RADIO
The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Kansas this weekend for the AdventHealth 400. This track is also part of the playoff schedule, so Sunday afternoon can provide us a preview of sorts of what'll be an important race this fall.
The last time we were here, Bubba Wallace led 58 laps and won, beating his team owner Denny Hamlin. It was a good day for Toyota, as four of the top five drivers were Toyota drivers.
Below are my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for the AdventHealth 400 on DraftKings and FanDuel this week. This slate locks on 5/7/23 at 3:11 p.m. ET. If you have any questions or want to talk about NASCAR, you can find me on Twitter at @juscarts.
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DFS Lineup Picks - DraftKings, FanDuel
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Kyle Larson
Starts 2nd - DK: $11,200, FD: $14,000
While it was all Toyota here in the Fall, it was all Chevy in qualifying—at least as far as the front row goes, as Hendrick teammates William Byron and Kyle Larson start up front.
Both are capable of winning this race, but I lean Larson over Byron because I think this track suits him a little more. Larson struggled here some early in his career, but in four races with Hendrick, he's got three top 10s here, including a win. And the one time he didn't finish in the top 10, he led 132 of the 267 laps.
With a front-row starting spot, I think Larson could run away with this one. He's my main target for laps led.
Kyle Busch
Starts 16th - DK: $9,400, FD: $1o,000
Busch sat on the pole last week at Dover and led 25 laps, but had some issues and finished 21st. Still, he's shown all season that he has a ton of speed and is a threat every weekend, winning twice and sitting eighth in points through the first 11 races.
A two-time winner here, Busch won the spring race here in 2021, and was third in last year's spring race. His showing in the fall races those years weren't nearly as strong, with two finishes outside the top 20.
Busch has the upside to get you +10 or better in place differential. He also looked strong in last night's Truck race before some contact led to him having to come from the back in the final stage, costing him a shot at the win.
Bubba Wallace
Starts 17th - DK: $9,000, FD: $9,000
Gotta put one Toyota in here, right? Let's go with Bubba Wallace, the winner the last time the Cup Series was at this track.
In fact, Kansas was good to Bubba both times he was here last year, as he started 24th and finished 10th in the spring race. While he struggled here with Richard Petty Motorsports, he has a top 15 in three of his four starts at this track with 23XI Racing. Wallace might not challenge for the win on Sunday, but he's proven he can wheel a car to a top 10 at this track.
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Josh Berry
Starts 29th - DK: $7,700, FD: $7,500
Listen to any NASCAR radio show or podcast and you'll hear rumors that Josh Berry's about to announce some big news about his Cup Series plans next season, Wherever he ends up, his showing these last few weeks as Hendrick's relief driver has been a big part of why.
Between his time in the 9 and the 48, Berry has three top 10s in six starts this season with an average finish of 16.0. That includes 10th last week at Dover in his first race in the 48.
Berry doesn't have a great track record at Kansas, as he's never raced it in Cup and has just two starts here in Xfinity. The first one was back in 2017 for NextGen Motorsports, where a mechanical failure netted him a 34th-place finish. Then last year, he was seventh in the Xfinity race here.
Starting 29th on Sunday, Berry possesses a lot of upside when it comes to place differential based on his recent runs. I know he finished 29th in his only intermediate start in Cup, but that was also the first race of his sub duties, back when he was still getting used to the car.
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Starts 33rd - DK: $7,000, FD: $7,000
A poor qualifying run has Ricky Stenhouse Jr. starting 33rd, below everyone except the Rick Ware Racing and Live Fast cars. Yikes.
But Stenhouse has four consecutive top-15 finishes in the Cup Series, and in three of those races he finished ahead of where he started. If he keeps the car clean, there are a lot of place differential spots that Stenhouse can gain on Sunday.
Additionally, Stenhouse finished eighth in this race last year despite starting 36th.
Todd Gilliland
Starts 32nd - DK: $5,400, FD: $3,000
Second week in a row that Gilliland starts below 30th. Last week at Dover, he started 35th and managed a 25th-place finish, up 10 spots over where he began the day.
Gilliland's a really underrated driver. He's finished in the top 25 in seven consecutive races, including five top 15s in that span. And while he struggled at Vegas, the only other intermediate track the Cup Series has visited this season, he seems to have found a little extra speed since then.
Last season, Gilliland had an average finish of 24.0 here. He's not a very exciting play, but his numbers here in the past plus his numbers this season suggest that at $5,400 on DraftKings and $3,000 on FanDuel, there's some solid upside this weekend.
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