🖥 CYBER WEEK - TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE CYBER
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Two NBA Cash-Game Rules Every Beginner Should Know

It's currently around 12:30 AM, and I have nothing to do, so why not write a quick beginner's guide to constructing cash-game lineups on FanDuel.

I'm going to share a couple of the basic strategies I use when I build such lineups. I'll be contributing NBA DFS strategy articles to RotoBaller, ranging from beginner to advanced tactics, so stay tuned and check back daily.

We'll start with a couple rules I like to call the 4x vs 6x rule and opportunity cost.

 

The 4x vs. 6x Rule

I've been playing cash games for a few months now, and in the last full month before I took a temporary hiatus, I cashed double ups and 50/50's at a rate of around 78%. One of the strategies I used to cash at that rate was the "4x vs. 6x rule." You should live by this rule if you want to profit in the long run. So what exactly does this rule entail?

Well, before we get to the rule, you should know that your goal in cash games is to get 5x value from each player in your lineup. By following the 4x vs. 6x rule, you greatly increase those odds. Thus, the first step is always to ask yourself if you are confident your player will break 5x value more often than not. If you don't think he will, and there are better options available, you should fade that player and not even get to the 4x vs. 6x rule. But if you do pass this initial step, the next step is to make sure your player fits the 4x vs. 6x rule.

The rule is simple: You should only roster a player if who you are confident he has a floor of at least 4x value and a ceiling of at least 6x value. For example, if Tobias Harris costs $6K, you should only roster him if you are confident he will score at least 24 fantasy points 85%+ of the time, and at least 36 fantasy points 15%+ of the time. Let's look at another example. If Rudy Gay costs $6.5K on a given night, you should only roster him if you are confident he will score at least 26 fantasy points 85%+ of the time and at least 39 fantasy point 15%+ of the time.

In short, you want your player to miss 4x value at most 15% of the time, while hitting his ceiling at least 15% of the time. That leaves him in the 4x-6x range around 70% of the time, which puts you in a great position to cash.

 

Opportunity Cost

The other concept I want to share with you is opportunity cost. It's one of the most overlooked aspects of DFS, yet probably one of the most important pieces of the puzzle. Put simply, if you like a ton of cheap players on a slate or really love the high-priced studs, you need to ask yourself which players you would be sacrificing depending on the ones you decide to play.

Let's look at an example:

I have two spots left in my lineup, PG and PF. The value option at PG is Brandon Jennings, while the value option at PF is Taj Gibson. Let's assume they have the same price. Now, if I start Taj, I'll have enough money to start Russell Westbrook at PG, while if I start Jennings, I'll be able to afford Anthony Davis at PF. Assuming I project Taj and Jennings to both score 25 fantasy points, opportunity cost tells me that I should choose which one to roster based on how I project Westbrook and Davis. If I project Davis higher, I should start Jennings (with Davis). If I project Westbrook higher, I should start Taj (with Westbrook).

That's an extremely basic example of this concept. You'll often be faced with situations where you have to decide between 3, 4, 5, or sometimes even more players. Your goal is to figure out at which positions you should start value plays vs. studs. For example, if there are no stud-plays at C and tons of stud-plays at PG, you should play the value-play at C and pay up at PG, even if this means you're fading a great value-play at PG. Though, in real-world situations, you might need to apply this analysis to more than just two positions, so be ready!

Of course, there a ton of calculations that you have to make in any opportunity cost analysis, as all of your possible plays are going to be projected differently, but in the end, your top priority is to maximize your lineup's overall fantasy points. And don't forget about the 4x vs. 6x rule, which will help you make difficult opportunity cost decisions!

Alright, everyone. I hope you learned a ton from this article. I know that I've used these two strategies to construct elite lineups. Now it's your turn to do the same!

Good luck, and feel free to shoot me a tweet @DFSWhisperer!

 

RotoBaller's Premium NBA Tools, Cheat Sheets and Lineups Picks

Get an edge on your NBA DFS competition, every single night of the week:

  • DFS Cheat Sheets and Lineup Picks: Access to 10 deeply researched lineup picks, and sample lineups - seven days a week! Includes advanced stats to unlock NBA player values, and boost DFS success.
  • DFS Value Picks Tool: Helps you find, sort and filter the best lineup values and DFS sleeper picks every day. Premium stats like "Usage Rate", "Trend" and "Value" give you a leg up on the DFS competition.
  • Daily NBA Projections: Our secret sauce - DFS points projections for FanDuel and DraftKings scoring.

And don't forget, all Premium NBA subscriptions also get you access to our NHL, MLB and NFL Premium tools, cheat sheets and DFS lineup picks automatically - access to almost 20 Premium tools and DFS resources!

 

NBA Premium Tool Screenshots - Check It Out

Daily Projections, Trends & Value Picks



NBA DFS Lineup Picks & Cheat Sheet

Click here to see a full size version of the cheat sheet

 

Fantasy Basketball & NBA DFS Chat Room - Live Advice

 

[iflychat_embed id="c-11" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="320px"]

 

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Quentin Grimes

Unavailable on Tuesday
Paul George

Available to Play on Tuesday
LaMelo Ball

Expected to Play on Wednesday
Brandon Miller

Ruled Out for Wednesday's Game
Kristaps Porzingis

Sidelined Again for Wednesday
Kyshawn George

Upgraded to Available on Tuesday
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Expected to Suit Up Wednesday
Nathan Walker

Out for Eight Weeks
Lian Bichsel

to Sit Out 6-8 Weeks
Viktor Arvidsson

Activated From Injured Reserve
Warren Foegele

Remains Out Tuesday
Nikola Jokić

Nikola Jokic Probable for Wednesday
Valeri Nichushkin

Available After Eight-Game Absence
Gabriel Landeskog

Nathan MacKinnon, Gabriel Landeskog Cleared for Tuesday
Jamal Murray

Questionable for Wednesday
Tyson Foerster

to Miss 2-3 Months
CFB

D.J. Durkin Staying at Auburn Under Alex Golesh
Alexandre Sarr

Out of Action Again on Tuesday
Zion Williamson

Sidelined at Least Three Weeks
CFB

Charlie Weis Jr. Permitted to Coach Ole Miss Offense in College Football Playoff
Khris Middleton

Will Not Play Tuesday
Kyshawn George

Is Questionable Against the 76ers
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Says he's Fine After Suffering Hip Contusion
Trey Murphy III

Will Return Tuesday Night
Omarion Hampton

Likely to Return in Week 14
Yves Missi

Uncertain to Play Tuesday Against the Timberwolves
Zion Williamson

Questionable Against Minnesota
Neemias Queta

Set to Return on Tuesday
Derrick White

Will Play Tuesday Against New York
Quentin Grimes

Downgraded to Questionable on Tuesday
CFB

Five-Star Quarterback Jared Curtis Flips Commitment From Georgia to Vanderbilt
CFB

Florida Hiring Brad White as Defensive Coordinator
Kyle Schwarber

Giants Have Checked in on Kyle Schwarber
Willson Contreras

Willing to Waive his Full No-Trade Clause?
Brandon Aiyuk

49ers "Hopeful" Brandon Aiyuk Will Play in 2025
Brayden Point

Without Timetable for Return
Jake Walman

Still Out Tuesday
Mason Appleton

Misses Tuesday's Contest
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Good to Go Tuesday
Conor Garland

Out on Tuesday
Petr Mrazek

Considered Day-to-Day
Tyson Foerster

Hurt in Monday's Loss
Trey Murphy III

May Skip Another Game Tuesday
Zion Williamson

Back in Pelicans Lineup Tuesday
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Carted Off With Hip Injury on Monday Night
Edwin Díaz

Mets Still Interested in Re-Signing Edwin Diaz
Devin Williams

Agrees to Three-Year Deal With Mets
Cole Ragans

Red Sox Targeting Cole Ragans in a Trade?
CFB

Kentucky Hires Oregon Offensive Coordinator Will Stein As Head Coach
Davante Adams

Not Dealing With a Serious Injury
Kyler Murray

Surgery Not on the Table for Kyler Murray
Marvin Harrison Jr.

in Danger of Missing Week 14?
Danila Yurov

Won't Play on Tuesday
David Pastrnak

to Remain Out Tuesday
Adam Gaudette

Iffy for Monday
CFB

Kalani Sitake the Top Target for Penn State Coaching Job
Logan Cooley

a Game-Time Decision Monday
Josh Norris

Available Monday
Neal Pionk

Remains Out Monday
Jimmy Snuggerud

to Miss Six Weeks After Wrist Surgery
Justin Herbert

Having Hand Surgery on Monday
Kyler Murray

Cardinals Won't Open Kyler Murray's Practice Window This Week
Sauce Gardner

Not a Candidate to Go on Injured Reserve
Jayden Daniels

Not Cleared for Contact, Decision on Week 14 Status Delayed
CFB

Josh Heupel Says He's Not a Candidate for Penn State Head Coach Job
Trey Hendrickson

Doubtful to Return in Week 14
Tee Higgins

Still in the Concussion Protocol
Drake London

"has a Chance" to Play in Week 14
J.J. McCarthy

in Line to Start in Week 14?
Aaron Jones Sr.

Not Dealing With Serious Shoulder Injury, Likely Day-to-Day
Sam Darnold

Dealing With Ankle Injury, "Should be Good" for Week 14
CFB

Will Stein, Brian Hartline the Top Candidates for Kentucky Job?
CFB

Nebraska Fires Defensive Coordinator John Butler After One Season
CFB

UCLA Expected to Hire Bob Chesney as Next Head Coach
Sauce Gardner

Officially Week-to-Week with Strained Calf
CFB

Lane Kiffin to Make $13 Million Salary, Ties Kirby Smart
CFB

Buster Faulkner, Joey Halzle Candidates for Florida Offensive Coordinator Job?
CFB

Kentucky Officially Fires Mark Stoops
Justin Herbert

Has Metacarpal Fracture in Left Hand
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Week 14 Availability Up in the Air
Zach Ertz

Leads Washington in Receiving in Overtime Loss
CFB

Lane Kiffin to be Introduced as LSU's Next Head Coach on Monday
CFB

Florida Poised to Land Jon Sumrall as Next Head Coach
CFB

Alex Golesh Taking Over Auburn Head-Coaching Job
CFB

Arkansas Expected to Hire Ryan Silverfield as Next Head Coach
Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Ryan Helsley

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Orioles

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP