🖥 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE THANKS
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Scene Change: Four Pitchers on New Teams

By Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA (Taijuan Walker) [CC BY-SA 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

Pierre Camus forecasts the 2017 fantasy baseball outlook for four starting pitchers (SP) who are joining new ballclubs this season.

The only thing constant is change. Change itself can be positive or negative, but in the case of a starting pitcher, especially one switching leagues, we need to delve deeper to understand what to expect.

New ballclub, new stadium, new expectations - all can affect a pitcher's value from one season to the next. Let's examine four pitchers who will be switching teams in 2017.

Editor's note: Be sure to also check out our 2017 fantasy baseball rankings dashboard. It's already loaded up with tons of great rankings articles and draft analysis. Aside from our tiered staff rankings for every position, we also go deep on MLB prospect rankings, impact rookies for 2017, and dynasty/keeper rankings as well. Bookmark the page, and win your drafts.

 

Four Pitchers on New Teams

Chris Sale, Boston Red Sox

The biggest move that came out of the winter meetings involved the Red Sox snagging another left-handed ace. Sale had spent his entire seven-year career with the pale-hosed Sox, finishing in the top six in Cy Young voting for five consecutive years. While that's pretty damn impressive, a change of scenery might actually be a good thing. The south siders were bad enough before they went into full-blown fire sale mode this offseason. Now, Sale joins a championship contender that gave Rick Porcello enough run support (7.6/game) to earn him a Cy Young award and provided 6.6 runs per game to David Price as well.

Although wins are too hard to reliably predict, there is a really good chance Sale maintains his 17-win level from last season, with a 20-win season on the radar. In terms of ballparks, he is leaving a rather pitcher-friendly environment. That doesn't mean we should anticipate big increases in his ratios though. Fenway does allow its share of extra-base hits to right-handed hitters, courtesy of the Green Monster, and ranked fourth in Park Factor for 2016. Much of that damage came from Boston's offense, so don't overreact to that figure. Sale has only made three starts at Fenway in his career, posting a 3.63 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. Those numbers aren't too far ahead of the 3.34 ERA and 1.03 WHIP from last season. Sale is currently the fifth SP being drafted, according to NFBC data. Expectations are as high as ever for Sale and rightfully so.

 

Jason Hammel, Kansas City Royals

Hammel joins his sixth organization, going from the 2016 World Champs to the 2015 World Champs. Hammel was extremely solid last year, posting a 3.83 ERA  en route to winning 15 games. The reality is that he took a small step back from the previous season, especially in the control department. His 4.30 K/BB in 2015 dropped to 2.72. His 2.9 BB/9 mirrored his career average, so don't expect that number to improve by moving back to the American League.

While Hammel has far more experience pitching in the AL, a move to the junior circuit is never good for a pitcher's value. Worse news is that Kauffman Stadium ranked fifth in Ballpark Factor last year - a far cry from the confines of 25th-ranked Wrigley. Hammel's career 5.40 ERA at Kauffman is also one of the worst among all ballparks. He may have taken a later path to developing as a starter, but it appears Hammel's fantasy relevancy may be confined to AL-only leagues for the coming season.

 

Jaime Garcia, Atlanta Braves

After eight seasons with the Cardinals, Garcia joins the sudden infusion of veterans in Atlanta's starting rotation. He is the type of pitcher who does a lot with a little. Garcia has never surpassed eight K/9 and needs to limit baserunners to be successful. The main issue with him lately has been health. Garcia started 30 games last season, but was limited to 36 Major League starts between 2013-2015.

He isn't switching leagues, but he appears to be heading to a noticeably worse team. The Braves are seemingly all in on making a playoff run as they enter their new ballpark, but they have yet to prove that the blend of young prospects and aging veterans will work. If they still resemble the same team they were in the first half of 2016, the youth movement could take over permanently, making Garcia a possible trade chip. Initially, expect much of the same from Garcia that he's displayed in his career - an ERA just under 4.00 with less appealing control ratios and a ceiling of 13 wins.

 

Taijuan Walker, Arizona Diamondbacks

Going to Arizona hasn't been the best career move for starting pitchers lately. The D-backs hope that Walker isn't another Shelby Miller, but that remains to be seen. He is going from a pitcher-friendly park in Seattle to the second-best hitter's park in the league. In fact, Chase Field has an even higher HR factor than Coors Field, but is still second to Yankee Stadium in that respect. The long ball has becoming a bigger problem for Walker, as his HR/9 jumped to 1.8 last season. The prospect of seeing him serve up 30+ gopher balls shouldn't inspire fantasy owners.

Ironically, the trade to bring him over also weakened his offensive support. Jean Segura was one of the few bright spots for the Diamondbacks, but he will be in Seattle this season. Walker is being drafted just inside the top 250 overall right now, so he won't cost you much if you think his talent is worth a late round flier. The change of scenery doesn't figure to do him many favors, however, so tread carefully.




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Javon Small

Returns to Grizzlies Lineup Tuesday
Tristan da Silva

Remains Sidelined Against Portland
Goga Bitadze

Out Against Portland
Vince Williams Jr.

Misses Third Consecutive Game
Cedric Coward

Unavailable on Tuesday Night
Aaron Wiggins

Will Play Against Spurs
Grayson Allen

Absent for Third Consecutive Game
Zach LaVine

to Miss at Least One More Week
Victor Wembanyama

Ready to Take on Thunder
Dwight Powell

Misses Tuesday's Game Due to Illness
Jaden Hardy

Starting on Tuesday Night
Klay Thompson

Sits Out Tuesday's Action
Jonas Valančiūnas

Jonas Valanciunas Active Against Mavericks
Peyton Watson

Ready to Face Mavericks
Jaden McDaniels

Out on Tuesday Evening
Jordan Poole

Herbert Jones Out Tuesday
Max Christie

Still Out on Tuesday Night
Darius Garland

Available Tuesday
Brandon Williams

Cleared to Play Versus Denver
Jusuf Nurkić

Jusuf Nurkic Resting on Tuesday
P.J. Washington

Ruled Out on Tuesday
Viktor Arvidsson

a Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Ryan Leonard

Available Tuesday
Tom Wilson

in Danger of Missing First Game of the Season
Phillip Danault

Makes Second Canadiens Debut Tuesday
Collin Graf

Available Against Golden Knights
Jack Eichel

Misses Fourth Straight Game
Vince Dunn

Won't Play Tuesday
Deshaun Watson

Will Not be Activated Off PUP List, 2025 Season is Over
J.J. McCarthy

Ruled Out for Week 17
Rome Odunze

Expected to Return This Season
Christian McCaffrey

Another Monster Game for Christian McCaffrey in Week 16
Brock Purdy

Throws for Five Touchdowns in Week 16
TreVeyon Henderson

in Concussion Protocol, Week 17 Status Unclear
George Kittle

Week 17 Availability in Question?
CFB

Jeff Brohm, Eli Drinkwitz "Names of Interest" for Michigan Head Coach
Timothy Liljegren

to Miss Second Straight Game Tuesday
Will Smith

Out Week-to-Week
Jaccob Slavin

Placed on Injured Reserve, Out Week-to-Week
Seth Jarvis

Considered Week-to-Week
Darren Raddysh

Totals Three Points in Monday's Win
Mason Marchment

Scores Twice Monday
Vince Dunn

Injured in Monday's Win
Rashee Rice

Still in Concussion Protocol, Estimated as Non-Participant on Monday
J.J. McCarthy

Listed as DNP on Monday Ahead of Week 17
Ilya Sorokin

to Miss Tuesday's Game
DK Metcalf

Suspended for Two Games Following Confrontation with Fan
Christian Dvorak

Returns to Flyers Lineup
Elias Pettersson

Still Out Monday
Brandon Montour

to Miss Four Weeks After Hand Surgery
Miles Wood

Available Against Kings
Zach Werenski

Ruled Out Monday
Leo Carlsson

Won't Play Monday
CFB

Byrum Brown Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

Bobby Petrino Joining Bill Belichick as North Carolina's Offensive Coordinator
TreVeyon Henderson

Exits Week 16 Victory with Head Injury
Lamar Jackson

Questionable to Return in Week 16 with Back Injury
Willson Contreras

Shipped to the Red Sox
Quinshon Judkins

Done for the Season with Broken Leg
Nick Chubb

Officially Active Against Raiders in Week 16
Gardner Minshew

Won't Return in Week 16
Woody Marks

Officially Inactive for Week 16
Quinshon Judkins

Carted Off in Week 16, Ruled Out with Apparent Leg Injury
Tua Tagovailoa

Dolphins Hope to Trade Tua Tagovailoa in the Offseason
Woody Marks

Not Expected to Play in Week 16
Washington Commanders

Commanders to Retain Dan Quinn, Fire Joe Whitt?
New York Giants

Marcus Freeman is a Top Candidate in Giants' Head Coaching Search
Brandon Lowe

Pirates Acquire Brandon Lowe in Three-Team Trade
Shane Baz

Orioles Acquire Shane Baz From the Rays
CFB

Darian Mensah Returning to Duke Next Season
CFB

Josh Hoover Linked to Indiana in Transfer Portal
CFB

Arch Manning Agrees to Reduced Compensation for 2026 Season
Michael King

Padres Bring Michael King Back on Three-Year Deal
Logan Webb

Will Pitch for Team USA in World Baseball Classic
Tarik Skubal

Joins Team USA for World Baseball Classic
CFB

Will Muschamp Becoming Next Texas Defensive Coordinator
CFB

Beau Pribula Set to Enter Transfer Portal

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP