X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Five Breakout Outfielders For Fantasy Baseball Drafts - NL Edition (2024)

Jordan Walker - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Prospects

The term "breakout" always gets the juices flowing, so to speak, in our fantasy baseball world. Everyone loves a good breakout. So much in fact, that we decided to do two whole articles on breakout outfielders here on RotoBaller.

Today I'll be discussing five National League outfielders that I'm expecting to break out offensively this season. Finding players that can provide a positive return on investment is always crucial during draft season, and these five all have the chance to return great value at their respective ADPs.

If you missed the American League version of this article, you can check that out here. And as I mentioned last time, I wouldn't advise drafting a ton of breakout candidates in your drafts, but grabbing a name here and there is a fine strategy.

Featured Promo: Get any MLB Premium Pass FREE ($119 value) AND up to a $200 deposit match when you sign up with Rival Fantasy. Rival offers 6 and 12-team Best Ball, weekly and daily contests, for as little as $3 per entry. No roster management, just draft and Rival sets your best lineup automatically. Playing fantasy baseball has never been easier! Sign Up Today!

 

Five Breakout Outfielders in the National League for 2024

Jordan Walker, St. Louis Cardinals

When I was putting names together for this article, Jordan Walker's name was the first that popped to mind. And how could it not be? It seems that some of the air in the Walker hype balloon has been deflated after a rookie season where he was good but didn't dominate. However, I'm still as high on him now as I was last March when I saw him crank two mammoth home runs in person during a spring training game when attending Baseball HQ's First Pitch Florida event.

Overall, Walker slashed a respectable .276/.342/.445 in 465 plate appearances with 16 home runs and seven steals. But how he finished the season, along with his immense upside, should have everyone excited to see what he's going to do in 2024. Over his final 30 games, Walker slashed .339/.392/.545 with five home runs and a 19.2% strikeout rate. Overall, Walker recorded a 7.5% barrel rate, 89.4 mph AVG EV, and 42.5% hard-hit rate. While all above-average, those metrics don't stand out, but Walker is capable of increasing all three of those by a decent amount in 2024.

Getting Walker around pick 125 in drafts this spring feels like phenomenal value. The upside remains for him to be a Top 25 overall player who hits for a solid AVG and provides at least 30 homers annually.

 

Seiya Suzuki, Chicago Cubs

It seems to have flown under the radar to some degree just how good Seiya Suzuki was to close out the 2023 season. After a pinch-hit strikeout on August 7, Suzuki's season slash line sunk to .249/.327/.388. Not exactly what fantasy managers were expecting after a solid debut in 2022. However, over his final 198 plate appearances, Suzuki was a force to be reckoned with, slashing .356/.414/.672 with 30 extra-base hits and 11 home runs. He ranked in the top four over the final two months of the season in AVG, SLG, ISO, wOBA, and wRC+, and also ranked 9th in OBP.

Honestly, I'm shocked that Suzuki's ADP is outside the Top 100 right now given how he ended the season and his metrics across the board. In 2023, Suzuki recorded a 10.5% barrel rate, 91.4 mph AVG EV, and a 48% hard-hit rate with an 84.2% zone contact rate and 78.7% overall contact rate. He was one of just eight hitters to have a contact rate above 78% and a barrel rate north of 10%.

Given his blend of contact, approach, and quality of contact, I'm expecting Suzuki to have his best season yet in 2024 with a realistic shot at 100 runs, 30 home runs, 100 RBI to pair with a good AVG and OBP.

 

Jarred Kelenic, Atlanta Braves

Never thought I'd go back to this well, but including Jarred Kelenic in an article like this makes sense. While it's not an excuse for the inconsistent and often poor performance in his time with the Seattle Mariners, Kelenic seemed to be in his own head too much due to the pressure put on him as a top prospect who was supposed to save the franchise to some degree. Now in Atlanta, Kelenic gets a fresh start and a chance to start regularly in an absolutely loaded Braves lineup where even hitters in the bottom third of the order can accrue plenty of counting stats.

When you look at Kelenic's metrics from last season, there's definitely some positive to pull from in addition to a few concerns that remain. His quality of contact metrics were above average with a 9.5% barrel rate, 90.9 mph AVG EV, and 45.5% hard-hit rate, and Kelenic also had a nice 69th percentile sprint speed. But on the flip side, he also posted a 31.7% strikeout rate, 77.3% zone contact rate, and 66.2% contact rate.

The contact and strikeout concerns are probably always going to be there, so I'm not expecting Kelenic to ever hit more than .250-.260 or so. However, over a full season in Atlanta's lineup, 25 home runs and 10-15 steals are within reach with a decent amount of runs and RBI as well. If you're getting that past pick 200, you're going to be incredibly pleased with your investment.

 

Sal Frelick, Milwaukee Brewers

These last two selections are a bit further down ADP from the first three, but both are intriguing in their own way. Both are from the same outfield too. After being drafted 15th overall back in 2021, Sal Frelick quickly proved to be one of the best pure hitters in the minor leagues, hitting .329 in 35 games after the draft and followed that up with a .331 AVG in 119 games in 2022. In both seasons, Frelick added an OBP over .400 while showing plus speed as well.

That's the Frelick we should expect in the Major Leagues, not the one that hit .252 in 43 games last season before his promotion and .246 in 57 games after being called up. He was also dealing with thumb and hamstring issues last season that could've played a roll in the production slipping. What we can expect from Frelick is a high AVG and OBP, plenty of runs scored as a top of the order type of hitter, and at least 20 steals annually over a full season. The power upside isn't overly high here, but 10-15 homers annually are in play.

The profile isn't quite as sexy as the names above, but there's definitely some breakout appeal here with Frelick. The Brewers also appear to be giving him some reps in the infield and Frelick was working with former all-star second baseman Dustin Pedroia on his infield defense.

 

Garrett Mitchell, Milwaukee Brewers

When it comes to Garrett Mitchell, his profile couldn't be more different from Frelick's. At least at the plate. Both are plus runners and solid defenders, but Mitchell doesn't have the contact skills or AVG upside that Frelick does. However, Mitchell has more power/speed upside than Frelick and has shown that in his brief stints with Milwaukee over the last two seasons. In 2023, Mitchell posted a 10% barrel rate and 94th percentile sprint speed along with a 9.6% walk rate. And over his two seasons so far, his 650 plate appearance power/speed pace equates to 23 home runs and 41 stolen bases.

If everything clicks at the plate and Mitchell is able to improve his contact and strikeout rates, the upside is a player that flirts with 20/40. That's easier said than done though. Mitchell struck out 35.6% of the time in 2023 with a 67.7% zone contact rate and 60.3% overall contact rate. Those metrics simply aren't going to cut the mustard in the Major Leagues and his breakout fully depends on improvements being made in those areas. But given his ADP close to pick 400, the potential reward vastly outweighs the risk.

For more from Eric, including his prospect and dynasty rankings, check out his Toolshed Fantasy Patreon.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Advice




