RADIO
Read Justin Jefferson's fantasy football outlook for Week 3 of the NFL season. Notes, updates, analysis and advice including predictions for his upcoming matchup.
Through the first two weeks of the season, Jefferson is being outscored by not only Adam Thielen, but also by K.J. Osborn. That should at least be a little concerning, right? Since after all, Jefferson was taken as the sixth or seventh wide receiver off the board this season. Well, not so fast. Despite being out-produced in terms of fantasy points, Jefferson is still 13th in the league in air yards with 227. That's good for the eighth-highest air yards share amongst all receivers (44.9%). But he's only found the end zone once compared to three times for Thielen.
The slightly concerning part for Jefferson is the fact that it looks like Osborn can be a legitimate third option in the passing game for this Vikings team. Last season, after Jefferson took over as the starter for OlaBisi Johnson in Week 3, he had a target share of 27.4% as one of two legitimate options in the passing game. So far this season, that number sits at 24.1%. While not an enormous difference, it's not insignificant, especially given the Vikings have attempted the ninth-most passes per game (41) through two games. If their defense improves and they find themselves playing with the lead, Jefferson's volume may not be what it was a season ago.
It's also certainly possible K.J. Osborn gets shotput into oblivion and it's once again Jefferson and Thielen making all the plays in the passing game. The air yards and solid target share have me optimistic, but it may be hard for Jefferson to top what he did last season as a rookie. Fantasy managers are obviously starting Jefferson every week, but we may need to temper expectations slightly in Week 3 and view him as an upside WR2/WR1 rather than an elite WR1.
Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:- 2025 fantasy football rankings (redraft)
- Dynasty fantasy football rankings
- 2025 NFL rookie fantasy football rankings
- Best ball fantasy football rankings
- Quarterback fantasy football rankings
- Running back fantasy football rankings
- Wide receiver fantasy football rankings
- Tight end fantasy football rankings
More Fantasy Football Analysis
Top 5 Risky Dynasty Fantasy Football Buys - Players Worth Targeting and Gambling On in Drafts (2025)
For many managers, dynasty football is seen as the Dom Pérignon of all fantasy football leagues. There is a lot of strategy, nuance, and skill that goes into being a successful dynasty football player. As with all other aspects of life, timing is everything in dynasty football. This is especially true when it comes to […]
Should I Draft RJ Harvey or Quinshon Judkins? 2025 Dynasty Rookie Draft Analysis
Denver Broncos running back RJ Harvey and Cleveland Browns running back Quinshon Judkins are two rookie backs drafted in the second round of the 2025 NFL Draft. Judkins was selected early, at 36th overall, in a move that some might consider a bit of a reach. Interestingly, the fantasy community was utterly blindsided by Harvey's […]
5 League-Winning Fantasy Football Breakouts: Second-Year Players to Target and Draft (2025)
While fantasy football managers used to avoid rookies like the plague, their approach towards them has softened in recent years. This is mainly due to the number of rookies recently entering the league and immediately producing like seasoned veterans. However, not all players hit the ground running in their rookie year. While some players excel […]
5 Fantasy Football Rookie Running Back Breakout Candidates: Player Outlooks and Projections (2025)
There are always running backs who come into the NFL and make an immediate impact. In 2023, Bijan Robinson, Jahmyr Gibbs, and De'Von Achane were three breakout rookie running backs. All three players also finished as top-24 running backs in fantasy. In 2024, Bucky Irving and Tyrone Tracy Jr. could be seen as rookie breakouts. […]
2025 Fantasy Football Half-PPR FLEX Rankings: (Post-NFL Draft) - TreVeyon Henderson, Najee Harris, Michael Pittman Jr., Travis Etienne Jr., Emeka Egbuka
At RotoBaller HQ, we are back with more fantasy football rankings to help you prepare for your upcoming drafts. We recently published half-PPR running backs, wide receivers, and tight end ranking articles. Now, we combine all three positions and provide the top 200 overall FLEX rankings. Below are our early 2025 fantasy football Half-PPR FLEX […]
Download Our Free Player News App
Like what you see? You can download our free fantasy football mobile app for iPhone and Android which includes more analysis at every position, 24x7 player news, notifications, injury alerts & daily articles.
Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App
Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!
