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The 2022-2023 NBA season is here, and our friends over at PrizePicks still have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For NBA, Single Stat consists of points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers made, and free throws made, in which you determine if the player in question will go over or under their projected total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Today, we will look at some single-stat scores for tonight, November 17.
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Single Stat NBA Totals - DFS Prop Picks
Editor's Note: Prize Picks prop totals are not always available first thing in the morning, so check back during the day as other props may be added during the day.
Kevin Durant UNDER 30.5 Points - I'll start things off with Kevin Durant's points prop, and this may be a bit unusual for these articles, but we'll take a look at the under here. Durant is essentially running a one-man show since Kyrie Irving was suspended, and it's showing in his performance. Durant has scored 31+ points in just three of his last ten games, and just one of his last five. My model projects Durant for 27.2 points tonight, with a ceiling of just 30.8 in a tough matchup against a Portland defense that ranks sixth in the NBA in points allowed.
De'Aaron Fox OVER 6.5 Assists - We'll take a look at De'Aaron Fox's assists props next. While Fox has hit this number in eight of his last ten, he has hit this number in four of his last five, with four straight games dating back to November 9 against the Cavs. He now gets a strong matchup against the Spurs who rank 29th in assists allowed, and my model projects Fox for 9.8 assists, with a floor of 6.3 assists.
Anfernee Simons OVER 26.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists - I'll finish things off today with Anfernee Simons's PRA prop. Simons has been on a heater of sorts with this number, gathering at least 27 PRA in eight of his last ten, including seven straight. While the Brooklyn defense sits in the middle of the pack in terms of points and assists allowed, they do rank 21st in rebounds allowed. My model projects Simons for 29.8 PRA, and while the floor sits at just 22.7, I'll ride the wave here as long as the number remains this low.
Other Recommendations - Anfernee Simons OVER 20.5 Points, Keldon Johnson UNDER 27.5 Points + Rebounds, Damian Lillard OVER 31.5 Points + Assists
Overall recommendation for this play: FLEX
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