Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:


Already have an account? Log in here.


Forgot Password


Start of a Dynasty - Expert Mock Draft Review

I’ll be honest, playing re-draft leagues for years can give an avid fantasy footballer tunnel-vision. You tend to look for the immediate impact of a player. In Dynasty leagues, you have to have a different mindset (except for Frank Gore who’ll play for another 10 years with at least 200 touches each time).

Just after the NFL Draft wrapped up, the RotoBaller analysts mocked a SuperFlex dynasty league. Find the full draft board right here.

Let’s take a look at the varying approaches of a dynasty draft as I breakdown my personal picks in our recent Expert Mock Draft.

Editor's Note: Get any rest-of-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive DFS Tools, Lineup Optimizer and Premium DFS Research through the Super Bowl. Sign Up Now!


Dynasty Mock Results

I was fortunate to start at pick 1.04 and took Patrick Mahomes. I was very pleased with this pick as he is easily the QB1 in dynasty.

The other three players I was interested in, Saquon Barkley, Christian McCaffrey, and Ezekiel Elliott were all taken. An argument could be made for Alvin Kamara, who went 1.07, but I liked solidifying an elite QB talent for the next decade. Yes, many worry about his expected negative regression, as he had an 8.6% TD rate this past season, but even losing ~12 TD this coming year, he still finishes as the QB1 by 15 points. Give me Mahomes in a SuperFlex or 2-QB Dynasty league as his price tag will warrant your 1.01 pick.


Youth Over Experience

My next pick in the second round was Mike Evans. I believe you have to effectively combat being competitive immediately, while sometimes taking younger players with more long-term value. Take Julio Jones for example. In PPR leagues, he finished the 2018 season as WR4. Since 2014, he’s finished no worse than WR7. According to Fantasy Football Calculator, he is the WR3 taken off the board amongst 1100 drafts this offseason. Across such sites as Fantrax, Yahoo, and MyFantasyLeague drafts, he is being taken as the WR4 in re-draft leagues. However, in dynasty leagues, you’re going to see him closer to WR7-9. For like-minded Dynasty owners, longevity and potential sometimes outweigh results. Julio falls behind the likes of guys such as Odell Beckham Jr, JuJu Smith-Schuster, and Mike Evans.

Even in the recent Dynasty Mock Draft, our very own Chris Mangano took him as the seventh wide receiver off the board. As stated above, I even passed over him for Mike Evans! Why? Evans is five years younger, with a quarterback in Winston who had the highest completed air yard distance in the league and was the second-most aggressive in the league in terms of making tight throws into coverage (NFL Next-Gen Stats).

When comparing apples to apples, Winston isn’t as accurate as Matt Ryan, but Winston has improved his accuracy each year, while completing his average air yard throw, at a longer distance, over the same time. Furthermore, Tampa Bay Buccaneers now have Bruce Arians, an offensive mastermind. He loves to make gusty play-calls that often call for route concepts such as deep post routes and double-moves; both which Evans has greatly improved on since his rookie year (Matt Harmon, Reception Perception). I am very happy with Mike Evans as my first WR off the board.


Stealing Bell

As we moved into the third round, six QBs have come off the board, and Kelce and Kittle are now gone. Some names that stick out right away are a bevy of WRs. Amari Cooper, Keenan Allen, Adam Thielen, Stefon Diggs, Brandin Cooks, Kenny Golladay, T.Y Hilton, etc. I’ve already drafted Evans, and I find myself looking at 11 RBs off the board, Le’Veon Bell immediately becomes my next choice.

Coach Adam Gase, popular with outside zone runs, has used gap schemes regularly as well. Some of these same styles are what the Steelers have used, making this a seemingly easy transition for Bell. Gase will adjust the offense as needed for players. Jets ranked 24th in the PFF’s offensive line grade last year compared to Steelers being numero uno. However, the Jets held up when running outside zone concepts. Their backs averaged 2.07 yards before contact on these runs, third-most in the league (Pro Football Focus). Add a fresh pair of legs in Le’Veon Bell and a similar system to which he saw in Pittsburgh, I love his outlook for 2019 and beyond.


