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The top daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for FanDuel and DraftKings on May 11th, 2022. Juan Carlos Blanco's MLB DFS analysis and sleepers for building optimal DFS rosters.
Welcome back to another edition of the FREE DraftKings and FanDuel MLB DFS picks. As customary, we have an all-day ledger on tap Wednesday, and although DraftKings does not have a full-day slate, FanDuel does. Consequently, today's article will feature picks on both sites for games throughout the day, as even on DK, the suggestions will prove viable for someone playing one of the site's split slates.
Identifying comfortable selections at pitcher is a bit challenging Wednesday, as several quality arms are in tough matchups. However, there are three arms I have a solid amount of confidence in and plenty of appealing bats as well.
This article will provide my daily fantasy baseball lineup picks for Fanduel and DraftKings on 5/11/2022 that includes a FanDuel main slate locking at 12:35 pm ET. The lineup will range from some elite players to mid-priced options and value plays. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for other sports. It's also essential to monitor injury news and today's MLB starting lineups. If you have any questions or comments, find me on Twitter and ask away!
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DraftKings, FanDuel Pitchers - MLB DFS Lineup Picks
Tylor Megill - P, NYM at WAS ($9,900 DK, $10,000 FD)
Megill has been very impressive thus far this season, allowing more than three earned runs in just one of his six starts and recording a 4-1 record, 2.43 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, and 27.7 percent strikeout rate. Megill's xBA of .222 and xwOBA of .297 further corroborate his effectiveness, and Wednesday, he draws a matchup against a Nationals team that's just 10-21 on the season and averaging an MLB-low 2.2 runs per home game. Washington also has a 25.1 percent strikeout rate, .194 average, and MLB-worst .237 wOBA and -17.6 wRAA against righties at home, furthering Megill's case.
Miles Mikolas - P, STL vs. BAL ($9,100 DK, $9,600 FD)
Mikolas has allowed a minuscule 4.8 percent barrel rate, .235 xBA, and .283 xwOBA, along with a very modest 27.9 percent hard-hit rate. All of those metrics corroborate how difficult it's been for hitters to get good wood on the ball against him, as does his 1.53 ERA and 0.99 WHIP. Wednesday, he gets a crack at an Orioles squad that's averaging just 3.2 runs per road game. Baltimore has won three straight and shown some pop against right-handers on the road, but Mikolas has yet to allow more than two earned runs in any start and has a 2.98 ERA and 1.08 WHIP at Busch Stadium since the start of the 2020 season.
Other options: Shohei Ohtani, LAA vs. TB ($8,800 DK, $10,800 FD)
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DraftKings, FanDuel Infielders - MLB DFS Lineup Picks
Pete Alonso - 1B, NYM at Aaron Sanchez ($4,900 DK, $3,900 FD)
Alonso gets a premium matchup in Sanchez, who's opened the season having pitched to an 8.56 ERA and 1.54 WHIP, crooked numbers that are accompanied by a .290 xBA and mammoth 59.6 percent hard-hit rate per Statcast. He's also allowed a .414 average and .466 wOBA to the first 32 right-handed hitters he's faced this season, while Alonso checks in with a .364 xwOBA overall and a .305 average with a .911 OPS against right-handed pitching specifically. Six of Alonso's seven homers have come in same-handed matchups as well, making him worthy of a tournament flyer in particular.
Ty France - 2B, SEA vs. Bailey Falter ($4,200 DK, $3,700 FD)
France's bat had quieted some after a recent torrid stretch, but he bounced back Tuesday with a 2-for-3 night that also included a walk. The talented infielder is now slashing .320/.396/.475, making him a highly viable cash game or GPP play against Falter, who'll be making only his second big-league start after logging four relief appearances early this season. The righty-hitting France has been a bit more proficient in same-handed matchups, but he owns a .353 average, .429 wOBA, and .235 ISO against lefties at home in a small sample this season, and he posted a .348 average and .401 wOBA in that split in 2021 over 105 plate appearances.
Jeremy Pena - SS, HOU at Chris Archer ($4,800 DK, $3,100 FD)
Pena is putting together a solid rookie season that currently includes a .808 OPS and 17 RBI over 28 games. The young shortstop has a .377 xwOBA and 46.5 percent hard-hit rate as well, and he's hit four of his first six big-league homers off right-handed pitching. Pena has a .352 wOBA and .246 ISO against righties, while Archer checks in allowing a co-career-high 13.0 percent barrel rate, .379 xwOBA, and robust 44.4 percent hard-hit rate. He's been effective against right-handed hitters overall early in the season, but he's also given up a 2.3 HR/9 to righty bats and has been partly bailed out by an unsustainably low. 179 BABIP against him in that split.
Colin Moran - 3B, CIN vs. Adrian Houser ($2,700 DK, $2,400 FD)
Moran's bat may finally be starting to come to life after an unusually slow start, as went into Tuesday night with three homers and seven RBI over the previous two games. The veteran infielder has an interesting matchup Wednesday against Houser, who he's tormented to the tune of a .600 average with a pair of homers and only two strikeouts in 15 career encounters. Houser has been a bit fortunate thus far, as there's a sizable gulf between his wOBA (.279) and xwOBA (.334) and he's also yielding a career-high 39.7 percent hard-hit rate. He's also given up a .357 average, .448 wOBA, and 2.00 WHIP to the 15 left-handed hitters he's faced on the road, and a .311 average, .394 wOBA, and 5.76 xFIP in that same split over a much larger sample last season.
Other options: C.J. Cron - 1B, COL at Alex Cobb ($5,500 DK, $4,000 FD)
DraftKings, FanDuel Outfielders - MLB DFS Lineup Picks
Luis Robert - OF, CWS vs. Aaron Civale ($5,100 DK, $3,600 FD)
Robert's bat has caught fire after an ugly start to the season, as he's now slashing .282/.322/.459 following a 2-for-4 night Tuesday. The talented outfielderhas a nine-game hitting streak, and he should be in a good position to extend it Wednesday against Civale. The right-hander has pitched to a 9.45 ERA, 1.70 WHIP, and .408 wOBA, and he's also giving up a career-high 13.4 percent barrel rate. He's also yielded a .455 average over 14 encounters with Robert in his career, and he's surrendering a .388 average and .480 wOBA to right-handed hitters. Robert has enjoyed his greatest success against left-handed pitching thus far, but he still boasts a .350 average and .225 ISO against right-handed pitching at home in his career.
Christian Yelich - OF, MIL at Vladimir Gutierrez ($4,300 DK, $3,800 FD)
Yelich now boasts a .444 average in 13 career encounters with Gutierrez after tagging him for another couple of hits in last Wednesday's game. With Gutierrez now allowing a .326 average and .511 wOBA to left-handed hitters, along with a 3.3 HR/9, Yelich is right back in play despite his overall struggles this season. The one-time MVP has hit three of his five homers on the season against right-handers, and he's due for some hits to start falling considering he boasts a .296 xBA, .598 xSLG, .408 xwOBA, and career-high 58.4 percent hard-hit rate, per Statcast.
Aaron Judge - OF, NYY vs. Jose Berrios ($6,000 DK, $4,300 FD)
Judge just slugged a walk-off homer Tuesday night and now draws a matchup against a pitcher in Berrios that he's given plenty of trouble to in the past. The Yankees' masher has a .571 average, a pair of homers, and just two strikeouts against Berrios in 17 career PAs, and he entered Tuesday with a .293 average and .948 OPS versus right-handed pitching for the season. Meanwhile, Berrios has allowed a .310 average and .378 wOBA to the 45 right-handed hitters he's faced on the road thus far, making Judge's case even more appealing.
Other options: Mark Canha, NYM at Aaron Sanchez ($2,800 DK, $2,600 FD)
DraftKings, FanDuel MLB DFS Stacks
White Sox vs. Aaron Civale, CLE, RHP
Mets at Aaron Sanchez, WAS, RHP
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