👉 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE SPRING
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


ADP Values for Fantasy Baseball: Third Base

Opening Day is approximately two months away, but it's never too soon to start making those draft lists. Today I'm here to take a look at some overvalued, undervalued and fair value 3B for the 2017 fantasy baseball season.

ADP data from early NFBC rankings can give us a glimpse into what players may be great values and who should be passed over at the hot corner.

Here are some players to monitor in preseason mock drafts to see how their respective values may shift before Spring Training and the fantasy baseball season get underway.

Featured Promo: Save 50% the regular price with discount code SPRING, for a limited time. Exclusive access to our Team Sync platform, DFS cheat sheets, Lineup Optimizers, betting/prop picks, and exclusive content from Nick Mariano and Eric Cross! GAIN ACCESS NOW

 

Undervalued Third Basemen

Jake Lamb, Arizona Diamondbacks (Avg. pick: 147) - Many in the fantasy community are wary of Lamb's power surge being a fluke. Moving from 58.3 AB/HR to 18.0 AB/HR is quite a leap, as is a jump to a .260 ISO. Lamb never even hit more than 15 HR in a minor league season, so those concerns are legit. This may work in your favor if Lamb drops far enough on the draft board. Early NFBC data shows him as the 16th ranked 3B in terms of ADP and no higher than overall pick 121. It's hard to envision him surging beyond 30 HR, but if you miss out on the top two tiers of third baseman, you could have 20-25 HR and 80+ RBI waiting for you well past the 10th round.

Mike Moustakas, Kansas City Royals (Avg pick: 199) - Moose is coming off ACL surgery, which is the biggest reason he barely cracks the top 200 overall. An injury typically reserved for NFL players, it will affect his mobility initially, but as a corner infielder it shouldn't hamper him quite as much. The tragedy of the situation is that he was coming off a breakout season in 2015, where he hit .284 with 22 HR and 82 RBI. At 28 years old, he is still in his prime and could represent a good value if he is truly ready for Opening Day.

Eugenio Suarez, Cincinnati Reds (Avg. pick: 266) - A classic post-hype sleeper playing for a rebuilding team, Suarez represents the best potential value at the third base position. Many owners soured on Suarez as he struggled to a .248 average last season, but he did finish with 21 HR and 70 RBI. Streakiness was the biggest issue for Suarez. He hit .270 in April, .173 in May and no higher than .280 in any month. Much like Lamb, there is skepticism about Suarez improving on his power. At his current ADP, you won't have to fill a starting spot to find out.

 

Overvalued Third Basemen

Alex Bregman, Houston Astros (Avg. pick: 94) - Bregman got off to the worst possible start upon his call-up in late July, recording one hit in his first 32 Major League at-bats. He soon corrected that and wound up batting .323 in September. Conventional wisdom is that rookie jitters got the best of him at first, but the hitter we saw toward season's end is indicative of what we'll get in 2017. The reality is that he's still green and will see his share of ups and downs. If you roll the dice with Bregman as your starter, it should only be after you've solidified the first base position with a certified stud earlier in the draft.

Javier Baez, Chicago Cubs (Avg. pick: 120) - The talent is undeniable, but plate discipline is still a question. 108 strikeouts in 450 plate appearances may not be as concerning as the fact his walk rate has actually declined the last two years, down to 3.3%. Baez definitely benefits from his surrounding cast, but he is likely to hit near the bottom of the lineup. He doesn't figure to be a .300 hitter this year or any time soon, so you're drafting him primarily for HR and RBI opportunities. Players like Justin Turner, Jake Lamb, and Maikel Franco have all posted stronger power numbers, yet are often being selected later than Baez. There's a chance Baez suddenly emerges into a star, but don't overpay for youth and potential in re-draft leagues.

Hernan Perez, Milwaukee Brewers (Avg. pick: 163) - 34 steals with a decent .272 average might seem like a late-round bargain for someone that slots at MI and CI. Perez participated in the Brewers' track meet of a season with 41 of their league-leading 237 SB attempts. If Perez can keep up that pace, he will be worth his current ADP for speed alone. If not, there is little else in his profile that gives him value at a traditional power-hitting position. He is a career .255 hitter with 14 HR in 740 big league at-bats. If he is still available outside of the 200th overall pick, peg him as a backup or utility player, but don't count on him as a fantasy starter.

 

Fair Value Third Basemen

Jose Ramirez, Cleveland Indians (Avg. pick: 97) - One of the more polarizing picks in this year's draft crop may be the budding star infielder for the AL champs. Ramirez provided value across the board in 2016 with 11 HR, 76 RBI, 22 SB and a .312 average. The problem lies in the fact that those numbers exceed his stats from the previous two seasons combined. At age 24, is he just tapping into his vast multi-category potential or is he due for regression? The reality, as usual, will likely be somewhere in between. Any time a player contributes in all five standard categories, he's got to be valued higher than most of his counterparts. Just don't overpay for one season's worth of evidence.

Eduardo Nunez, San Francisco Giants (Avg. pick: 118) - Shifting to San Fran at the trade deadline didn't do wonders for Nunez's fantasy value, but the talent is still there. He dealt with injuries in September too, clouding the end of his All-Star season. His 2016 seemingly came out of nowhere, but some positive indicators suggest this wasn't a flash in the pan. His ISO had been trending up for four straight years and his rate of SB per PA had been nearly as high when he was a Yankee seeing limited playing time. Nunez will turn 30 before the break hits, meaning we are unlikely to see better numbers than last year, but he shouldn't be completely dismissed either.

 

More Undervalued & Overvalued Picks


Check out RotoBaller's entire fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and sleepers list, updated daily!




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Logan Webb

on Track to Start Against Dodgers on Monday
Mike Matheson

Leads by Example in Game 2 Win
Jakub Dobes

Rebounds After Loss Yet Again for Montreal
Rachaad White

Undervalued in Dynasty Leagues Despite a Path to Upside
Alex Newhook

Sets Tone in Big Montreal Victory
Stephon Castle

Overcomes Shooting Struggles Friday
Jake Tonges

Should by Now Be Rostered by Every Kittle Dynasty Manager
Anthony Edwards

Carries Heavy Usage in Defeat
Chig Okonkwo

a Clear Breakout Candidate in Washington
Lukas Dostal

Gets Pulled in Game 3 Loss on Friday
Victor Wembanyama

Joins Historic Playoff Company
Mikal Bridges

Continues Postseason Surge with 23-Point Game
Aaron Jones Sr.

Still a Low-Cost, Short-Term Dynasty Target
Kelly Oubre Jr.

Keeps Scoring Role Alive
Romeo Doubs

' Buy Window Could Soon Be Wide Open
Joel Embiid

Held to 18 Points in 76ers Game 3 Loss
Brett Howden

Notches Sixth Goal of the Postseason
Jalen Brunson

Tallies 33 Points to Take 3-0 Series Lead
VEG

Mitch Marner Hat Trick Helps Vegas Take Series Lead
Pat Bryant

Working With Training Staff This Offseason
Jacoby Brissett

in Communication With Cardinals Despite Skipping Workouts
Daniel Jones

Could Take Part in 7-on-7 Drills at OTAs
Tyler Glasnow

Dodgers Put Tyler Glasnow on Injured List With Back Spasms
Sam Merrill

Iffy for Game 3 on Saturday
Anthony Edwards

Rejoins Starting Lineup Friday
Kevin Huerter

Likely to Remain Out Saturday
Jarred Vanderbilt

Considered Questionable for Saturday
Jalen Williams

Ruled Out for Game 3 Against Lakers
Ayo Dosunmu

Cleared to Play Friday
Anthony Edwards

Available Friday Night
Joel Embiid

is Returning for Game 3 on Friday
Brandon Ingram

Undergoes Heel Surgery
Josh Hart

is Available to Play in Game 3
OG Anunoby

is Downgraded to Out for Game 3 on Friday
Mitchell Robinson

is Returning for Game 3
Mats Zuccarello

Expected to Play Saturday
Joel Eriksson Ek

to Be a Game-Time Decision Saturday
Jonas Brodin

Still Out Saturday
Josh Manson

Could Return Saturday
Kaedan Korczak

Scratched for Game 3 Against Ducks
Radko Gudas

Likely to Remain Out Friday
Sam Carrick

Won't Play Friday
Isiah Pacheco

Can Isiah Pacheco Re-Establish His Dynasty Value in Detroit?
Rico Dowdle

Dynasty Ceiling Limited By Backfield Committee in Pittsburgh
Rashid Shaheed

a High-Risk, High-Reward Buy-Low Candidate for Dynasty Managers
Marcus Mariota

Is Marcus Mariota Worth Stashing as an Injury Replacement in Dynasty Leagues?
Jacoby Brissett

a Clear Sell-High Candidate for Dynasty Managers
Blake Snell

to Make Season Debut for Dodgers on Saturday
Najee Harris

Can Najee Harris Re-Establish Some Dynasty Value in 2026?
Cole Ragans

Royals Place Cole Ragans on Injured List With Elbow Impingement
Breece Hall

Jets Sign Breece Hall to Three-Year Extension Worth $45.75 Million
Sean Strickland

An Underdog At UFC 328
Khamzat Chimaev

Set For UFC 328 Main Event
Tatsuro Taira

Can Become The New Flyweight Champion
Joshua Van

Set For His First Title Defense
Alexander Volkov

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
MMA

Waldo Cortes-Acosta Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Nick Lodolo

Officially Activated, Making Season Debut on Friday
Denver Broncos

Broncos Sign GM George Paton to New Five-Year Deal
Brandon McManus

Packers Release Kicker Brandon McManus
New York Jets

Jets Talking to a "Number of Veteran Quarterbacks"
Travis Etienne Jr.

a Reliable Dynasty Starter Entering First Season With Saints
Kenneth Gainwell

Is Kenneth Gainwell's Dynasty Stock Still Rising After Offseason Change of Scenery?
Mac Jones

a Deep-League Dynasty Stash Candidate
CFB

Walker Lyons Could be Go-To Target for Bear Bachmeier
Austin Reaves

Scores 31 Points in Game 2 Defeat
CFB

Ty Benefield a Potential Game-Changer for LSU Defense
Chet Holmgren

Anchors Thunder Past Lakers in Game 2
CFB

Hayden Lowe Set for Significant Role Following Miami's NFL Departures
CFB

Taylor Wein in Position for Big Season on Oklahoma's Defensive Line
CFB

Rasheem Biles an Instant Impact Player for Texas
Dan Vladar

Looks to Return to Winning Ways Thursday
Connor Dewar

Penguins Re-Sign Connor Dewar for Two Years
Mikko Rantanen

Played Through Torn MCL Late in the Season
Rasmus Dahlin

Ready to Go Friday
Alexander Nikishin

Set to Return Thursday
Christian Dvorak

Available Thursday
Owen Tippett

Remains Out Thursday
Roman Anthony

Heading for the Injured List
CFB

Sam Leavitt Expected to Be Full-Go for Fall Camp
Tarik Skubal

Could Return in 4-6 Weeks After Successful Elbow Surgery
Cole Ragans

Royals Hopeful That Cole Ragans Makes his Next Start
Mark Stone

Nets Late Power-Play Goal in Losing Effort
Emilio Pagán

Emilio Pagan has Grade 2 Hamstring Strain, Expected to Miss 4-8 Weeks
Joe Ryan

Listed as Scheduled Starter for Saturday Against Cleveland
Tyler Glasnow

Not Expected to Land on the Injured List
Framber Valdez

Suspension Reduced to Five Games
Framber Valdez

Suspended Six Games
Tyler Glasnow

Exits Early on Wednesday With Back Pain
CFB

Brauntae Johnson the Next Star in Notre Dame's Secondary?
CFB

Ethan Barbour a Name to Know in Georgia's Tight End Room
CFB

Payton Pierce Next Up at Linebacker for Ohio State
CFB

Javin Gordon to Play Significant Role for Tennessee?
CFB

Tanook Hines Stepping into WR1 Role for USC
CFB

Rueben Owens II has "Star Potential" in Fourth Campaign
Brandon Woodruff

has Fluid Drained From his Right Shoulder
Brandon Woodruff

to Resume Throwing on Saturday, Return Imminent?
Carlos Correa

to Have Season-Ending Ankle Surgery
Jacob Misiorowski

Listed as Friday's Probable Starter
Logan Webb

Dealing With Knee Discomfort
Carlos Correa

Expected to Miss Significant Time With Ankle Injury
Collin Morikawa

Withdraws From Truist Championship
Xander Schauffele

Carries Elite Form Into Quail Hollow
Hideki Matsuyama

Looks to Bounce Back at Truist Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick

Secures Third Win of 2026 Season
Patrick Cantlay

Continues Playing Well Heading to Truist Championship
Ludvig Aberg

Returns to Action For Truist Championship
Justin Thomas

Searching for Consistency at Quail Hollow
Jordan Spieth

Looks to Break Through at Quail Hollow
Adam Scott

Brings Strong Form to Quail Hollow
Robert MacIntyre

a Steady Option at Truist Championship
Jason Day

Looks to Overcome Approach Struggles at Quail Hollow
Akshay Bhatia

Looks for Complete Game at Truist Championship
Emilio Pagán

Emilio Pagan Headed for Injured List With Hamstring Injury
Justin Rose

to Continue Mid-Season Club Change at Truist Championship
Si Woo Kim

is Back to Peak Form Ahead of Truist Championship
Sam Burns

to Bounce Back at Truist Championship
Cameron Young

Looks to Carry Dominance to Quail Hollow
Rory McIlroy

Returns to Familiar Stomping Grounds This Week at Quail Hollow
Chris Gotterup

Looking to Bounce Back at Quail Hollow
Tommy Fleetwood

Looking For Better Iron Play at Quail Hollow
CFB

Mario Craver Enters No. 1 Wide Receiver Role for Marcel Reed
CFB

LaNorris Sellers a Strong Rebound Candidate in 2026
CFB

Cam Coleman Poised for Monster Year at Texas?
CFB

Will Hammond Pushing to Be Ready for Week 1
Alex Fitzpatrick

Looking to Keep Up Ball-Striking Output at Quail Hollow
CFB

Notre Dame Leads College Football in Returning Snaps
CFB

Two Ole Miss Football Players Arrested, Charged with DUI
Ben Griffin

Looks Solid on the Surface Heading to Charlotte
Chase Elliott

Earns his Second Texas Motor Speedway Victory
Denny Hamlin

Misses Out on Winning at Texas
Alex Bowman

Finishes Third for the Second Week in a Row at Texas
Tyler Reddick

Earns Seventh Top-Five Finish of the Season at Texas
Chris Buescher

Scores his First Career Texas Finish in the Top Five
CFB

Bryce Underwood in Better Situation Entering Sophomore Season
CFB

Nico Iamaleava Emerging as Leader, Playmaker for UCLA
Jack Della Maddalena

Gets Dominated At UFC Perth
Carlos Prates

Shines At UFC Perth
Beneil Dariush

Suffers A First-Round TKO Loss
Quillan Salkilld

Remains Unbeaten In The UFC
Tim Elliott

Drops Decision At UFC Perth
Steve Erceg

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Ollie Schmid

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Marwan Rahiki

Remains Unbeaten
Christopher Bell

Is Christopher Bell Worth Rostering for Texas Lineups?
William Byron

Might have the Speed to Compete for the Win at Texas
Joey Logano

Provides Solid Upside for Texas DFS Lineups
Chase Briscoe

Could Chase Briscoe be A Sneaky Pick for Texas Lineups?
Ty Gibbs

Should DFS Managers Roster Ty Gibbs at Texas?
Daniel Suarez

Is Daniel Suarez Worth Rostering After Career-Best Starting Position at Texas?
Kyle Busch

Is a DFS Risk Starting in the Top 10 at Texas
Tyler Reddick

One of the Favorites to Win at Texas
Chase Elliott

Could Contend for Another Win at Texas
Carson Hocevar

on Pole at Texas
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Wrecks in Practice at Texas
Chris Buescher

Looking to Continue Strong Run at Texas
Austin Dillon

Blows Engine in Practice at Texas
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF