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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday September 8th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Reds vs. Cubs
The Reds take on the Cubs on Thursday September 8th at Wrigley Field, Chicago. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Cincinnati Reds (54-80) vs. Chicago Cubs (57-79)
- Date: Thursday September 8th, 2022
- Time: 2:20 ET
- Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Reds vs. Cubs
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Cincinnati Reds - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Cincinnati Reds take on the Chicago hoping to improve on their record of just 54-80, placing them 4th in the NL Central division. The Reds will need a win in today's game to improve their record on the road (25-41). The unit is coming off a winning effort over the Chicago Cubs by a score of 7-1. To start the year, Cincinnati has picked up just 14 series wins, going 14-21-8.
Making the start for Cincinnati is Luis Cessa. So far, Cessa has a record of 3-2. Cessa will be looking to bring down an ERA of 5.18. Luis Cessa's WHIP of 1.42 comes in as one of the higher marks among MLB starters. His batting average allowed of .276 compared to other pitchers. Across his previous outings, Cessa has a SLG% allowed of .476. In total, he has given up 10 home runs. Heading into the game, he has struck out just 18.0% of the batters he's faced.
Offensively, Cincinnati is scoring at a rate near the MLB average, at 4.29 runs per game. When playing on the road, the team has a run differential of 10. Together, the Reds offense has the 18th ranked batting average, at .241. Over their last three games, the team is hitting .228. In terms of home runs, Cincinnati ranks 16th, averaging 1.00 home runs per contest. The team's current slugging percentage of .382 ranks near the league average. Up to this point, Cincinnati has been getting on base at a rate of .309, placing them 22nd in all of baseball. On average, the team generates walks at a rate of 7.6%.
Chicago Cubs - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
Heading into today's game against Cincinnati, the Cubs have a record of just 57-79. This places the team 3rd in the NL Central division. The Cubs hope to avoid dropping below .500 at home, as they are currently 29-39 at Wrigley Field. Chicago will be looking to bounce back after falling to Cincinnati by a score of 7-1. So far, the team has won less than half of their series, going just 17-21-6.
Adrian Sampson gets the starting nod for Chicago, looking to improve his overall record of 1-5. Sampson will take the mound with an ERA of 3.95. In today's game, he will look to do a better job limiting base runners, as his batting average allowed sits at .268. So far, opponents have taken Sampson over the fence 7 times across 70 innings pitched. For the season, Adrian Sampson has a K/BB ratio of 2.84. This has come on a strikeout percentage of 18.0%.
On offense, Chicago has struggled to bring runners across the plate, averaging just 4.10 runs per game. So far, the team has struggled late in games, ranking 26th in runs scored in the 8th and 9th innings. Together, the Cubs offense has the 17th ranked batting average, at .241. For the season, 34.7% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. So far, the team is the 16th-rated home run hitting team, averaging 1.00 per game. Up to this point, Chicago has been getting on base at a rate of .313, placing them 17th in all of baseball. The team is generating walks at a rate of 8.4%.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Reds vs. Cubs
Heading into today's matchup between Cincinnati and Chicago, the Cubs are the betting favorite at -146 on the moneyline. Chicago's implied win probability sits at 59.35%. The MLB predictive model shows to today's best bet being the Reds to pull off the upset. It is recommended to take Cincinnati on the moneyline.
Recommended Betting Pick: Reds Moneyline
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