Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Updated Wide Receiver Draft Rankings for Half-PPR Scoring


mike evans fantasy football dynasty analysis

Alright RotoBallers, we are just about there. It's been a long offseason but the NFL season finally kicks off tomorrow! With that being said, folks are still having drafts today and tomorrow before the first game kicks off, and we here at RotoBaller are constantly updating our rankings to bring your the latest and greatest.

Today I finish out our staff's Half-PPR rankings series, taking a look at wide receivers and the different tiers that they should be targeted in. Below the rankings table below you will also find my analysis, touching on various players that we like / dislike more than others.

A friendly reminder -- in our Rankings Wizard, you can find the rest of our staff rankings and analysis for Half-PPR, PPR and Standard scoring leagues as well. Without further ado, let's get to it.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive In-Season Lineup Tools, Lineup Optimizer and over 150 days of Premium DFS Research. Sign Up Now!

 

Half-PPR Fantasy Football Rankings - Wide Receivers

Below are RotoBaller's consensus staff rankings for the 2019 fantasy football season. These rankings are compiled by Nick Mariano, Pierre Camus, Scott Engel, Bill Dubiel, Dominick Petrillo and Spencer Aguiar.

In case you missed it, our very own "Big Pick Nick" Mariano was the #11 overall most accurate industry expert ranker for the 2018 season, and #9 overall in 2017. Additionally, industry legend Scott Engel recently joined the RotoBaller team and provides his insights as well. Scott is an FSWA Hall Of Famer and award winner.

Position Rank Overall Rank Player Name Position Tier Overall Tier
1 6 Davante Adams 1 1
2 7 Julio Jones 1 1
3 9 DeAndre Hopkins 1 1
4 10 Odell Beckham Jr. 2 2
5 11 Michael Thomas 2 2
6 12 JuJu Smith-Schuster 2 2
7 13 Tyreek Hill 2 2
8 15 Mike Evans 2 2
9 21 Antonio Brown 3 3
10 22 Keenan Allen 3 3
11 25 Adam Thielen 3 3
12 26 Stefon Diggs 3 3
13 30 Julian Edelman 3 3
14 31 Brandin Cooks 4 3
15 35 Robert Woods 4 4
16 39 Amari Cooper 4 4
17 40 Chris Godwin 4 4
18 44 Tyler Lockett 4 4
19 45 T.Y. Hilton 4 4
20 46 Cooper Kupp 4 4
21 48 Tyler Boyd 4 4
22 49 Kenny Golladay 4 4
23 51 Allen Robinson 5 4
24 52 Alshon Jeffery 5 5
25 56 D.J. Moore 5 5
26 57 Mike Williams 5 5
27 58 Calvin Ridley 5 5
28 61 Jarvis Landry 5 5
29 65 A.J. Green 5 5
30 69 Robby Anderson 6 5
31 71 Josh Gordon 6 5
32 73 Sterling Shepard 6 6
33 76 Corey Davis 6 6
34 78 Sammy Watkins 6 6
35 80 Dede Westbrook 7 6
36 81 Marvin Jones 7 6
37 85 Dante Pettis 7 6
38 87 Emmanuel Sanders 7 6
39 88 Christian Kirk 7 6
40 89 Curtis Samuel 7 6
41 97 Will Fuller 7 7
42 99 Geronimo Allison 7 7
43 105 Larry Fitzgerald 7 7
44 108 Michael Gallup 7 7
45 109 Marquez Valdes-Scantling 7 7
46 110 Donte Moncrief 7 7
47 111 Courtland Sutton 7 7
48 116 Tyrell Williams 7 7
49 117 Keke Coutee 8 8
50 120 Anthony Miller 8 8
51 122 Golden Tate 8 8
52 123 DeSean Jackson 8 8
53 126 Albert Wilson 8 8
54 134 Jamison Crowder 9 9
55 137 Daesean Hamilton 9 9
56 139 D.K. Metcalf 9 9
57 144 John Brown 9 9
58 145 James Washington 9 9
59 150 Tre'Quan Smith 9 9
60 151 Mohamed Sanu 9 9
61 152 Devin Funchess 9 9
62 155 Kenny Stills 10 10
63 156 Adam Humphries 10 10
64 159 Quincy Enunwa 10 10
65 160 Robert Foster 10 10
66 170 Deebo Samuel 10 10
67 172 Trey Quinn 10 10
68 178 Randall Cobb 10 11
69 179 Cole Beasley 10 11
70 180 Danny Amendola 10 11
71 188 Marquise Goodwin 10 11
72 189 Rashard Higgins 10 11
73 190 Zay Jones 10 11
74 193 Devante Parker 10 11
75 194 Parris Campbell 10 11
76 195 Ted Ginn 11 11
77 196 Terry McLaurin 11 11
78 203 Mecole Hardman 11 11
79 205 Marquise Brown 11 11
80 206 Taylor Gabriel 11 11
81 209 D.J. Chark 11 11
82 216 Nelson Agholor 11 12
83 218 John Ross 11 12
84 220 J.J. Arcega-Whiteside 11 12
85 224 David Moore 11 12
86 228 Andy Isabella 11 12
87 229 A.J. Brown 11 12
88 232 Travis Benjamin 11 12
89 233 Preston Williams 11 12
90 235 Chad Beebe 11 12
91 238 Marqise Lee 11 12
92 239 Antonio Callaway 11 12
93 240 Willie Snead 11 12
94 243 Paul Richardson 11 13
95 247 Miles Boykin 11 13
96 249 Josh Reynolds 11 13
97 251 Michael Crabtree 11 13
98 252 Phillip Dorsett 12 13
99 255 Damion Willis 12 13
100 260 Deon Cain 12 13
101 265 Hunter Renfrow 12 13
102 266 Breshad Perriman 12 13
103 275 Chris Conley 12 14
104 278 Demaryius Thomas 12 14
105 280 Jakobi Meyers 12 14
106 281 Cordarrelle Patterson 12 14
107 283 Jalen Hurd 12 14
108 287 Cody Latimer 12 14
109 288 Keelan Cole 12 14
110 294 Chris Hogan 12 14
111 295 Jaron Brown 12 14
112 298 Trent Taylor 12 14
113 302 Maurice Harris 12 14
114 303 Josh Doctson 12 14
115 309 Demarcus Robinson 12 14
116 311 Justin Watson 12 14
117 318 Keesean Johnson 12 15
118 319 Ryan Switzer 12 15
119 322 Taywan Taylor 12 15
120 326 Diontae Johnson 12 15
121 327 Keith Kirkwood 12 15
122 329 Bennie Fowler 12 15
123 330 J'mon Moore 12 15
124 332 Kelvin Harmon 12 15
125 335 Jordan Matthews 13 15
126 336 Jakeem Grant 13 15
127 338 Juwann Winfree 13 15
128 340 Trent Sherfield 13 15
129 342 Allen Hurns 13 15
130 343 Russell Shepard 13 15
131 344 Alex Erickson 13 15
132 348 Emmanuel Butler 13 15
133 349 Jake Kumerow 13 15
134 352 Tavon Austin 13 15
135 353 Andre Roberts 13 15
136 356 J.J. Nelson 13 15
137 357 Torrey Smith 13 15
138 358 Riley Ridley 13 15
139 361 Jarius Wright 13 16
140 364 Braxton Berrios 13 16
141 367 Mack Hollins 13 16
142 368 Auden Tate 13 16
143 370 Seth Roberts 13 16
144 371 Emanuel Hall 13 16
145 374 Darius Slayton 13 16
146 375 Kendrick Bourne 13 16
147 377 Marcell Ateman 13 16
148 379 Charles Johnson 13 16
149 383 Chris Moore 13 16
150 384 Ryan Grant 13 16
151 385 Chester Rogers 14 16
152 388 Tim Patrick 14 16
153 389 Cameron Meredith 14 16
154 390 Austin Carr 14 16
155 392 Marvin Hall 14 16
156 395 Josh Bellamy 14 16
157 396 Eli Rogers 14 16
158 402 Josh Malone 14 16
159 403 Tajae Sharpe 14 16
160 405 Stanley Morgan Jr. 14 16
161 409 Laquon Treadwell 14 17
162 410 Jazz Ferguson 14 17
163 413 Richie James 14 17
164 415 Javon Wims 14 17
165 416 Deandre Carter 14 17
166 417 Daurice Fountain 14 17
167 418 Isaiah McKenzie 14 17
168 419 Brandon Powell 14 17
169 422 N'Keal Harry 14 17
170 423 Byron Pringle 14 17
171 425 Justin Hardy 14 17
172 433 Noah Brown 14 17
173 439 Dontrelle Inman 14 17
174 440 Zach Pascal 14 17
175 447 Gary Jennings 14 17
176 448 Cody Core 14 17
177 451 Vyncint Smith 14 17
178 453 Scott Miller 14 17
179 454 Allen Lazard 14 17
180 455 Darius Jennings 14 17
181 456 Greg Dortch 14 17
182 457 David Sills 14 17
183 458 Lil'jordan Humphrey 14 17
184 460 Damion Ratley 14 17
185 461 Ishmael Hyman 14 17

 

Tier 1

Best of the best. Davante Adams, Julio Jones, and DeAndre Hopkins are the top receivers in fantasy going into the 2019 season. Julio Jones to many is regarded as the best WR in football, and it would be quite difficult to place him anywhere but this tier, even with his historic struggles in scoring touchdowns (just one double-digit year). Nevertheless, Jones has been targeted over 150 times three times in the past six seasons and provides one of the safest floors in fantasy due to this sheer volume.

Adams might not be a target hog like Jones, but his ability to find the end zone puts him on the same platform, especially since this is not full-PPR. Adams has scored at least 10 touchdowns each of the past three seasons and is being fed the ball from arguably the most talented quarterback of all time.

Nuk Hopkins provides the best of both worlds between Jones and Adams. Although he did have a rough 2016, he gets a pass given that Deshaun Watson was not throwing him the ball yet. With Watson, the Texans offense, and Hopkins, in particular, will produce. Not only that, but due to the fact that the rest of the supporting wide receivers, Will Fuller V and Keke Coutee are injury prone, Hopkins comes with ridiculous target upside.

 

Tier 2

The top of wide receiver mountain is crowded and interchangeable. It's honestly difficult to discern the top tier from the second tier because these pass catchers are all so talented in their own right but have mild differences in their situations which separate them. Odell Beckham Jr. is arguably the most skilled WR in the game, but due to injuries and Eli Manning, he has had his fantasy value dinged. With a significantly more talented quarterback in Baker Mayfield and a hopefully healthy season, OBJ can potentially reclaim his title as the best WR in fantasy.

Michael Thomas is an interesting case. If this were full-PPR, he would have no business anywhere but tier one. Unfortunately, it is not, and Thomas must find the endzone just a bit more to propel himself there in all formats. With an aging quarterback in Drew Brees, there are concerns as to whether Thomas could continue to repeat his performances. His yards per reception have declined each of the past three seasons and Brees has shown his age at times towards the end of the past few seasons.

JuJu Smith-Schuster is the de jure WR1 on the Steelers going forward with Antonio Brown out of the picture. The Steelers throw the ball as much as any team in the league, and although Ben Roethlisberger is getting up there in age, his cannon is just as potent. JJSS is the most up-and-coming WR in the league and could be in line for a full-on break out this year given the potential target share coming his way. The only concern is to whether he can thrive with stronger coverages focusing on him with Brown out of the picture.

Tyreek Hill should be in tier one, but his repeated transgressions off the field keep some concerns as to whether he could face an unexpected suspension mid-season. God forbid he commit another heinous act, but with his past, it is not impossible. Mike Evans is consistently one of the best WRs in the game but just has not had that breakout season where he blows owners away. He has not had a double-digit touchdown season in three years and even with Bruce Arians calling the shots on offense, there is worry around Jameis Winston as the franchise QB in Tampa. The rise of Chris Godwin and O.J. Howard may also cap Evans' ceiling but he's still very, very good.

 

Tier 3

How in the world is Antonio Brown in tier three?? Well, when you downgrade from Big Ben to Derek Carr, the Steelers' offense to the Raiders', and come into the season with mysterious foot AND helmet issues, there will be some brakes pumped. Brown is as talented as any tier one WR but with all of these question marks surrounding him, he is deservedly lower in rankings than he typically would be. Brown is a wild card on and off the field and if you draft him, you're gambling, regardless of format.

Keenan Allen is a curious case. His injury history lowered his value in past drafts, but now that is generally disregarded. Now, the only thing keeping him low-ish is the fact that he does not score much and the recency bias of his struggles through the first half of last season. Allen's solid but not exactly elite for fantasy. His ceiling is that of a lower-end tier two receiver.

Julian Edelman takes a small hit in half-PPR formats. Given his role in the Patriots' offense, he sees a lot of targets (and reels most in) but they are typically shorter passes that would be extremely valuable in point-per-first-down leagues. He's had non-severe injury issues and a recent suspension, but his Super Bowl performance should remind everyone that he is maybe the best slot receiver in the game. Age will get to him eventually, but it probably won't be this season.

Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen should be drafted right around each other. Diggs gets the edge due to his superior talent, however, if this were full-PPR, Thielen would be ahead due to his target volume. Brandin Cooks is as consistent as they come. He is the lead WR in a talented trio and comes with the highest ceiling due to his downfield abilities. The targets may be capped, but one of these years he will find the end zone more than 10 times.

 

Tier 4

Robert Woods leads this group as one of the premier mid-level WRs in the game. He is not flashy at all but gets the job done down-in and down-out. The upside is capped but he could serve as a fantastic WR1 for RB-heavy teams, especially if he finds the endzone more this year.

Amari Cooper is in unfavorable territory. He's dealing a mysterious leg injury that was first described as plantar fascitis but then turned into a muscle issue. Whatever it is, does not sound good. Cooper came out and said that he played through pain last year and will do it again (red flag). He's risky, but the upside is huge as the WR1 in a more potent Cowboys' offense that may be getting Ezekial Elliot back soon.

 

Tier 5

These WRs are preferable in this format and standard. Generally, it's a group of larger receivers who are touchdown threats but may not be target hogs like those in previous tiers. Allen Robinson and Alshon Jeffery are perfect encapsulations of this archetype. Both have plenty of competition for targets on their respective rosters, but will be utilized in the red-zone due to their size and possess double-digit touchdown potential.

Mike Williams is basically the younger version of these two. He was not targeted much at all last year (66 times in 16 games) and managed to score 11 times, although one was rushing. He is a very likely candidate to receive more work this year but might lose some of that touchdown luck he had. Nevertheless, the upside is sky high with someone as talented as he is. Robby Anderson, Calvin Ridley, and D.J Moore are all in a similar position where they are candidates to see an increase in targets as they progress in their respective careers.

 

Tier 6

Now we get into the more questionable tiers. The upside is lower than that of the prior one and the floor is much lower as well. Players like Corey Davis, Curtis Samuel, and Dante Pettis have all flashed throughout the past few seasons, however, none have broken out and these values reflect that. Davis has had a quarterback/offense problem, Samuel is a gadget receiver who's been hyped throughout the preseason but really has a lot to prove to validate it, and Pettis is getting downplayed by his own coach. The talent on these three is undeniable, it's all about putting everything together on game day.

Josh Gordon may be the greatest receiver of this generation, we just may never find out if he can't stay out of trouble. It's always a risk to draft him and the safest bet is consistently to just avoid it. Marvin Jones Jr. and Sammy Watkins are both similar vertical threats in good offenses but come with injury and consistency issues. Sterling Shepard is on a horrendous offense but will be the de facto WR1 all year and should lead the squad in targets. There are risks all over and the only reason to target much of this group is if they fall or if you ignore WR early on and need upside.

 

Tier 7

My favorite tier. The value is depressed due to the lack of name-value (for the most part) and the upside is plentiful. Guys like Christian Kirk, Dede Westbrook, and Michael Gallup are all young, talented breakout candidates who could take over as the WR1s on their respective teams (Gallup is the least likely with Amari Cooper around).

Kirk produced well with Josh Rosen last season and could take a step further in his sophomore campaign with Kingsbury and Murray running the show. The talented receiver should see plenty of targets in an offense that will have to throw early, and often. Westbrook is not on the best offense in the league but is the most talented receiver there. He should primarily play out of the slot where Nick Foles most favorably targets and thrive due to the fact that there is not much else challenging him for touches.

Gallup is in a lower rung in this same tier than the previous two receivers but remains a worthwhile selection. He is the WR2 on a good Dallas offense that could be without its primary touch-getter in Ezekial Elliot for a while. Amari Cooper is dealing with a mysterious leg injury which leaves a sliver of possibility that Gallup may take over as the WR1 down the road if it were to linger. Gallup's rookie season was filled with inconsistency, but he is talented and possesses upside that is hard to find deeper in drafts.

 

Tier 8

Injuries and question marks fill up this tier. Keke Coutee, Anthony Miller, and DeSean Jackson are all starting the year on the injury report, but could each play in week one. Miller's role in the Bears' offense is set, however, he has missed about a month of training and could be rusty coming into the year. He's probably a better full-PPR target given how the Bears' offense should operate.

Keke Coutee was a popular sleeper rookie candidate last season but failed to stay healthy to produce throughout the year. He was impressive when he was on the field and could see plenty of play even with the addition of Kenny Stills in a Texans' offense that just lost their top-two tight ends. The Texans might just go all out and spread the field with four wide receivers to start the year.

DeSean Jackson is coming into the year with a hand injury that is not considered serious. He may even play in week one with a cast/splint. Regardless of if you plan to start him the or not, DJax is finding himself in a significantly more favorable position. He is back in Philadelphia with one of the league's best quarterbacks in Carson Wentz. Jackson still has wheels, it was just unfortunate that he and Jameis Winston never formed a consistent connection. As long as he's healthy, a bounceback year could be in line.

 

Tier 9

Names that should interest drafters from this tier include James Washington, Jamison Crowder, John Brown, and DK Metcalf. Washington is stepping into a larger role in Pittsburgh this season. The Steelers are notorious for developing wide receivers, and Washington may just be the next product of that system. He has shown out in the preseason and looks to have a significant role in just his second season. He played more than half of the Steelers' snaps last season in a majority of his games played last season and will be in for more work in 2019. The addition of Donte Moncrief certainly muddies his outlook early in the season, but, as long as Washinton outplays him, then he should entrench himself as the WR2 in one of the league's pass-happiest offenses.

Crowder will be a target hog out of the slot in New York. Sam Darnold loves his slot-receivers and looked to have a connection with JC in the preseason. The former Skin was a focal-point in the Washington offense just a few seasons ago and is just 26 years old. Don't expect too many touchdowns, but he is in line for a bounceback.

John Brown is a deep threat, Josh Allen is a deep-thrower. Bada bing, bada boom! There might be some magic in Buffalo if Allen improves his accuracy just slightly and they can mesh well. Brown would be ideal as a boom-or-bust play in weeks that may seem out of reach.

DK Metcalf is a pure upside pick. He is a huge unknown coming out of Ole Miss due to his raw game and injury history. The positives outweigh the negatives for anyone looking to draft him. Not only does he have Russell Wilson throwing him the ball, but there is not much else to throw to. Outside of himself and incumbent WR1 Tyler Lockett, the depth chart is barren. Metcalf will play plenty if healthy and could be another boom-or-bust weekly play.

 

Tier 10 and Beyond

As if you weren't throwing darts before, things get extremely open-ended after this double-digit threshold. The breakouts are largely unpredictable, yet we must try and peg those with the best odds of returning on the light investment.  Kenny Stills, Deebo Samuel / Marquise Goodwin, Andy Isabella / KeeSean Johnson, and Miles Boykin / Marquise Brown present some interesting value.

Kenny Stills is probably the most valuable of this group due to the fact that he just got traded to the Houston Texans. That is a jump from a bottom-three offense to a potential top-three. Health-permitting, he should be in line for an increased workload given that Houston will be throwing often this season with the unfortunate loss of Lamar Miller along with the return of their WR2 Will Fuller V. Stills may share snaps early on, but will immediately become a near-every snap player if one of the other wide receivers get injured (very likely given the track records of Coutee and Fuller V).

Deebo Samuel is in a spot where he could play himself into the WR1 role in San Francisco. The 49ers as of now plan to rotate their receivers to not only keep them fresh but also keep defenses guessing. No one player, in particular, has overtaken a particular role and it is up for grabs. Marquise Goodwin could also be a solid speculative add in this range due to the potential outcomes. Samuel is merely a rookie, but possess easily translatable skills around the field that have shown up in the preseason. He can play all around and provide value in the short, intermediate, and deep field along strong run-blocking to keep him on the field.

Andy Isabella is another boom-or-bust type who may not have much of a role early on in Arizona due to the signing of Michael Crabtree. Although Crabtree may just be veteran depth, and a locker room presence, he dampers the potential of Isabella and fellow rookie KeeSean Johnson. Both have tremendous upside, especially in this offense, yet are blocked from truly displaying it and merely remain speculative adds in deeper leagues.

Miles Boykin and Marquise Brown are in a bit of a different situation than their Arizona counterparts. These two have a clear path to playtime, but there is an issue with volume that will keep their respective ceilings low. Brownis the type of receiver that truly does not require too many targets to make an impact which probably puts him in a more favorable position over Boykin. However, Boykin is the type of receiver that may form a better rapport with quarterback Lamar Jackson due to his size/catch radius. His potential target share may be higher than that of Browns which murks up some of their value. Brown's the one they spent a first-round pick on though.

More Fantasy Football Analysis


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.