Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Early FFPC ADP Observations - Tight Ends


As we announced in early June, RotoBaller is partnering with the FFPC to help bring their industry-leading games to all of our loyal RotoBaller readers. We'll be discussing the FFPC's awesome selection of games, and strategy and advice for those games, here at RotoBaller, on Twitter, and on SiriusXM throughout the Summer.

Throughout Fantasy Football draft season, we will check in on how High Stakes Players are viewing certain player selections. When we’re looking at Average Draft Positions from the Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC), we can determine the latest trends and outlooks through the lens of the world's high-stakes players. In this installment, we look at recent ADPs for Tight Ends. There is one very interesting trend at the top of the position, while some longtime veterans are trying to hold on in the TE2 mix. 

Editor's Note: For a limited time, we are offering all new FFPC players a $25-off coupon for any contest! You can play a $35 contest or a $70 contest, we'll give you $25 off either one! Whether you want to play a Best Ball challenge, join a Dynasty Startup, or try FFPC's unique Terminator challenge (best ball spin-off), there's a $25 discount waiting for you! All you have to do is be a new FFPC customer, sign-up for any game on FFPC through one of the above links, and the $25 discount will be automatically applied to your account!

 

Early ADP Trends at TE

Jumping on George: On every other notable site so far this season, Zach Ertz is the second tight end off the board and George Kittle is third. But exclusively in FFPC Drafts, Kittle is being selected second on average, and Ertz is third. Last year, Ertz had nearly 30 more catches than Kittle and three more TDs. But Kittle had over 200 more receiving yards. The difference to FFPC players here is that Ertz is coming off a career season, while Kittle just started to hit his stride last year. If one of these two regresses, it may be Ertz, who is entering his seventh season and had never come close to 100 receptions or 1,100 yards before.

Holding Firm on Howard: As is the case on every other major site this preseason, O.J. Howard has an ADP of fourth at tight end in the FFPC. There is a wide consensus among Fantasy analysts that agrees he is primed for his best year yet after compiling double figure PPR totals in seven of 10 games played last season. Howard is an injury risk as noted here in the RotoBaller Fantasy Injury Exam room, but TE is such a thin position that it’s understandable to have him in or near the Top 5. When he will be available, he should perform at a level higher than most other players at the position, maybe just outside of the circle of the elite three at TE.

Respect for the Colt: It seems to be generally agreed upon by fantasy experts that Eric Ebron is due for significant regression after a 13 TD campaign in 2018. Personally, I would be expecting about half or so that amount, maybe seven scoring receptions this season. There is too much competition for receptions and scoring chances this year in Indianapolis, especially since newcomer Devin Funchess could steal some TD catches near the goal line and Jack Doyle is back. Still, FFPC types and other drafters are taking Ebron as TE7, obviously believing he will be respectable enough to maintain such a standing because of the lack of quality depth at the position behind him.

Sticking with the Steeler: I personally believe Vance McDonald is overrated and unreliable. It seems like one big game with a memorable stiff arm on Monday Night Football inflated his value. He did not reach four catches or 50 yards in a game during the entire second half of last season and only scored four times. But his FFPC ADP at TE is ninth, so the high stakes players are believing he will be good enough to keep starting status among his peers this season. The loss of Antonio Brown could force McDonald to step up more often, could be the line of thinking here. I’m not buying into that reasoning, but the FFPC drafters are taking McDonald earlier than where he is going on two other well-known sites, where he is being taken between 10th and 14th.

Bigger on Burton: The FFPC players are definitely highest on Trey Burton, as he is being taken as TE11 by the high stakers. He is being selected between 14th and 19th at the position on every other significant Fantasy Football platform. There is a belief among some savvy Fantasy players that the Chicago offense will be more impressive in its second season under Matt Nagy. The TE is an important part of his scheming and Burton may be ready to break out in his second year as a true starter after being stuck behind Ertz in Philadelphia. I say this is a gutsy approach that may pay off nicely this year. Burton has the considerable talents to shine if the Chicago offense does improve as hoped this year.

Not Fully Giving Up on Olsen: Once a top TE, injuries and age have diminished Olsen’s Fantasy appeal, and he is getting lukewarm attention from Fantasy players as he tries to gut out another productive campaign in 2019. FFPC types are holding out more slight hope on Olsen, as his ADP of 14th at the position is higher than on any other site. He is being taken between 16th and 18th on other platforms. Olsen’s possible final attempt to extend his career is admirable, and maybe makes him still worth a TE2 selection as we see here, but I expect Ian Thomas to take the baton from him at some point this year and run ahead with the job.

Down on Austin?: Owners on just about every other site consider Austin Hooper a starting Fantasy TE. Well, the FFPC participants do not agree. Hooper is being drafted as TE11 on three other notable platforms. His lowest ADP at TE on any other site is 13th. But the high stakers aren’t taking him until 15th at the position. Hooper did catch 71 passes for 660 yards last year and posted respectable overall Fantasy totals for a TE. But he scored just four times and there is a great sense that Calvin Ridley will bust out and he and Julio Jones could dominate the passing game this year in Atlanta. There is no real upside on Hooper and there could be some slippage from his 2018 output.

