Alex Bregman 2026 Fantasy Baseball Outlook: Upside Could Be Limited in Move to Chicago
Third baseman Alex Bregman was viewed as one of the top infielders on the open market this winter. After being linked to several teams, he opted to sign a five-year, $175 million contract with the Chicago Cubs. After spending the first nine seasons of his career with the Astros, Bregman moved to Boston in 2025 and held a .273/.360/.462 line with an .822 OPS. He hit 18 home runs and added 28 doubles across 114 contests. He continues to maintain an elite 14.1% K % (88th percentile) and drew walks at a 10.3% rate (73rd percentile), providing him a boost in points leagues. However, moving to Wrigley Field, his upside could be limited due to the dimensions of the park. Per Statcast Park Factors, Bregman would have actually hit one more home run (19) if he were on the Cubs last season, but would have seen his doubles decrease significantly. Over the last three seasons, Wrigley Field has the lowest score in terms of doubles by right-handed bats, which will hinder Bregman's upside in points leagues, as he has typically sat near the top of the sport in doubles each season. While his power production and counting stats should remain high in Chicago, managers expecting 25+ doubles should temper their expectations. His slight drop in upside pushes him to the low-end range of starting third basemen. He is a fine target at his current 117.5 ADP on NFBC drafts.
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