🖥 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE NEW
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

ADP Values for Fantasy Baseball: Third Base

Opening Day is approximately two months away, but it's never too soon to start making those draft lists. Today I'm here to take a look at some overvalued, undervalued and fair value 3B for the 2017 fantasy baseball season.

ADP data from early NFBC rankings can give us a glimpse into what players may be great values and who should be passed over at the hot corner.

Here are some players to monitor in preseason mock drafts to see how their respective values may shift before Spring Training and the fantasy baseball season get underway.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball draft tools and resources:

 

Undervalued Third Basemen

Jake Lamb, Arizona Diamondbacks (Avg. pick: 147) - Many in the fantasy community are wary of Lamb's power surge being a fluke. Moving from 58.3 AB/HR to 18.0 AB/HR is quite a leap, as is a jump to a .260 ISO. Lamb never even hit more than 15 HR in a minor league season, so those concerns are legit. This may work in your favor if Lamb drops far enough on the draft board. Early NFBC data shows him as the 16th ranked 3B in terms of ADP and no higher than overall pick 121. It's hard to envision him surging beyond 30 HR, but if you miss out on the top two tiers of third baseman, you could have 20-25 HR and 80+ RBI waiting for you well past the 10th round.

Mike Moustakas, Kansas City Royals (Avg pick: 199) - Moose is coming off ACL surgery, which is the biggest reason he barely cracks the top 200 overall. An injury typically reserved for NFL players, it will affect his mobility initially, but as a corner infielder it shouldn't hamper him quite as much. The tragedy of the situation is that he was coming off a breakout season in 2015, where he hit .284 with 22 HR and 82 RBI. At 28 years old, he is still in his prime and could represent a good value if he is truly ready for Opening Day.

Eugenio Suarez, Cincinnati Reds (Avg. pick: 266) - A classic post-hype sleeper playing for a rebuilding team, Suarez represents the best potential value at the third base position. Many owners soured on Suarez as he struggled to a .248 average last season, but he did finish with 21 HR and 70 RBI. Streakiness was the biggest issue for Suarez. He hit .270 in April, .173 in May and no higher than .280 in any month. Much like Lamb, there is skepticism about Suarez improving on his power. At his current ADP, you won't have to fill a starting spot to find out.

 

Overvalued Third Basemen

Alex Bregman, Houston Astros (Avg. pick: 94) - Bregman got off to the worst possible start upon his call-up in late July, recording one hit in his first 32 Major League at-bats. He soon corrected that and wound up batting .323 in September. Conventional wisdom is that rookie jitters got the best of him at first, but the hitter we saw toward season's end is indicative of what we'll get in 2017. The reality is that he's still green and will see his share of ups and downs. If you roll the dice with Bregman as your starter, it should only be after you've solidified the first base position with a certified stud earlier in the draft.

Javier Baez, Chicago Cubs (Avg. pick: 120) - The talent is undeniable, but plate discipline is still a question. 108 strikeouts in 450 plate appearances may not be as concerning as the fact his walk rate has actually declined the last two years, down to 3.3%. Baez definitely benefits from his surrounding cast, but he is likely to hit near the bottom of the lineup. He doesn't figure to be a .300 hitter this year or any time soon, so you're drafting him primarily for HR and RBI opportunities. Players like Justin Turner, Jake Lamb, and Maikel Franco have all posted stronger power numbers, yet are often being selected later than Baez. There's a chance Baez suddenly emerges into a star, but don't overpay for youth and potential in re-draft leagues.

Hernan Perez, Milwaukee Brewers (Avg. pick: 163) - 34 steals with a decent .272 average might seem like a late-round bargain for someone that slots at MI and CI. Perez participated in the Brewers' track meet of a season with 41 of their league-leading 237 SB attempts. If Perez can keep up that pace, he will be worth his current ADP for speed alone. If not, there is little else in his profile that gives him value at a traditional power-hitting position. He is a career .255 hitter with 14 HR in 740 big league at-bats. If he is still available outside of the 200th overall pick, peg him as a backup or utility player, but don't count on him as a fantasy starter.

 

Fair Value Third Basemen

Jose Ramirez, Cleveland Indians (Avg. pick: 97) - One of the more polarizing picks in this year's draft crop may be the budding star infielder for the AL champs. Ramirez provided value across the board in 2016 with 11 HR, 76 RBI, 22 SB and a .312 average. The problem lies in the fact that those numbers exceed his stats from the previous two seasons combined. At age 24, is he just tapping into his vast multi-category potential or is he due for regression? The reality, as usual, will likely be somewhere in between. Any time a player contributes in all five standard categories, he's got to be valued higher than most of his counterparts. Just don't overpay for one season's worth of evidence.

Eduardo Nunez, San Francisco Giants (Avg. pick: 118) - Shifting to San Fran at the trade deadline didn't do wonders for Nunez's fantasy value, but the talent is still there. He dealt with injuries in September too, clouding the end of his All-Star season. His 2016 seemingly came out of nowhere, but some positive indicators suggest this wasn't a flash in the pan. His ISO had been trending up for four straight years and his rate of SB per PA had been nearly as high when he was a Yankee seeing limited playing time. Nunez will turn 30 before the break hits, meaning we are unlikely to see better numbers than last year, but he shouldn't be completely dismissed either.

 

More Undervalued & Overvalued Picks


Check out RotoBaller's entire fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and sleepers list, updated daily!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Brandon Williams

Won't Play Saturday
P.J. Washington

to Remain Out Saturday
LeBron James

Ready to Face Bucks
Andrew Nembhard

Could Miss Another Game Saturday
Jusuf Nurkić

Jusuf Nurkic Uncertain for Saturday
Ryan Kalkbrenner

on Track to Return Saturday
Bruce Brown

Active Against Hawks
Aaron Gordon

Available Friday Night
Christian Braun

Cleared to Play Friday
Spencer Jones

Won't Play Friday
Jamal Murray

Out Friday
Julius Randle

Questionable Saturday
Zaccharie Risacher

Out Against Nuggets
Kristaps Porzingis

Ruled Out for Friday
Lauri Markkanen

Resting on Saturday
Jalen Duren

to Miss Fourth Straight Game Saturday
Alex Caruso

Available to Play on Friday
Cade Cunningham

Iffy for Saturday
Anthony Edwards

Tagged as Questionable for Saturday
Cedric Coward

Available to Play on Friday
Jrue Holiday

Downgraded to Out
John Klingberg

Could Return Sunday
Noah Laba

Could Return Saturday
Travis Konecny

a Game-Time Call Saturday
Kevin Stenlund

Available Friday
Anze Kopitar

Misses Second Consecutive Game
Aliaksei Protas

Back in Action Friday
Connor Bedard

Returns to Action Friday Night
Max Kepler

Receives 80-Game PED Suspension
CFB

Cam Coleman Visiting Alabama on Friday
Omarion Hampton

Expects to Play Sunday Night
CFB

Eric Singleton Jr. Enters Transfer Portal, Trending to Land at Florida
CFB

NCAA Denies Trinidad Chambliss a Sixth Year of Eligibility
Omarion Hampton

Questionable for Wild-Card Weekend
Kyle Tucker

Mets Remain in Mix for Kyle Tucker
Ketel Marte

Will Remain With Diamondbacks
Rashee Rice

to be Reviewed Under League's Conduct Policy
Travis Konecny

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Thursday
Blake Coleman

Makes Early Exit for Precautionary Reasons
Carter Hart

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Thursday
Joel Eriksson Ek

Out Day-to-Day
Joel Kiviranta

Labeled Week-to-Week
Brendan Smith

Out for 3-4 Months After Surgery
SJ

Sharks Acquire Laurent Brossoit
Daniel Jones

Colts Plan to Re-Sign Daniel Jones
Jamie Drysdale

Unavailable Against Maple Leafs
Bobby Brink

Sits Out Thursday
Simon Nemec

Back for Devils Thursday
Troy Terry

Misses Thursday's Game
Alexis Lafrenière

Alexis Lafreniere Good to Go Against Sabres
Brad Marchand

Out Thursday
Evgeni Malkin

Set to Return Thursday
Davante Adams

Off the Injury Report, Will Play Against Carolina
Bo Bichette

Phillies to Meet With Bo Bichette
Rome Odunze

Will Return for Wild-Card Game on Saturday
CFB

DJ Lagway Commits to Baylor
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Fire Head Coach Mike McDaniel
Sam LaPorta

Plans to be Back for Training Camp
Owen Caissie

Shipped to Miami as Centerpiece of Trade
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Officially Acquire Edward Cabrera From Marlins
Rome Odunze

Plans to Play on Saturday
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Finalizing Deal to Acquire Edward Cabrera From Marlins
New York Giants

Giants "All-In" on Hiring John Harbaugh
CFB

Jackson Arnold Signs with UNLV
CFB

Sam Leavitt Scheduled to Visit Tennessee
New York Giants

John Harbaugh Expected to be Favorite to Become New Giants Head Coach
Baltimore Ravens

John Harbaugh Won't Return as Ravens Head Coach
Bo Bichette

Unlikely to Return to Toronto?
Jordan Love

Ready to Start in Wild-Card Game Against Bears
CFB

Jadan Baugh Staying with Florida for Junior Season
Washington Commanders

Commanders "Mutually" Parting Ways With OC Kliff Kingsbury
CFB

Byrum Brown Officially Commits to Auburn
CFB

Austin Simmons Signing with Missouri
CFB

Ty Simpson Undecided on 2026 Plans
CFB

Quarterback AJ Hill Following Ryan Silverfield to Arkansas
Atlanta Falcons

Falcons Have Requested an Interview With Klint Kubiak
Deshaun Watson

Browns Expect Deshaun Watson to be on the Team Next Year
Wan'Dale Robinson

Dealing With Fractured Ribs
Cam Skattebo

Hopes to be Back by Training Camp
Cameron Ward

Won't Need Surgery on his Shoulder
Davante Adams

Rams Expect Davante Adams to Return in Wild-Card Round
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals Fire Head Coach Jonathan Gannon
CFB

Trinidad Chambliss Will Return to Ole Miss If Granted Sixth Year of Eligibility
Bo Bichette

Phillies Have Interest in Bo Bichette
Kansas City Royals

Matt Quatraro Signs Three-Year Extension With Royals
CFB

Transfer QB Billy Edwards Commits to North Carolina
CFB

Sam Leavitt Visiting Texas Tech on Saturday

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP