Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

ADP Champs or Chumps - Ender Inciarte & Kevin Kiermaier

If you play in a deeper league, you will quickly discover that your goal in the draft is different. Standard formats do not ask you to worry about playing time for anyone except your sleepers, as there are plenty of starting players in MLB to fill every slot in the fantasy league. Try an NL-only or AL-only league, however, and nearly every team is stuck with a non-starting player in their starting lineup.

Consider outfielders as an example. Assuming a 10 team NL-Only league with five OF slots, the league wants 50 players. Each of the 15 NL clubs can only have three starting outfielders, however, producing a supply of 45 players. Platoons and outfielders slotted into other fantasy positions make this calculus even worse. You end up drafting players for playing time alone as a result. Nick Markakis becomes a good player!

Don't worry, we're not going to discuss Nick Markakis. Instead, we'll look at his teammate Ender Inciarte and defensive wizard Kevin Kiermaier. Both have the defensive chops to stay in the lineup even if they slump, helping out in deeper formats. They also may have the upside to matter in standard leagues, and they're almost free to acquire!

Featured Promo: Get your 2023 MLB Premium Pass for 50% off. Exclusive access to our preseason Draft Kit, #1 accuracy rankings, #1 ATC projections, Team Sync platform, Live Draft Assistant, 15 in-season lineup tools, customized rankings and much more! Sign Up Now!


The Fantasy Jury is Out

Ender Inciarte (OF, ATL) ADP: 210.5

Honestly, I'm not sure why Inciarte's ADP is so late. Coming off a .291/.351/.381 line with 16 steals, a mere repeat of last season would be profitable for his owners. He is scheduled to leadoff this year as well. While the Braves may not have the best offense, Freddie Freeman and Matt Kemp should have no problem plating Inciarte 90+ times.

I did a little digging to see if I missed something, but advanced metrics suggest a .290 hitter. Inciarte maintains his batting average by striking out almost never (11.8 percent K%, 4.4 percent SwStr%) and hitting plenty of ground balls (49.4 percent GB%). Inciarte's plus speed allows him to post favorable BABIPs on his worm killers (.260 last year), which combines with a line drive swing (23.7 percent LD% last year, 23 percent career) to give him a career BABIP of .324. There are fewer safer batting average bets.

The steals also seem reliable. His seven CS were a little high, but a rebuilding club like the Braves is less likely to give a base thief the red light than a contender. Inciarte may even have SB upside, as he pilfered over 40 bags in each of his last two full years in the minor leagues (46 and 43). He probably won't steal that many, but it is possible. If he does, he's an elite outfielder.

Ender's Game is batting average, runs, and steals in that order. His 26.8 percent FB% and 2.5 percent career HR/FB rule out power regardless of how his new stadium plays, and leadoff guys seldom rack up RBI. Still, you could do much worse than a three category producer at the end of your draft. His batting average can mitigate the adverse effects of owning somebody like Mark Trumbo or Khris Davis, and everyone seems to be chasing steals this year.

Verdict: Champ


Kevin Kiermaier (OF, TB) ADP: 188.8

This dude can play defense, to the point that everyone assumes he is a defensive specialist. He sort of is, but his offense translates very well to the fantasy game. He hit .246/.331/.410 last year with 12 homers and 21 steals despite missing significant time due to injury. The upside here is 20/30.

Kiermaier does not have elite pop as measured by exit velocity or Barrels, but last year he started hitting a ton of balls into the air (37.6 percent FB% vs. 29.3 percent the year before). If he continues to strike so many airborne baseballs, he won't need to do better than last year's 11.1 percent HR/FB to satisfy his owners power-wise. His HR/FB was just 8.4 percent in 2015, but an increase in pulled fly balls (from 21.9 percent in 2015 to 29.6 percent last year) makes it easier to trust the HR/FB spike.

Kiermaier's speed is also trending in the right direction. His success rate last season was awesome, as he had only three CS all season. He also stole 15 bags in the second half, suggesting that he may feel like running more often in the upcoming campaign. His power keeps pitchers honest, allowing Kiermaier to translate his plus eye (27.9 percent O-Swing% last season) to a 9.7 percent BB% and plenty of opportunities to steal.

An increase in last season's .278 BABIP could help generate SB opportunities too, but it seems unlikely. His FB% spike cost him a few BABIP points, and he popped up with alarming frequency (25 percent IFFB%). His ground balls should be a little more productive this year (.233 last year against a career average of .260), but Kiermaier will be a slight drain on your batting average.

A .250 batting average is a price well worth paying for a 20/20 season, especially if it comes with counting stats. Tampa hit Kiermaier second for 222 of his 414 PAs last year, allowing him to rack up runs and RBI. He usually hit eighth when he wasn't hitting second, but a good lineup slot is a possibility for him. Add in the joy you experience from your fantasy player being on the highlight reel every single night, and you'll be glad you invested in Kiermaier.

Verdict: Champ


More Player Outlooks


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts


Brooks Lee8 mins ago

Receives Praise
Jose Miranda26 mins ago

Arm Showing Improvement
Byron Buxton31 mins ago

Looking Good For Opening Day
Jorge Polanco36 mins ago

Alex Kirilloff Could Miss Opening Day
Jalen Green41 mins ago

Questionable For Monday
Mark Appel45 mins ago

Phillies Release Mark Appel
Ja Morant46 mins ago

Could Return On Wednesday
Tommy Henry50 mins ago

Diamondbacks Option Tommy Henry To Triple-A
Tim Hardaway50 mins ago

Jr. Questionable For Monday
Jae'Sean Tate54 mins ago

Doubtful For Monday
Yoán Moncada55 mins ago

Yoan Moncada Day-To-Day With Bruised Rib
Lauri Markkanen1 hour ago

To Miss Monday's Game
Garrett Mitchell1 hour ago

Back In Cactus League Lineup
Luka Doncic1 hour ago

Downgraded To Out For Monday
Tua Tagovailoa1 hour ago

Dolphins Exercise Tua Tagovailoa's Fifth-Year Option
Tennessee Titans1 hour ago

Titans Finalizing Deal With Sean Murphy-Bunting
Carolina Panthers2 hours ago

Panthers Rookie QB To See Plenty Of Reps
Jerry Jeudy2 hours ago

Cowboys Were In On Jerry Jeudy
O.J. Howard2 hours ago

Raiders Hosting O.J. Howard For A Visit
DJ Chark2 hours ago

Panthers Still Talking With DJ Chark
Trent Sherfield2 hours ago

Bills Sign Trent Sherfield To One-Year Deal
Zach Pascal2 hours ago

Cardinals Agree With Zach Pascal On Two-Year Deal
Casey O'Neill2 hours ago

Takes First Defeat Against Former Champion
Jennifer Maia2 hours ago

Earns Decision Win Over Undefeated Opponent
Roman Dolidze2 hours ago

Suffers Setback With Decision Loss
Marvin Vettori2 hours ago

Picks Up Decision Win
Jhon Romero3 hours ago

Guardians Sign Jhon Romero To Minor-League Deal
Yu Chang3 hours ago

Held Up By Visa Issues
Brayan Bello4 hours ago

Looks Good In Spring Debut
Eury Perez4 hours ago

Reassigned To Minor-League Camp
Michael Soroka4 hours ago

To Make Spring Debut Wednesday
Matt Vierling4 hours ago

Playing Monday Against Blue Jays
Michael Lorenzen4 hours ago

Scratched With Groin Tightness
Kyle Busch4 hours ago

Finishes In Top 10 At Atlanta
Justin Turner4 hours ago

Back In Spring Lineup Monday
Ty Gibbs5 hours ago

Finishes Strong In Atlanta
Erik Jones5 hours ago

Gets His First Top-10 Finish Of The Season
Ryan Blaney5 hours ago

Bounces Back From Speeding Penalty
Denny Hamlin5 hours ago

Has A Strong Showing
Austin Reaves6 hours ago

Becomes Unlikely Hero Sunday
Giannis Antetokounmpo6 hours ago

Picks Up A Triple-Double Sunday
Jalen Green6 hours ago

Scores Game-High 40 Points Sunday
Jimmy Butler6 hours ago

Gets A Double-Double With Assists
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander6 hours ago

Drops 40 Points On Phoenix
Jacob deGrom6 hours ago

Looks Impressive In Spring Debut
Devin Booker6 hours ago

Goes Off For 46 Points
Nikola Jokic6 hours ago

Returns To Triple-Double Form
Jake Fraley6 hours ago

Should Be Fine After Fouling Ball Off Leg
Jesper Bratt7 hours ago

Hits A Hat Trick Against Tampa Bay
K'Andre Miller7 hours ago

Racks Up Four First-Period Points
Nolan Arenado7 hours ago

Expected To Be Fine After HBP
Jaroslav Halak7 hours ago

Keeps Predators Quiet With 22 Saves
Austin Nola7 hours ago

May Have Broken Nose In Cactus League Game
Alex Pietrangelo7 hours ago

Hands Out Four Assists
Jack Eichel7 hours ago

Nets A Hat Trick In Big Win
Matthew Boldy7 hours ago

Extends Points Streak With A Hat Trick
Jhoan Duran7 hours ago

Suffers Leg Contusion On Sunday
Jake DeBrusk7 hours ago

Erupts For Four Points Sunday
Jeremy Swayman7 hours ago

Registers Another Shutout
Tyler Reddick9 hours ago

Hangs in For Fifth Place At Atlanta
Corey Lajoie17 hours ago

Corey LaJoie Uses Course To Advantage On Sunday
Christopher Bell17 hours ago

Ends Up With Another Top Five Result
Naz Reid17 hours ago

Is Questionable On Monday
Christopher Bell17 hours ago

Brad Keselowski Noses Christopher Bell Out For Second
Bennedict Mathurin17 hours ago

Questionable To Make Return On Monday
Joey Logano17 hours ago

Goes From Pole To Win Sunday
Kevin Huerter17 hours ago

Uncertain For Monday's Game Against Utah
Kevon Looney17 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Monday
Rudy Gobert18 hours ago

Receives Questionable Tag For Monday
Jalen Duren18 hours ago

Exits In Third Quarter Against Miami
Detroit Lions18 hours ago

C.J. Gardner-Johnson On The Move To Detroit
Scottie Barnes18 hours ago

Exits On Sunday With Wrist Injury
Courtland Sutton18 hours ago

Broncos Unwilling To Deal Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy
Dallas Cowboys18 hours ago

Travin Howard To Visit The Cowboys On Monday
Ronald Jones19 hours ago

Cowboys To Host Ronald Jones On Monday
Adam Thielen19 hours ago

Agrees To Deal With Carolina
P.J. Tucker20 hours ago

Questionable For Monday
Tampa Bay Buccaneers23 hours ago

Greg Gaines Joins Buccaneers
New York Jets23 hours ago

Ben Jones Drawing Interest From Jets?
Houston Texans24 hours ago

Laremy Tunsil Gets Extension
Brandin Cooks24 hours ago

Traded To Cowboys
Roope Hintz1 day ago

Delivers Three Assists
Brandon Hagel1 day ago

Celebrates A Hat Trick Against Montreal
Igor Shesterkin1 day ago

Shuts Out The Penguins
Sebastian Aho1 day ago

Completes A Hat Trick In Overtime
Evander Kane1 day ago

Pots A Hat Trick Versus Seattle
Brad Marchand1 day ago

Tallies Three Assists Saturday
Nathan MacKinnon1 day ago

Has Three Points Against Detroit
Todd Gilliland2 days ago

Starts 23rd
Ryan Preece2 days ago

Starts 24th At The AmBetter Health 400
AJ Allmendinger2 days ago

Eyes Another Strong Finish
NASCAR2 days ago

Ricky Stenhouse Eyes Back-To-Back Superspeedway Wins
Tyler Reddick2 days ago

May Be Overlooked
Erik Jones2 days ago

Is A Value Play At Atlanta
Denny Hamlin2 days ago

Seeks Better Results
Noah Gragson2 days ago

Might Surprise At Atlanta Motor Speedway
Austin Dillon2 days ago

Looks To Bounce Back At Atlanta
Ty Dillon2 days ago

Hoping To Keep Car Running At Atlanta
Pittsburgh Steelers2 days ago

Isaac Seumalo Signs Three-Year Deal With Steelers
NASCAR2 days ago

J.J. Yeley Starts 34th Sunday At Ambetter Health 400
Blaine Gabbert2 days ago

Stops In Vegas For A Visit
Foster Moreau2 days ago

Visits With Saints
Jacksonville Jaguars2 days ago

Adam Gotsis Staying In Jacksonville
Roman Josi2 days ago

Exits With Injury Saturday
Joonas Korpisalo2 days ago

Hopes To Stay Perfect With His New Team
Mads Sogaard2 days ago

Looking For Form Against Toronto
Brian Elliott2 days ago

Starts For Tampa On Saturday
Jonathan Drouin2 days ago

Will Play Saturday
Mark Giordano2 days ago

Rested On Saturday
Kamaru Usman3 days ago

Seeking Second Title Run
Leon Edwards3 days ago

Looks To Defend Crown On Saturday
Rafael Fiziev4 days ago

Earns Huge Co-Main-Event Showdown
Justin Gaethje4 days ago

Set For Another Co-Main-Event Showdown
Jordan Spieth5 days ago

Trying To Pay Off Recent Form With A Win
Victor Perez5 days ago

Making A Rare Start On The PGA Tour
Maverick McNealy5 days ago

Still Shaking Off The Rust In Florida
Mark Hubbard5 days ago

Coming Off Strong Players Championship Result
Nate Lashley5 days ago

Finding Some Form To Start 2023
Wyndham Clark5 days ago

A Dangerous Name At The Valspar Championship
Justin Lower5 days ago

Looking To Capitalize On Weaker Field
Byeong-Hun An5 days ago

Flashing Vintage Form
Stewart Cink5 days ago

Looks To Stay Afloat At Valspar
Ben Taylor5 days ago

A Short-Game Wizard
Gary Woodland5 days ago

Has A Poisoned Putter
Martin Laird5 days ago

Playing Scared
Russell Knox5 days ago

Putting Putridly
PGA5 days ago

Adam Hadwin Looks To Continue Valspar Success
Justin Thomas5 days ago

Hopes To Get Putter Going At Valspar
Keegan Bradley5 days ago

Looking To Bounce Back At Valspar
Eric Cole5 days ago

Continues To Play Well
Matthew NeSmith5 days ago

Could Be Considered At Valspar
PGA5 days ago

J.T. Poston Not An Option At Valspar Championship
Davis Riley5 days ago

Overvalued At Valspar Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick5 days ago

Has Risk At Valspar