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Brandon Nimmo 2019 Outlook: Value Play Depending On The Mets’ Offense
Brandon Nimmo offered strong value as an end-of-draft outfielder in 2018. His 17 home runs and nine steals were useful if managers only needed him as a fourth outfielder. What is most shocking is that in Nimmo’s 241 MLB games, he owns a 135 wRC+. It seems unlikely that Nimmo will manage to maintain that type of pace over the longer run, but his batted ball profile indicates that he may able to make the most of pitcher mistakes. He has the plate discipline to lay off bad pitches and he takes advantage when pitchers do make mistakes. The 2018 Mets were a poor offensive team, but with a full season of a healthy Michael Conforto, an improved Amed Rosario, and trade-import Robinson Cano, the Mets should be meaningfully improved on offense. Expect Nimmo to bat first or second and for his run total to settle around 90 this season. Nimmo’s ability to get on base and to hit the ball hard means that he should have some value in nearly all leagues. However, in OBP leagues, Nimmo takes on a new look, as his elite 15% walk rate makes him a top-125 player. Nimmo offers Kevin-Youkilis like potential. However, if he can continue to get on base and the team context supports him, he could be a top-80 player. Nimmo is a draft value at his current ADP of 163.
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