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DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup Picks - The Rocket Mortgage With Min Woo Lee, Taylor Pendrith, Aaron Rai, Maverick McNealy, Nicolai Hojgaard, Matt Wallace and More Golf Advice (2024)

Be sure to follow me on Twitter /X @TeeOffSports to get more answers this week. Also, if you aren't doing so already, I'd love for you to consider signing up for my RotoBaller premium subscription. There are numerous tools available, including my heralded 'PGA Rankings Wizard Model.'

 

PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - The Rocket Mortgage

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PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)

  • A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide of everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market. 
  • The Rocket Mortgage

Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)

  • Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
  • All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (265-194-25) 57.73%
  • Total H2Hs Since 2017: (518-361-71) 58.93%
  • Outright Winners Since 2017: 42
  • Units: +327.863 Units
  • All Totals Are Entering 2024
  • Click here to see an example

In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)

  • Here, you will find updated stats for the particular tournament -- all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.

In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4

First-Round Leader Article

One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)

  • 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look into a handful of options to consider.
  • Click here to see an example

Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool)

  • We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.

Premium Discord Access

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TeeOffSports membership

 

Field

Field Size: 156
Cut: Top-65 & Ties
Top 20 Entrants: 1

 

Last Five Winners of the Rocket Mortgage

2023 Rickie Fowler -24
2022 Tony Finau -26
2021 Cam Davis -18
2020 Bryson DeChambeau -23
2019 Nate Lashley -25

 

Expected Cut-Line At The Rocket Mortgage

2023 -3
2022 -2
2021 -2
2020 -4
2019 -4


Detroit Golf Club

7,370 Yards - Par 702 - Greens Bent/Poa

We will go over the course on my podcasts this week!

 

Let's Look at the Stats

Stat Detroit Golf PGA Average
Driving Distance 296 283
Driving Accuracy 65% 61%
GIR Percentage 72% 65%
Scrambling Percentage 62% 57%
Average Three-Putts Per Round 0.52 0.55

 

Key Stats 

Let's quickly run through how I built my model.

Weighted Strokes Gained: Total (30%)

 

Distance + All Proximity + Putting (Geared Toward Detroit Golf (10%)

 

Total Driving + Short Prox + Comp Putting (10%)

 

Strokes Gained: Total Easy Scoring (10%)

 

Strokes Gained Total: Donald Ross (10%)

 

Weighted Scoring (20%)

 

Expected Ball-Striking (10%)

 

Total Number of Top-10's Out of the Seven Categories: Two-Year Running Model

I will dive deeper into what went into these totals later in the week on my podcast. If you aren't doing so already, you can follow Bettor Golf Podcast on X.

 

First Look Into Outright Bets

Player Odds Risk Win Book
Min Woo Lee 22 0.32 7.04 BetMGM
Nicolai Hojgaard 66 0.15 9.9 BetRivers
Taylor Pendrith 40 0.17 6.8 DraftKings
Taylor Montgomery 100 0.07 7 BetRivers

 

Golfers to Land in the Top 60 of the Field for All Categories

(Not a negative value over five spots off, Using Top 75 this week)

 

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)

We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.

 

High-Priced DraftKings DFS Players 

***There are six players priced above $10,000. Please remember that my DFS article is always a first look at the field. Opinions might shift as the week goes on, and I am more than happy to discuss anyone further on Twitter/X.

My biggest problem with Alex Noren and Cameron Young is their projected ownership and actual price tags. Both of their profiles have a certain built-in safety, but my model prefers the win equity marks from Tom Kim and Min Woo Lee.

Lee ranked second in my model for Distance + Proximity + Putting and also landed at the exact same total for Weighted Strokes Gained Total. When you add that to his stout Total Driving Expectation, you get a golfer who joined Kim with nine top 10 categories out of 14 chances between the two.

 

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA and Betting subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, Spencer's data models, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get exclusive access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry!

 

Mid-Priced DraftKings DFS Players

$9,000 Range

I found this board straightforward in how I wanted to treat these opening two sections. If Kim and Lee are going to land as my higher-priced commodities, Taylor Pendrith is worth the chalk at his $9,600 price tag.

Pendrith has generated seven top-33 finishes over his past eight starts, posting a victory and four additional top-25 results during that run. While I realize a lot of that has been putter-heavy in its nature, there wasn't a golfer in my model who graded better on "Easy-Scoring Courses" or Recent Strokes Gained Total than the Canadian.