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Connor McDavid17 mins ago

Dominates With Five Assists
Zach Hyman26 mins ago

Scores Hatty In Big Game 1 Win
Auston Matthews34 mins ago

Puts Away Game-Winner In Game 2
Merrill Kelly2 hours ago

"Most Likely" Headed To The Injured List
Josh Hart3 hours ago

Gets It Done In Game 2
Mitchell Robinson3 hours ago

Cools Off On Monday Night
Jalen Brunson3 hours ago

Struggles Shooting In Game 2
Joel Embiid3 hours ago

Has A Big Night On Monday
Tyrese Maxey3 hours ago

Erupts In Game 2
J.D. Martinez4 hours ago

Mets Hope To Activate J.D. Martinez Friday
Heston Kjerstad4 hours ago

Orioles Calling Up Heston Kjerstad
Justin Steele4 hours ago

To Throw In Extended Spring Game Friday
Alek Manoah4 hours ago

Set For Another Rehab Start
Ryan Mountcastle5 hours ago

Out Of Lineup With Sore Knee
Jalen Suggs5 hours ago

Returns On Monday
Kawhi Leonard5 hours ago

Questionable For Game 2
Miles Bridges6 hours ago

Pistons Could Target Miles Bridges This Summer
Malik Monk6 hours ago

Likely To Test Free Agency
Giannis Antetokounmpo6 hours ago

Not Expected To Play On Tuesday
Jalen Suggs6 hours ago

Helped Off The Court
Tyrese Maxey7 hours ago

Will Play In Game 2
Joel Embiid7 hours ago

Will Play On Monday Night
Manny Machado7 hours ago

Placed On Paternity List
Paul Sewald7 hours ago

To Begin Rehab Assignment On Tuesday
Carlos Rodón7 hours ago

Carlos Rodon Allows One Hit In No-Decision
Tyrese Maxey7 hours ago

A Game-Time Decision
Ricky Tiedemann8 hours ago

Meeting With Doctors This Week
Brenton Doyle8 hours ago

Back In Monday's Lineup
Wade Miley8 hours ago

Put On 15-Day Injured List
Ozzie Albies8 hours ago

Starts Hitting, Could Return Friday
Max Kepler9 hours ago

Activated From Injured List
Brandon Aiyuk9 hours ago

49ers Have Received Calls Regarding Brandon Aiyuk
Frankie Montas9 hours ago

Reds Place Frankie Montas On 15-Day Injured List
Dak Prescott10 hours ago

Not Trying To Be Highest-Paid Player
Pete Fairbanks10 hours ago

Goes On Injured List
Grayson Allen11 hours ago

Questionable For Game 2
Tyrese Maxey11 hours ago

Downgraded To Questionable
Zach Wilson11 hours ago

Broncos Acquiring Zach Wilson From Jets
Matt Ryan11 hours ago

Officially Retires From NFL
Cincinnati Bengals11 hours ago

Sam Hubbard Recovering From Ankle Surgery
New England Patriots11 hours ago

Patriots Listening To Calls For No. 3 Pick
Rashee Rice12 hours ago

Expected To Receive Multi-Game Suspension
Bryce Harper13 hours ago

Phillies Place Bryce Harper On Paternity List
Brenton Doyle13 hours ago

Looks To Be OK
Keibert Ruiz13 hours ago

Likely To Go On Short Rehab Assignment
Carlos Correa13 hours ago

Won't Return On Tuesday
Frankie Montas14 hours ago

Dealing With Forearm Bruise
Tyler Reddick14 hours ago

Survives At Talladega For First Win Of 2024
Brad Keselowski14 hours ago

Finishes Second At Talladega After Last-Lap Wreck
Anthony Alfredo14 hours ago

Gets Best Finish For Beard Motorsports Since 2022
Todd Gilliland14 hours ago

One Of The Strongest At Talladega
NASCAR17 hours ago

Bubba Wallace Finishes 36th At Talladega Superspeedway
Kyle Larson18 hours ago

Fails To Deliver Value In DFS At Talladega
NASCAR21 hours ago

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Finishes Fourth At Talladega
Noah Gragson21 hours ago

Surprisingly The Most Consistent Driver At Talladega
Shane Van Gisbergen21 hours ago

Shane van Gisbergen Acquits Himself Nicely In Drafting Debut
Michael McDowell1 day ago

Ends Talladega Wrecked From The Lead
Alex Bowman1 day ago

Quietly Captures Top-Five Finish At Talladega
Brock Bowers1 day ago

Jets The Favorite To Take Brock Bowers At No. 10
Drake Maye1 day ago

Giants Could Be Eyeing Drake Maye
Daniel Hemric1 day ago

Surges To Ninth-Place Result At Talladega
Harrison Burton1 day ago

Squeezes Into Top 10 At Talladega
De'Anthony Melton1 day ago

Out Again For Game 2
LeBron James1 day ago

Probable For Game 2
Anthony Davis1 day ago

Back On The Injury Report
Giannis Antetokounmpo1 day ago

Bucks Optimistic Giannis Antetokounmpo Will Play Soon
Jayson Tatum1 day ago

Has A Triple-Double In Game 1
NASCAR2 days ago

Bubba Wallace Will Start 14th For the GEICO 500
Tyler Reddick2 days ago

Avoid Rostering Tyler Reddick At Talladega?
John Hunter Nemechek2 days ago

Should DFS Players Roster John Hunter Nemechek At Talladega?
Joey Logano2 days ago

