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Hello, NBA bettors, it's been too long since I have been able to put out some free NBA betting picks! It's been a week, in fact, and after a short break in coverage for a much-needed vacation, I am ready to get back at it today with a solid 10-game slate of NBA action.
Last Wednesday ended up being a good day for the overall record, with the only misses being the Knicks (remind me not to bet on them again) and the Mavericks getting upset and ruining our money line parlay. Underdogs continue to do well in the NBA this year, which likely explains the incredible 9-2 run we are having on underdog teasers! I will admit I am playing lighter than usual for a big slate tonight mainly because as I broke down these games, I couldn't really take a stand on one side of the other because so many important players for these teams have questionable tags and we will really have to watch who gets upgraded or downgraded during the day today before feeling very confident about these teams.
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Thunder Dan's NBA Best Bets
- 2022-2023 Overall Record: 31-31
- Against the Spread: 15-15
- Game/Team Totals: 6-8
- Moneyline Parlay: 5-6
- Teasers: 9-2
NBA Betting Picks: Against the Spread
Oklahoma City Thunder (+4.5) @ Washington Wizards (226.5 total)
Let's start off with an underdog, shall we? The Wizards welcome back Bradley Beal to their lineup and will have a healthy starting five for the first time in over a week. But is that enough to hold off the surging Thunder?
OKC has been really impressive this season and like Utah, no one really saw this coming as most expected them to start tanking right out of the gates. But Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been playing at an all-star level so far, posting 31-4-6 on a nightly basis and leading this team to a 9-5 record ATS (6-8 overall W/L record).
They'v got some nice wins recently against the Raptors and Knicks while hanging tough against the Bucks and Celtics before falling late. This team battles and even though Washington is on a four-game winning streak with some solid wins of their own, I am not sure they have the firepower to put OKC away early. If the Thunder are still in the game late, I look for SGA to take over and for this one to go down to the final few possessions.
The Pick: OKC +4.5 (-110 DK)
Chicago Bulls (+3.5) @ New Orleans Pelicans (226.5 total)
The Bulls have been one of the more disappointing teams in the East this year when you compare their record with their preseason expectations. They're only 6-8 to start the year and have dropped four of their last five games.
The Pelicans are a team that I really like and I am going to keep riding them, even if they let me down last week against Atlanta. Since that loss to the Hawks last Saturday, they've gone 3-2, including a four-point win over these Bulls in Chicago and a nice win against Memphis last night.
Zion sat out last night, but his injury doesn't sound bad and he could return tonight to bolster this team even more. The thing I love the most about the Pelicans is their bench unit, they have some really awesome and diverse players they can mix and match to make unique lineups and matchup with the opponents (Trey Murphy III, Dyson Daniels, Larry Nance Jr., Jose Alvarado, etc...). I'll take the Pelicans at home, even on a B2B, and hope that Zion plays, but even if he rests again, New Orleans can still get this win I think.
The Pick: NOP -3.5 (-110 DK)
Golden State Warriors (+2) @ Phoenix Suns (226 total)
A lot hinges on Chris Paul's status here and if he ends up playing, then this line should move even more toward the Suns in my opinion. He has been questionable now for the last three games and seems to be nearing a return at any point. A home game against the defending champs would certainly seem to be a great game to target a return, don't ya think?
A healthy Suns team hammered this GSW team 134-105 back in October, and the Warriors, despite their recent 3-1 stretch, continue to bleed points to opposing teams. Stephen Curry can get hot and carry this team any given night, but we haven't seen the typical well-balanced box scores from the Warriors that we are used to as Jordan Poole, Klay Thompson, and Andrew Wiggins have all struggled with inconsistency on offense.
The numbers say the Suns win by a touchdown at home and even if Paul sits out, I still have them projected to win and cover. I am not messing around with a 2-point spread, though, in case the game is decided on the final possession so I will eat some of the VIG to get Phoenix on the money line at -130.
The Pick: PHO ML (-130 DK)
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NBA Betting Picks: Totals
NO GAME TOTALS PICKS YET TODAY, THERE ARE SIMPLY TOO MANY UNCERTAIN SITUATIONS RIGHT NOW WITH MAJOR PLAYERS QUESTIONABLE IN A LOT OF GAMES.
I usually do a money line favorite parlay on bigger slates and then one teaser bet as well (usually a lot of underdogs, but not always).
Just know the risks involved with parlaying bets, we are increasing our potential payouts but adding more risk to every bet with every outcome that we include.
Favorite Moneyline Parlay: Dallas + Milwaukee + New Orleans = (+208 DraftKings)
4.5-point Underdog Teaser: OKC +9, ATL +6.5, NYK +9 = (+150 DraftKings)
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