Pendrith's distance has helped him to post back-to-back top-15 finishes at this course during his only two attempts.

 

Mid-Priced DraftKings DFS Players

$8,000 Range 

There is a lot to like in this section. Most players graded as a neutral or better value when looking through the slate

I came very close to betting Maverick McNealy and Aaron Rai in the outright market but decided not to because of their lack of upside totals in my sheet. While that decision came because we can't have tickets on everyone in the field, each man looks like a legit top-five candidate to consider for DFS.

You can see their profiles inside of my model.

 

Low-Priced DraftKings DFS Players to Consider ($7,000+)

Check out my model for everything in this section. There, you will get individual rankings on all players and be able to weigh the data to create your very own model when you make a copy. Please consider signing up for this tool that I am very proud to share with the public!

The only reason Matt Wallace didn't make my outright card was because of his lengthy travel to get to Detroit Golf Club. Maybe that was too technical of a reason, but the price tag is substantially too cheap here for DFS. 

I had envisioned a different year for Nicolai Hojgaard entering 2024. Outside of his early-season top-10 showings at the Dubai Desert Classic and Farmers Insurance Open, there has yet to be a top-15 finish on his resume in 12 starts since that moment, including four missed cuts and an additional four finishes landing 50th or worse. 

I know all those reasons are going to discourage DFS players, but Hojgaard ranked first in this field when combining Distance, Proximity and Putting into one grade to fit the venue, and it also found an upside for him to use his length off the tee to overcome some of his recent questionable returns with the driver. 

The floor has problems, but I view this answer similarly to why I liked Wyndham Clark last week. 

 

$6,000 Options to Consider

If you could promise me Taylor Montgomery would enter the week healthy, he would be my locked-in choice for this section. I will just leave him as someone I am incredibly bullish on and way above public consensus, but I don't want to fall into the trap of recommending a player who might pull out of the event or might be rusty as my favorite play. 

Instead, I will go with Thorbjorn Olesen as my preferred DFS target to avoid that danger. Olesen has produced five made cuts during his past six events and landed 16th in this field for Total Driving + Short Proximity + Corollary Putting Courses.

 

$5,000 Options to Consider

I gave Carson Young -120 over Ben Silverman at BetOnline earlier. We have since moved that line out to -138, but I would guess the price comes back down at some point.

Youmg's profile isn't perfect, but there is a certain return that is interesting my model.

 

Favorite Play Each Section (Monday):

$10,000+ - Min Woo Lee/Tom Kim
$9,000+ - Taylor Pendrith
$8,000+ - Aaron Rai/Maverick McNealy
$7,000+ - Nicolai Hojgaard/Matt Wallace
$6,000+ - Thorbjorn Olesen
$5,000+ - Carson Young

 

Fade In Each Section (Monday):

$10,000+ - Alex Noren
$9,000+ - Will Zalatoris
$8,000+ - Robert Macintyre
$7,000+ - Erik Van Rooyen
$6,000+ - Cameron Champ/Ben Silverman
$5,000+ - Martin Laird (There are a ton of options to consider) - I just gave the most mis-priced one near the top

  Win More With RotoBaller

Win more with expert tools and advice from proven winners! RotoBaller's PGA Premium Packages feature several savvy analysts and proven winners for DFS and betting.

Our very own Joe Nicely took down a big DraftKings DFS tournament for the Travelers Championship. And as an encore, RotoBaller subscriber @tenndolly2 won $100K on FanDuel with the help of Joe and the rest of our Premium PGA team:

Between all the incredible Premium PGA DFS and Betting content and tools we put out each week, and our Premium Slack Community where we chat with our subscribers before lineups lock, RotoBaller PGA subscribers are armed with the tools, analysis, and advice to win more.

Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks


More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Exits With Knee Contusions
Christian McCaffrey

Listed as Limited With Calf Injury
Justin Jefferson

Not on Week 1 Injury Report
Omarion Hampton

to Start Against Chiefs on Friday
Will Smith

Unlikely to Play This Weekend
Shohei Ohtani

to Pitch on Monday
Najee Harris

Off the Final Injury Report, Will Play in Week 1
Jon Rahm

Looks to Prove His Importance on European Ryder Cup Team
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Among Leaders of European Ryder Cup Team
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Expected to be Sidelined in Week 1, Could Miss More Time
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to Start for Mets on Sunday
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Plans to Return on Thursday
Will Smith

X-Rays Negative on Will Smith's Hand
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Gets Incentives Added to Contract
Jakobi Meyers

Unsure About Potential Extension
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Off Injury Report Ahead of Week 1
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Exits With Hand Contusion
Jackson Chourio

in Lineup Wednesday Despite Hamstring Cramps
Sepp Straka

Gets Captain's Pick to Join Team Europe
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Dealing With Soreness in Lower Back
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Victor Hovland to Make Third Ryder Cup Appearance for Team Europe
J.J. Spaun

Set to Represent Team USA for First Time at Bethpage
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Makes First Ryder Cup Appearance at Bethpage
Harris English

Named to Ryder Cup Team for Second Time
Kyle Finnegan

Dealing With Groin Issue
Shohei Ohtani

Will Pitch "Sometime This Weekend"
Jackson Chourio

Absent on Wednesday With Hamstring Cramp
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Officially Goes on Injured List
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Limited on Wednesday, Expected to Play in Week 1
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"High Probability" Roman Anthony Lands on Injured List
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Ben Griffin

Making First Career Ryder Cup Appearance at Bethpage
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Set to be Part of Team USA at Bethpage
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to Undergo Season-Ending Surgery
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Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Leads Slovenia Into Next Round at EuroBasket
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Justin Minaya

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Jaguars List Travis Hunter as Starting Wide Receiver, Backup Cornerback
Kyle Tucker

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Alexandre Sarr

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Jared McCain

"On Pace" for Training Camp
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Done for the Year With Torn ACL
Luke Hughes

Devils Optimistic About Signing Luke Hughes
Martin Fehérváry

Martin Fehervary on Track to Be Ready for Training Camp
Dylan Holloway

Good to Go for Start of Season
Nick Kurtz

Back in Action on Tuesday
Josh Morrissey

Fully Healthy for Start of Season
Dennis Hildeby

Signs Three-Year Extension With Maple Leafs
Dalton Kincaid

Role Not Expected to Grow?
Quinshon Judkins

Zero Chance Quinshon Judkins Plays Against Bengals?
Najee Harris

Says He's Expecting to Play Against Chiefs
Franz Wagner

Collects Double-Double in Blowout Win
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Achieves Rare Numbers at EuroBasket
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Expected to Suit Up in Week 1
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DJ Moore

Bears Experimenting with DJ Moore in Backfield
Rome Odunze

Could Move All Around the Offense
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Dave Canales Comfortable With Panthers' Young Receivers
Quinshon Judkins

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Victor Wembanyama

Looking "Quite Stellar"
Denny Hamlin

Ends Eventful Day at Darlington in Seventh Place
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Almost Earns a Top-Five Finish at Darlington
John Hunter Nemechek

has His Best 2025 Performance at Darlington
Ryan Blaney

Has An Underwhelming Performance At Darlington
Josh Berry

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"Staying in Milwaukee"
Chase Elliott

Under Playoff Pressure After 17th-Place Darlington Finish
Kyle Larson

Despite Hendrick Mediocrity, Kyle Larson Remains Pretty Safe in Playoffs
Alex Bowman

Opening-Lap Crash and Botched Pit Stop May Have Sunk Alex Bowman's Playoff Hopes
Erik Jones

Darlington Master Erik Jones Comes Up Short but Still Finishes Third
AJ Allmendinger

A.J. Allmendinger Impresses at Southern 500
Daniel Suarez

is A DFS Risk for Darlington Lineups?
Noah Gragson

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Noah Gragson for Darlington?
Ty Dillon

is an Excellent Punt Option for Darlington DFS Lineups
Denny Hamlin

Picking Up Where He Left Off At Darlington
Kyle Larson

The Sky Is The Limit for Kyle Larson at Darlington
Ryan Blaney

a Strong DFS Play at Darlington This Weekend
Tyler Reddick

Shouldn't Be Overlooked at Darlington This Weekend
Alex Bowman

An Easy Place-Differential Play in DFS This Weekend
Ty Gibbs

Could Be Strong at Darlington This Weekend
Erik Jones

Has Best Darlington Qualifying Effort Since Last Win
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Hopeful For Another Solid Run At Darlington

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