Next-Tier RBs

In the 4.9 spot, I took a player that we know will get plenty of volume, has high draft capital, and will be used in numerous concepts. I took Josh Jacobs. Other RBs in this range included Aaron Jones, Devonta Freeman, Phillip Lindsay, and Marlon Mack. I also could have gone WR with Robert Woods, Chris Godwin, Cooper Kupp, etc.. but I’m looking at a range of WR13-20, versus a running back that I expect to finish, at worst, inside the top 25 as a rookie; and someone who could be a top-30 overall ranked player in dynasty leagues come 2020. I’ll take the upside with the risk.

Next at 5.4, I took Aaron Jones. I also really liked Marlon Mack here, but I’m ok with Aaron Jones. I think Jones will be a high-end, middle RB2. I beat myself up here as hindsight has me wanting to take Mack. I’m expecting Mack will have more carries than Jones, with a better offensive line and defense to boot. Hoping for a good outcome from Jones this year.


Loading Up On Chiefs for Better or Worse

My next pick at 6.9 is Sammy Watkins. I think he is a great second WR behind Mike Evans. And as many can assume, has much more upside if something happens to Tyreek Hill. However, this is one I may want to take back. In a SuperFlex, with 19 quarterbacks off the board, I should have taken Dak Prescott. He’s been insanely consistent, finishing no worse than the 10th quarterback in a fantasy season. He’s arguably a top-15 dynasty quarterback at worse. And, as he should, he went at the next pick to Pierre Camus, who solidified his quarterbacks after taken Carson Wentz just two rounds earlier. Watkins, sans Hill, has middling WR2 upside, for an end-of-sixth-round pick, with 22 wide receivers already drafted, I like his prospects.

My next pick may be considered a reach for dynasty purposes, but in a win-now mode, I liked my 7.4 pick with Damien Williams. People seemed to be concerned with his lack of job security, particularly to the likes of Carlos Hyde and Darwin Thompson, pick #214 in this year’s draft, who went under the radar at Utah State. While Darwin has been shown easily front-squatting 500 hundred pounds, and had great, albeit, a one-season flash of tape last year, I don’t think he, nor Carlos Hyde, keep Williams from reaching an RB2 season in one of the hottest offenses in football.

Fun fact, since 1999, going back to Duce Staley and Darnell Autrey, Andy Reid has never had a running back that he drafted past the third round lead his team in rushing statistics. Historically speaking, a sixth-round rookie drafted by Andy Reid shouldn’t lead a team in rushing, now, or in the future. Even though Williams is an undrafted back taken by the Miami Dolphins back in 2014, Reid will continue to rely on him. I expect at least 190 rushing attempts; and if Hill misses time, expect 55+ receptions as well. I like him as a back-end RB2, and a huge value as my fourth running back.


An Eye Toward the Future

At 8.9, I took my first tight-end in rookie T.J. Hockenson. Yes, he’s in Detroit, where historically tight ends don’t amount to much, but we are past the Jim-Bob Cooter era, and now into the Darrell Bevell era. Bevell is a former West-Coast guru who has no issue adapting to different QBs, having coached greats such as Brett Favre and Russell Wilson.

In this Detroit offense, I think he finds a good balance of youth and experience in key pieces like Kenny Golladay, Kerryon Johnson, Marvin Jones Jr., Matthew Stafford, and Hockenson. Bevell made Visanthe Shiancoe fantasy relevant in 2008 and 2009 as he finished fifth and sixth at the TE position. He again adjusted his offense to best fit Jimmy Graham. Graham had three seasons with Seattle, two of which he had a second and fourth place finish at TE in 2016 and 2017. In the four seasons where Bevell’s tight ends finished no worse than sixth in fantasy stats, the leading tight end averaged 8.5 TD’s. Hockenson becomes a utilized piece, in a new-look Detroit Lions offense. I expect he finishes as a low-end TE1 his rookie year, with a minimum of six touchdowns. His future prospects have him as a middling TE1 as Bevell’s history shows he effectively utilizing his best offensive weapons.

At 9.4, I’m thrilled with my WR3 being Robby Anderson. He finished the last five weeks of the season as the WR10 in PPR formats. Even with signings of Jamison Crowder and Le’Veon Bell, Anderson will be a solid fantasy asset. Anderson was 14th in Total Air Yards last year. Amongst those 14 players, aside from John Brown, (who saw his fantasy prospects drop off a cliff with Lamar Jackson running the show in Baltimore), the lowest-ranked receiver ahead of Anderson in Air Yards was Kenny Golladay. Golladay finished as WR19 in PPR formats. Expect Anderson, who finished as WR35 in 2018, to see a slight increase in targets versus last season (91), as he is the clear-cut WR1 in that Jets offense.

Next, at 10.9, I took a gamble on someone who is expected to be an explosive role player in a top-tier offense. I chose Darrell Henderson. With Todd Gurley question marks throughout this off-season, Darrell Henderson is a great pawn for me in trade negotiations for the Todd Gurley owner. He could be a valuable contributor later as the Los Angeles Rams prepare for another deep playoff run by presumably resting Gurley more near seasons-end.

At 11.4, I admittedly waited too long on my second quarterback as I chose Dwayne Haskins. The two rounds prior, Tom Brady, Derek Carr, Marcus Mariota, Andy Dalton, and Josh Rosen were taken off the board. I missed any valuable second quarterbacks in the sixth and seventh rounds. With Haskins, it’s a huge gamble. His outlook to start all 16-games is questionable as he will have to beat out the likes of Case Keenum this off-season. I worry the Skins lean heavy on the run game, and Haskins sits for at least 4-6 games until taking over the role. Even then, this will be a run-first team that will rely on its defense and run game to keep other teams off the field. I expect somewhere near a QB26 finish his rookie year, with hopes he can crack the top-20 at the position as he progresses in future seasons. I will most likely look to trade for a QB mid-season.

At 12.9, I again go for a rookie who has a great opportunity in years to come. That rookie is Devin Singletary. Frank Gore and LeSean McCoy won’t lead this team in rushing for very long, T.J. Yeldon is a complementary piece at best, who will look to be more of a receiving threat out of the backfield. Singletary is a smaller back (measured at 5’7”), but has great footwork, is hard to bring down, forces a lot of missed tackles, has a non-stop motor, and a thick frame, weighing in at 205 pounds. He landed in a prime spot in Buffalo as they have a young, developing offense, and while he may not be a fantasy asset in 2019, he’s a great stash for 2020 and beyond.

At 13.4, I again went rookie, going after Andy Isabella. Like Singletary, I don’t think he makes a huge impact in 2019. Larry Fitzgerald will still be in the picture, and this becomes a very crowded group of playmakers. Until Fitzgerald and his 100+ targets are no longer on that team, Isabella is a stash for 2019 with minimum WR4 prospects in 2020 and beyond, assuming Kyler Murray and the Air Raid offense take the NFL by storm. Fingers crossed.

For my last two picks, at 14.9, I took T.J Yeldon, and at 15.4, I took Alexander Mattison. Taking Yeldon was strictly a handcuff with Singletary and the Bills offense. With the expected departures of McCoy and Gore from Buffalo within the next two seasons, 350 touches become available. If Yeldon and/or Singletary get a share of that future workload, I like their flex upsides.

As for Mattison, he’s expected to be the future handcuff to Dalvin Cook. Mattison profiles as a solid back-up, who handled a large workload in college, with the ability to do so in the pros should he be called upon. While he ran a 4.55 at his Pro-Day, he’s definitely more of a bruising running back who showed he is capable of making catches out of the backfield. Not to mention, Dalvin Cook only started 10 games last season due to hamstring injuries and went down with a Grade 3 ACL tear in 2017. Obviously, no one wishes for a player to get hurt, but Mattison is a perfect handcuff for this exact situation.



For me, the key for dynasty drafts is managing how you draft young players while still going after the best available in the early rounds. Don’t reach for a Josh Jacobs in the third round when Le’Veon Bell is still available. (I’ve seen Josh Jacobs go in the late second/early third in dynasty drafts). My team has a lot of youth, but I’m good with taking an elite-level running back in Le’Veon Bell as my RB1 in the third round. I also don’t mind reaches/prospects/dart throws in mid/late rounds, but personally, I want to be competitive right away, while still taking risks later on in the draft. I think my mock draft exemplifies that.

More Dynasty League Strategy

Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.

More Recent Articles


ADP Cost Analysis – Robbie Ray vs Trevor Bauer

With fantasy baseball draft season in full swing, those of us who partake in this joyous game are now looking through as much draft data as possible in a bid to find players we love who have lower average draft positions (ADP) than we believe they should. All this to eke out as much draft... Read More

2020 Keeper Value Rankings - Second Base

Keeper Value Rankings are intended for Keeper Leagues in which a fantasy owner must forfeit a designated draft pick in order to keep a player into the upcoming season. These rankings are based on Keeper "Values". In the marketing world, Value can be defined as "the extent to which a good or service (player) is... Read More

2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers – C.J. Cron

As another fantasy baseball season approaches, we once again have the chance to discuss C.J. Cron as a fantasy sleeper. Cron will be playing for his third team in three seasons. It is tough to wrap one's head around the idea that a player of Cron's talent continues to be undervalued by professional and fantasy... Read More

2020 Starting Pitcher Rankings - H2H Points Leagues

Points leagues may seem like a slight variation from traditional 5x5 category scoring leagues but you must approach draft day with a very different strategy if you wish to truly compete. All preseason long, RotoBaller has you covered with the latest rankings for all fantasy baseball league types. Here we present our points league rankings... Read More

Second-Half Improvements: Buy Into These Starting Pitchers

The second half of the season is always put under a microscope for starting pitchers. Fantasy players have a love for the second half of the season, as the belief is that pitchers who take a step forward could carry over that success the next season and perhaps even build upon it. But, as we... Read More

How to Attack RP in SV+HLD Leagues

No position has seen as much evolution in recent seasons as the relief pitcher. Gone are the days where starters were expected to go seven innings as most teams have embraced the idea of "super-bullpening" and try to fit as many pitchers that can throw 95+ MPH into their bullpen as they can. Many fantasy... Read More

Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball: Pitch Info

One of the most fundamental questions in fantasy sports is if a player's current performance is sustainable. More than any other sport, baseball has a slew of statistical measures that can be dissected in numerous ways to analyze player performance. Pitch Info is a publicly-available pitch tracking system that provides a lot of different data to... Read More

2020 Fantasy Baseball Staff Rankings

Below you will find RotoBaller's 2020 fantasy baseball rankings, tiers and auction dollar values for the 2020 MLB season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Mixed, Head-to-Head, Points, AL/NL Only, Two-Catcher Top 2020 prospects, Dynasty leagues, Keeper values Export the rankings easily... Read More

Mock Draft Review: Best Late-Round Targets

Last week, some members of the RotoBaller staff completed a 12-team mock draft for standard 5x5 format. After the draft, we each broke down our strategy and some of our favorite picks, which can be found here. However, I want to take a closer look at one portion of the draft in particular. Since we know that... Read More

Faster and Furious: Pitchers with Rising Velocity/Performance

Welcome fantasy baseball players! I’m sure that you, like me, are anxiously counting down the days until your drafts and Opening Day. While the fantasy season may not start for several weeks, there are plenty of things we can do to start preparing for a successful season. One of those things is to take a good... Read More

James Karinchak Is A Relief Pitcher To Know in 2020

One of the lesser-known players that intrigues me for the 2020 MLB season is Indians relief pitcher James Karinchak. The former Bryant Bulldog was drafted by Cleveland in the ninth round in the 2017 draft and went on to have one of the most outrageous statistical seasons in minor league baseball history. As someone who... Read More

2020 Relief Pitcher Rankings - H2H Points Leagues

Often regarded as an inferior fantasy baseball format, points leagues offer a different style of boasting over your friends or coworkers similar to that of fantasy football. These setups are typically head-to-head formats for a one-week stretch where the player with the most points gets a win. Easy right? While it's true that roster construction... Read More

2019 Barrel Breakouts: Who's For Real and Who's Next?

As pitchers and catchers get even closer to reporting and most fantasy leagues prepare for their drafts, everybody is looking for a leg up on the competition - a way to get in on a guy before everybody else does. In this article, we're going to look for a way to identify hitters who improved... Read More

Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball: Pitcher BABIP

While FIP is a useful tool to predict a pitcher's future ERA performance, fantasy owners should remember that ERA, not FIP, is what really matters in most formats. This means that we are interested in the "luck" that separates the two statistics. While some of this luck is unpredictable, we can and should predict some... Read More

Second Year Player Preview: Fantasy Baseball 2020 ADP Analysis

Host Anthony Aniano of RotoBaller Radio discuss the 2020 fantasy baseball season and keeps you updated with all the latest news and analysis Be sure to tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (channel Sirius 210, XM 87) - every weekday morning between 6-7 AM ET, every weekday afternoon from 1-2 PM ET, Saturday nights from 9-11 PM ET... Read More

More Recent Articles


NFL Draft Combine Preview: Quarterbacks

With the Super Bowl now behind us, it is officially NFL Draft season! It's time to speculate on draft picks for teams, who should land where, and which players should be valued over others. This also marks the unofficial start to the 2020 fantasy football season. Getting in the early preparation can give owners a... Read More

RB Opportunity Share and Impact (AFC South & West): 2019 Review

We roll on with coverage of each of the eight NFL divisions, discussing the teams that are part of them and the running backs that were part of those teams in 2019. To present those teams and players I use a set of easy-to-read charts: treemaps. The graphics will hold all of the players of... Read More

Dynasty Price Check - Anthony Miller

Many of you have already begun planning and building your 2020 rosters. This includes best-ball owners who have assembled teams in that popular format. A number of owners in redraft leagues are inspecting the early rankings, while those of you who are involved in dynasty leagues have continued your process of relentless roster evaluation. As the... Read More

Is Lamar Jackson Worth a First Round Pick?

RotoBaller fantasy football analysts Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano discuss the idea of taking Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson in the first round of 2020 fantasy football redraft leagues. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well! Be sure... Read More

Why Lamar Jackson Should Be a First-Round Pick in 2020

Sometimes I like to make noise and some headlines if I can. That is why I host shows six days a week on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio representing RotoBaller. If I can get people buzzing about a topic, calling in or responding on social media with passion and vigor, I am having fun. But whenever I... Read More

Dynasty Price Check - Darren Waller

Many of you have already launched into the planning process for your 2020 rosters. This includes best-ball owners who have embraced the opportunity to draft in that popular format. A number of owners in redraft leagues are also monitoring the early rankings, while those of you who are involved in dynasty leagues have continued a pace of... Read More

Biggest Breakouts of 2019: Tight End

There were a lot of fantasy football busts at the tight end position in 2019, but there were also a lot of breakout stars. The 2018 season saw Philadelphia’s Zach Ertz break the NFL record for most receptions in a season by a tight end, while San Francisco’s George Kittle broke the record for most... Read More

Dynasty Price Check - Courtland Sutton

With the conclusion of Super Bowl LIV, football season is over for many people. But for anyone that plays in a dynasty fantasy football league, the season is never over. For the fantasy addicts out there, now is the time to start preparing. In today's column, we will take a look at wide receiver Courtland... Read More

Dynasty Price Check - Josh Allen

The NFL offseason has arrived, which means that it's time for us to go all-in on dynasty mode. The time between the Super Bowl and the NFL Draft is the time for dynasty players to make some moves and try to make their team better -- or worse, if you're rebuilding and looking for draft... Read More

RB Opportunity Share and Impact (NFC East & North)

With the season over and real-life free agency and April's NFL draft ahead of us, it's time to look at how each team split their targets and carries (both of them combined in what is called opportunities; sometimes it's receptions instead of targets, but I wanted to look at the overall volume and total chances instead)... Read More

Odell Beckham - Dynasty Buy or Sell?

Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano discuss the dynasty value of Cleveland Browns wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr.. Will he bounce back in 2020 to return WR1 fantasy football value or is he no longer an elite receiver? Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us... Read More

David Johnson - Dynasty Buy or Sell?

Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano discuss the fantasy football value of Arizona Cardinals running back David Johnson in dynasty leagues. Is it best to get something in return for him while you can or try to buy-low in hopes of a rebound season? Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all... Read More