MLB Home Run Player Prop Bets Today: Best Hitter HR Props (10/8/2025)

October 8, 2025

Koby's best MLB player prop bets for today (10/8/2025). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props, including Eugenio Suarez, Kerry Carpenter, and Shohei Ohtani

Welcome Back, RotoBallers! This is likely the last full day of MLB we see for the rest of the season. We have all four divisional series games on the slate for us as the Yankees clutched up and survived the sweep in Game 3. All four games are possible elimination games. We could be in for an exciting slate of baseball!

I will provide my three favorite home run bets on today’s slate. I do not recommend betting any more than three home runs, as it will be tough to sustain a bankroll. My favorite way to bet home runs is to round-robin them, which I will do tonight. I've put a small unit size on these, but I want the opportunity to cash in bigger if more than one home run is hit.

Below, you'll read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Wednesday, October 8, 2025. Odds for each pick are from DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day. Remember to always shop around at other sportsbooks for the best price so you can get more value on your wagers. Odds can vary significantly from one sportsbook to another.

MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (10/8/2025)

Here are all the hitters I'll cover for HR props on Wednesday, October 8:

• Eugenio Suarez, Seattle Mariners
• Kerry Carpenter, Detroit Tigers
• Shohei Ohtani, Los Angeles Dodgers

Eugenio Suarez OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+443 DraftKings)

Our first game is an excellent spot to attack home runs. I'll be attacking both sides of this game, but I'll start here with Eugenio Suarez, who just smacked his first postseason home run of the season in last night's game.

Suarez has been elite against RHP this season, hitting 36 of his 49 home runs off the righties. He is also slashing a .547 SLG and a .298 ISO, with a Barrel% of 14.8%. These numbers have been the best on the team against righties besides Cal Raleigh, who will be hitting as a lefty here.

EUGENIO SUÁREZ GOES YARD! #ALDS pic.twitter.com/dMOXSMM0AH

— MLB (@MLB) October 8, 2025

Casey Mize has been a relatively solid pitcher this season, but it's been the righties who have hurt him quite a bit this season. 13 of his 22 home runs have come against them. Righties have hit a .453 SLG with a .196 ISO and 11.5% Barrel% this season off Mize.

Mize has given up five home runs in his last five starts of the season. He is starting to get hit a bit more towards the end of the season. Mize has been struck off his Splitter, Sinker, and Four-Seamer this season. Suarez has hit 15 of his homers off those pitches, and specifically, the four-seamer has been big for him.

Kerry Carpenter OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+321 DraftKings)

Keeping it here with the same game. Kerry Bonds was a big reason why the Tigers won Game 1. He drove in two runs to give them the lead in Game 1 and finds himself in a great matchup against Bryce Miller in what could be an elimination game.

The lefties have tormented Bryce Miller this season. 10 of his 17 home runs have come from lefties this season, and he is putting up some concerning numbers. Lefties are hitting him to the tune of a .530 SLG, .272 ISO, with a 12.2% Barrel%, and a 44.7% HardHit%.

Along with Carpenter, Riley Greene could be in line for a big game too, but I think that's the chalk pick for the Tigers, so I'm gonna go with Carpenter here.

Against RHP, Carpenter is Slugging .514, with a .255 ISO, and 13.5% Barrel%, and 47.9% HardHit%. With the season on the line here, Carpenter is going to need to come up big to stifle this Mariners offense.

Bryce Miller has quite the arsenal, but mainly throws three pitches. The Four-Seamer, Knuckle Curve, and Splitter combine for 83% of his pitches against lefties. The four-seamer is the main one we are looking at. Carpenter has a .555 SLG against it and has hit 11 of 24 home runs against RHP this season.

The wind is blowing out a little bit here in Detroit as well. We are looking at 7-10 mph winds that could increase throughout the game. This should give a slight boost to some of those fly balls that are just short of the outfield wall.

Shohei Ohtani OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+181 DraftKings)

For our next pick, I'll be looking at the Dodgers/Phillies game. The Phillies are on the brink of elimination and are sending out Aaron Nola to hopefully keep the Dodgers at bay. I'm not sure if that's the best decision, however. Nola has struggled this season to keep it under control. He spent a bit of time on IL this season, but in 17 starts, he has given up 18 home runs.

He has given up 14 home runs to lefties this season and is giving up a SLG of .522, an ISO of .252, and a Barrel% of 15.2% with a 48.5% HardHit%. All these numbers are pretty concerning, as the Dodgers have some pretty hard-hitting lefties in the lineup.

I settled with Shohei Ohtani in this spot as a bit of a chalky pick. But I do think Freddie Freeman is in a good spot as well against Nola. Shohei Ohtani has been on another level and is going to run away with the NL MVP once again.

Against RHP, Ohtani has a SLG of .662, an ISO of .379, a 26.6% Barrel%, and an absurd 61.1% HardHit%. Ohtani has just been on another level, and now, with him going up against a righty with such absurd splits against lefties, this is a recipe for a big home run from Ohtani.

Ohtani has looked great against all pitches that Nola has thrown this season. Nola has thrown five pitches to lefties this season, and Ohtani has had no issue hitting them all. He has an SLG of .526 or better against all five pitches. Ohtani has only one hit in seven ABs against Nola, but I think with more ABs, it is bound to happen eventually.

BONUS PROP

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Hits (+241 DraftKings)

The final bet on the slate isn't a home run bet, but it could involve that. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been red-hot in the playoffs. In three playoff games this season, he has eight hits, including three home runs. He has destroyed the Yankees, and if it wasn't for poor pitching. We could be not talking about this bet at all.

It looks like Cam Schittler will be starting for the Yankees in this one, and who else but Vladdy to go against him? In five ABs against him, he has four hits. We are getting incredible odds on someone to get two or more hits than Vlad himself. He has had two or more hits in all three playoff games this postseason.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has homered in all 3 games of this #ALDS! 🤯 pic.twitter.com/oMFYXwRNjH

— MLB (@MLB) October 8, 2025

With an incredible matchup, I can't pass up on odds like this for something that he is already consistently doing. His homerun bet is solid too, but I think we are getting better value out of two hits versus the home run bet with someone like Schittler on the mound.

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