DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup Picks - The Memorial Tournament Advice (2025)

May 26, 2025

Spencer's DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks for the 2025 Memorial Tournament. His PGA DFS targets and value plays for daily fantasy golf lineups, and golfers to avoid.

Welcome, everyone, to my DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks and advice for the 2025 Memorial. I'll be providing DFS picks and analysis to help you set those winning DraftKings lineups.

New starting this year -- if you want to see a deeper dive into my DraftKings analysis and thoughts for the week, you can click that link and find my beefed-up version, including more picks, data, analysis, and PGA DFS models.

Be sure to follow me on Twitter /X @TeeOffSports to get more answers this week. Also, if you aren't doing so already, I'd love for you to consider signing up for my RotoBaller premium subscription. There are numerous tools available, including my heralded 'PGA Rankings Wizard Model.'

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings - The Memorial

Below are some of my favorite picks for DraftKings. We also have tons of other great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.

PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Spencer's Model (And More)

We have some exciting changes that we are implementing this year over at RotoBaller. There will be multiple subscription-based tiers for our readers to enjoy, including my very own TeeOffSports VIP Package that will include the following items:

PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)

• A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide on everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market. 
• The Memorial

Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)

• Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
• All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (296-228-30) 56.48%
• In-Tournament H2Hs (300-200-55) 60.00%
• Total H2Hs Since 2017: (596-428-85) 58.20%
• Outright Winners Since 2017: 51
• Units: +340.903 Units
• All Totals Are Entering 2025
• Click here to see an example

In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)

• Here, you will find updated stats for the particular tournament -- all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.

In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4

• Lifetime Record:
• (300-200-55) 60.00%
• Click here to see an example

First-Round Leader/ 3-Ball Articles

• Nine first-round leader wins in 2022.
• Click here to see an example

One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)

• 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look at a handful of options to consider.
• Click here to see an example

Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool) + Ownership Trends

• We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.

Premium Discord Access

• Join the community! You will be able to talk to fellow subscribers and have real-time weekly chats with the team.

TeeOffSports membership

• $224.99 per year - Sign up today for all the tools I provide!
• You can also try things out for $14.99 per week or get the complete PGA Platinum package from everyone on the team for $299.99. I believe that deal is one of the best offers in the space since it includes top-notch work from the likes of Joe Nicely, Byron Lindeque, others, and myself!

You can also sign up for the rest of the year for a discounted purchase that runs through December 31st. Now is the perfect time to try out all the great features at RotoBaller!

Let's Look at the Stats

Field

Field Size: 72
Cut: Top-50 & Ties
Top 20 Entrants: 18

Last Five Winners of The Memorial

Expected Cut-Line at The Memorial

Limited field this week. The data will run marginally differently.

Muirfield Village

7,543 Yards - Par 72 - Greens Bentgrass

You can find my premium course breakdown in my Vegas Report this week.

First Look Into Outright Bets

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA and Betting subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, Spencer's data models, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get exclusive access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry!

Final 2023 Golf Betting Results:
(Individual breakdowns of all sections in thread) @RotoBaller

2023 (+16.634 Units)
2022 (+67.485 Units)
2021 (+68.846 Units)
2020 (+37.015 Units)
2019 (+27.743 Units)
2018 (+55.88 Units)
2017 (+54.26 Units)

Overall: (+327.863 Units) pic.twitter.com/tuaDfwFXlo

— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) November 21, 2023

Bounce-Back Candidates

Daniel Berger ($8,600), Aaron Rai ($7,600)

One of the factors I try to find in my model stems from golfers who struck the ball well during their last start but may have underachieved because of an abnormally poor putting performance (or at least poorer than my baseline statistics projected).

There were two names for me at Charles Schwab who fit that criteria to a "T."

1. Aaron Ra
2. Daniel Berger

My model ranked Berger and Rai as top-15 win equity players on the slate (top 10 for Berger), and you can find additional top 10 returns when diving into Tee-To-Green production over the last 24 rounds when gearing the statistics to fit Muirfield Village on each name.

I will be aggressively building lineups around both, and each option carries real win equity consideration/tons of DFS playability.

Better Than They Are Priced Weekly

Andrew Novak ($7,100), Bud Cauley ($6,800)

What do Andrew Novak and Bud Cauley have to do to garner more respect in the market?

While Aaron Rai is technically the best value for me on the slate in the $7,000 section, Novak landed a close second because of his stellar form and equally stout statistical profile. My model ranked him fourth in my 'Key Scoring' ouput, a glorified projection for those with the best chance to produce birdies on the par-five locations and avoid mistakes at the longer par-four settings.

Conversely, Cauley was my model's top $6,000 golfer because of his overall appeal of landing as the only sub-$8,000 golfer to crack the top 40 of all seven metrics I weighed this week. That profile is enough to make him worth consideration in all lineup constructions. 

Safety, First?

Tommy Fleetwood ($9,400), Corey Conners ($9,100) 

I could write a novel about Tommy Fleetwood and Corey Conners' safety, but do they possess true first-place upside in the $9,000 range?

While that question requires more follow-ups than pure answers, I am not sure it matters quite as much in this particular setting since birdies are tough to come by this week, and scoring totals will be dominated by finishing position marks.

I trust no two golfers more for their built-in top-20 safety in this field, meaning don't be surprised if one or the other finds their way into an optimal build. 

If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU

— Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) June 28, 2020

Congrats @tenndolly2 ???

Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt

— RotoBaller PGA (@RotoBallerPGA) August 10, 2020

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