👉 TAP TO SAVE 30% WITH CODE NEW
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Alex Wood - Fantasy Ace or Extraordinary April?

A long time ago (2014), in a galaxy far far away (Atlanta), then 23-year-old Alex Wood demonstrated ace upside by striking out tons of hitters, and generating ground balls at an above-average pace while being bounced back-and-forth from the rotation to the bullpen. His stats that year in his starts only (156.1 Innings): 2.59 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 39 Walks, 151 Strikeouts.

2015, however, was a far different story. Alex Wood struggled to strike out batters at a clip anywhere near 2014, posting a 6.6 K/9 compared to 8.91 K/9 the year before; he was traded to the Dodgers and it seemed as if Alex Wood went from no-name prospect to budding ace all the way to one-hit-wonder all in the course of a year and a half.

Just when all seemed lost, 2016 rolls around, and things seem to look a little different. All of a sudden, the strikeouts were back. Wood was a changed man, and he accredited his regained success to a seemingly minor mechanical change, citing his stride had been a little exaggerated and that once he was able to correct it, he could get his timing and consistency back. It has been suggested that Wood was over-correcting for a bone-bruise he suffered on the last game he pitched as a Brave, and this threw off his consistency ever more. Consistency plays an important role in any pitcher's career, and this minor change seemed to help Alex Wood drastically in his return as a strikeout pitcher. His stats in 2016 (60.1 IP): 3.73 ERA (3.18 FIP), 1.26 WHIP, 20 BBs, 66 Ks. Alex Wood only pitched 60.1 innings last year because he hurt his elbow, and underwent an arthroscopic debridement of his pitching elbow, ending his season and plummeting any sort of hope of a revival.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball draft tools and resources:

 

Alex Wood: Has he finally emerged as an ace in Los Angeles

So here we are. It is mid-May 2017, and 26-year-old Alex Wood is all of a sudden one of the best pitchers on the planet. In his six starts, Alex Wood has a 27.0 K-BB%, which puts him at second in all of baseball, only behind Chris Sale. His 2.67 ERA in starts is backed up by a 1.53 FIP and a 1.98 xFIP. He's struck out a whopping 13.1 batters per nine innings, and his 62.8% GB% puts him third in all of baseball, alongside Kyle Freeland and Dallas Keuchel.

In fact, his ground balls have increased steadily every year since he bottomed out in 2015, particularly with his knuckle-curveball. In 2015, Alex Wood produced ground balls on 54.7% of balls in play with his curve. Last year he increased that rate to 58.3%, and in 2017, Alex has skyrocketed his ground ball rate on curves to a ridiculous 75%.

His changeup, however, might be the real story of Alex Wood's newfound success. He has ramped up the usage of his changeup, from 16.7% in 2015 up to 27.2% this year. This pitch has seen nearly a three mph velocity spike in 2017, along with his sinker, and it appears that the added velocity has done Alex Wood wonders. He has induced whiffs at 16.1% of his changeups, compared to 11.6% in 2015, and has induced grounders on 63.3% of BIPs on his change, compared to 52.3% in 2015. Furthermore, ISO against his changeup has gone from around .110 in 2015 down to around .040 this year.

With three legitimate pitches: Sinker, Knuckle-Curve, and Changeup, Alex Wood seems to have elevated his game in two of the most important dimensions for a pitcher: strikeouts and weak contact. Alex Wood's 22.1% Hard-hit% is the second lowest in the MLB, behind only Dallas Keuchel, and his 33.1% K% sits at second in baseball behind only Chris Sale. It seems that in a year plagued by injury to front-line starting pitchers, Alex Wood has evolved into some sort of mutant-hybrid with the strikeout abilities of Chris Sale and the ground-ball and weak-contact abilities of Dallas Keuchel.

So what is he doing differently?  As mentioned earlier, Alex Wood has seen nearly a three mph spike in velocity across the board since 2015. Likely a leading factor in his newfound velocity bump is his release point. Alex Wood has an incredibly funky delivery, and as a result, his release point has gone through changes year-to-year. If anyone hasn't seem him pitch, here is an example of his wacky and deceptive delivery.

There is quite obviously a lot going on in his delivery, and therefore one shouldn't be surprised to hear how much Alex Wood has tinkered with his release point. Much akin to James Paxton last year, Alex Wood has found a more natural arm slot, in this case by increasing his vertical release point substantially, resulting in a noticeable spike in velocity and effectiveness.

Not everything looks perfect for Wood, unfortunately. The Dodgers have about nine usable starting pitchers, and although they're doing a decent job of coincidentally having one of them get "injured" when he is struggling or another shows signs of health, Alex Wood's spot in the rotation is not guaranteed. At barely over 5 IP per start, Wood needs to do a better job of finishing hitters early in the count, though the Dodgers have admittedly been lifting him from games before he breaks even 90 pitches. The good news is, if Wood continues to pitch the way he has to date, the Dodgers would be stupid to take him out of the rotation, and as the season goes on, Wood will likely be handled with less care, in terms of a limited pitch count. Conclusively, Alex Wood has been one of the best starting pitchers on the planet thus far in 2017.

He's somehow still not universally owned, and if you are in one of the leagues that still has him on the waiver wire, please do not hesitate to pick him up. In a year of such horrendous pitching, a guy like Wood could be an absolute game-changer.

 

More Player Outlooks

 

Premium Tools & DFS Research

Get a free trial of our powerful MLB Premium Tools. Our famous DFS Optimizer & Lineup Generator, daily Matchup Ratings, expert DFS Lineups/Cheat Sheets, and more.