Expect Joey Logano To Compete For The Win At Talladega
Denny Hamlin2 days ago

Is Denny Hamlin Recommended For Talladega?
Justin Haley2 days ago

Is A Top DFS Value At Talladega
William Byron2 days ago

Is One Of The Top Favorites To Win Talladega
Christopher Bell2 days ago

Is Best Suited As A Tournament Play At Talladega
Mike Hoffman2 days ago

Kevin Labanc, Alexander Barabanov To Hit Free Agency
Logan Couture2 days ago

Optimistic For Healthy Return
Mikhail Sergachev2 days ago

Practices In Regular Jersey Saturday
Nick Jensen2 days ago

Rasmus Sandin, Nick Jensen Possible For Game 1
Alex Pietrangelo2 days ago

A Full Practice Participant
Mark Stone2 days ago

A Possibility For Game 1
Jonathan Drouin2 days ago

To Miss First Round
Zach Wilson3 days ago

Jets Still "Open" To Trading Zach Wilson
Marquise Brown3 days ago

Could Have Lucrative Role In KC
Dak Prescott3 days ago

Hasn't Started Contract Negotiations With Cowboys
Bobby McMann3 days ago

Could Play In Postseason Opener
Calle Jarnkrok3 days ago

Practices Friday
William Nylander3 days ago

Doesn't Practice Friday
Jean-Gabriel Pageau3 days ago

Listed As Day-To-Day
Aaron Ekblad3 days ago

Back For Game 1 Sunday
Zach Wilson3 days ago

Not At Voluntary Workouts
Noah Dobson3 days ago

Returning For Game 1
Max Domi3 days ago

Ready To Go For Game 1
Jayden Daniels3 days ago

Not Interested In Playing In D.C.?
DJ Chark Jr.3 days ago

Visits With Chargers
Courtland Sutton3 days ago

Broncos Not Concerned With Courtland Sutton
Darren Waller4 days ago

Giants Haven't Given Darren Waller A Deadline For His Decision
J.K. Dobbins4 days ago

"Should Be" Ready For Training Camp
Trevor Lawrence4 days ago

Jaguars Making Progress On Extension For Trevor Lawrence
Justus Annunen4 days ago

Starting On Thursday
Dustin Wolf4 days ago

Starting Thursday's Series Finale
Devin Cooley4 days ago

To Start Regular Season Finale
Sidney Crosby4 days ago

To Discuss Extension With Penguins
Washington Commanders4 days ago

Commanders Won't Trade Down From No. 2 Pick
NFL4 days ago

NFL Reinstates Five Suspended Players On Thursday
Adam Hadwin6 days ago

Too Volatile To Touch At RBC Heritage
Kurt Kitayama6 days ago

A Boring Play At RBC Heritage
Tom Kim6 days ago

Heads To Hilton Head Looking For Consistency
Emiliano Grillo6 days ago

Looking To Bounce Back At RBC Heritage
Chris Kirk6 days ago

A Safe Option For RBC Heritage
Adam Schenk6 days ago

Trending Up Ahead of RBC Heritage
Lucas Glover6 days ago

Looks To Reverse Fortune At Harbour Town
Taylor Moore6 days ago

Should Contend At Harbour Town
Max Homa6 days ago

Be Wary Of Max Homas At RBC Heritage
Rickie Fowler6 days ago

In Poor Form Heading To Harbour Town
Eric Cole6 days ago

Out Of Form Heading To RBC Heritage
Sepp Straka6 days ago

Continues Maddening Run Of Inconsistent Play
Keegan Bradley6 days ago

Looking To Get Over The Hump At Harbour Town
Tony Finau6 days ago

Looking To Find Putting Stroke At RBC Heritage
Will Zalatoris6 days ago

Makes Return To Harbour Town
PGA6 days ago

J.T. Poston A Decent Leverage Play With Upside At RBC Heritage
Patrick Cantlay6 days ago

Brings Near-Perfect Course History To Harbour Town
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Sam LaPorta - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Who Are The Top Five Tight Ends in 2024 Fantasy Football?

The tight end position is sometimes one of the hardest to navigate in fantasy throughout the season. Usually, there are only three to four elite options, and the rest are all the same. However, we saw that change significantly in 2023 as several young tight ends became reliable fantasy options throughout the year. That means... Read More


2024 NFL Draft: Five Dream Fantasy Football Fits For Rookie Prospects

Football never sleeps at RotoBaller! With the 2024 NFL Draft fast approaching, we're digging into what might transpire in this year's edition. RotoBaller analyst LaQuan Jones previews the 2024 NFL Draft and dives into the dream fits that would equal fantasy football production for five top prospects. Win MORE in 2024 with RotoBaller! Be sure... Read More


Michael Penix Jr. - CFB DFS Picks, Daily College Fantasy Football, NFL Draft Rookies

Bo Nix vs. Michael Penix Jr. - 2024 NFL Draft Prospect Comparison

There are three names that stand out above the rest when talking about the upcoming quarterback class: Caleb Williams, Drake Maye, and Jayden Daniels. A fourth, J.J. McCarthy, is starting to get a lot of added attention and could wind up going in the top five as well. But this is a very deep quarterback... Read More


Marvin Harrison Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, WR, NFL Draft Sleepers

Early 2024 Fantasy Football Rookie Rankings: Pre-NFL Draft

Hey, RotoBallers! The 2024 NFL Draft is getting closer, and it's never too early to start preparing for fantasy football. Here at RotoBaller, it's always fantasy football season here at HQ. We are looking ahead to the 2024 season, and that starts with the NFL Draft and all the exciting new rookies. Today, you'll find... Read More


Joe Mixon - Fantasy Football Rankings, DFS Lineup Picks, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Running Backs to Avoid Heading Into The 2024 NFL Season

Running backs have always been highly sought-after commodities in fantasy football drafts. If you find a stud back, that can be the edge you need to lock up your league's title. Even though we should always invest in running back in some capacity, we also need to recognize the volatility of the position. There's turnover... Read More


Javon Baker - Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, WR, NFL Draft Sleepers

Florio's NFL/Fantasy Football Scouting Report: Malachi Corley, Javon Baker and Many More WR Sleepers!

In case you have not heard yet, this receiver class is very, very deep. We are in the double-digits now of receivers I have written up and I still think there are a few left that can make a big fantasy impact right away. I wrote about the elite three and then the rest of... Read More


Kyle Pitts - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Positive and Negative Touchdown Regression Candidates: Tight End

Tight end is one of the hardest positions to nail down, especially since different leagues have different settings. Tight End Premium has started to take off, giving an added boost to those top options. Most of the tight end landscape nowadays is boom-or-bust or middle-of-the-pack. Looking at tight ends in 2023 and the touchdowns they... Read More


Patrick Mahomes - Fantasy Football Rankings, DFS Lineup Picks, NFL Injury News

One-Man Mock Draft - Assembling the Greatest Fantasy Football Teams Ever

If you're a longtime fantasy football player, then you have been lucky enough to witness the game's greatest players deliver some incredible performances over the years. Perhaps they even helped you win a few fantasy football titles along the way.  But where would the greatest players and fantasy football heroes stack up if they were... Read More


2024 NFL Draft Bold Prediction: Which Sleeper Team Trades Up To Land Rome Odunze?

Football never sleeps at RotoBaller! With the 2024 NFL Draft just days away, we're digging into some potential teams that could be on the move in the first round. RotoBaller's David Rispoli breaks down the sleeper team that could trade up to draft Washington's star wide receiver Rome Odunze. Win MORE in 2024 with RotoBaller!... Read More


Who Offers The Best Value At Quarterback Right Now? 2024 Fantasy Football Outlook

Football never sleeps at RotoBaller! With some high-stakes best ball drafts already underway, we're digging into what the fantasy football landscape will look like in 2024. RotoBaller's David Rispoli breaks down the Quarterback who stands out as the best value on the board and is already his favorite QB target in early 2024 fantasy football... Read More


Who Offers The Best Value At Wide Receiver Right Now? 2024 Fantasy Football Outlook

Football never sleeps at RotoBaller! With some high-stakes best ball drafts already underway, we're digging into what the fantasy football landscape will look like in 2024. RotoBaller's David Rispoli breaks down the wide receiver that stands out as the best value on the board in early 2024 fantasy football drafts. Win MORE in 2024 with... Read More


Blake Corum - Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, RB, NFL Draft Sleepers

Best Fantasy Landing Spots for Top Rookie RBs - 2024 NFL Draft

The 2024 NFL Draft is fast approaching. This year's draft class is filled with talented players, especially at the running back position, where there might not be a standout star, but there are a lot of really solid players. There are a number of places where each running back could land, but not all of... Read More


Re-Drafting The 2015 NFL Draft: Entire First Round Do-Over

We're just a few days away from the 2024 NFL Draft and this year's draft is looking like it'll be one of the most stacked draft classes on paper. The same was being said about the 2015 NFL Draft as well, and many analysts claimed the rivalry between Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota would be... Read More