DraftKings Cognizant Golf

Spencer's DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks for the 2025 Cognizant Classic. His PGA DFS targets and value plays for daily fantasy golf lineups, and golfers to avoid.

Welcome everyone to my DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks and advice for the 2025 Cognizant Classic. I'll be providing DFS picks and analysis to help you set those winning DraftKings lineups.

New starting this year -- if you would like to see a deeper dive into my DraftKings analysis and thoughts for the week, you can click that link and find my beefed-up version, including more picks, data, analysis, and PGA DFS models.

Be sure to follow me on Twitter /X @TeeOffSports to get more answers this week. Also, if you aren't doing so already, I'd love for you to consider signing up for my RotoBaller premium subscription. There are numerous tools available, including my heralded 'PGA Rankings Wizard Model.'

PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Cognizant Classic

We have some exciting changes that we are implementing this year over at RotoBaller. There will be multiple subscription-based tiers for our readers to enjoy, including my very own TeeOffSports VIP Package that will include the following items:

PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)

• A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide of everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market. 
• The Cognizant Classic

Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)

• Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
• All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (296-228-30) 56.48%
• In-Tournament H2Hs (300-200-55) 60.00%
• Total H2Hs Since 2017: (596-428-85) 58.20%
• Outright Winners Since 2017: 51
• Units: +340.903 Units
• All Totals Are Entering 2025
• Click here to see an example

In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)

• Here, you will find updated stats for the particular tournament -- all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.

In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4

• Lifetime Record:
• (300-200-55) 60.00%
• Click here to see an example

First-Round Leader/ 3-Ball Articles

• Nine first-round leader wins in 2022.
• Click here to see an example

One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)

• 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look into a handful of options to consider.
• Click here to see an example

Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool) + Ownership Trends

• We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.

Premium Discord Access

• Join the community! You will be able to talk to fellow subscribers and have real-time weekly chats with the team.

TeeOffSports membership

• $224.99 per year - Sign up today for all the tools I provide!
• You can also try things out for $14.99 per week or get the complete PGA Platinum package from everyone on the team for $299.99. I believe that deal is one of the best offers in the space since it includes top-notch work from the likes of Joe Nicely, Byron Lindeque, others, and myself!

You can also sign up for the rest of the year for a discounted purchase that runs through December 31st. Now is the perfect time to try out all the great features at RotoBaller!

Let's Look at the Stats

Field

Field Size: 144
Cut: Top 65 & Ties
Top 20 Entrants: 4

Last Five Winners of Vidanta

Expected Cut-Line at the Cognizant

PGA National

7,145 Yards - Par 71 - Greens Bermuda

You can find my premium course breakdown in my Vegas Report this week

You can find Todd Mcgill's free breakdown here

First Look Into Outright Bets

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)

We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA and Betting subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, Spencer's data models, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get exclusive access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry!

Final 2023 Golf Betting Results:
(Individual breakdowns of all sections in thread) @RotoBaller

2023 (+16.634 Units)
2022 (+67.485 Units)
2021 (+68.846 Units)
2020 (+37.015 Units)
2019 (+27.743 Units)
2018 (+55.88 Units)
2017 (+54.26 Units)

Overall: (+327.863 Units) pic.twitter.com/tuaDfwFXlo

— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) November 21, 2023

Favorite Targets Early On Monday

Russell Henley ($10,700)

If I asked you to project the top 11 players inside my model entering the 2025 season, most would not have any trouble rattling off the first handful of names. Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele, Collin Morikawa, Rory McIlroy, Ludvig Aberg, Justin Thomas, Hideki Matsuyama, and Patrick Cantlay are all rather obvious choices. I wouldn't expect there to be much trouble there. However, I did have three names where my math was much higher than consensus.

Sam Burns and Maverick McNealy would be the first two. McNealy has already started this year red-hot after posting a second-place finish at the Genesis during a Signature Event. The other option, which, in fairness, has started to become widely accepted for this answer, would be Russell Henley.

While most DFS gamers have started to trust Henley more during events, the lack of consensus comes into play when you have to pay high price tags for a golfer that the space has deemed to have low win equity. I understand that group-think mentalities and long-term returns are hard to overlook, but Henley's profile yielded very similar projections to how Scheffler ranks in most events when comparing him to the given field.

For reference, Henley didn't rank worse than fourth in any of the seven categories. That will show the upside when you realize Sungjae Im, Keith Mitchell and a handful of others were the only names to rank inside the top 10 four times between those seven categories. 

Ben Griffin ($8,500)

Ben Griffin has always been a Bermuda specialist who sees his highest ceiling potential on this grass type. I realize that the ultimate factor of winning hasn't been rewarded throughout this stage of his career, but the upside has started to seep through the cracks, with Griffin posting four top-15 finishes during his last nine events.

My model placed Griffin sixth in this field for Weighted Strokes Gained Total, 11th for Lead-In Form, and third for Weighted Scoring.

If the putter can see a 34-spot improvement from 46th to 12th, as my model projects, Griffin could be a massive value in this field at $8,500.

Max Greyserman ($8,700)

Hi, my name is Spencer, and I was one of this app's biggest Max Greyserman faders to start the season.

In fairness, taking him on was the correct route since he has only generated one top-20 in six tournaments. However, Greyserman has likely been way too negatively affected during his recent Poa run, where he went from one of the best putters in the world to a golfer who struggled to succeed on a new surface.

The floor might be lower than some in this range, but my model did rank him as one of only four golfers to grade inside the top 40 for all seven categories.

A return to Bermuda isn't garnering the overabundance of support he was attracting for a handful of months, so I will now fight the good fight of leverage with someone the industry has abandoned.

If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU

— Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) June 28, 2020

Congrats @tenndolly2 ???

Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt

— RotoBaller PGA (@RotoBallerPGA) August 10, 2020

Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks

More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks