Andrew's top five dynasty fantasy football sell-high candidates. His top potential 2026 fantasy football overvalued busts to trade away in dynasty.
It's easy to fall in love with breakout seasons, hot streaks, and big-time production. With every high comes an inevitable low, so selling a player at the right time can help you avoid the fall and sustain a winning roster in your dynasty fantasy football league.
Sell-high players are guys whose current value is better than their long-term outlook. It could be a veteran nearing the end of his prime, or a younger player who may not be in the perfect situation anymore.
In this article, we'll break down five players who currently have strong market value but come with future risk.
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Jalen Hurts, QB, Philadelphia Eagles
Jalen Hurts is relying on his legs less and could be on the verge of losing his top wide receiver (and tight end Dallas Goedert). That’s a double negative, and the crux of the argument against the Super Bowl LIX MVP.
Fantasy managers weren’t rostering Hurts because of his passing prowess. In his best statistical passing season (a career-high 3,858 yards and 23 touchdowns) in 2023, he also tossed 15 interceptions. When he connected on a career-best 25 touchdowns last season, he narrowly cleared 200 yards per game.
But the rushing production always made up for it, especially when the tush push was the most unstoppable play in football. Changes along the offensive line contributed to the success rate dipping to 60%.
Bears recover the fumble on the tush push!
CHIvsPHI FREE on Prime Video
Also streaming on @NFLPlus pic.twitter.com/8efJJmv4rd— NFL (@NFL) November 28, 2025
That, coupled with 6.6 attempts per game -- the second-lowest mark of his career -- on the second-worst success rate, and maybe, just maybe, the soon-to-be 28-year-old wants to protect his body more during the rigorous regular season.
The rumor mill isn’t doing Hurts’ stock any favor, either. A.J. Brown is reportedly on the trade block. We don’t know if a deal will be completed this offseason. We also don’t know if Goedert will return, but it seems like his time in Philadelphia is coming to an end. That’s 18 of Hurts’ 25 touchdowns potentially off the roster, and a huge boost to his red-zone passing numbers.
While he wasn’t very successful throwing the deep ball (36.9% completion), he attempted more than four per game, and Brown was the target on 1.5 of them. DeVonta Smith is a fantastic wide receiver and more than capable as a deep-ball receiver, but who is opposite him will be crucial to Hurts’ outlook.
There’s a new offensive coordinator in the City of Brotherly Love, Sean Mannion, and renewed hope for the Birds. Nick Sirianni’s offensive coordinator track record is shoddy, to say the least. For Hurts’ sake, he needs to be more on the Kellen Moore side, rather than Kevin Patullo, or the last few years of Hurts’ prime will be wasted.
Christian McCaffrey, RB, San Francisco 49ers
It's a story we've seen dozens of times: Running backs, especially aging ones, who exceed 350 touches struggle to replicate the production the following season. Look no further than Saquon Barkley in 2025, who saw his rushing yardage per game drop from 125.3 to 71.3.
McCaffrey himself has been in this situation before. After 403 touches in 2019, an injury-riddled 2020 campaign limited him to three games. 339 touches in 2023? Four games in 2024. He had a career-high 413 touches in his age-29 season last year.
If we're following the pattern, McCaffrey could be due for a down or injury-plagued season, which could be especially brutal as he nears the end of his prime. Point to Derrick Henry as a counterargument, but he's the anomaly, not the norm.
Think back to last summer, and there was a legitimate fear that McCaffrey's 1.01-level run had come to an end. It wasn't until late in the redraft calendar that the former Offensive Player of the Year solidified himself as a mid-to-late first-round selection, and even then, managers selected him with a hint of hesitancy.
While it obviously worked out (24.5 PPR fantasy points per game, 2.7 more than second-place Bijan Robinson), the successful season doesn't immediately wipe away all the concerns from the year before, especially with his astronomical usage. On the flip side, because he was so dominant, he still has believers and could bring back a haul from a contending team going all-in on a championship run.
A similar case could be made about Jonathan Taylor, although the Colt is a few years younger (27) and has a shorter injury history.
Michael Wilson, WR, Arizona Cardinals
Michael Wilson's 2025 season was a throwback third-year breakout, with the former third-round pick matching his receiving touchdowns in his first two seasons combined and nearly doing so in the yardage department. The league-winning effort was all sorts of circumstantial, however.
Veteran quarterback Jacoby Brissett was under center for all of it. He's under contract for the upcoming season, but with a 1-11 record as a starter, he's not going to be the guy to begin 2026. The Kyler Murray era is over, and the Cardinals are being linked to Tyson Bagent (could be good, could be bad), Jimmy Garoppolo (sure, that'll work), and Geno Smith (gross).
There's a new coaching staff, too. Exit Jonathan Gannon and offensive coordinator Drew Petzing. Enter Mike LaFleur and Nathaniel Hackett. LaFleur's tutelage is probably better for the offense as a whole, but not necessarily just for Wilson.
Marvin Harrison Jr. may not be the dominant wide receiver that he was drafted to be, but he's still an important part of Arizona's plans and a deterrent to Wilson's production. Here are Wilson's splits in games with and without Harrison last season. (Note: Week 17 was included as without Harrison, who played a third of the game and had one target before an injury.)
| Receptions Per Game | Receiving Yards Per Game | Touchdowns | |
| With Harrison | 2.45 | 29 | 2 |
| Without Harrison | 8.5 | 114.5 | 5 |
A reminder, all of the boom games came after James Conner and Trey Benson were lost for the season. There wasn't any running game to speak of. The Cardinals led the league in pass attempts.
There are too many things that have to go in Wilson's favor again, but because of his late-season explosion, a dynasty manager will surrender some assets to acquire the 26-year-old.
Rashee Rice, WR, Kansas City Chiefs
Is Rashee Rice a great NFL receiver or a product of the Kansas City system that boosts his raw stat lines? The discourse about the Chiefs' top wide receiver is getting louder.
We're talking strictly about the on-the-field player, not the mounting legal issues. Rice is a YAC king, with over five yards per catch in all three of his professional seasons. Because of his tackle-breaking ability and big frame, he's often utilized in the red zone, whether that's on the ground or through the air. With a reliable target share, Rice spent his eight weeks as the WR2.
But that's also where the concerns are. He's not a downfield threat, has a horrendous aDOT (4.3 yards), and struggles with drops. Those players tend to be short-lived atop the scoring leaderboard.
Rice has played in 28 of 51 career regular-season games due to injuries and a suspension. I'm not one to speculate on potential future suspensions, but it's not out of the question with recent allegations. Injuries for Rice aren't top of mind right now, but the questions around Patrick Mahomes' availability sure are.
What does the Kansas City offense look like to kick off the 2026 campaign? Does it add another big-name wide receiver (Tyreek Hill?) with Marquise Brown a free agent and Xavier Worthy struggling in Year 2? Is Mahomes healthy for the first half of the year?
It's a small-window mindset, but it could diminish Rice's overall stock. He's a WR1 right now who could yield another WR1, an RB1, or multiple draft picks.
DJ Moore, WR, Buffalo Bills
The sound you heard this week was Buffalo fans and DJ Moore dynasty managers rejoicing. Moore finally escapes inefficient quarterback purgatory, while the Bills now roster a receiver to utilize in crunch time, so they aren't relying on Khalil Shakir or Dalton Kincaid in the closing moments of a playoff game. If Moore proved anything in 2025, he has the clutch gene.
WALK IT OFF. #WPMOYChallenge + @idjmoore pic.twitter.com/ymI55QrIoV
— Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) December 21, 2025
Moore had one of his best seasons under now-Buffalo head coach Joe Brady in 2020 (1,193 yards and 18.1 yards per reception). Of course, he'll have fewer target competitors than the Rome Odunze-Luther Burden III-Colston Loveland trio he played with in Chicago.
For every argument, there's a counterargument. The Buffalo and Chicago offenses are built on the same principles: run first, then rely on the tough-to-bring-down quarterback with a cannon of an arm.
The Bills had the second-highest run rate last season with Brady calling the plays. Because their quarterback is their best player, both teams let him be the playmaker, resulting in low target rates for the pass-catchers. No Bill commanded a team target share of over 20%. The Bears only had Odunze. The rest of the receivers on both teams were 15% or under.
There's also concern that Moore is losing a half-step. He'll be 29 in April, and just one of his advanced metrics ranked in the top 40 last season.
| Advanced Metric | Number (Rank) |
| First Downs Per Route Run | 0.059 (74th) |
| Yards Per Route Run | 1.26 (72nd) |
| Target Separation | 1.55 (40th) |
| Fantasy Points Per Route Run | 0.31 (66th) |
| Fantasy Points Per Target | 2.00 (19th) |
**Numbers per PlayerProfiler
There's a lot of optimism to take advantage of right now. This feels Amari Cooper-esque, although it surely won't be that disastrous. Moore won't be the top receiver in Buffalo for more than a season or two.
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