BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~123 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~153
ANALYSIS: It's been proven that rookie receivers can be outstanding bets to finish the season strong and smash their ADP during the second half of the year. Look no further than Amon-Ra St. Brown last year and Justin Jefferson in 2020. Identifying potential rookie WR second-half smashes isn't that difficult - you want a player who is good and has an opportunity to command targets.
I think Skyy Moore, George Pickens, Drake London, Treylon Burks, and Garrett Wilson all have worthwhile upside at their ADPs, but picking any of them to smash isn't really bold at all. Target rookies aggressively until the market realizes that the transition from college WR to NFL WR has never been smoother.
Jahan Dotson was drafted much higher in the real NFL Draft than most thought he would be, and because of his pre-draft standing as a borderline top-five WR in his class, fantasy drafters are not drafting him like he was the 16th overall pick in a WR-rich class.
Dotson has outstanding hands, blazing speed, and a clear path to being the No. 2 target in Week 1. These are the types of upside bets I like to make in the second half of fantasy drafts. Unsurprisingly, Dotson has reportedly had an outstanding training camp as well.
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