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We are in the final week of the regular season, but we aren't done betting on baseball yet! I had to pinch hit on this column yesterday and if you happened to read, you'll know I went 3-1 last night with Blake Snell being the only miss as he finished with just seven strikeouts - one shy of what we needed for the sweep! I am back it today, with a full slate of games, and determined to find some profitable spots for us on which to wager!
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In this article, I'll provide my favorite prop bets for MLB games on Tuesday, September 26, 2023. If you ever want to chat about strikeout props or any other MLB bets, you can find me on Twitter/X @ThunderDanDFS.
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MLB Pitcher Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks
Kevin Gausman OVER 7.5 strikeouts (-120 DraftKings)
That's right folks, it's Kevin Gausman Day! Today we throw caution to the wind and throw out the "be wary of the same starter against the same opponent two starts in a row" rule because Kevin Gausman owns the Yankees! He struck out 10 Yanks last week and has now dominated them for 10, 10, and 11 strikeouts in three matchups this season.
Kevin Gausman, Wicked Splitters...and Sword.
8th and 9th Ks pic.twitter.com/6D9Ya70x1T
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) September 21, 2023
The Yankees also happen to be in shambles as they have the third-highest K% against RHP over the last month at 27.3%. Gausman and the Blue Jays need to keep winning to secure a Wild Card spot, so I would expect Toronto to lean on Gausman here and let him pitch deep into this game as it could end up being another pitchers' duel just like last week when they faced off against...
Michael King OVER 5.5 strikeouts (-135 DraftKings)
Yes, we are doing it again! Who cares if he just faced Toronto and they only strike out around 20% of the time against RHP? Have you seen this guy freaking pitch? Holy Moses, he is awesome and you simply don't strike out 13 major league hitters in a game without having some phenomenal stuff.
#Yankees Michael King with 13K tonight - Most by a Yankee SP this season according to the broadcast
- 13K in 7IP (101 pitches - 16 whiffs)
- 40% CSW%
- Utilized 4 pitches at least 19% of the time with each getting whiffsAll 13 K's 👇👇👇 pic.twitter.com/OYhvgpYSBU
— Mike Kurland (@Mike_Kurland) September 21, 2023
King was a key reliever all season for the Yanks, but he's auditioning to be a starter next season and I'd say he's doing one heck of a job. He tossed over 100 pitches for the first time last week against Toronto, so he's finally fully stretched out and he now has 39 strikeouts as a starter over 25+ innings. His K% is no fluke either, he stuck out 33% of hitters last season as a reliever and is at 31% this year between his time in the bullpen and rotation. Getting to six strikeouts just feels like it should be easy for a pitcher of his caliber, even if the matchup is tough on paper.
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MLB Pitcher Prop Bets - Today's Betting Picks
Braxton Garrett OVER 16.5 OUTS (-110 DraftKings)
Garrett's K prop is at 5.5 and while he struck out seven Mets last time out, I am going to be a tad more cautious and attack his outs prop instead. He looked great in that last start, allowing just five hits and no walks while shutting the Mets out entirely over six frames.
He has now gone six full innings in five of his last six starts, with the one lone miss being against the Dodgers on September 7th. Garrett has excellent control and rarely puts guys on base via the walk, which really helps him keep his pitch count down. He had a bit of a rocky stretch earlier in the season, but he has been fantastic in August and September - allowing three earned runs or fewer in his last ten starts.
I like him to pitch well against the Mets again today, but I like banking on him going six innings rather than getting six strikeouts.
PARLAY: Kyle Bradish OVER 17.5 OUTS (-190) + George Kirby UNDER 1.5 WALKS (-235) = (+117 DraftKings)
The books know about our guy Kyle Bradish and his incredible streak of quality starts! His outs prop is still set right under six innings, but with a ton of juice which makes it appealing as a parlay prop. What better prop to parlay it with than our one of our favorites this season - the Kirby under 1.5 walks prop! George had two games in row where he finally walked multiple batters, but he was back to his old self last time out against Oakland going seven innings without a free pass. He has a tough task against Houston today, but I think we can count on him to throw strikes and avoid those walks.
Alright, that's it today. Not many games today, but that doesn't mean we still can't make some money! Good luck and thanks for reading!
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