🖥 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE NEW
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Two NBA Cash-Game Rules Every Beginner Should Know

It's currently around 12:30 AM, and I have nothing to do, so why not write a quick beginner's guide to constructing cash-game lineups on FanDuel.

I'm going to share a couple of the basic strategies I use when I build such lineups. I'll be contributing NBA DFS strategy articles to RotoBaller, ranging from beginner to advanced tactics, so stay tuned and check back daily.

We'll start with a couple rules I like to call the 4x vs 6x rule and opportunity cost.

Featured Promo: New Novig users get a $25 purchase match (50% discount up to $25) on your first Novig deposit, and 3 free months of RotoBaller's "Big-4" Premium Pass (NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL) which includes exclusive tools for Betting, Props, DFS and more! CLAIM IT NOW

 

The 4x vs. 6x Rule

I've been playing cash games for a few months now, and in the last full month before I took a temporary hiatus, I cashed double ups and 50/50's at a rate of around 78%. One of the strategies I used to cash at that rate was the "4x vs. 6x rule." You should live by this rule if you want to profit in the long run. So what exactly does this rule entail?

Well, before we get to the rule, you should know that your goal in cash games is to get 5x value from each player in your lineup. By following the 4x vs. 6x rule, you greatly increase those odds. Thus, the first step is always to ask yourself if you are confident your player will break 5x value more often than not. If you don't think he will, and there are better options available, you should fade that player and not even get to the 4x vs. 6x rule. But if you do pass this initial step, the next step is to make sure your player fits the 4x vs. 6x rule.

The rule is simple: You should only roster a player if who you are confident he has a floor of at least 4x value and a ceiling of at least 6x value. For example, if Tobias Harris costs $6K, you should only roster him if you are confident he will score at least 24 fantasy points 85%+ of the time, and at least 36 fantasy points 15%+ of the time. Let's look at another example. If Rudy Gay costs $6.5K on a given night, you should only roster him if you are confident he will score at least 26 fantasy points 85%+ of the time and at least 39 fantasy point 15%+ of the time.

In short, you want your player to miss 4x value at most 15% of the time, while hitting his ceiling at least 15% of the time. That leaves him in the 4x-6x range around 70% of the time, which puts you in a great position to cash.

 

Opportunity Cost

The other concept I want to share with you is opportunity cost. It's one of the most overlooked aspects of DFS, yet probably one of the most important pieces of the puzzle. Put simply, if you like a ton of cheap players on a slate or really love the high-priced studs, you need to ask yourself which players you would be sacrificing depending on the ones you decide to play.

Let's look at an example:

I have two spots left in my lineup, PG and PF. The value option at PG is Brandon Jennings, while the value option at PF is Taj Gibson. Let's assume they have the same price. Now, if I start Taj, I'll have enough money to start Russell Westbrook at PG, while if I start Jennings, I'll be able to afford Anthony Davis at PF. Assuming I project Taj and Jennings to both score 25 fantasy points, opportunity cost tells me that I should choose which one to roster based on how I project Westbrook and Davis. If I project Davis higher, I should start Jennings (with Davis). If I project Westbrook higher, I should start Taj (with Westbrook).

That's an extremely basic example of this concept. You'll often be faced with situations where you have to decide between 3, 4, 5, or sometimes even more players. Your goal is to figure out at which positions you should start value plays vs. studs. For example, if there are no stud-plays at C and tons of stud-plays at PG, you should play the value-play at C and pay up at PG, even if this means you're fading a great value-play at PG. Though, in real-world situations, you might need to apply this analysis to more than just two positions, so be ready!

Of course, there a ton of calculations that you have to make in any opportunity cost analysis, as all of your possible plays are going to be projected differently, but in the end, your top priority is to maximize your lineup's overall fantasy points. And don't forget about the 4x vs. 6x rule, which will help you make difficult opportunity cost decisions!

Alright, everyone. I hope you learned a ton from this article. I know that I've used these two strategies to construct elite lineups. Now it's your turn to do the same!

Good luck, and feel free to shoot me a tweet @DFSWhisperer!

 

RotoBaller's Premium NBA Tools, Cheat Sheets and Lineups Picks

Get an edge on your NBA DFS competition, every single night of the week:

  • DFS Cheat Sheets and Lineup Picks: Access to 10 deeply researched lineup picks, and sample lineups - seven days a week! Includes advanced stats to unlock NBA player values, and boost DFS success.
  • DFS Value Picks Tool: Helps you find, sort and filter the best lineup values and DFS sleeper picks every day. Premium stats like "Usage Rate", "Trend" and "Value" give you a leg up on the DFS competition.
  • Daily NBA Projections: Our secret sauce - DFS points projections for FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.

And don't forget, all Premium NBA subscriptions also get you access to our NHL, MLB and NFL Premium tools, cheat sheets and DFS lineup picks automatically - access to almost 20 Premium tools and DFS resources!

 

NBA Premium Tool Screenshots - Check It Out

Daily Projections, Trends & Value Picks



NBA DFS Lineup Picks & Cheat Sheet

Click here to see a full size version of the cheat sheet

 

Fantasy Basketball & NBA DFS Chat Room - Live Advice

 

[iflychat_embed id="c-11" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="320px"]

 

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Nico Collins

Suffers Concussion Against Steelers
Nico Collins

Carted to Locker Room for Concussion Evaluation
Christian Braun

Unavailable Tuesday
Aaron Gordon

Probable to Play Tuesday
Jamal Murray

in Danger of Missing Another Game Tuesday
Coby White

Sits Out First Leg of Back-to-Back
Josh Giddey

to Remain Out Tuesday
Norman Powell

Uncertain for Tuesday
Jerami Grant

Listed as Doubtful for Tuesday
Deni Avdija

Ruled Out for Tuesday
Jose Alvarado

to Miss Two More Weeks
Brandon Williams

Sits Out Second Consecutive Game
Moussa Cisse

Cleared to Play Monday
Daniel Gafford

Won't Play Against Nets
P.J. Washington

to Miss One More Week
Baylor Scheierman

Makes First Start of Season
Brandon Ingram

Available Monday
Paul George

Good to Go Monday
Joel Embiid

Active on Monday
Sam Hauser

Cleared for Monday
Jaylen Brown

Won't Play Monday
Egor Demin

Inactive Monday
Moussa Cisse

Upgraded to Probable on Monday
Kyle Tucker

Mets Meet With Kyle Tucker
Dalton Kincaid

"Should be Fine" for Divisional Round
Conor Garland

Returns From Five-Game Absence
Kiefer Sherwood

Out Monday, Could Miss Several Weeks
Marco Rossi

to Miss 2-3 More Weeks
Louis Crevier

Back for Blackhawks Monday
Jordan Eberle

Available Against Rangers
Joel Eriksson Ek

Out Monday
Brad Marchand

Misses Third Straight Game
Jamie Benn

Returns to Action Monday
Brooks Koepka

Officially Returning To PGA Tour
Tucker Kraft

Hopes to be Ready for Week 1 of Next Season
CFB

Georgia Lands Kentucky Transfer Dante Dowdell
Matthew Stafford

has "Little Sprain," Should be "Good to Go"
CFB

Sam Leavitt Expected to Sign with LSU
Green Bay Packers

Packers Expected to Work Out New Deal With Matt LaFleur in the "Coming Days"
CFB

Dylan Raiola Commits to Oregon
CFB

Isaiah Horton Landing with Texas A&M
Jet Greaves

Beats Mammoth With 25 Saves
Roman Josi

Ends Dry Spell With Three-Point Effort
Joonas Korpisalo

Shuts Door on Penguins
Jack Hughes

Has Two Helpers in Losing Effort
Tomas Hertl

Matches Vegas Record With Five Points
Justin Sourdif

Exits With Injury Versus Predators
Denton Mateychuk

Sustains Upper-Body Injury Sunday
George Kittle

Suffers Torn Achilles on Sunday
Omarion Hampton

Active for Wild-Card Round Against Patriots
George Kittle

Ruled Out After Non-Contact Achilles Injury
Cole Perfetti

Contributes Two Assists in Sunday's Win
Carl Grundstrom

Misses Sunday's Practice
Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders Request Interview With Ejiro Evero
Travis Konecny

Hurt at Sunday's Practice
Thatcher Demko

Lands on Injured Reserve
Colin Miller

Injured Versus Devils
Bryan Rust

Remains Out Sunday
Los Angeles Rams

Mike LaFleur to Interview With Raiders and Cardinals
Aaron Rodgers

Steelers Open to Re-Signing Aaron Rodgers?
Matthew Stafford

X-Rays Come Back Negative
MacKenzie Gore

Yankees Pursuing Trade for MacKenzie Gore
Alex Bregman

Cubs Sign Alex Bregman to Five-Year, $175 Millon Contract
Freddie Freeman

Withdraws from World Baseball Classic
Max Kepler

Receives 80-Game PED Suspension
CFB

Cam Coleman Visiting Alabama on Friday
Omarion Hampton

Expects to Play Sunday Night
CFB

Eric Singleton Jr. Enters Transfer Portal, Trending to Land at Florida
CFB

NCAA Denies Trinidad Chambliss a Sixth Year of Eligibility
Omarion Hampton

Questionable for Wild-Card Weekend
Kyle Tucker

Mets Remain in Mix for Kyle Tucker
Ketel Marte

Will Remain With Diamondbacks
Rashee Rice

to be Reviewed Under League's Conduct Policy
Daniel Jones

Colts Plan to Re-Sign Daniel Jones
Davante Adams

Off the Injury Report, Will Play Against Carolina
Bo Bichette

Phillies to Meet With Bo Bichette
Rome Odunze

Will Return for Wild-Card Game on Saturday
CFB

DJ Lagway Commits to Baylor
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Fire Head Coach Mike McDaniel
Sam LaPorta

Plans to be Back for Training Camp
Owen Caissie

Shipped to Miami as Centerpiece of Trade
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Officially Acquire Edward Cabrera From Marlins
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Finalizing Deal to Acquire Edward Cabrera From Marlins
CFB

Jackson Arnold Signs with UNLV
CFB

Sam Leavitt Scheduled to Visit Tennessee

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP