Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Rookie Mock Draft Recap - What the Experts Were Thinking


Just after the NFL Draft finished up, we assembled our fantasy football dynasty writers for a rookie mock draft. This was a 10-team draft that went eight rounds (because we're fiends). League settings were PPR, single-QB, dynasty, rookies only.

To see the full board in all its glory hosted by our friends at Sleeper, check it out right here.

Upon completion, I posed some questions to the experts to see what they were thinking during the process. Here are some reflections on our early Rookie Mock.

Editor's Note: Get any rest-of-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive DFS Tools, Lineup Optimizer and Premium DFS Research through the Super Bowl. Sign Up Now!

 

Rookie Mock Draft Results

 

Who is the one rookie you were targeting all along?

I was targeting Murray and was thinking to take him in the first round initially. I think that his style of play will mean that he will be fantasy-relevant. The Cardinals seem like they actually are going to help him succeed also with the other picks in the draft. - Rich King

David Montgomery. I think he has the best chance to return RB1/2 value right away. - Chris Mangano

I have been targeting Miles Sanders in the first round of my rookie drafts. I really like his opportunity playing for an explosive Philadelphia offense in year one. He is my overall 1.01 rookie but I have found he usually slips to pick three or four. after Josh Jacobs and N'Keal Harry. - Matt Terelle

The main reason I claimed the fifth spot in this draft was to select the second receiver off the board, and that was D.K. Metcalf. Right after round one, I said I would have preferred to see N'Keal Harry in Seattle. Instead, I think Metcalf gets the chance to see valuable red zone targets and can also be used to stretch the field. In other words, he can be Doug Baldwin and Tyler Lockett rolled into one. - Pierre Camus

Noah Fant in the first round. I believe his abilities are off the charts and he will be the best TE in this class, immediately. - Scott Engel

In my position, I was hoping Parris Campbell would fall to me. However, I was very happy with T.J Hockenson. I’ve mocked him myself in the mid-first while seeing many draft boards have him all over the first round. Pleased with my pick there. - Drake Peaugh

Mecole Hardman. With the Tyreek Hill situation happening, I love the prospect of Hardman playing a similar role. We all saw how good this Chiefs offense can be, and Hardman will be a major piece of that. - Gage Bridgford

Darwin Thompson was my target at the first turn. Running backs in Andy Reid's offense always thrive, and without Kareem Hunt, the job is up for grabs. Thompson is a smaller back but can pack a punch. He is slippery between the tackles and talented in the passing game. Although he is a smaller school product with only one year of college numbers, his skillset, alongside the phenom Mahomes with Reid calling the shots, should translate if he wins the job. It's a high-risk, high-reward move at that slot, but you have to play to win the game. - Kev Mahserejian

It is understandable if the Rams were not on your list of preferred destinations for Darrell Henderson and his potential to deliver big plays. But if you share my pessimism that Todd Gurley will approach his 20 carry-per-game average during his first 10 matchups in 2018, then this also presents you with an opportunity to target Henderson after the first three backs and top five-six receivers have been selected. - Phil Clark

I'm a big believer in Ryquell Armstead as a fourth-round pick because of Leonard Fournette's injury history. He should be able to put up solid numbers if/when Fournette misses time, and since Fournette's future with the Jaguars seems to never be set in stone, he's got some good opportunities to carry a larger load in the future. - Justin Carter

 

Who was the biggest reach in this draft?

In my opinion, the biggest reach in this mock falls on the Noah Fant pick. Right behind him go three solid WRs who likely finish with higher point totals than Fant. Fant is a freak athlete at the TE position, but he ended up in a tough spot with the Broncos. - Drake Peaugh

I like Noah Fant as a prospect but I have T.J. Hockenson ahead of him on my board and I wouldn't draft either player until late in the first round or early second. I am not too excited about Fant's fit on a Joe Flacco-led Denver offense that probably won't be very good this season. - Matt Terelle

Andy Isabella was picked too early. He will be a speed role player. - Scott Engel

Parris Campbell joins one of the top offenses in the league but he'll be just one of many mouths to feed. Andrew Luck likes to spread the ball around and they already have two pass-catching tight ends on top of pass-catching back Nyehim Hines, on top of T.Y. Hilton and the other veteran receivers. Campbell will become a Cordarelle Patterson/Taylor Gabriel type of player and that won't necessarily translate to fantasy points. - Pierre Camus

My biggest reach took place when I selected Riley Ridley at 4.09. He will be contending with competition for targets as he joins a Bear offense that distributed 50+ to five different weapons in 2018. Chicago also ranked 27th in pass play percentage, although the team’s attack will be reshaped in Matt Nagy’s second season. My expectations are tempered for Ridley this season due to the collection of weapons that will be sharing opportunities, and I primarily chose him due to concern about securing a second wide receiver before the options were depleted even further. - Phil Clark

Darwin Thompson at the end of Round 2 was a surprise to me. I get that the Chiefs no longer than Kareem Hunt, but they have Damien Williams and Thompson just doesn't excite me. - Justin Carter

Marquise Brown, but not because he is a bad player. I just don't think the usage in the Ravens offense is going to be at a point where I would feel confident in putting him in my lineup. - Rich King

Damien Harris. I think there were other running backs and receivers available that have better prospects of production this year and moving forward. He's going to New England where they already have a first-round RB from last year, and they have two other running backs in the room that have established roles. - Gage Bridgford

Darius Slayton at 3.4. He's a gifted downfield threat, but that is about all he is. Slayton's a straight-line runner who did not show much at Auburn outside of screens and go routes. Although that may be scheme related, there are legitimate concerns as to whether he could be effective enough in the intermediate part of the field to hold value in fantasy. He feels more like a decoy who stretches the field than an actual target, especially in a poor Giants' offense. - Kev Mahserejian

Mecole Hardman. Everyone expects him to be Tyreek Hill 2.0 but I don’t see it. - Chris Mangano

 

Who could turn out to be the best value pick and what is his ceiling?

J.J. Arcega-Whiteside at pick 2.07 is a steal in my opinion. While he isn't likely to make much of an impact in his rookie season, Arcega-Whiteside could overtake Alshon Jeffery as the team's X receiver and lead red-zone option as soon as the 2020 season. I have been in rookie drafts where JJAWS goes as early as the middle of the first round, so for Chris to get him in the mid-second is a great value. - Matt Terelle

I was hoping that JJ Arcega-Whiteside would fall to the turn. Unfortunately, it did not happen. He is a gifted athlete who does not create separation with his quickness, but can leverage his body down the field to create enough space to get the ball. The fact that he produced solid numbers in a run-heavy Stanford offense is more impressive than anything. He is a huge red-zone threat who could not have landed in a more perfect spot. He could even end up as the WR1 within a year or so. His ceiling is legitimately Jordy Nelson. - Kev Mahserejian

Hunter Renrow is the pick for me here. He should be able to have a long career in the NFL as long as he's able to stay healthy. - Gage Bridgford

Darrell Henderson at 2.9 is the best value by a mile. The LA Rams moved up to get him for a reason. He’s going to spell Gurley as needed. He will be a nice spot-flex for weeks to come and could be of much higher-value if Gurley’s knees don’t cooperate. - Drake Peaugh

I like both Diontae Johnson and Bryce Love at the 3rd/4th turn. Johnson has a chance to immediately see action in a high-volume pass offense in Pittsburgh, as James Washington didn't look too impressive as a rookie. Love will have to beat out Guice or wait for an injury, but he is one of the most talented RBs in this otherwise lackluster draft class. - Pierre Camus

I got Karan Higdon in the sixth, and I could see a pretty clear path to Higdon taking snaps away from Lamar Miller. He can be an RB2 down the line. As far as other teams go, Scott Miller, who I love as a slot guy in Tampa. He's basically going to be free in dynasty leagues and has the skill to be everything Adam Humphries was for the Bucs. - Justin Carter

There are a cluster of running backs that do not have a clear path to touches at this point but are capable of performing effectively if their team's primary back is sidelined. This is true of Darwin Thompson, Devin Singletary, and a trio of runners that were chosen in Round 4 - Dexter Williams, Ryquell Armstead, and Alexander Mattison. - Phil Clark

Kelvin Harmon. He has first-round talent and landed in a great spot. High-end WR2 ceiling. - Chris Mangano

Jalen Hurd could be a Tyreek Hill-style player in a good offense, and in the third round that could be a tremendous value. - Rich King

Drew Lock could turn out to be the next Brett Favre. - Scott Engel

 

What spot would you like to pick in a dynasty rookie draft this year?

Well, first, obviously! But if we're talking about a start-up rookie draft that involves snaking, I like fourth. You still get one of the top players and get your next pick faster. - Justin Carter

First. I want first crack at Josh Jacobs. - Scott Engel

Who doesn't like picking first overall? I get that there's some more parity in this class, but I'm always a fan of getting my top guy (N'Keal Harry). - Kev Mahserejian

Anyone who is able to launch their draft from the 1.02 position will have the opportunity of securing either N'Keal Harry or Josh Jacobs. I believe that this places any potential owner in an enviable position because this tandem has separated from the other rookies. Both Jacobs and Harry are in position to contribute to weekly scoring totals early in the season as the result of the favorable environments that they will be operating in. - Phil Clark

Give me the 1.3 in a single-QB, PPR. I love Jacobs’ workload, and he or N’Keal Harry should go 1.1, but I am very excited by the prospects of Miles Sanders and David Montgomery if I can get either at that pick. - Drake Peaugh

Anywhere in the top five. - Chris Mangano

In a draft with no clear top prospect, I prefer somewhere between 4-6. I don't see Josh Jacobs as a future bell cow and I like Metcalf just as much as Harry, so I'd trade down from the 1.01 this year. - Pierre Camus

I liked picking seventh overall. I felt it leaves a good amount of value because a lot of the owners in front of me chased running backs which left some good wide receivers on the board. Unless you have a specific need, I'm a big proponent of best player available when you can afford to. - Gage Bridgford

I would ideally have the 1.01, trade down a few spots, and still be able to take Miles Sanders while picking up extra assets. I also like the late-first/early-second as I can usually get one of Andy Isabella, Parris Campbell, J.J. Arcega-Whiteside, or A.J. Brown. - Matt Terelle

More Dynasty League Strategy




More Recent Articles

 

Bases Loaded Podcast: Early Round Values

Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) is joined by Jorge Montanez (@Roto_Nino) and Zach Braff (@BraffZ) and they discuss early round values. They go through and highlight a few players that are going inside the top 150 in ADP that offer a great chance to return profit. Subscribe to the Bases Loaded podcast, part of RotoBaller Radio's Podcast... Read More


Second Year Pitcher Preview: Fantasy Baseball 2020 ADP Analysis

Host Anthony Aniano of RotoBaller Radio discuss the 2020 fantasy baseball season and keeps you updated with all the latest news and analysis Be sure to tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (channel Sirius 210, XM 87) - every weekday morning between 6-7 AM ET, every weekday afternoon from 1-2 PM ET, Saturday nights from 9-11 PM ET... Read More


Relief Pitchers to Target for Holds

Hold on... there are fantasy leagues that reward middle relievers, not just starters and closers? Yes, there are, and leagues that reward holds are one of the fastest-growing segments of fantasy baseball as real baseball continues to diminish the role of the starter in favor of building deep bullpens with multiple relievers that throw 95+... Read More


2020 Second Base Rankings - H2H Points Leagues

Points leagues may seem like a slight variation from traditional 5x5 category scoring leagues but you must approach draft day with a different strategy if you wish to truly compete. Rankings themselves are a different beast altogether, as category specialists like Mallex Smith and Dee Gordon (stolen bases), Kyle Schwarber and Franmil Reyes (home runs),... Read More


ADP Showdown – Matt Olson vs Paul Goldschmidt

Pitchers and catchers have officially reported and position player workouts are getting underway, which means baseball season is officially upon us! Maybe you haven’t started prepping for your drafts, but fortunately for you, there have already been plenty of drafts, which means that fantasy players out there have already started dealing with tough draft position... Read More


2020 Second Base Rankings - Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Leagues

As the season draws near, we realize more and more that it's draft season. There is a large portion of fantasy baseball busy with mock drafts, rankings, sleepers, and more mock drafts. The Dynasty community, on the other hand, is looking to continue their dominance, rebuild, or in a worst-case scenario, stick their hands up... Read More


Six Undervalued Draft Targets for Mixed Leagues

Heading into 2020, there are a number of players who had poor 2019 campaigns that should bounce back strong. Some of these players are presently undervalued by fantasy owners for one reason or another. In this article, I'll identify a few such players who should outperform their current ADP in 2020. While each of these... Read More


Josh Hayes' 2020 Best Ball Draft Targets (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. The fantasy baseball season is here! For those fantasy players looking to get an edge on their 2020 leagues, Best Ball formats are a great way to get a head start on the players that look to be ADP risers this season. One key... Read More


Josh Hayes' 2020 Best Ball Draft Avoids (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. The fantasy baseball season is here! For those fantasy players looking to get an edge on their 2020 leagues, Best Ball formats are a great way to get a head start on the players that look to be ADP risers this season. An underrated... Read More


Nine AL Rookies Ready to Leap Into Starting Lineups

Every year, there are those rookies who we expect to make a splash right away. Think Kris Bryant, Ronald Acuna, Cody Bellinger, Aaron Judge--those guys. Once we make it through all the service time manipulation shenanigans, there are always youngsters ready to snatch roster spots immediately, and 2020 is no exception. Below are nine of... Read More


Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball: Spin Rate

Spin rate has become one of the most recognizable Statcast metrics, with supporters of a given pitcher highlighting his spin rates to make their case. Unfortunately, the baseball world has done a lousy job conveying what spin rate really means. The result has been a ton of owners who know that spin rate exists, but... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers - Khris Davis

The Oakland Athletics finished 2019 with a record of 97-65, which was good for a second-place finish in the AL West and a second-consecutive wildcard birth. They did this despite a statistically down season from their superstar, Khris Davis. Davis struggled mightily in 2019 by slashing .220/.293/.387 with 23 HR, 73 RBI, 61 R, and... Read More


ADP Cost Analysis: Trey Mancini vs. Christian Walker

One of the most important skills in a fantasy draft is the ability to identify a player with similar value at a lower ADP. When you're able to find similar production at a lower cost, this allows you to use an earlier pick to fill out other areas of your roster, resulting in a stronger... Read More


MLB Closers and Saves: Fantasy Baseball Depth Charts

Saves are an important component for many fantasy baseball leagues. Closers are one of the most volatile positions in fantasy baseball, and one of the highest turnover positions in MLB. Each year, closers drop like flies and many MLB teams make in-season changes due to injuries or poor performance. Stay on top of all closer depth... Read More


2020 Fantasy Baseball Staff Rankings

Below you will find RotoBaller's 2020 fantasy baseball rankings, tiers and auction dollar values for the 2020 MLB season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Mixed, Head-to-Head, Points, AL/NL Only, Two-Catcher Top 2020 prospects, Dynasty leagues, Keeper values Export the rankings easily... Read More


More Recent Articles

 

Biggest ADP Surprises: Early Fantasy Football Mock Draft

RotoBaller fantasy football analysts Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano review the draft board from RotoBaller's 2020 Way Too Early Mock fantasy football draft. They look at early ADP, reaches, values, and surprises throughout the first 10 rounds. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us... Read More


XFL Week 2 - Quarterback Risers and Fallers

We previously looked at target and opportunity risers and fallers, based on the first two weeks of XFL data. Now, it's time to evaluate the quarterbacks, for better or worse. There are few known commodities, even among seasoned NFL fans, at the quarterback position in this league. Relative unknowns like Phillip Walker and Jordan Ta'amu... Read More


XFL Week 2 - Opportunity Risers and Fallers

We previously looked at target risers and fallers based on the first two weeks of XFL data. The XFL has made it past Week 2 and now we have eight games of data to analyze. No small feat, as nobody knew where this league was going just a few weeks ago. But here we are,... Read More


XFL Week 2 - Target Risers and Fallers

The XFL has made it past Week 2 and now we have eight games of data to analyze. No small feat, as nobody knew where this league was going just a few weeks ago. But here we are, just mere days from Week 3 matchups! With two dates already in the rearview mirror and plenty... Read More


NFL Draft Combine Preview: Quarterbacks

With the Super Bowl now behind us, it is officially NFL Draft season! It's time to speculate on draft picks for teams, who should land where, and which players should be valued over others. This also marks the unofficial start to the 2020 fantasy football season. Getting in the early preparation can give owners a... Read More


RB Opportunity Share and Impact (AFC South & West): 2019 Review

We roll on with coverage of each of the eight NFL divisions, discussing the teams that are part of them and the running backs that were part of those teams in 2019. To present those teams and players I use a set of easy-to-read charts: treemaps. The graphics will hold all of the players of... Read More


Dynasty Price Check - Anthony Miller

Many of you have already begun planning and building your 2020 rosters. This includes best-ball owners who have assembled teams in that popular format. A number of owners in redraft leagues are inspecting the early rankings, while those of you who are involved in dynasty leagues have continued your process of relentless roster evaluation. As the... Read More


Is Lamar Jackson Worth a First Round Pick?

RotoBaller fantasy football analysts Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano discuss the idea of taking Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson in the first round of 2020 fantasy football redraft leagues. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as well! Be sure... Read More


Why Lamar Jackson Should Be a First-Round Pick in 2020

Sometimes I like to make noise and some headlines if I can. That is why I host shows six days a week on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio representing RotoBaller. If I can get people buzzing about a topic, calling in or responding on social media with passion and vigor, I am having fun. But whenever I... Read More


Dynasty Price Check - Darren Waller

Many of you have already launched into the planning process for your 2020 rosters. This includes best-ball owners who have embraced the opportunity to draft in that popular format. A number of owners in redraft leagues are also monitoring the early rankings, while those of you who are involved in dynasty leagues have continued a pace of... Read More


Biggest Breakouts of 2019: Tight End

There were a lot of fantasy football busts at the tight end position in 2019, but there were also a lot of breakout stars. The 2018 season saw Philadelphia’s Zach Ertz break the NFL record for most receptions in a season by a tight end, while San Francisco’s George Kittle broke the record for most... Read More


Dynasty Price Check - Courtland Sutton

With the conclusion of Super Bowl LIV, football season is over for many people. But for anyone that plays in a dynasty fantasy football league, the season is never over. For the fantasy addicts out there, now is the time to start preparing. In today's column, we will take a look at wide receiver Courtland... Read More