X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
News and Alerts

Points Leagues First Basemen: Overvalued and Undervalued

As we’ve discussed before, points leagues are a bit of a different animal from the more popular head-to-head and rotisserie formats. One of the easiest and best ways to ensure that you’re making a smooth transition between these disparate styles is to identify players whose values change most.

Fortunately, you don’t have to go it alone. Over the next week, I’ll be offering my thoughts on potential points league bargains and busts at every position.

Today we're looking at some potential first base sleepers and busts, or draft targets and avoids in points leagues.

Featured Promo: Get any full-season MLB and DFS Premium Pass for 50% off. Exclusive access to our Team Sync platform, Premium articles, daily Matchup Rating projections, 15 lineup tools, DFS cheat sheets, Research Stations, Lineup Optimizers and much more! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Overvalued for Points Leagues

Joey Gallo, Texas Rangers

Gallo is in many ways the poster boy for the current state of MLB hitting. His plate appearances last season ended in one of the three true outcomes – a walk, strikeout, or home run – well over 50 percent of the time. Unfortunately, he struck out 196 times, almost twice as often as he managed to pull off the other two outcomes. Those 41 home runs were great, but Gallo delivers negative value to your points league roster in over a third of his trips to the plate. In this format, hits that don’t leave the yard have value, too, and Gallo only mustered 53 of those. He was the only qualified hitter to post a contact rate below 60 percent…or 65 percent.

Wil Myers, San Diego Padres

Myers doesn’t have as severe a whiff problem as Gallo, but he did strike out in a career-worst 27.7 percent of his plate appearances a year ago. That was the third straight season his strikeout rate rose. Myers also saw his runs scored and RBI total each drop by 20 from his 2016 breakout. Lastly, in standard leagues, Myers gets a lot of value from being the best source of stolen bases at his position; those swipes aren’t nearly as valuable in a points league.

Cody Bellinger, Los Angeles Dodgers

Bellinger ranked in the bottom 10 among qualified hitters in contact rate and in the top 20 in swinging strike rate. His OPS also dropped 60 points from the first half to the second, and everyone remembers his struggles in the World Series (a league record 17 Ks in the series, including three in Game 7 alone). If he can’t put wood on the ball more often, expect him to be a frustrating asset to own in points leagues.

 

Undervalued for Points Leagues

Carlos Santana, Cleveland Indians

Santana has been one of the more durable and consistent hitters in baseball over the last several seasons, and he’s moving to a home park that should help him challenge his career high in home runs (34, set in 2016). The Phillies’ biggest free agent signing this winter (barring a last-minute move for Jake Arrieta) has improved upon his already above-average strikeout rate in each of the last four seasons. During that span, he has a higher BB/K than any hitter outside of Joey Votto and Ben Zobrist.

Jose Abreu, Chicago White Sox

Like Santana, Abreu has trimmed his strikeout rate every season since 2014. He’s not a guy who draws a ton of walks (career 6.5 BB%), but he makes up for it by making plenty of contact; Abreu has never hit below .290 in the major leagues, and has eclipsed the .300 mark in two of his four seasons stateside. He’s also never failed to drive in 100 runs, and has averaged 31 homers per season, with 2016 the only time he failed to hit at least 30 bombs.

Brandon Belt, San Francisco Giants

There aren't many hitters who get a bigger boost to their value from points formats than Belt. He's not worth consideration in H2H or rotisserie, thanks to a home park that murders left-handed power and counting stats that have always underwhelmed. But Belt ranks in the top 25 among qualified hitters in doubles, triples, and walks over the last three seasons despite missing nearly 100 games over that time. At his current ADP (outside the top 300) there's profit potential in points leagues.

 

More Points Leagues Analysis & Draft Values




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Dalton Schultz23 mins ago

Won't Play In Week 13
Noah Brown26 mins ago

Tank Dell, Noah Brown Questionable For Week 13
Dorian Thompson-Robinson38 mins ago

Won't Play Sunday, Joe Flacco To Start
Keenan Allen1 hour ago

Questionable For Week 13
Dallas Goedert1 hour ago

Doubtful To Play In Week 13
Treylon Burks2 hours ago

Questionable To Face Colts
DeMar DeRozan2 hours ago

Uncertain To Play Against Pelicans On Saturday
Pat Connaughton2 hours ago

Ruled Out On Saturday
Keegan Murray2 hours ago

Practices On Friday
Chris Olave2 hours ago

Still In Concussion Protocol But Not Ruled Out
Doug McDermott2 hours ago

Will Not Play Against Pelicans
Luka Doncic2 hours ago

Ruled Out On Friday Due To Personal Reasons
Joel Embiid2 hours ago

Will Be True Game-Time Decision On Friday
Devin Booker2 hours ago

Will Sit Out Against Nuggets On Friday
Victor Wembanyama2 hours ago

Will Be Sidelined On Friday
Trey McBride2 hours ago

Iffy For Week 13 Action
Marquise Brown2 hours ago

Officially Questionable Against Steelers
Julius Randle3 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable On Friday
Dalvin Cook3 hours ago

Breece Hall, Dalvin Cook Questionable For Week 13
Treylon Burks3 hours ago

Cleared To Play In Week 13
Aaron Jones3 hours ago

Ruled Out For Week 13
Jerick McKinnon3 hours ago

Chiefs Expect Jerick McKinnon, Kadarius Toney To Play In Week 13
Dougie Hamilton4 hours ago

Simon Nemec Called Up To Devils Friday, Dougie Hamilton Placed On IR
Zach Charbonnet4 hours ago

Dealing With Swelling In Knee
Adin Hill4 hours ago

Leaves Thursday's Contest Early As Precaution
Timo Meier4 hours ago

Close To Returning, Could Play Friday
Jonathan Taylor4 hours ago

Officially Ruled Out
Sam Montembeault4 hours ago

Signs Three-Year Extension With Canadiens
Nikita Zadorov5 hours ago

Traded To Vancouver
Kenneth Walker III5 hours ago

"Might" Be Able To Play In Week 14
Hayden Hurst5 hours ago

Ruled Out, Tommy Tremble Doubtful For Week 13
Dalton Schultz5 hours ago

Not Expected To Play Against Broncos
De'Von Achane5 hours ago

To Play In Week 13
Tampa Bay Buccaneers5 hours ago

Lavonte David, Devin White Out For Buccaneers Defense
Chris Godwin5 hours ago

To Be A Game-Time Decision
Beneil Dariush7 hours ago

Arman Tsarukyan A Favorite Over Beneil Dariush At UFC Austin
Jack Eichel7 hours ago

Steers Vegas Back On Track
Beneil Dariush7 hours ago

Has A Dangerous Task In Front Of Him
Brayden Schenn7 hours ago

Leads Blues To Victory Thursday
Bobby Green7 hours ago

Looking For Third Win In A Row
Noah Dobson7 hours ago

Grabs Three Assists In Thursday's Win
Jalin Turner7 hours ago

A Favorite At UFC Austin
Tyrese Haliburton7 hours ago

Notches Another Big-Time Performance
Jack Hughes7 hours ago

Adds Three More Points To His Tally
Dustin Stoltzfus7 hours ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Trae Young7 hours ago

Posts A 45-Point Double-Double
Tom Wilson7 hours ago

Celebrates First Career Hat Trick
Jalen Brunson7 hours ago

Drops 42 Points In Win Over Pistons
Punahele Soriano7 hours ago

Looking To Return To Win Column
Jonathan Isaac7 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable On Friday
Tristan Jarry7 hours ago

Caps Off Winning Performance With Historic Goal
Jose Alvarado7 hours ago

Questionable On Friday With Ankle Sprain
Kristaps Porzingis7 hours ago

Ruled Out Against 76ers
Nicolas Batum7 hours ago

Probable To Play Against Celtics
Xavier Tillman8 hours ago

Sr. Questionable To Return On Friday
Zach LaVine8 hours ago

Will Miss One Week With Foot Soreness
Mitchell Marner17 hours ago

Scores Hat Trick In Victory
Alex Lyon17 hours ago

Earns Third Consecutive Victory
Jeremy Swayman17 hours ago

Posts Shutout Against Sharks
Matt McLain20 hours ago

Fully Healed
Shohei Ohtani21 hours ago

Wins Most Outstanding Designated Hitter Award
Chris Paul21 hours ago

To Be Re-Evaluated On Monday
Aaron Gordon21 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Friday
Jamal Murray21 hours ago

Uncertain For Friday
Zach Hyman24 hours ago

Ready To Return On Thursday
Juuso Valimaki24 hours ago

Back For Coyotes On Thursday
Ilya Mikheyev1 day ago

Good To Go Thursday
Dougie Hamilton1 day ago

Won't Play On Thursday
Radko Gudas1 day ago

On Track To Return Thursday
Andrei Svechnikov1 day ago

Expected Back On Thursday
Mark Kastelic1 day ago

Ridly Greig Placed On Long-Term IR By Senators
Dylan Cease1 day ago

Cardinals Interested In Dylan Cease
Joaquim Silva1 day ago

Looking To Return To The Win Column
Clay Guida1 day ago

Set For 36th UFC Fight
Kelvin Gastelum1 day ago

Returns To Welterweight
Tyler Glasnow1 day ago

Cubs Have Held Trade Talks On Tyler Glasnow
Sean Brady1 day ago

Looking To Rebound After First Career Loss
Deiveson Figueiredo1 day ago

Moving Up To Bantamweight
Rob Font1 day ago

Set For Third Fight Of 2023
Nick Martinez1 day ago

Agrees To Two-Year Deal With Reds
Jackson Chourio1 day ago

Brewers Expected To Complete Record-Breaking Deal
Joey Wendle2 days ago

Agrees With Mets
Devin Williams2 days ago

Wins NL Reliever Of The Year Award
FĂ©lix Bautista2 days ago

Felix Bautista Named AL Reliever Of The Year
Luis Severino2 days ago

Mets, Luis Severino Finalizing One-Year Deal
Shohei Ohtani2 days ago

Expected To Sign Before End Of Winter Meetings
Dylan Cease2 days ago

Trade Talks For Dylan Cease Have Intensified
Randy Arozarena2 days ago

Being Shopped By Rays
Bo Bichette2 days ago

Likely Staying Put
Emilio Pagán2 days ago

Emilio Pagan Agrees To Two-Year Pact With Reds
Dylan Cease3 days ago

Dodgers "Among Most Aggressive" Teams For Dylan Cease
Shohei Ohtani3 days ago

Yoshinobu Yamamoto "Above All Other Options" For Giants
Juan Soto3 days ago

"Almost Certain To Be Traded"
Cody Bellinger3 days ago

Earns NL Comeback Player Of The Year Award
Liam Hendriks3 days ago

Earns AL Comeback Player Of The Year Award
Jackson Chourio3 days ago

Brewers Discussing Deal With Top Prospect Jackson Chourio

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP