TAP FOR 6 MONTHS OF PREMIUM FREE 💰
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Alex Wood - Fantasy Ace or Extraordinary April?

A long time ago (2014), in a galaxy far far away (Atlanta), then 23-year-old Alex Wood demonstrated ace upside by striking out tons of hitters, and generating ground balls at an above-average pace while being bounced back-and-forth from the rotation to the bullpen. His stats that year in his starts only (156.1 Innings): 2.59 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 39 Walks, 151 Strikeouts.

2015, however, was a far different story. Alex Wood struggled to strike out batters at a clip anywhere near 2014, posting a 6.6 K/9 compared to 8.91 K/9 the year before; he was traded to the Dodgers and it seemed as if Alex Wood went from no-name prospect to budding ace all the way to one-hit-wonder all in the course of a year and a half.

Just when all seemed lost, 2016 rolls around, and things seem to look a little different. All of a sudden, the strikeouts were back. Wood was a changed man, and he accredited his regained success to a seemingly minor mechanical change, citing his stride had been a little exaggerated and that once he was able to correct it, he could get his timing and consistency back. It has been suggested that Wood was over-correcting for a bone-bruise he suffered on the last game he pitched as a Brave, and this threw off his consistency ever more. Consistency plays an important role in any pitcher's career, and this minor change seemed to help Alex Wood drastically in his return as a strikeout pitcher. His stats in 2016 (60.1 IP): 3.73 ERA (3.18 FIP), 1.26 WHIP, 20 BBs, 66 Ks. Alex Wood only pitched 60.1 innings last year because he hurt his elbow, and underwent an arthroscopic debridement of his pitching elbow, ending his season and plummeting any sort of hope of a revival.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball draft tools and resources:

 

Alex Wood: Has he finally emerged as an ace in Los Angeles

So here we are. It is mid-May 2017, and 26-year-old Alex Wood is all of a sudden one of the best pitchers on the planet. In his six starts, Alex Wood has a 27.0 K-BB%, which puts him at second in all of baseball, only behind Chris Sale. His 2.67 ERA in starts is backed up by a 1.53 FIP and a 1.98 xFIP. He's struck out a whopping 13.1 batters per nine innings, and his 62.8% GB% puts him third in all of baseball, alongside Kyle Freeland and Dallas Keuchel.

In fact, his ground balls have increased steadily every year since he bottomed out in 2015, particularly with his knuckle-curveball. In 2015, Alex Wood produced ground balls on 54.7% of balls in play with his curve. Last year he increased that rate to 58.3%, and in 2017, Alex has skyrocketed his ground ball rate on curves to a ridiculous 75%.

His changeup, however, might be the real story of Alex Wood's newfound success. He has ramped up the usage of his changeup, from 16.7% in 2015 up to 27.2% this year. This pitch has seen nearly a three mph velocity spike in 2017, along with his sinker, and it appears that the added velocity has done Alex Wood wonders. He has induced whiffs at 16.1% of his changeups, compared to 11.6% in 2015, and has induced grounders on 63.3% of BIPs on his change, compared to 52.3% in 2015. Furthermore, ISO against his changeup has gone from around .110 in 2015 down to around .040 this year.

With three legitimate pitches: Sinker, Knuckle-Curve, and Changeup, Alex Wood seems to have elevated his game in two of the most important dimensions for a pitcher: strikeouts and weak contact. Alex Wood's 22.1% Hard-hit% is the second lowest in the MLB, behind only Dallas Keuchel, and his 33.1% K% sits at second in baseball behind only Chris Sale. It seems that in a year plagued by injury to front-line starting pitchers, Alex Wood has evolved into some sort of mutant-hybrid with the strikeout abilities of Chris Sale and the ground-ball and weak-contact abilities of Dallas Keuchel.

So what is he doing differently?  As mentioned earlier, Alex Wood has seen nearly a three mph spike in velocity across the board since 2015. Likely a leading factor in his newfound velocity bump is his release point. Alex Wood has an incredibly funky delivery, and as a result, his release point has gone through changes year-to-year. If anyone hasn't seem him pitch, here is an example of his wacky and deceptive delivery.

There is quite obviously a lot going on in his delivery, and therefore one shouldn't be surprised to hear how much Alex Wood has tinkered with his release point. Much akin to James Paxton last year, Alex Wood has found a more natural arm slot, in this case by increasing his vertical release point substantially, resulting in a noticeable spike in velocity and effectiveness.

Not everything looks perfect for Wood, unfortunately. The Dodgers have about nine usable starting pitchers, and although they're doing a decent job of coincidentally having one of them get "injured" when he is struggling or another shows signs of health, Alex Wood's spot in the rotation is not guaranteed. At barely over 5 IP per start, Wood needs to do a better job of finishing hitters early in the count, though the Dodgers have admittedly been lifting him from games before he breaks even 90 pitches. The good news is, if Wood continues to pitch the way he has to date, the Dodgers would be stupid to take him out of the rotation, and as the season goes on, Wood will likely be handled with less care, in terms of a limited pitch count. Conclusively, Alex Wood has been one of the best starting pitchers on the planet thus far in 2017.

He's somehow still not universally owned, and if you are in one of the leagues that still has him on the waiver wire, please do not hesitate to pick him up. In a year of such horrendous pitching, a guy like Wood could be an absolute game-changer.

 

More Player Outlooks

 

Premium Tools & DFS Research

Get a free trial of our powerful MLB Premium Tools. Our famous DFS Optimizer & Lineup Generator, daily Matchup Ratings, expert DFS Lineups/Cheat Sheets, and more.

Sign Up Now!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Norman Powell

Ready to Face Trail Blazers
Robert Williams III

Active Thursday Night
Jerami Grant

Sidy Cissoko Cleared to Play
Kawhi Leonard

Returns to Action Thursday
Jrue Holiday

Available Against Heat
Davion Mitchell

Will Miss Thursday's Game
Santi Aldama

Won't Play Friday
Ja Morant

to Skip Friday's Game
Cade Cunningham

Listed as Questionable for Friday
Jeremy Sochan

Active Against Jazz
Brice Sensabaugh

Returns From Two-Game Absence
Keyonte George

Good to Go Thursday
Gary Payton II

Will Suit Up Thursday
Moussa Cisse

Ready for Action Thursday
P.J. Washington

to be Limited to Under 30 Minutes
Deandre Ayton

Available for Battle of Los Angeles
Brandon Miller

Ready to Rock Thursday
Patrick Williams

is Cleared to Play on Thursday
Josh Giddey

is Available on Thursday
Paul George

Active Against Rockets, Dominick Barlow Drops to the Bench
Cooper Flagg

to Remain on Minutes Limit
Baltimore Ravens

Ravens Hire Jesse Minter as Their Head Coach
Kris Letang

Questionable Thursday
Andre Burakovsky

Frank Nazar, Andre Burakovsky Available for Blackhawks Thursday
Indianapolis Colts

FBI Investigating the Death of Colts Owner Jim Irsay
Mason Marchment

Available Versus Stars
Alexandre Texier

Misses Second Consecutive Game
Marcus Johansson

Joel Eriksson Ek, Marcus Johansson Could Return Thursday
David Perron

to Miss 5-7 Weeks Due to Hernia Surgery
Mikko Rantanen

Unavailable Thursday
MacKenzie Gore

Rangers Acquire MacKenzie Gore From the Nationals
Evgeni Malkin

Collects Two Points in Win Over Flames
Christian Dvorak

Notches Three Points in Wednesday's Loss
Clayton Keller

Saves Mammoth From Loss Wednesday Night
Lukas Dostal

Overcomes Avalanche With 40 Saves
Dylan Larkin

Leads Red Wings Past Maple Leafs
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Exits With Lower-Body Injury Wednesday
Josh Doan

Lands Seven-Year Extension From Sabres
Brandon Sproat

Dealt to Brewers in Four-Player Trade
Jett Williams

Brewers Acquire Jett Williams From Mets
Freddy Peralta

Mets Acquire Freddy Peralta From Brewers
Seth Jones

to Miss Olympics
Martin Pospisil

Makes Season Debut Wednesday
Teddy Blueger

Available Wednesday Night
Tom Wilson

Comes Off Injured Reserve
Luke Hughes

Devils Place Luke Hughes on Long-Term Injured Reserve
Valeri Nichushkin

Returns to Action Wednesday
Kris Letang

a Game-Time Call Wednesday
Kyle Tucker

Expected to Bat Second or Third in Dodgers' Lineup
Brandon Aiyuk

has "Played his Last Snap as a Niner"
Cody Bellinger

Signs Five-Year, $162.5 Million Contract With Yankees
Adam Scott

Looks to Overcome Putting Woes at American Express
Billy Horschel

Looking to Rebound at The American Express
Josh Allen

Might Need Foot Surgery
Russell Henley

Looks to Build on Strong Start at The American Express
Jason Day

Looking to Start 2026 Strong at The American Express
Wyndham Clark

Looking to Regain Form at The American Express
Sam Burns

Looks to Continue Success at The American Express
Akshay Bhatia

Looking to Flip the Script at The American Express
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Looking to Build on Strong Fall in Season Debut
Kurt Kitayama

Hopes To Continue Strong Start to 2026 Season at American Express
CFB

Princewill Umanmielen Expected to Sign with LSU
Scottie Scheffler

Returns To American Express After Missing Last Year's Edition
Robert MacIntyre

Keeps Momentum Rolling Heading Into American Express
Brian Harman

Can Challenge at American Express if His Putter Stays Hot
Ben Griffin

Outstanding Form Continues Heading Into American Express
Matt Fitzpatrick

Continues Playing Well Following Outstanding Finish to 2025 Season
Patrick Cantlay

Looks to Get a Jump Start on His 2026 Season
Blades Brown

Set to Make First PGA Tour Appearance of 2026
Kevin Roy

Has Some Confidence Heading to Southern California
Min Woo Lee

Poised to Make Bigger Impact in 2026
Max Homa

Needs a Better Start for 2026
Tony Finau

Trying to Reverse Disturbing Trend
Cam Davis

Aims for More Accuracy at American Express
Luisangel Acuña

Luisangel Acuna Sent to White Sox in Trade
Luis Robert Jr.

Mets Acquire Luis Robert Jr. from White Sox
Los Angeles Chargers

Mike McDaniel Expected to Become Chargers Offensive Coordinator
Carlos Beltran

Andruw Jones Elected to Baseball Hall of Fame
CFB

Alberto Mendoza Expected to Land at Georgia Tech
Malik Nabers

Giants Hope Malik Nabers Will be Back for Start of Training Camp
CFB

Duke Suing Quarterback Darian Mensah
Cam Skattebo

Should be Ready by OTAs
George Kittle

Expects to Return "Well Before November"
CFB

Alberto Mendoza Entering Transfer Portal
Mookie Betts

Plans to Retire at the End of his Current Contract
Tennessee Titans

Titans Set to Hire Robert Saleh as Next Head Coach
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Expected to Hire Jeff Hafley as Next Head Coach
Zach Charbonnet

has Torn ACL
Zach Charbonnet

Needs Knee Surgery, Out for Rest of Playoffs
Tennessee Titans

Mike McCarthy a Finalist for Titans Head-Coaching Job?
Colston Loveland

Suffers Concussion in Divisional Round Loss
Kyren Williams

Scores Two Touchdowns in Divisional Round Win
Buffalo Bills

Bills Fire Head Coach Sean McDermott
Rhamondre Stevenson

Returns in Sunday's AFC Divisional Round Game
Ha-Seong Kim

has Finger Surgery, Out 4-5 Months
Rhamondre Stevenson

Questionable to Return on Sunday With Eye Injury
Woody Marks

Returns Following Brief Exit on Sunday
Dalton Schultz

Won't Return in Sunday's AFC Divisional Round Game
Aaron Rodgers

Steelers Open to Aaron Rodgers Returning in 2026?

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP