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Power Risers and Fallers for Week 6: Buy or Sell?

RotoBaller's Nick Mariano looks at some fantasy baseball bats for week six that have kicked off May either extremely hot or cold in the power department.

Welcome back to this investigative piece where we examine players who have seen some notable changes in their power profiles -- for better or for worse -- in 2017.

As usual, you don’t need me to tell you that Miguel Sano or Aaron Judge are strong or that Jarrod Dyson and Billy Hamilton are toward the bottom in average exit velocity. It’s been about six weeks and now these numbers are really starting to mean something, but do keep a level head on the whole when approaching surges.

For reference, here's a tasty little screencap of the premium power tool that much of the inspiration for this article comes from. It pulls the fly-ball, pull and hard-hit rates for players -- metrics associated with power -- and looks at notable recent swings in performance.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Power Risers and Fallers - Premium Tool

Identifying top power risers and fallers for each week can help you spot the best pickups before your competition. RotoBaller's Premium Power Risers and Fallers tool has you covered every day. Here's a free sample:

 

Power Risers

Matt Carpenter - (1B/2B, STL):

He’s on a six-game hitting streak and homered in three straight games from May 5-7. I realize this is about power, but he’s already notched 13 walks in just 44 plate appearances after walking 15 times in 88 April PAs. Power plus plate discipline equals jackpot. With a whopping 59.1 percent hard-hit rate and minuscule 4.6 percent soft-contact rate through May thus far, he’s definitely going to qualify as a “riser”. He won’t keep it up at quite this pace but should flirt with 30 homers in 2017.

Mark Trumbo - (1B/OF, BAL):

Trumbo is on a seven-game hitting streak and has socked two long balls in his last three games. He’s scored a run in seven of his last eight and appears to finally be making consistently strong contact. Trumbo’s fly-ball and pull rates were decent through the first month, but his 22.5 percent hard-hit rate was simply unproductive. Well, he’s basically doubled that (43.8 percent) in his 10 May games and looks to be back to form.

Mookie Betts - (OF, BOS):

Yay, the Mook-man has delivered! We pointed toward his potential bouncing back last week and all he’s done over the past four games is jack three homers and log four doubles. He’s taken quite well to batting leadoff and has done well to cut his bloated 20 percent soft-contact rate from April in half so far in May. He’s also hitting fly balls over half of the time now compared to a 36-percent clip last month, so the power stroke is truly coming alive.

Aaron Altherr - (OF, PHI):

Duh. The three-run homer machine proved that he can do other things too, like hit solo homers, on Wednesday. Altherr has connected for 22 batted balls in the month of May thus far, and half of them have been clocked at 100 mph or greater coming off of the bat. Six of those have been at 107.9 mph or more. His fly-ball rate is up 13.5 percent, his pull rate is up 14.5 percent and his hard-hit rate is up 23.2 percent. He’s feeling pretty good right now.

Tommy Joseph - (1B, PHI):

A teammate of Altherr’s seems to be coming around as well, as Joseph has quietly gone 11-for-28 with four doubles and three homers in nine May games thus far. For comparison, he had hit only two doubles and one homer in 67 April at-bats. Now, he isn’t hitting as many fly balls but his line-drive rate has rebounded from a woeful 8.3 percent thanks to his turning some of the 54.2 percent of grounders from April into well-struck balls (hard-hit rate up to 60 percent from 29.2). It’s not a lot, but those in deeper formats who could use some CI assistance should cast a stink-eye at Joseph.

 

Power Fallers

Trea Turner - (2B/OF, WSH):

Turner has gone 2-for-24 without an XBH with just one walk and 10 strikeouts over his last six games, prompting a day off from Dusty Baker on May 8, but it hasn’t quite solved things. He started off 2017 scorching hot by going 20-for-63 with two homers and four steals, but he’s definitely a “faller” here thanks to a soft-contact rate that has doubled to 25 percent.

Anthony Rizzo - (1B, CHC):

Rizzo went off toward the end of April, blasting five homers in just eight games from April 21-29, but since then he has gone ice cold. Sporting a .025 ISO, he’s gone just 4-for-40 with two RBI in 10 games with a horrid 38.7 percent soft-contact rate (versus a 16.1 percent hard rate) in that span. He’s also rocking a 54.8 percent ground-ball rate there, as he’s rolling over the ball with lesser power. We know he’s amazing and should stabilize, but this is a bad look.

Avisail Garcia - (OF, CWS):

It was a fun ride, but Garcia hadn’t produced an extra-base hit since April 29 before a double tonight (May 11) and is reverting back to his over-swinging, not-so-productive self. He still has an absurd .410 BABIP on the season, but it seems like the fun is over. Most of you have likely moved along, but his entering play on May 11 as one of 13 qualified hitters with a .000 ISO.

Max Kepler - (OF, MIN):

Speaking of players with a flat-lined ISO, Kepler has done even worse there. He hasn’t logged an XBH since clearing the fence on April 23. Since then, he’s gone 6-for-32 with three RBI and two steals. And out of the 10 balls that he’s struck at 98 mph or greater since 4/23, none of them have been at a launch angle greater than 10 degrees (eight of them were negative values). Maybe he just really hates gophers right now, but he needs to flip the switch soon and get some lift on those hits.

Yangervis Solarte - (2B/3B, SD):

Solarte’s first game of May saw him launch a two-run homer, but he’s cooled off lately and hasn’t logged an RBI or run scored across his last five games. He’s now 3-for-22 over his last seven games and leads the MLB with a 41.7 percent soft-contact rate in May. That’s not an honor one wants. The aforementioned two-run homer was also the last time he struck a ball at 100 mph or greater and the average distance on his three HRs this season is a paltry 380 feet, which sandwiches him on that leaderboard between vaunted sluggers like Francisco Cervelli and Andrelton Simmons.

 

More Risers and Fallers

 

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Quentin Grimes

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Available to Play on Tuesday
LaMelo Ball

Expected to Play on Wednesday
Brandon Miller

Ruled Out for Wednesday's Game
Kristaps Porzingis

Sidelined Again for Wednesday
Kyshawn George

Upgraded to Available on Tuesday
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Expected to Suit Up Wednesday
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Out for Eight Weeks
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to Sit Out 6-8 Weeks
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Activated From Injured Reserve
Warren Foegele

Remains Out Tuesday
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Nikola Jokic Probable for Wednesday
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Available After Eight-Game Absence
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Nathan MacKinnon, Gabriel Landeskog Cleared for Tuesday
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Questionable for Wednesday
Tyson Foerster

to Miss 2-3 Months
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D.J. Durkin Staying at Auburn Under Alex Golesh
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Out of Action Again on Tuesday
Zion Williamson

Sidelined at Least Three Weeks
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Charlie Weis Jr. Permitted to Coach Ole Miss Offense in College Football Playoff
Khris Middleton

Will Not Play Tuesday
Kyshawn George

Is Questionable Against the 76ers
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Says he's Fine After Suffering Hip Contusion
Trey Murphy III

Will Return Tuesday Night
Omarion Hampton

Likely to Return in Week 14
Yves Missi

Uncertain to Play Tuesday Against the Timberwolves
Zion Williamson

Questionable Against Minnesota
Neemias Queta

Set to Return on Tuesday
Derrick White

Will Play Tuesday Against New York
Quentin Grimes

Downgraded to Questionable on Tuesday
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Five-Star Quarterback Jared Curtis Flips Commitment From Georgia to Vanderbilt
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Florida Hiring Brad White as Defensive Coordinator
Kyle Schwarber

Giants Have Checked in on Kyle Schwarber
Willson Contreras

Willing to Waive his Full No-Trade Clause?
Brandon Aiyuk

49ers "Hopeful" Brandon Aiyuk Will Play in 2025
Brayden Point

Without Timetable for Return
Jake Walman

Still Out Tuesday
Mason Appleton

Misses Tuesday's Contest
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Good to Go Tuesday
Conor Garland

Out on Tuesday
Petr Mrazek

Considered Day-to-Day
Tyson Foerster

Hurt in Monday's Loss
Trey Murphy III

May Skip Another Game Tuesday
Zion Williamson

Back in Pelicans Lineup Tuesday
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Carted Off With Hip Injury on Monday Night
Edwin Díaz

Mets Still Interested in Re-Signing Edwin Diaz
Devin Williams

Agrees to Three-Year Deal With Mets
Cole Ragans

Red Sox Targeting Cole Ragans in a Trade?
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Kentucky Hires Oregon Offensive Coordinator Will Stein As Head Coach
Davante Adams

Not Dealing With a Serious Injury
Kyler Murray

Surgery Not on the Table for Kyler Murray
Marvin Harrison Jr.

in Danger of Missing Week 14?
Danila Yurov

Won't Play on Tuesday
David Pastrnak

to Remain Out Tuesday
Adam Gaudette

Iffy for Monday
CFB

Kalani Sitake the Top Target for Penn State Coaching Job
Logan Cooley

a Game-Time Decision Monday
Josh Norris

Available Monday
Neal Pionk

Remains Out Monday
Jimmy Snuggerud

to Miss Six Weeks After Wrist Surgery
Justin Herbert

Having Hand Surgery on Monday
Kyler Murray

Cardinals Won't Open Kyler Murray's Practice Window This Week
Sauce Gardner

Not a Candidate to Go on Injured Reserve
Jayden Daniels

Not Cleared for Contact, Decision on Week 14 Status Delayed
CFB

Josh Heupel Says He's Not a Candidate for Penn State Head Coach Job
Trey Hendrickson

Doubtful to Return in Week 14
Tee Higgins

Still in the Concussion Protocol
Drake London

"has a Chance" to Play in Week 14
J.J. McCarthy

in Line to Start in Week 14?
Aaron Jones Sr.

Not Dealing With Serious Shoulder Injury, Likely Day-to-Day
Sam Darnold

Dealing With Ankle Injury, "Should be Good" for Week 14
CFB

Will Stein, Brian Hartline the Top Candidates for Kentucky Job?
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Nebraska Fires Defensive Coordinator John Butler After One Season
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UCLA Expected to Hire Bob Chesney as Next Head Coach
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Officially Week-to-Week with Strained Calf
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Lane Kiffin to Make $13 Million Salary, Ties Kirby Smart
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Buster Faulkner, Joey Halzle Candidates for Florida Offensive Coordinator Job?
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Kentucky Officially Fires Mark Stoops
Justin Herbert

Has Metacarpal Fracture in Left Hand
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Week 14 Availability Up in the Air
Zach Ertz

Leads Washington in Receiving in Overtime Loss
CFB

Lane Kiffin to be Introduced as LSU's Next Head Coach on Monday
CFB

Florida Poised to Land Jon Sumrall as Next Head Coach
CFB

Alex Golesh Taking Over Auburn Head-Coaching Job
CFB

Arkansas Expected to Hire Ryan Silverfield as Next Head Coach
Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Ryan Helsley

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Orioles

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