One More Time, Jimmy?: FFPC players seem to be taking a later TE2 shot that Jimmy Graham has something left after a very disappointing 2018 campaign. There’s a lot of whispers that he is a has-been, and maybe Graham is hearing them and could be out to prove he still has what it takes to be a productive TE. There is certainly an opportunity to seize in Green Bay, where Davante Adams is the only true sure thing for Aaron Rodgers.  Graham is the 16th TE being taken in the FFPC, while he is going as low as 20th on some other sites.

More Fantasy Football Analysis


Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.




More Recent Articles

 

Buys and Sells - The King's Trade Targets for Week 11

The fantasy football trade deadline is now imminent in most leagues. You must make your final trades either this week or next week in many leagues, whether they are private or public. The time to buy low and sell high is just about over in most cases. Now you must deal to either win this... Read More


Fantasy Football News and Injuries - Running Updates

Below is a quick-hit list of running notes on relevant injuries and player news, including pre-game reports and live in-game updates. Stay tuned for updates all throughout the week and on Sunday morning game day:   Week 11 Emmanuel Sanders (ribs) is still not practicing this week. Ty Johnson (concussion) resumed practicing on Thursday. George Kittle... Read More


Thursday Night Football Matchups Analysis - Week 11

Thursday Night Football came down to the wire in Week 10, with Melvin Gordon looking like his old self while rumbling for 108 rushing yards and a score on 22 carries. Unfortunately for the Los Angeles Chargers, poor clock management from Philip Rivers stymied any hope of surmounting a late Oakland Raiders 18-yard rushing touchdown... Read More


Week 11 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More


Fantasy Football Booms, Busts - Philip Rivers, Devin Singletary, Alshon Jeffery

Fantasy football players are going to have to go under the radar to find booms and busts this week because many of the NFL’s superstars will be on bye. Fantasy footballers will not be getting any Aaron Jones touchdown runs or Daniel Jones touchdown tosses this week, nor will they be getting any 300-yard passing... Read More


Keep Stashing Running Backs the Right Way

Hells to the yeah, my fellow #AllBenchRB truthers. For those of you who don’t know what #AllBenchRB is, let me give you a short recap before I get to the goods. #AllBenchRB is a strategy I’ve coined where you fill your bench with, as the name implies, only RBs. Or at least as many running... Read More


Wide Receiver Snap Counts and Target Trends - Week 10 Analysis

Wide receivers are essential components toward your ultimate goal of securing league championships. As the season unfolds, an expanding collection of tools are available that can provide you with an extensive level of knowledge. Those results provide the foundation for this weekly statistical breakdown of the wide receiver position, which is designed to help you fulfill... Read More


Week 11 Stream Team - Free Agent and Bye-Week Streamers

Now that the bye weeks are in full swing; streaming becomes a more viable and almost necessary strategy. Knowing who to add and when to start them could be the ultimate difference-maker in a weekly matchup. Making the right streaming decisions throughout the season could easily be the difference between missing the playoffs and having... Read More


Running Back Start/Sit Advice - Week 11

Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano break down the running back position to help with tough fantasy football lineup decisions for Week 11 of the 2019 NFL season. They decide who to start or sit among those in RB3 or flex consideration. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest... Read More


The King's Week 11 Lineup Rankings and Analysis (Premium Content)

Welcome back, RotoBallers! Below you will find my Week 11 fantasy football lineup rankings. The ranks are available in PPR, Half PPR, and Standard formats. They will be updated as needed, so make sure to check back for the latest versions, especially on the weekends. Skill Position analysis versus the FantasyPros industry Expert Consensus Rankings (ECR)... Read More


Tight End Start/Sit Advice - Week 11

Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano break down the tight end position to help with tough fantasy football lineup decisions for Week 11 of the 2019 NFL season. They decide who to start or sit in order to give you the best advantage to win your weekly matchup. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on... Read More


Quarterback Start/Sit Advice - Week 11

Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano break down the quarterback position to help with tough fantasy football lineup decisions for Week 11 of the 2019 NFL season. They decide who to start or sit in order to give you the best advantage to win your weekly matchup. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube... Read More


Wide Receiver Start/Sit Advice - Week 11

Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano break down the wide receiver position to help with tough fantasy football lineup decisions for Week 11 of the 2019 NFL season. They decide who to start or sit among those in WR3 or flex consideration. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest... Read More


Warning Signs: Saquon Barkley, David Johnson, Aaron Rodgers

Another week, another bout of crazy results. While survivor pools came to a screeching halt with the Saints and Colts losing, there were also some worrying situations that crept up for fantasy teams. This week brings many questions. What should we do with the Atlanta run game? The answer there is nothing. How do we... Read More


NFL Survivor Pool Picks (Week 11) - Targets and Avoids

Doomsday finally arrived. The Falcons' domination of the Saints eliminated the majority of remaining entrants in survivor pools. If you avoided the Saints, odds are you took the Colts in the late game. Of course, the Dolphins beat them as well. More upsets were found as the Titans beat the Chiefs, the Steelers manhandled the... Read More