and 19 K% ensure that relatively few of his PAs end in a fruitless strikeout. He also made the most of balls in play with a .336 BABIP categorized by a low 33.6 FB%, suggesting that he understands that airborne balls aren't for him. His 25.7 LD% might regress and hurt his average somewhat, but he should still be a slight plus in the category while adding runs scored as Cleveland's projected leadoff man. Throw in 30 steals and you have a guy who's well worth his ADP of 237.

-- Rick Lucks - RotoBaller

Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!

More Fantasy Baseball Analysis


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts


Damien Harris56 mins ago

Not Expected To Play Thursday Night
Joel Embiid2 hours ago

Returns Against Hawks
Los Angeles Rams2 hours ago

Aaron Donald Dealing With High-Ankle Sprain
Clint Capela2 hours ago

De'Andre Hunter To Play On Monday
Melvin Gordon III2 hours ago

Expected To Sign With Chiefs
Anthony Davis2 hours ago

Likely To Suit Up Monday
Christian McCaffrey2 hours ago

Dealing With Knee Irritation
Brandon Ingram2 hours ago

Downgraded To Out
Jaylen Brown2 hours ago

To Miss Monday's Game
Elijah Mitchell2 hours ago

Likely Out 6-8 Weeks
Pascal Siakam2 hours ago

Scottie Barnes, Pascal Siakam To Play Monday
Michael Carter2 hours ago

Has A Low-Ankle Sprain
Terry Rozier2 hours ago

Ruled Out On Monday
Joe Mixon2 hours ago

Trending In The Right Direction For Week 13
Darnell Mooney2 hours ago

Done For The Season
James Reimer3 hours ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Linus Ullmark3 hours ago

Available For The Next Game
Alex Pietrangelo3 hours ago

Out Monday For Personal Reasons
Nick Perbix3 hours ago

Returns On Monday
Robert Thomas3 hours ago

Misses Monday's Game
Warren Foegele3 hours ago

Ryan McLeod Out Monday
John Gibson3 hours ago

Joins Team For Trip To Nashville
Justin Verlander6 hours ago

Dodgers Meeting With Justin Verlander Monday
J.K. Dobbins6 hours ago

To Practice This Week
José Abreu6 hours ago

Astros "Finalizing A Deal For" Jose Abreu
Mike Clevinger6 hours ago

Signs With White Sox
Jameson Williams6 hours ago

A Long Shot To Face Jaguars
Kadarius Toney6 hours ago

Day-To-Day With Hamstring Injury
Caris LeVert7 hours ago

Probable For Monday
Dallas Mavericks7 hours ago

Kemba Walker Expected To Sign With Mavericks
Jarrett Allen7 hours ago

Remains Sidelined Monday
Kevin Love7 hours ago

To Sit Out On Monday
Jaden McDaniels7 hours ago

To Miss Monday's Game
Joel Embiid7 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable For Monday
Travis Etienne Jr.8 hours ago

Says He's Fine
Ja'Marr Chase8 hours ago

Expected To Return In Week 13
Mo Bamba11 hours ago

Exits With Back Spasms
Evan Mobley11 hours ago

Stands Out Versus Detroit
Jaylen Brown11 hours ago

Scores Season-High 36 Points
Bradley Beal12 hours ago

Scores 30 Points In Sunday's Loss
Tyler Herro12 hours ago

Notches A Triple-Double Versus Atlanta
Draymond Green12 hours ago

Logs First Double-Double Of The Season
Grayson Allen12 hours ago

Nets Season-High 25 Points
Aaron Rodgers12 hours ago

To Undergo More Testing
Aaron Rodgers22 hours ago

Questionable To Return On Sunday
Elijah Mitchell22 hours ago

May Have An MCL Sprain
Jalen Brunson22 hours ago

Scores 30 Points In Losing Effort
Darnell Mooney22 hours ago

May Be Done For The Year
Allen Robinson II1 day ago

Needs Surgery, Won't Return This Season
Elijah Mitchell1 day ago

Won't Return On Sunday
Elijah Mitchell1 day ago

Questionable To Return Against Saints
Kirill Kaprizov1 day ago

Extends Scoring Streak To Career-High Nine Games
Matias Maccelli1 day ago

Returns With Two Assists
Johnny Gaudreau1 day ago

Sits Out Sunday's Practice With An Illness
Tampa Bay Buccaneers1 day ago

X-Rays Negative On Tristan Wirfs
Adam Fox1 day ago

Misses Practice With An Illness
Sam Lafferty1 day ago

Sits Again Sunday
Aleksander Barkov1 day ago

Set To Miss Two More Games
Brock Boeser1 day ago

Matches Career-High Point Streak
J.T. Miller1 day ago

Leads The Way With Three Points
Ryan Pulock1 day ago

Hands Out Four Assists
Auston Matthews1 day ago

Notches Three Points Against Pittsburgh
Jack Hughes1 day ago

Gets His First Career Hat Trick
Jordan Kyrou1 day ago

Extends Point Streak With Two Goals
Brayden Schenn1 day ago

Getting Evaluated For A Lower-Body Injury
Ryan McLeod2 days ago

Delivers Three Assists Saturday
Carlos Santana3 days ago

Pirates Agree With Carlos Santana On Friday
Narciso Crook3 days ago

Red Sox Sign Narciso Crook To Minor-League Deal
Denyi Reyes3 days ago

Mets Sign Denyi Reyes
Milwaukee Brewers3 days ago

Blake Perkins Signs With Brewers
Elliot Soto3 days ago

Twins Re-Sign Elliot Soto
Los Angeles Angels3 days ago

Angels Sign Jacob Webb
Xander Bogaerts3 days ago

Padres Looking At Xander Bogaerts?
Brandon Nimmo3 days ago

Rays Among Teams Interested In Brandon Nimmo
Michael Conforto3 days ago

Cubs Considering Michael Conforto
Hoy Park4 days ago

Red Sox Acquire Hoy Park From Pirates
Chad Wallach5 days ago

Angels Re-Sign Chad Wallach
Cody Bellinger5 days ago

Rockies Interested In Cody Bellinger
Carlos Rodón5 days ago

Rangers Have Serious Interest In Carlos Rodon
Aaron Judge5 days ago

Giants Expected To Make Formal Offer To Aaron Judge
Bryce Harper5 days ago

Undergoes Tommy John Surgery
Hoy Park5 days ago

Pirates Designate Hoy Park For Assignment
Joely Rodríguez5 days ago

Red Sox Sign Joely Rodriguez
Hunter Renfroe5 days ago

Brewers Acquire Janson Junk In Hunter Renfroe Trade