Michael Conforto 2021 Outlook: More Solid Offensive Production
4 years agoFollowing his 2019 breakout, Mets outfielder Michael Conforto delivered another impressive campaign in 2020, despite the small sample size. In 2020, Conforto posted a .322/.412/.927 line with a career-high .927 OPS, nine home runs, and 31 RBI in 202 at-bats. Similar to 2019, most of Conforto's metrics supported his performance, making a repeat in 2021 likely. In 2020, he generated a .284 xBA, a .475 xSLG, and a wOBA of .395 which was in the top six percent of MLB. Although Conforto saw a dip in overall launch angle and exit velocity compared to 2019, the percentage of 100 mph fly balls he hit increased by almost two percent in 2020. In addition, the average exit velocity on his top-5% hardest-hit balls in the air increased by over one mph in 2020. This, combined with an 11% barrel rate in 2020, suggests he will maintain his power production in 2021. Hitting in the middle of an even more potent Mets' lineup which now includes Francisco Lindor, Conforto will again have plenty of counting stat opportunities. With a current ADP of 76, managers should confidently draft Conforto as a second OF who can provide 30 home runs, 90-100 RBI, with some slight batting average regression. When healthy, Conforto is one of the Mets' most consistent offensive producers. 2021 will be no different.