
Spencer's DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks for the Wyndham Championship (2025). His PGA DFS targets and value plays for daily fantasy golf lineups, and golfers to avoid.
Welcome, everyone, to my DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks and advice for the 2025 Wyndham Championship. I'll be providing DFS picks and analysis to help you set those winning DraftKings lineups.
New starting this year -- if you want to see a deeper dive into my DraftKings analysis and thoughts for the week, you can click that link and find my beefed-up version, including more picks, data, analysis, and PGA DFS models.
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Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings - The Wyndham Championship
Below are some of my favorite picks for DraftKings. We also have tons of other great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.
PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Spencer's Model (And More)
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PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)
- A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows users to input data to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide on everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market.
- The Wyndham Championship
Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)
- Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
- All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (296-228-30) 56.48%
- In-Tournament H2Hs (300-200-55) 60.00%
- Total H2Hs Since 2017: (596-428-85) 58.20%
- Outright Winners Since 2017: 51
- Units: +340.903 Units
- All Totals Are Entering 2025
- Click here to see an example
In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)
- Here, you will find updated stats for the particular tournament -- all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.
In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4
- Lifetime Record:
- (300-200-55) 60.00%
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First-Round Leader/ 3-Ball Articles
- Nine first-round leader wins in 2022.
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One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)
- 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look at a handful of options to consider.
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Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool) + Ownership Trends
- We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.
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Let's Look at the Stats
Stat | Sedgefield | PGA Average |
Driving Distance | 281 | 284 |
Driving Accuracy | 62% | 61% |
GIR Percentage | 72% | 65% |
Scrambling Percentage | 57% | 57% |
Average Three-Putts Per Round | 0.68 | 0.54 |
Field
Field Size: 156
Cut: Top 70 & Ties
Top 20 Entrants: 4
Last Five Winners of The Wyndham Championship
2024 | Aaron Rai | -18 |
2023 | Lucas Glover | -20 |
2022 | Tom Kim | -20 |
2021 | Kevin Kisner | -15 |
2020 | Jim Herman | -21 |
Expected Cut-Line at the Open
2024 | -3 |
2023 | 0 |
2022 | -2 |
2021 | -2 |
2020 | -3 |
Sedgefield Country Club
7,127 Yards - Par 70 - Greens Bermuda
Course breakdown will land in my Vegas Report this week
First Look Into Outright Bets
Player | Price |
Matthew Fitzpatrick | 22 |
Ryan Fox | 100 |
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Final 2023 Golf Betting Results:
(Individual breakdowns of all sections in thread) @RotoBaller2023 (+16.634 Units)
2022 (+67.485 Units)
2021 (+68.846 Units)
2020 (+37.015 Units)
2019 (+27.743 Units)
2018 (+55.88 Units)
2017 (+54.26 Units)Overall: (+327.863 Units) pic.twitter.com/tuaDfwFXlo
— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) November 21, 2023
Favorite Plays
Ryan Fox ($7,300)
My early guess is that Ryan Fox is going to go substantially under-owned when you dive into his negative market movement, shaky driving totals and overall poor grades from a lot of people in the space.
I understand the concerns for a golfer who is 0-1 at the Wyndham Championship in making the cut, especially for someone who enters the week off two poor performances in Europe. However, I am not so sure the doomsday scenario is as prevalent as it seems when you consider Fox has been a bit of a club-down merchant in the past at shorter courses and grades as one of the top projected putters in this field because of his high-end marks for 'Approach Putting' and 'Bermuda Putting.'
That club-down answer was why the industry backed Fox as much as they did during the Open Championship. I was not in the group that played him, and I actually found reasons to fade him during the week. However, the data told a different story, suggesting someone who should have made the cut with ease but missed due to a poor putter.
You would need to go to T34 on the projected leaderboard to find the next name to miss (Marco Penge), so while I understand the lack of safety in his profile, the iron play and putting are worth taking a deeper dive into for the week.
Here are the top 10 golfers when just looking at putting + iron play:
You will notice most are going to be extremely popular/sharp (outside of Fox).
Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($7,200)
If Ryan Fox is the boom-or-bust answer in the $7,000s, a name like Christiaan Bezuidenhout might be the safety target down in this section. While we don't usually think of Bezuidenhout as being a golfer with tons of upside, the recent metrics are combining the perfect mix of current form and course fit to render one of the better values on the slate.
Bezudienhout ranked 18th in this field when gearing the data toward Sedgefield over the last 24 rounds, and the Weighted Comps when adding 10 additional venues that are similar also showed the same return.
There were the best 7k values I had in my sheet compared to their price inside of the top 25 of the model:
Matthew Fitzpatrick ($10,600)
With no definitive favorite standing out on the odds board, my math suggested that Matthew Fitzpatrick was the best bet (at a fair price of about 17.5/1).
Fitzpatrick graded an impressive second for 'Expected Driving" because of multiple top 25 outputs for Donald Ross history and courses under 7,200 yards, which makes sense when you realize the Englishman has often called Harbour Town his favorite track on tour.
The return of that course (plus 11 others) gave Fitzpatrick the seventh-best expected "Comp Return" and helped to continue this recent trend that has seen the former major winner produce three straight top-10 showings on tour.
If current form matters, not many are doing it better right now.
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