RADIO
The NASCAR Cup Series heads to the Charlotte Roval on Sunday for the final race of the Round of 12. With his win last week, Chase Elliott locked his way into the Round of 8. Which seven drivers will join him there?
We know it won't be Alex Bowman, as will miss the race due to concussion symptoms. But his Hendrick teammate William Byron got good news this week, as a penalty was rescinded and Byron is now 14 points to the good on the cut line.
Below are my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for DraftKings and FanDuel this week. This slate locks on 10/9/22 at 2:23 p.m. ET. If you have any questions or want to talk about NASCAR, you can find me on Twitter at @juscarts.
Black Friday Special! Save 50% on any Big-4 Sports Premium Pass using discount code SMASH. Win more with our DFS, Betting and Season-Long Premium Pass, get expert tools and advice for NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL from from proven winners! Dan Palyo leads the team with exclusive picks for DFS picks, Props, betting. Enhance your game with industry-leading tools like our Lineup Optimizers, Team Sync Platform, DFS Cheat Sheets and more. GAIN ACCESS
DFS Lineup Picks - DraftKings, FanDuel
Once you're done reading this article, be sure to also check out all of our other weekly NASCAR DFS articles, rankings, and analysis to help you set your optimal DFS lineups. You should also make sure to check out our NASCAR DFS lineup tools for the ultimate combination of DFS tools to help you win big.
Chase Elliott
Starts 9th - DraftKings $10,600 | FanDuel $14,000
When we're talking about road courses in NASCAR, we've got to start by talking about Chase Elliott, who has run 24 road course races in the Cup Series with 17 top 10 finishes. His average finish on road courses is 7.7.
Looking specifically at this track, Elliott has made four visits to the Roval, and he's won twice. In 2019, he led 35 laps on his way to the victory. In 2020, he led 27 laps and won. His worst finish here is 12th. Elliott is my pick to win Sunday's race.
Tyler Reddick
Starts 4th - DraftKings $10,0500| FanDuel $13,500
Elliott is the best full-time road course racer in the Cup Series, but Tyler Reddick has made an argument that he's close.
Reddick has three wins this year, with two of them coming on road courses. He won his first career race at Road America, leading 16 laps, and then was even better at the Indianapolis roval, starting on the pole and leading 38 laps on his way to victory lane.
Will his good run at that roval foreshadow a good run at this roval?
Reddick finished second here last year, and he was also second in his last Xfinity Series start here in 2019.
Kyle Larson
Starts 18th - DraftKings $10,300 | FanDuel $13,000
Larson has some good upside here from a place differential perspective, as he's the second-lowest starting playoff driver.
This 5 car already has a win this season at a road course, as Larson won at Watkins Glen earlier this season. And he also has a win at the Charlotte roval, as he led eight laps on his way to victory lane last year.
In fact, Larson has led in all his Cup races here. The finishes haven't always been there—he led 47 laps in 2018 but finished 25th—but he knows how to get up to the front at this track.
Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS NASCAR subscription? Like what you read today? You can show your support for Justin by using promo code CARTER when purchasing a NASCAR Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium NASCAR articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! Be sure to check out screenshots of NASCAR DFS winners and testimonials from RotoBaller readers and writers who have been winning on DraftKings and FanDuel using RotoBaller's Premium NASCAR tools.
Erik Jones
Starts 26th - DraftKings $7,400 | FanDuel $6,500
Now we get to some of the deeper place differential options, starting with Erik Jones in the 43 car.
Jones has 12 top 10s this year. Of those 12, two were at road courses, as he was ninth at COTA and 10th at Watkins Glen. He was also 15th at Indianapolis.
Jones was an uneven track record here, with one top 10 in four starts, but that one top 10 was a third place finish in 2020. Jones isn't really known for his road course racing, but his average finish of 15.3 at them is better than his average finish at other broad track types, and he's had three top fives in 22 starts.
Aric Almirola
Starts 37th - DraftKings $6,400 | FanDuel $4,500
An engine issue meant that Almirola didn't get to run a qualifying lap, which means we have a Stewart Haas driver starting 37th. Almirola hasn't had the best season, but with an average finish this year of 17.8, you have to hammer this play because of the place differential upside.
Almirola has struggled at road courses this season, with a best finish of 14th at Sonoma. His average finish on road courses is just 21.4 in his career. He's the opposite of Erik Jones—he's actually sneakily bad at these tracks.
But Almirola has been better at the roval. His average finish here is 18.3. He's finished on the lead lap in all four of his starts, including three top 20s. There's always the risk that Almirola gets mired in traffic and can't improve much, but I think I'll take the bet on the speed of this 10 car.
Josh Williams
Starts 38th - DraftKings $4,600 | FanDuel $2,500
I love this as a punt play this weekend. This team isn't very good, but in the two races that Josh Williams has run in it, he's done enough to deliver for DFS purposes.
In the Bristol dirt race, Williams started 36th and finished 25th. At Indy, he started 37th and finished 25th. He finished on the lead lap both times. He has a good bit of road course experience and finished 11th last year in the Xfinity race at this track. Plus, playing Williams really opens things up for you in terms of lineup building. As always, this article represents a valid lineup on DraftKings, so you can see that I fit Williams in with three drivers who cost over $10,000.
You could also try to move things around to get Conor Daly in your lineup, as he starts 39th. There's more upside there since Daly is a better driver, but he's also never run a Cup Series race before, so there's some definite risk.
NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks
More Fantasy NASCAR Analysis
The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success
NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller! Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.
Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.
Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.
