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San Francisco Giants outfielder Alex Dickerson is a 2021 fantasy baseball draft value. His ADP is undervalued, making him a potential draft bargain and late-round sleeper to target.
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 295
CURRENT ADP: ~319 overall
ANALYSIS: 2020 was the second season now for Dickerson in which he impressed, albeit in limited opportunities. His .298/.371/576 triple slash last year was the product of hitting the ball harder. He set new career-highs in average exit velocity, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate, all three of which stand out compared to the rest of the league, as Dickerson is well above-average in all three metrics.
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Additionally, Dickerson is quite good at hitting his fly balls and line-drives hard, which is ultimately most important, as those are the batted-balls that lead to the best results. From 2019 to 2020, Dickerson's average exit velocity on those two batted-ball types is 93.5 miles-per-hour, a three-mile-per-hour improvement on his overall average exit velocity mark in the same span. Dickerson has shown great hitting ability in the last two seasons, albeit they came in brief samples. However, the projections for Dickerson this year do look quite good. The Bat X, a projection system that incorporates more elements of Statcast projects Dickerson for a 116 wRC+, a .342 wOBA, a .205 isolated power mark with 19 home runs and 65 runs batted in over 495 plate appearances. That's an extremely solid player, and one that should pay off for fantasy managers.
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