X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
News and Alerts

Goldy Finds a New Home in St. Louis

First baseman Paul Goldschmidt was in the last year of his deal with the Arizona Diamondbacks, and the 31-year-old was thought to be a trade candidate this offseason. The deal was finalized on Wednesday, as the Cardinals got their man and Goldy was traded for Luke Weaver, Carson Kelly, Andy Young, and a Competitive Balance Round B draft pick.

In 2018, Goldschmidt had a .290/.389/.533 slash line with 33 home runs and 83 RBI. While Goldschmidt's 2018 line was still strong, it was the third consecutive season that his OBP dropped and he was under double-digit stolen bases for the first time since 2014 as well. It also did not help that he had his worst run production (83 RBI and 95 runs scored) in a full season.

While the slugger could be a rental (although the Cardinals will make every attempt to re-sign him), will Paul Goldschmidt return to his top-10 ways in St. Louis this season?

Featured Promo: Get any full-season MLB and DFS Premium Pass for 50% off. Exclusive access to our Team Sync platform, Premium articles, daily Matchup Rating projections, 15 lineup tools, DFS cheat sheets, Research Stations, Lineup Optimizers and much more! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Does Goldschmidt Get The Cardinals Over The Line?

As stated above, Goldschmidt has taken a bit of a step back from his 1.005 OPS in 2015 and back-to-back 20 home run/20 stolen base seasons in 2015 and 2016. That being said, Goldschmidt still has a career .398 OBP, averages 31 home runs and 18 stolen bases per 162 games, and has played at least 155 games in five of the last six seasons. There are few players that are as consistent or fill as many categories as Goldschmidt, and he will slot into a lineup that already has Matt Carpenter, Marcell Ozuna, Jose Martinez, and Paul DeJong. This is also good for fantasy owners, as Carpenter will likely maintain his 1B/3B eligibility with Goldschmidt taking over first base. After finishing ninth in runs scored (but 14th in OPS), look for Goldschmidt to keep the Cards in the top-10 in offensive categories.

Looking at Goldschmidt's 2018 season, the clearest drop-off was with his soft-hit ball rate, which was a career-worst 16.9%. He did have 25% line drives and a career-best 46.2% hard-hit ball rate, but a boosted soft-hit ball rate and a 25.1% strikeout rate are two potential worries. Still, the jump in line drive rate and hard-hit ball rate led to a .359 BABIP that was his best since 2015, and he did post his seventh season of a .200+ isolated power in his eight big league seasons. He also hit just 38.6% of ground balls last season and, normally, hitting the ball hard in the air leads to good things! With regards to his strikeout rate, he has had a swinging strike rate of 10% in each of the last two seasons (first time since his first two seasons of 2011 and 2012), and he swung at 28.8% of pitches outside the strike zone, his worst rate since 2012. Patience is key for Goldschmidt and, if he is able to cut down on his swinging strike rate, look for him to get his OBP back in the .400s.

The biggest story of Goldschmidt's 2018 season could have been the fact that Arizona went from a hitter's ballpark to a pitcher's ballpark with the introduction of a humidor. Arizona went from third in runs allowed in 2017 to a middle-of-the-road park last season (11th). Furthermore, home runs went from fourth in 2017 to 19th in 2018, which could have been a big reason that Goldschmidt's HR/FB rate dipped from 24.8% to 21.6% year over year. This is not to say that Goldschmidt would have been a 40 home run player last year, but, with his batted ball profile, it is not totally far-fetched. Unfortunately, St. Louis is more of a pitcher's park as well, as Busch Stadium was 24th in runs allowed and 25th in home runs in 2018. Furthermore, St. Louis was more unforgiving to right-handed batters (like Goldschmidt) lefties.

There is a very small chance that Goldschmidt slips past the second round of this spring's drafts and, with this move, I am bumping him up to the top 1B in baseball for next season. There are very few players that have the potential to put up 200 R+RBI, 70 extra base hits, and 20 stolen bases and, quite frankly, there are no 1B that match that profile. Goldy is as safe as it gets early in drafts, allowing for some risk deeper in drafts.

 

What Did the D-Backs Get for Their Superstar?

Starting with five years of control for Luke Weaver, the Diamondbacks' haul in this deal is pretty nice. Weaver, a 2014 first-round draft pick of the Cardinals, already has 233 career MLB innings under his belt. There have been mixed results, as a 3.88 ERA in 60 1/3 innings in 2017 was followed up a 4.95 ERA om 136 1/3 innings in 2018, but the 25-year-old still has promise. His strikeout rate being slashed in 2018 was notable (117 in his first 96 2/3 innings and 121 in 2018), as was the fact that his WHIP jumped to 1.50. Hopefully, for the Diamondbacks, Weaver's home run issues (33 allowed in his career) can go away with Arizona's humidor, and he can return to striking out a batter an inning, as he did in the minors and in his early MLB career.

Carson Kelly has not lived up to his top prospect status and only has a .415 OPS in 131 career plate appearances, but will likely be the starting catcher for the Diamondbacks on opening day. Not to belabor Kelly's struggles in the big leagues, but he has yet to hit a home run and only has four extra-base hits. A former second-round in 2012, Kelly had an .834 OPS for Triple-A Memphis in 2017 and also hit .289 in 2016. At just 24 years old, the Diamondbacks hope that he is able to rehab his career in the desert.

A 37th round draft pick out of Indiana State in 2016, 2B Andy Young had a .289 batting average between High-A Palm Beach and Double-A Springfield last season. He showed a little pop last season (21 home runs and a .479 slugging percentage), and a jump in OPS from .817 with Palm Beach to .950 with Springfield is also a reason for optimism. With Ketel Marte and Nick Ahmed holding down the middle infield slots for the Diamondbacks (said as sarcastically as possible), there is a chance that, if the 24-year-old looks good in Triple-A, Young could be on the big league team this season.

More 2019 MLB Advice and Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kaapo Kahkonen4 hours ago

Makes 44 Saves In Victory
Mikael Granlund4 hours ago

Totals Season-High Three Points
Anthony Duclair4 hours ago

Scores Two Goals In Victory
NJ4 hours ago

Simon Nemec Collects Two Points In NHL Debut
Ausar Thompson5 hours ago

Probable Against Cleveland
Bojan Bogdanovic5 hours ago

Likely To Return On Saturday
Caris LeVert5 hours ago

Sitting Out Against Detroit
Brandon Miller6 hours ago

Battling An Ankle Issue
Anthony Edwards6 hours ago

Not Expected To Play On Saturday
Andrew Wiggins8 hours ago

Questionable For Rematch With The Clippers
Trey Lyles8 hours ago

Won't Play Versus Denver
Keegan Murray9 hours ago

Might Return On Saturday
New York Mets9 hours ago

Yoshinobu Yamamoto Is Where Mets' Focus Lies
Cleveland Browns10 hours ago

Myles Garrett Cleared For Week 13, Denzel Ward Ruled Out
Ezekiel Elliott10 hours ago

Questionable For Week 13
Bailey Zappe10 hours ago

To Start In Week 13
Demario Douglas10 hours ago

Won't Play In Week 13
Travis Etienne Jr.10 hours ago

Remains Limited On Friday
Tee Higgins10 hours ago

A Full Participant On Friday
Dalton Schultz11 hours ago

Won't Play In Week 13
Noah Brown11 hours ago

Tank Dell, Noah Brown Questionable For Week 13
Dorian Thompson-Robinson12 hours ago

Won't Play Sunday, Joe Flacco To Start
Keenan Allen12 hours ago

Questionable For Week 13
Dallas Goedert12 hours ago

Doubtful To Play In Week 13
Treylon Burks13 hours ago

Questionable To Face Colts
DeMar DeRozan13 hours ago

Uncertain To Play Against Pelicans On Saturday
Pat Connaughton13 hours ago

Ruled Out On Saturday
Keegan Murray13 hours ago

Practices On Friday
Chris Olave13 hours ago

Still In Concussion Protocol But Not Ruled Out
Doug McDermott13 hours ago

Will Not Play Against Pelicans
Luka Doncic13 hours ago

Ruled Out On Friday Due To Personal Reasons
Joel Embiid13 hours ago

Will Be True Game-Time Decision On Friday
Devin Booker13 hours ago

Will Sit Out Against Nuggets On Friday
Victor Wembanyama13 hours ago

Will Be Sidelined On Friday
Trey McBride13 hours ago

Iffy For Week 13 Action
Marquise Brown13 hours ago

Officially Questionable Against Steelers
Julius Randle14 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable On Friday
Dalvin Cook14 hours ago

Breece Hall, Dalvin Cook Questionable For Week 13
Treylon Burks14 hours ago

Cleared To Play In Week 13
Aaron Jones14 hours ago

Ruled Out For Week 13
Jerick McKinnon15 hours ago

Chiefs Expect Jerick McKinnon, Kadarius Toney To Play In Week 13
Dougie Hamilton15 hours ago

Simon Nemec Called Up To Devils Friday, Dougie Hamilton Placed On IR
Zach Charbonnet15 hours ago

