Dylan Carlson 2022 Player Outlook: Solid OF Option With The Upside For More
3 years agoSt. Louis Cardinals outfielder Dylan Carlson showed improvement at the plate last season after struggling in 2020. He slashed .266/.343/.437 with 18 home runs, 65 RBI, 79 runs, and two stolen bases over 619 plate appearances last season. The 23-year-old showed an advanced approach at the plate by posting a 0.38 BB: K and demonstrated his ability to lift the ball by increasing his launch angle from 9.3 in 2020 to 15.1 in 2021. Carlson should see an increase in power as his 12.2% HR/FB should improve (17.2% HR/FB in Triple-A), and he finished last season strong by popping three homer runs over his previous six games. He is a switch-hitter who plays good defense and should be in the Cardinals' everyday lineup. The former first-rounder is projected to his fifth for a potent Cardinals lineup, including Paul Goldschmidt, Nolan Arenado, and breakout star Tyler O'Neill. Although there should be more power in store for Carlson, Steamer is projecting the switch hitter to mash 20 long balls along with a .251/.330/.423 slash line and a .325 wOBA over 146 games. According to RotoBaller's Expected Draft Values, Carlson's Steamer projection makes him roughly fair value at his current NFBC ADP of 155. The Cardinals outfielder has plenty of upside and is a good bet to surpass his Steamer projections in 2022.