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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Wednesday, September 13th 2023.
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Today's Betting Overview - Marlins vs. Brewers
The Marlins take on the Brewers on Wednesday, September 13th 2023 at American Family Field, Milwaukee. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.
- Matchup: Miami Marlins (74-71) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (81-63)
- Date: Wednesday, September 13th 2023
- Time: 7:40 ET
- Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Marlins vs. Brewers
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Miami Marlins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Miami Marlins enter play ranked 3rd in the NL East with an overall record of 74-71. Miami will be looking to move their record on the road to above .500, as they are currently 34-39 away from home.
Being favored 67 times in 145 games, Miami has a record against the runline of 66-79. The team has an over/under record of 67-75, with an average betting line of 8.
For Miami, Braxton Garrett gets the start, currently holding a record of 8-6. Through 28 outings, Braxton Garrett has an ERA sitting at 3.82. Opponents have had a tough time against the left-hander, as they are batting just .248 against him. So far, Garrett has given up 18 home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .308. Garrett's WHIP of 1.16 comes along with a total of 25 walks allowed.
This year, runs have been hard to come by for Miami's offense, as they are the 27th-ranked scoring team at 4.1. Although the team has struggled to drive in base runners, the Marlins offense comes into this matchup ranked 6th in the league, at .257. In terms of home runs, Miami ranks 20th, with a total of 147 home runs. To date, Miami has the MLB's 18th-rated OBP, sitting at .312.
Milwaukee Brewers - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
As the Milwaukee Brewers host the Miami Marlins, they have a record of 81-63, placing them 1st in the NL Central. On the season, the Brewers have an above .500 home record, going 42-28 at American Family Field.
Despite having the advantage of being favored in 74 of their 144 games, Milwaukee's record vs. the runline is just 70-74. The team's over/under record comes in at 66-74 with an average betting line of 9.
For Milwaukee, Trevor Megill gets the start, currently holding a record of 1-0. Through 26 appearances, Trevor Megill has an ERA of 3.38. Currently, opponents are batting just .231 against the right-hander. Trevor Megill has given up two home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .265. With a total of eight walks, Megill has a WHIP of 1.23.
On offense, Milwaukee comes into the game averaging 4.5 runs per game, placing them in a group of teams near the league average. Together, the Brewers' offense has the 17th-ranked batting average, at .238. So far, the team is the 20th-rated home run hitting team, with a total of 147 deep shots. Throughout the season, Milwaukee is ranked 15th in OBP (.317).
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Marlins vs. Brewers
Heading into today's matchup between Miami and Milwaukee, the Marlins are the betting favorite at -115 on the moneyline. Miami's implied win probability sits at 53.49%. The MLB predictive model has the Marlins picking up the win. However, it is recommended to stick to the moneyline for today's action.
Recommended Betting Pick: Marlins Moneyline -115
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