Dealing With Swelling In Knee
Adin Hill15 hours ago

Leaves Thursday's Contest Early As Precaution
Timo Meier15 hours ago

Close To Returning, Could Play Friday
Jonathan Taylor15 hours ago

Officially Ruled Out
Sam Montembeault15 hours ago

Signs Three-Year Extension With Canadiens
Nikita Zadorov16 hours ago

Traded To Vancouver
Beneil Dariush18 hours ago

Arman Tsarukyan A Favorite Over Beneil Dariush At UFC Austin
Jack Eichel18 hours ago

Steers Vegas Back On Track
Beneil Dariush18 hours ago

Has A Dangerous Task In Front Of Him
Brayden Schenn18 hours ago

Leads Blues To Victory Thursday
Bobby Green18 hours ago

Looking For Third Win In A Row
Noah Dobson18 hours ago

Grabs Three Assists In Thursday's Win
Jalin Turner18 hours ago

A Favorite At UFC Austin
Tyrese Haliburton18 hours ago

Notches Another Big-Time Performance
Jack Hughes18 hours ago

Adds Three More Points To His Tally
Dustin Stoltzfus18 hours ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Trae Young18 hours ago

Posts A 45-Point Double-Double
Tom Wilson18 hours ago

Celebrates First Career Hat Trick
Jalen Brunson18 hours ago

Drops 42 Points In Win Over Pistons
Punahele Soriano18 hours ago

Looking To Return To Win Column
Jonathan Isaac18 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable On Friday
Tristan Jarry18 hours ago

Caps Off Winning Performance With Historic Goal
Mitchell Marner1 day ago

Scores Hat Trick In Victory
Alex Lyon1 day ago

Earns Third Consecutive Victory
Jeremy Swayman1 day ago

Posts Shutout Against Sharks
Matt McLain1 day ago

Fully Healed
Shohei Ohtani1 day ago

Wins Most Outstanding Designated Hitter Award
Zach Hyman1 day ago

Ready To Return On Thursday
Juuso Valimaki1 day ago

Back For Coyotes On Thursday
Ilya Mikheyev1 day ago

Good To Go Thursday
Dylan Cease2 days ago

Cardinals Interested In Dylan Cease
Joaquim Silva2 days ago

Looking To Return To The Win Column
Clay Guida2 days ago

Set For 36th UFC Fight
Kelvin Gastelum2 days ago

Returns To Welterweight
Tyler Glasnow2 days ago

Cubs Have Held Trade Talks On Tyler Glasnow
Sean Brady2 days ago

Looking To Rebound After First Career Loss
Deiveson Figueiredo2 days ago

Moving Up To Bantamweight
Rob Font2 days ago

Set For Third Fight Of 2023
Nick Martinez2 days ago

Agrees To Two-Year Deal With Reds
Jackson Chourio2 days ago

Brewers Expected To Complete Record-Breaking Deal
Joey Wendle2 days ago

Agrees With Mets
Devin Williams2 days ago

Wins NL Reliever Of The Year Award
FĂ©lix Bautista2 days ago

Felix Bautista Named AL Reliever Of The Year
Luis Severino2 days ago

Mets, Luis Severino Finalizing One-Year Deal
Shohei Ohtani2 days ago

Expected To Sign Before End Of Winter Meetings
Dylan Cease2 days ago

Trade Talks For Dylan Cease Have Intensified
Randy Arozarena3 days ago

Being Shopped By Rays
Bo Bichette3 days ago

Likely Staying Put
Emilio Pagán3 days ago

Emilio Pagan Agrees To Two-Year Pact With Reds
Dylan Cease3 days ago

Dodgers "Among Most Aggressive" Teams For Dylan Cease
Shohei Ohtani3 days ago

Yoshinobu Yamamoto "Above All Other Options" For Giants
Juan Soto3 days ago

"Almost Certain To Be Traded"
Cody Bellinger3 days ago

Earns NL Comeback Player Of The Year Award
Liam Hendriks3 days ago

Earns AL Comeback Player Of The Year Award

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 

Week 13 Rankings: 2023 Fantasy Football Outlooks, Start/Sit Analysis at Every Position - QB, RB, WR, TE

Check out our Week 13 2023 fantasy football position rankings! Jorden Hill discusses his top Week 13 fantasy football rankings for each position. You should consider starting these players in your 2023 fantasy football lineups for Week 13. The 2023 fantasy football season is officially here - win big with RotoBaller in 2023! Be sure... Read More


Breece Hall - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Injury Reports For Week 13 (Friday Updates): Aaron Rodgers, De'Von Achane, Jonathan Taylor, Keenan Allen, David Montgomery, Aaron Jones, Breece Hall, more

Heading into Week 13 of the NFL season, there is no shortage of big-name players in the injury headlines. The fantasy football playoffs are just around the corner, and these injuries could complicate start or sit decisions. Our injury updates and reports for Week 13 as of Friday, December 1, 2023, will give you the... Read More


Rhamondre Stevenson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Week 13 Fantasy Football Matchups We Love: The Fantasy Matchmaker

Welcome back to the Week 13 Fantasy Matchmaker article looking at Week 12 matchups we love! This is my weekly series for RotoBaller where I look at the matchup strength for pretty much every viable fantasy football player across the fantasy skill positions. With only two weeks left in the fantasy football regular season, each... Read More


Kyler Murray - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Week 13 Fantasy Busts? Players Who May Disappoint Include Kyler Murray, Breece Hall, D'Andre Swift, Drake London

Dodging busts with a full 16-game slate can be easy. With six teams on bye, it's a little bit more difficult. The Bills, Ravens, Vikings, Bears, Raiders, and Giants all get their week off this Sunday. It couldn't have come at a worse time with the fantasy playoffs for the majority of leagues just two... Read More


jaylen waddle fantasy football rankings news NFL DFS lineup picks

WR/CB Matchups to Target and Downgrade - Week 13 (2023)

Welcome to Week 13 of the WR/CB Matchups article. For those who are not familiar, this is a weekly series looking at fantasy football matchups for wide receivers versus the cornerbacks who are projected to cover them. During the past three seasons, I have tweaked my process to make the chart more user-friendly and predictive,... Read More


Bijan Robinson - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers

Rest of Season Half-PPR Rankings: Fantasy Football Top 200 for Week 13

December approaches and the fantasy football playoffs are on the horizon. Prepare for the championship push as best you can with our Week 13 fantasy football half-PPR rankings for the rest of 2023, as of November 30. Check where key players shifted, such as Bijan Robinson, Cooper Kupp, Zack Moss, and more. These half-PPR fantasy... Read More


Brandon Aiyuk - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em - Week 13 Matchups Analysis

Welcome back RotoBallers to our Week 13 matchups analysis and Start Em, Sit Em column for fantasy football. Last week started out with some lopsided Thanksgiving and Black Friday contests before the game of the week on Sunday between the Eagles and Bills. The schedule goes back to normal with just one Thursday matchup, but we... Read More


Najee Harris - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Booms and Busts - Fantasy Football Starts and Sits for Week 13 Lineups

Week 13 is finally here, and it might be the most important week for those fantasy managers still fighting for a playoff spot. With most leagues having their playoffs start in Week 15, there are just two regular season games left. That means if your fantasy team is on the bubble, you have to win... Read More


Kyren Williams - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Updated Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

      Fantasy Football Rankings by NFL Position ALL - QB - RB - WR - TE - DEF Above you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings, tiers, player news and stats for your 2023 fantasy football leagues. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's fantasy football rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Fantasy Football... Read More


C.J. Stroud - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Week 13 NFL DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Prop Picks for Sleeper.com

We started this week on fire, finishing 4-0 for our Thursday picks. Last week we had a good showing finishing 10-7 in total (6-6 Thursday and 4-1 Sunday) and moving our total to 53-45. This might be my last week this season writing a Sunday prop article so I have something special lined up for... Read More


C.J. Stroud - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

FanDuel NFL DFS Week 13 Picks: Top Daily Fantasy Lineup Plays Include C.J. Stroud, Kyren Williams, Amon-Ra St. Brown, George Kittle, More

It’s Week 13, and it’s the time of the year when every game matters just a bit more moving forward. The 13-game schedule began with a Thursday night meeting between the Seahawks and Cowboys, with Dallas squeezing out a win in the high-scoring affair. Then, on Sunday, teams like the Lions and Chiefs could ascend... Read More


Tua Tagovailoa - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Bold Predictions for Fantasy Football Week 13: Tua Tagovailoa, Najee Harris, Bijan Robinson, Mike Evans, Evan Engram

Week 13 is here, and I’m back with another edition of fantasy football bold predictions. This week’s list of bold predictions will include Tua Tagovailoa, Najee Harris, Bijan Robinson, Mike Evans, and Evan Engram. Every week, I will provide some fun and bold fantasy football predictions. While these bold predictions aren’t the most likely outcomes,... Read More


Jaylen Waddle - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

PrizePicks NFL DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Props for Week 13 (Sunday Main Slate)

Hello everybody, and welcome to our PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for Week 13 - Sunday Main Slate! The 2023 NFL season is underway, and that means our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great DFS plays we can look to take advantage of. Our partners at PrizePicks offer some of the best... Read More