Sign Up Now!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Owen Caissie

in Position to Claim Everyday Role?
Dylan Beavers

a Name to Watch in Spring Training
Deandre Ayton

Remains Day-to-Day for Lakers
Ryan Waldschmidt

has Easier Path to Make Opening Day Roster?
LeBron James

Posts Historic Triple-Double in Win
Carter Jensen

a Prime Breakout Candidate in 2026
Ja Morant

Still Without Clear Return Date
JR Ritchie

Could Compete for Starting Role in Atlanta Rotation?
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Expected Back After All-Star Break
Colt Emerson

in Consideration to Break Camp with MLB Roster
Oscar Tshiebwe

Enters Concussion Protocol Thursday
Naji Marshall

Exits Early with Foot Strain
Daniel Gafford

Leaves Game with Ankle Issue
Jordan Walker

to Run More in 2026?
Mitch Spence

Royals Acquire Mitch Spence From A's
Tylor Megill

Moves to 60-Day Injured List
Christian Encarnacion-Strand

May Miss First Few Spring Games
Seth Lugo

Throws a Bullpen on Thursday
Keibert Ruiz

Cleared From Concussion Restrictions
Ryan Bliss

Back in Action at Spring Training
Lars Nootbaar

Will be Delayed in Reporting to Camp
Nabil Crismatt

to Have Elbow Surgery
Agustín Ramírez

Agustin Ramirez Working to Improve his Defense
Nathan Lukes

Davis Schneider Likely to Platoon in Left Field
Jordan Binnington

Records 26-Save Shutout Against Czechia
Connor McDavid

Ties Canadian Record With Three Assists in Olympic Debut
Addison Barger

Moving to Outfield Full Time?
Josh Morrissey

Hurt in Olympic Opener
Robert Williams III

Will Not Play Against Utah
Braxton Garrett

Reaches 95 MPH During Live BP
Deni Avdija

Sidelined vs. Jazz
Alexandre Sarr

to Miss Multiple Weeks
Naji Marshall

Gets Upgraded to Probable
Ian Anderson

to Miss All of 2026 After Shoulder Surgery
Myles Turner

Will Not Play Thursday
Caleb Martin

is Downgraded to Doubtful
Gunnar Henderson

Leaves Camp Due to Personal Matter
New York Knicks

Jeremy Sochan Heading to New York
CFB

Trinidad Chambliss Eligible for 2026 Season
Kyle Kuzma

Cleared to Play Against Thunder
Ryan Rollins

Remains Sidelined Against Thunder
Shaedon Sharpe

Sidelined Against Utah
Scoot Henderson

Available Again on Thursday
Deandre Ayton

Ruled Out on Thursday
Isaiah Hartenstein

Resting on Thursday
Jalen Williams

Will Not Play Thursday Against the Bucks
CFB

BYU's Parker Kingston Charged with Felony Rape
Cameron Young

Looking for Pebble Beach Success
J.J. Spaun

Looks to Turn Things Around at Pebble Beach
Collin Morikawa

Eyes Turnaround at Pebble Beach
Jake Knapp

Brings Hot Form to Pebble Beach
Nick Taylor

in Good Form Going into Pebble Beach Event
Viktor Hovland

Carrying Momentum Into Pebble Beach
Tommy Fleetwood

Set for 2026 PGA Tour Debut at Pebble Beach
Harris English

Looks to Build on Steady Form at Pebble Beach
Justin Rose

Tuned in for AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Keegan Bradley

a Boom-or-Bust Play at Pebble Beach
Maverick McNealy

Playing Well with Pebble Beach Looming
Russell Henley

Carries Momentum to Pebble Beach
Shane Lowry

Makes 2026 PGA Tour Debut at Pebble Beach
Michael Kim

Putting Well with Pebble Beach on the Horizon
Billy Horschel

a Little Rattled After Consecutive Missed Cuts
Ben Griffin

Solid But Not Spectacular Early in 2026
Wyndham Clark

Has Question Marks Heading to Pebble Beach
Daniel Berger

Heating Up at the Right Time for Pebble Beach
Jordan Spieth

Looking For a Return to Form at Pebble Beach
Juuse Saros

Starting Wednesday
William Nylander

Iffy for Olympic Opener
Martin Necas

Ready for Thursday
Drake Maye

Says his Shoulder Injury was Significant
Xander Schauffele

Trying to Get the Motor Going at Pebble Beach
Hideki Matsuyama

Trying to Overcome Sunday Collapse
Kenneth Walker III

Runs Away With Super Bowl MVP Honors
Vinicius Oliveira

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Mario Bautista

Gets Back In The Win Column
Kyoji Horiguchi

Dominates At UFC Vegas 113
Amir Albazi

Gets Dominated At UFC Vegas 113
Rizvan Kuniev

Earns His First UFC Win
Jailton Almeida

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 113
Marc-Andre Barriault

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Michal Oleksiejczuk

Gets His Third Win In A Row
Las Vegas Raiders

Klint Kubiak Confirms he Will be Next Raiders Head Coach
Jonas Rondbjerg

Out for Olympics
Brad Marchand

Good to Go for Olympic Opener
Gabriel Landeskog

Healthy for Olympics
Jack Hughes

Cleared for Olympics
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Returns to Super Bowl After Injury Scare
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Being Evaluated for Concussion, Questionable to Return
James Pearce Jr.

Arrested Following Police Chase
Quinn Hughes

Enters Olympics in Red-Hot Form
NHL

Juho Lammikko Returns to Switzerland
Pavel Zacha

Misses Olympics
Travis Kelce

Undecided on Playing Future, Leaning Towards Returning in 2026?
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF