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Our NASCAR “By the DFS Numbers” Race Previews feature a combination of statistical package highlights from Loop Data reports and the RotoBaller Cup Series Research Station. Loop Data, which are the advanced statistics that are electronically recorded by NASCAR to more accurately illustrate how drivers perform, are showcased here as very relevant indicators.
Loop Data stats are useful in DFS NASCAR to tell us which drivers have performed the best at particular tracks. They determine how a driver actually fares without the negative factors of crashes, car issues, and pit problems. The NASCAR Research Station is one of our most important features in the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass package. It is a deluxe suite of advanced NASCAR statistics that can help you identify the top drivers and value plays for ideal lineup constructions every week. It includes historical, recent, and projected stats and Loop Data.
If you want to work on your fantasy NASCAR setup with all the best statistical tools, the Research Station is your numerical garage for DraftKings and FanDuel lineup building. Get access to the Research Station with the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for an additional discount. We also have Research Stations for the Xfinity and Truck Series.
Geico 500: By The DFS Numbers
Drivers are listed in order of preference for lineup usage based on their pricing tiers. All Loop Data stats are dating back to 2020 at Talladega Superspeedway, covering the last four Cup series events unless otherwise noted. We use DraftKings prices as a basis, but most of what we recommend should also be applied to FanDuel lineup builds. Selected Research Station indicators are highlighted in italics.
Joey Logano: All-time Driver Rating of 89.2 is fourth among all active drivers. 6.7 percent Implied Odds to Win are second-best. Has finished in the top 2 in his last two races on superspeedways. Second-best Driver Rating Gained vs Similar Drivers in recent Talladega starts (12.4). Projected to lead the most laps (19).
Denny Hamlin: First in Laps Led (78). Starts on the pole and won from the pole in the second 2020 race at Talladega. Projected to lead the second-most laps (19).
Brad Keselowski: All-time Driver Rating of 89.7 is third among all active drivers. Projected to score the second-most Fantasy Points (44.55). Best Average Finish vs. Actual Position (6.8).
Ryan Blaney: Leads all active drivers in Driver Rating (95.4) at Talladega since 2020. All-time DR of 91.7 leads all active drivers. Second in Laps Led (65). 7.4 Implied Odds to Win leads all drivers.
Ross Chastain: Projected to score the third-most Fantasy Points (44.30). Has finished in the top 4 in his last two Talladega starts.
Chase Elliott: Fourth in Driver Rating (92.7). Second in Green Flag Passes (1,346) and first in Quality Passes (passes of cars in the Top 15 while under green flag conditions, 981). Projected to score the most fantasy Points (48.55).
Kyle Busch: Third in Green Flag Passes (1,341) and second in Quality Passes (819).
Bubba Wallace: Sixth in Driver Rating (88.7). Leads in Fastest Laps Run (31) and Green Flag Passes (1,413)
Ricky Stenhouse Jr: Third in Fastest Laps Run (22). Fourth in Green Flag Passes (1,272). Projected to score the fourth-most Fantasy Points (43.45). Starts 27th and he is a very good Place Differential pick.
Highlighted projections and stats from the RotoBaller NASCAR Research Station.
Alex Bowman: Projected to score the sixth-most Fantasy Points (40.55). Starts 33rd and he is a prime Place Differential pick.
Kevin Harvick: Third in Driver Rating (92.8). Third in Quality Passes (783)
Austin Dillon: First among Closers (5.3 average spots gained in the final 10 percent of Talladega races).
Erik Jones: Second in Driver Rating (93.2). Third in Laps Led (55). Projected to score the most points of any driver below $8000 (42.05). Jones is a top value play at $6700.
Michael McDowell: Second in Fastest Laps Run (27). Has finished third and eighth in his last two Talladega starts.
Aric Almirola: Fourth In Laps Led (52).
Daniel Suarez: Has finished in the Top 8 in three of his last five races on superspeedways.
Justin Haley: Projected to score the second-most Fantasy Points of any driver below $8000 (35.05). Haley is a terrific value play at $6400.
Todd Gilliland: Projected to score the third-most Fantasy Points of any driver below $8000 (35.05). Best Driver Rating Gained vs Similar Drivers in recent Talladega starts (34.4). Gilliland is the best value target below $6000 at $5200 and he is a rare recommendation in the “punt” range. Gilliland may be heavily rostered this week.
Featured Image Photo Credit: NASCAR Media
Scott Engel's fantasy and betting analysis are also featured at The Game Day.
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The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success
NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller! Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.
Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.
Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.
