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Power Risers and Fallers for Week 6: Buy or Sell?

RotoBaller's Nick Mariano looks at some fantasy baseball bats for week six that have kicked off May either extremely hot or cold in the power department.

Welcome back to this investigative piece where we examine players who have seen some notable changes in their power profiles -- for better or for worse -- in 2017.

As usual, you don’t need me to tell you that Miguel Sano or Aaron Judge are strong or that Jarrod Dyson and Billy Hamilton are toward the bottom in average exit velocity. It’s been about six weeks and now these numbers are really starting to mean something, but do keep a level head on the whole when approaching surges.

For reference, here's a tasty little screencap of the premium power tool that much of the inspiration for this article comes from. It pulls the fly-ball, pull and hard-hit rates for players -- metrics associated with power -- and looks at notable recent swings in performance.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball draft tools and resources:

 

Power Risers and Fallers - Premium Tool

Identifying top power risers and fallers for each week can help you spot the best pickups before your competition. RotoBaller's Premium Power Risers and Fallers tool has you covered every day. Here's a free sample:

 

Power Risers

Matt Carpenter - (1B/2B, STL):

He’s on a six-game hitting streak and homered in three straight games from May 5-7. I realize this is about power, but he’s already notched 13 walks in just 44 plate appearances after walking 15 times in 88 April PAs. Power plus plate discipline equals jackpot. With a whopping 59.1 percent hard-hit rate and minuscule 4.6 percent soft-contact rate through May thus far, he’s definitely going to qualify as a “riser”. He won’t keep it up at quite this pace but should flirt with 30 homers in 2017.

Mark Trumbo - (1B/OF, BAL):

Trumbo is on a seven-game hitting streak and has socked two long balls in his last three games. He’s scored a run in seven of his last eight and appears to finally be making consistently strong contact. Trumbo’s fly-ball and pull rates were decent through the first month, but his 22.5 percent hard-hit rate was simply unproductive. Well, he’s basically doubled that (43.8 percent) in his 10 May games and looks to be back to form.

Mookie Betts - (OF, BOS):

Yay, the Mook-man has delivered! We pointed toward his potential bouncing back last week and all he’s done over the past four games is jack three homers and log four doubles. He’s taken quite well to batting leadoff and has done well to cut his bloated 20 percent soft-contact rate from April in half so far in May. He’s also hitting fly balls over half of the time now compared to a 36-percent clip last month, so the power stroke is truly coming alive.

Aaron Altherr - (OF, PHI):

Duh. The three-run homer machine proved that he can do other things too, like hit solo homers, on Wednesday. Altherr has connected for 22 batted balls in the month of May thus far, and half of them have been clocked at 100 mph or greater coming off of the bat. Six of those have been at 107.9 mph or more. His fly-ball rate is up 13.5 percent, his pull rate is up 14.5 percent and his hard-hit rate is up 23.2 percent. He’s feeling pretty good right now.

Tommy Joseph - (1B, PHI):

A teammate of Altherr’s seems to be coming around as well, as Joseph has quietly gone 11-for-28 with four doubles and three homers in nine May games thus far. For comparison, he had hit only two doubles and one homer in 67 April at-bats. Now, he isn’t hitting as many fly balls but his line-drive rate has rebounded from a woeful 8.3 percent thanks to his turning some of the 54.2 percent of grounders from April into well-struck balls (hard-hit rate up to 60 percent from 29.2). It’s not a lot, but those in deeper formats who could use some CI assistance should cast a stink-eye at Joseph.

 

Power Fallers

Trea Turner - (2B/OF, WSH):

Turner has gone 2-for-24 without an XBH with just one walk and 10 strikeouts over his last six games, prompting a day off from Dusty Baker on May 8, but it hasn’t quite solved things. He started off 2017 scorching hot by going 20-for-63 with two homers and four steals, but he’s definitely a “faller” here thanks to a soft-contact rate that has doubled to 25 percent.

Anthony Rizzo - (1B, CHC):

Rizzo went off toward the end of April, blasting five homers in just eight games from April 21-29, but since then he has gone ice cold. Sporting a .025 ISO, he’s gone just 4-for-40 with two RBI in 10 games with a horrid 38.7 percent soft-contact rate (versus a 16.1 percent hard rate) in that span. He’s also rocking a 54.8 percent ground-ball rate there, as he’s rolling over the ball with lesser power. We know he’s amazing and should stabilize, but this is a bad look.

Avisail Garcia - (OF, CWS):

It was a fun ride, but Garcia hadn’t produced an extra-base hit since April 29 before a double tonight (May 11) and is reverting back to his over-swinging, not-so-productive self. He still has an absurd .410 BABIP on the season, but it seems like the fun is over. Most of you have likely moved along, but his entering play on May 11 as one of 13 qualified hitters with a .000 ISO.

Max Kepler - (OF, MIN):

Speaking of players with a flat-lined ISO, Kepler has done even worse there. He hasn’t logged an XBH since clearing the fence on April 23. Since then, he’s gone 6-for-32 with three RBI and two steals. And out of the 10 balls that he’s struck at 98 mph or greater since 4/23, none of them have been at a launch angle greater than 10 degrees (eight of them were negative values). Maybe he just really hates gophers right now, but he needs to flip the switch soon and get some lift on those hits.

Yangervis Solarte - (2B/3B, SD):

Solarte’s first game of May saw him launch a two-run homer, but he’s cooled off lately and hasn’t logged an RBI or run scored across his last five games. He’s now 3-for-22 over his last seven games and leads the MLB with a 41.7 percent soft-contact rate in May. That’s not an honor one wants. The aforementioned two-run homer was also the last time he struck a ball at 100 mph or greater and the average distance on his three HRs this season is a paltry 380 feet, which sandwiches him on that leaderboard between vaunted sluggers like Francisco Cervelli and Andrelton Simmons.

 

More Risers and Fallers

 

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Scotty Pippen Jr.

Season Debut Delayed for at Least Four More Weeks
Brandon Clarke

to Miss 4-6 More Weeks
Josh Giddey

Starting Ramp-Up Period, Could Return Soon
Ja Morant

Unavailable Thursday
Julian Phillips

Out Wednesday
Coby White

to Be Limited to 28-30 Minutes Wednesday
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Active Against Cavaliers
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Cleared to Play Wednesday
Kelly Oubre Jr.

Available Wednesday
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Active Versus Cavs
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Misses Wednesday's Action
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Out Wednesday
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Out Versus Pacers on Wednesday
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Won't Play Wednesday
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Activated From Injured Reserve
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Looks To Stay Hot In 2026
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Cleared for Contact, Could Return Thursday
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Sidelined Another Six Weeks
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Lands on Injured Reserve, Out Week-to-Week
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Activated From Injured Reserve
Nikola Jokić

Nikola Jokic Set to Resume On-Court Work
Corey Perry

Unavailable Wednesday
Teuvo Teravainen

to Miss at Least One Game
Connor Bedard

Returns to Practice
Trae Young

Out at Least a Month
Alexandre Texier

Canadiens Sign Alexandre Texier to Two-Year Extension
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Giants Making "Massive Push" to Hire John Harbaugh on Wednesday
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Dante Moore Not Entering 2026 NFL Draft, Will Return to Oregon
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Expected to Play More Defense in 2026
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FBS Coaches Unanimously Vote to Expand Redshirt Eligibility to Nine Games
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Ohio State Transfer Mylan Graham Signs with Notre Dame
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Caden Durham Withdraws from Transfer Portal, Will Stay at LSU
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Has Three Points in Tuesday's Loss
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Jordan Spieth

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Jeremy Swayman

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Zach Werenski

Totals Three Points in Tuesday's Win
Chandler Stephenson

Available Wednesday
Aaron Rai

Looking For Putting Confidence at Waialae Country Club
Jonathan Marchessault

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Brayden Point

Labeled Week-to-Week
Franz Wagner

to Return on Thursday
Dean Wade

Unavailable Wednesday
Collin Morikawa

Isn't The Safe Play He Used to Be Ahead of Sony Open
Kurt Kitayama

Needs His Putting to Turn Around For Success at Year's First Event
Ryan Weathers

Yankees Add Rotation Depth, Acquire Ryan Weathers in Four-Player Deal
Robert Thomas

Out Tuesday
Jake Walman

Available Against Predators
Troy Terry

a Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Justin Sourdif

Won't Play Tuesday
Jakob Chychrun

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Morgan Geekie

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Chargers Fire Offensive Coordinator Greg Roman
Pittsburgh Steelers

Mike Tomlin Stepping Down as Steelers Head Coach
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Georgia Tech the Favorite to Land Justice Haynes?
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Tom Kim

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Billy Horschel

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Corey Conners

Looks to Have a Return to Form in 2026
PGA

Chris Gotterup a Decent Play at Sony Open
Gary Woodland

Could Prosper at the Sony Open
Keith Mitchell

Unlikely to Contend at Sony Open
Robert MacIntyre

Looking for a Good Performance at the Sony Open
Michael Kim

Hopes to Start Sony Open Better This Week
Tom Hoge

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Brian Harman

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Eric Cole

Looks to Last Year for Success at Sony Open
Daniel Berger

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Kyle Tucker

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Dalton Kincaid

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Brooks Koepka

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Tucker Kraft

Hopes to be Ready for Week 1 of Next Season
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Georgia Lands Kentucky Transfer Dante Dowdell
Matthew Stafford

has "Little Sprain," Should be "Good to Go"
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Sam Leavitt Expected to Sign with LSU
Green Bay Packers

Packers Expected to Work Out New Deal With Matt LaFleur in the "Coming Days"
CFB

Dylan Raiola Commits to Oregon
CFB

Isaiah Horton Landing with Texas A&M
George Kittle

Suffers Torn Achilles on Sunday
Omarion Hampton

Active for Wild-Card Round Against Patriots
George Kittle

Ruled Out After Non-Contact Achilles Injury
Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders Request Interview With Ejiro Evero
Los Angeles Rams

Mike LaFleur to Interview With Raiders and Cardinals
Aaron Rodgers

Steelers Open to Re-Signing Aaron Rodgers?
Matthew Stafford

X-Rays Come Back Negative
MacKenzie Gore

Yankees Pursuing Trade for MacKenzie Gore
Alex Bregman

Cubs Sign Alex Bregman to Five-Year, $175 Millon Contract
Freddie Freeman

Withdraws from World Baseball Classic
Max Kepler

Receives 80-Game PED Suspension
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Cam Coleman Visiting Alabama on Friday
Omarion Hampton

Expects to Play Sunday Night
CFB

Eric Singleton Jr. Enters Transfer Portal, Trending to Land at Florida
CFB

NCAA Denies Trinidad Chambliss a Sixth Year of Eligibility
Omarion Hampton

Questionable for Wild-Card Weekend
Kyle Tucker

Mets Remain in Mix for Kyle Tucker
Ketel Marte

Will Remain With Diamondbacks
Rashee Rice

to be Reviewed Under League's Conduct Policy

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