Ranking Every NFL Offense for Fantasy Football (Part 1): Potential League-Winners or Busts (2025)

John Johnson's fantasy football NFL offense rankings for 2025. His rankings and analysis for the 17-32 best or worst NFL offenses to find league-winners and busts.

The offensive environments players find themselves in are crucial to driving fantasy football production. A surplus of talent, married with a highly productive offensive system that can succeed even in the face of injuries to key players, is enormous for driving consistent, high-floor, and high-ceiling production.

It's a bit like walking in a minefield, drafting players from offenses that are likely to be poor. We've also seen many players upgrade from very poor to much better offenses, with their weekly variance in production decreasing while their overall statistics take a significant leap.

Great players on great offenses, time and time again, help fantasy managers win their leagues. There are many reasons for this -- their ability to sustain drives, a lack of incompletions and negative plays due to poor offensive design, and the like. So let's dive into every offense ranked for fantasy football in 2025!

32. Cleveland Browns

There isn't much this team has to look forward to on offense. The mid-off at quarterback in training camp, featuring rookie Shedeur Sanders and some uninspiring vets, isn't likely to propel any serious receiver production. Their early-round rookie running back selection, Quinshon Judkins, missed all of training camp and the start of preseason due to legal troubles, but recently saw his charges dropped.

The Cleveland Browns might be rolling out the worst Week 1 starting offense I’ve ever seen pic.twitter.com/VVGnSdvcNW

— Luke Sawhook 🪚🪝 (@lukesawhook) August 5, 2025

None of the team's receivers is particularly enticing without Jameis Winston starting. Winston isn't there anymore, and Sanders has promise as long as the offensive line can keep him perfectly clean. But they can't, which is why I expect an ugly losing season for Cleveland. I won't be drafting any of their players in redraft fantasy leagues.

31. New Orleans Saints

New rookie quarterback Tyler Shough can play football! That's great, but the Saints are in disarray. They've continually delayed their rebuild with poorly signed contracts. With the retirement of Derek Carr, it's probably time. Their offensive line is in shambles, and they don't have a single good signal-caller on the roster.

I’ve said the words risk-averse a lot when it comes to Tyler Shough. This and the next post were back-to-back reps with no pass rush. #Saints pic.twitter.com/rift7d6QdA

— Jeff Nowak (@Jeff_Nowak) July 28, 2025

We don't even know if Shough will start. We could end up seeing Spencer Rattler or Jake Haener at QB, or some ugly rotation of all three. There is paltry upside to be had in New Orleans. Stay away.

30. Tennessee Titans

I don't have a lot of trust in rookie quarterback Cam Ward. He struggles massively under pressure and will be playing behind a weak offensive line. He leans too heavily into improvisation when he should be playing on schedule, too, which causes him to miss reads.

Misses his first two reads

Unnecessary pocket drift

Drive over

Saw too much of this in college, needs to learn to play on schedule - especially with the lack of talent in TEN. https://t.co/g6UhbEpGFC

— Dynasty Zoltan (@DynastyZoltanFF) August 10, 2025

Ward was the first overall pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, but it was a very, very weak quarterback class overall. Titans head coach Brian Callahan seems like a sacrificial lamb while this team wastes multiple seasons rebuilding their roster. The receiving talent on the team isn't great either. This is another team to avoid.

29. New York Giants

The Giants still haven't fixed their offensive line woes, which have been plaguing them for over a decade. Left tackle Andrew Thomas is elite, but he's oft-injured, and the OL collapses without him, just like it did last season. Quarterback Russell Wilson isn't great at much other than making sure his touchdown-to-interception ratio looks good.

If Russell Wilson ends up being the NY Giants starter (which seems likely at this point), it could be bad news for Malik Nabers.

Wilson has a real tendency to avoid throwing over the intermediate and deep middle of the field, limiting his pass attempts targeting posts, slants,… https://t.co/nhLPtuNcPz

— Dataroma (@ffdataroma) March 26, 2025

And unfortunately, the price the offense will pay for Wilson's reluctance to throw it over the middle is likely to be Malik Nabers being held back massively. The running back situation isn't very clear, but the blocking isn't good. Nabers should have a nice season, but he's likely overpriced.

28. New York Jets

New York's other team shouldn't be very good either. While quarterback Justin Fields is generally a solid fantasy asset due to his rushing upside, the rest of the offense isn't built for success. Their offensive line was poor last season, they only have one good pass-catcher, and their running back situation is bleak.

A three-way committee at RB on a team without much threat in the passing game isn't ideal. Fields' offenses are generally very poor at scoring points. Top pass catcher Garrett Wilson is projected to be inefficient despite being hyper-targeted, and sacks will significantly impact this offense's drives.

27. Miami Dolphins

It's pretty bold to put Miami so low on this list. But their offensive line is in absolute shambles. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has suffered numerous concussions and is incredibly injury-prone. Wide receiver Tyreek Hill is now 31, Jaylen Waddle is often disappointing, and running back De'Von Achane looks like the team's best receiver at times.

the Miami Dolphins offensive line crippled the offense last year

#28 in pass blocking
#26 in run blocking

their line is #27 most expensive this year

it's not because they have a lot of young starters

they've invested the #3 least draft capital into the OL since 2022

now,… pic.twitter.com/Nj4ptGYAKL

— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) April 14, 2025

Things are shaping up to be hideous in 2025, too. I think head coach Mike McDaniel could lose his job. Achane and tight end Jonnu Smith were the only bright spots to the offense last season, and Smith is now gone. In addition, Miami lost elite left tackle Terron Armstead to retirement. Achane is a good fantasy asset, but I'm avoiding the rest.

26. Seattle Seahawks

Quarterback Sam Darnold has played absolutely horribly in every situation other than the elite Minnesota Vikings situation, which featured an elite pass-catching corps and offensive play design and playcalling. Now, he's set to start for the Seahawks, with their long-neglected offensive line.

The Panthers are spending 3.5x more on their offensive line than the Seahawks or Ravens. pic.twitter.com/lZZUt7EoXc

— Hayden Winks (@HaydenWinks) August 5, 2025

Seattle's general manager, John Schneider, has long fleeced the organization by serving in a position he doesn't deserve. He's egregiously neglected the offensive line by refusing to invest in it in free agency and putting band-aids on the gaping wounds in the trenches by drafting the occasional offensive lineman.

It will be up to offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak to dig this team's offense out of the hole that it's in, and he faces a tough uphill battle to do so. I wouldn't be surprised if Darnold were benched for rookie Jalen Milroe at some point in 2025.

Schneider continues to think he can save money by cheaping out on the OL. Then the team somehow ends up with a poor defense every season, a poor passing attack, and a poor rushing attack.

25. Chicago Bears

The Bears would be lower on this list if it weren't for new head coach Ben Johnson. It just feels wrong to bet against him totally. The significant issues are that quarterback Caleb Williams was disappointing in his first season, the running back room lacks a confident option, and the pass-catching room now faces intense competition for targets.

My theory about this team is that Johnson wants to transition it to as much of a short-pass and screen-focused offense as possible. That likely nerfs the values of wide receivers DJ Moore and Rome Odunze, and while it's suitable for rookies Colston Loveland and Luther Burden III, it's not all sunshine and roses for them.

In @FantasyPtsData history, we've seen 107 QBs clear 375 dropbacks in a single season. Of those, Caleb Williams' 2024 season ranks:

+ 107th in pressure-to-sack ratio (30.0%)
+ 107th in catchable throw rate excluding screens (63.7%)
+ 101st in CPOE when operating from a clean… https://t.co/YoQ2ejRZLI

— Scott Barrett (@ScottBarrettDFB) August 14, 2025

Williams was especially, egregiously, horribly bad on deep passes. So the first thing Johnson did was draft a massive mismatch weapon in the 6-foot-6 massive-catch-radius-having, great TE separator in Loveland in the first round, and the best yards-after-catch pass-catcher in the 2025 NFL Draft in Burden.

The passing game will likely center around these two guys at some point. The problem is that rookies take some time to develop, so we could see a gradual dilution of targets to be maddeningly spread among Moore, Odunze, Loveland, and Burden. I think it could be a nightmare to buy into this offense in 2025.

Loveland has the most position-adjusted upside, though, easily. If you're going for anyone, draft him.

24. Pittsburgh Steelers

There is never any reason to get excited about an Arthur Smith-run offense in fantasy football. The only player who has had a remarkable fantasy season under him is also a sure-fire future Hall of Fame player, running back Derrick Henry. Smith's system ensures players never get adequate usage for their talent.

This especially applies to the team's lead wide receiver and tight end. Wide receiver Drake London, with the Atlanta Falcons, and former Tennessee Titans WR A.J. Brown were both held back massively by Smith's archaic, run-heavy scheme. Even his running backs, other than Henry, have hampered fantasy production; look at Bijan Robinson's rookie season.

Steelers OC Arthur Smith on using analytics for calling plays and his thoughts on the offense so far in camp ⬇️ pic.twitter.com/oCDlNsG1mz

— Post-Gazette Sports (@PGSportsNow) August 14, 2025

Smith doesn't buy into things like advanced analytics. He's old-school. That, combined with his track record, means that wide receiver DK Metcalf and tight end Jonnu Smith are entirely off my fantasy radar at ADP. I can't trust them in any given week in my starting lineups.

The running back situation will likely be an ugly committee, with even the RB3 getting too many touches. I'm not a fan at all of rookie back Kaleb Johnson. I've analyzed his film, and he's just an unathletic, non-elusive prospect to me, so I won't be drafting any Steelers. The 41-year-old Aaron Rodgers won't change my mind.

23. Carolina Panthers

Quarterback Bryce Young supposedly broke out after his benching last season, but digging a bit deeper into the context of the situation isn't encouraging. Other than facing a soft NFC South schedule, there's not a lot to be excited about here, especially considering how awful Young was to start the season. 

He averaged 204 passing yards in the hottest stretch of his career? Unpopular opinion, but I think Bryce Young is still a below average quarterback and won't be able to replicate what he did at the end of 2024 https://t.co/TmKQYnfucL

— Alex Rollins (@AlexRollinsNFL) August 5, 2025

Young's passing volume wasn't anything to be impressed with. Rookie wideout Tetairoa McMillan has plenty of issues with his game, as much as the fantasy community wants to rave about how good Young looked in the preseason against the Cleveland Browns. The team does have a good run-blocking offensive line, but running back Chuba Hubbard now has competition in the form of Rico Dowdle.

Chuba Hubbard and Rico Dowdle in 2024:

+ Both Top 14 in EPA/Rush
+ Both Top 8 in Rush Success Rate
(See screenshots)

These two both also finished Top 8 in yards after contact per attempt, with Chuba at 2.70 and Rico at 2.64.

The newly formed duo has some notable similarities… pic.twitter.com/G2pmjG0URH

— Dataroma (@ffdataroma) March 13, 2025

Dowdle should eat into Hubbard's workload more than Miles Sanders did, diluting Hubbard's productivity.

22. Las Vegas Raiders

There's a massive amount of hype for rookie running back Ashton Jeanty. I don't want to get too far ahead of myself there. I'm one of the few who don't see him as a generational prospect -- I'd like to see him work in the offense first, because the defenses he faced in the Mountain West Conference in college were mainly significantly weaker compared to NFL defenses.

Still, this team got a big upgrade at quarterback with Geno Smith, and tight end Brock Bowers is already one of the NFL's best at his position. Additionally, Jakobi Meyers is consistently underrated, and it's possible WRs Dont'e Thornton Jr. and Jack Bech could both prove to be good players.

I don't think the Raiders will run the ball heavily. Their offensive line is middling at best, and their defense isn't very good. Even if they want to run the ball as much as possible, I don't see that being an option. Still, this offense should feature another huge season from Bowers and a nice year from at least one other player.

21. New England Patriots

Things should be looking up for New England, but their offensive line could still be shaky. Perhaps you're noticing a trend here -- teams with bad offensive lines tend to have bad offenses. No surprise. The Pats did add plenty of new weapons, though -- most importantly, wide receiver Kyle Williams and running back TreVeyon Henderson.

The box score doesn't do #Patriots rookie WR Kyle Williams justice. He was creating separation and clearing space. Should've drawn two DPIs (one was called).

Overall, this tape is very encouraging for Williams. The catchable targets will come. pic.twitter.com/l6gZ2LcXCb

— Evan Lazar (@ezlazar) August 9, 2025

Henderson is good in space and as a pass-catching back, and I've been glazing the rookie Williams all offseason, calling him one of the best picks to make in fantasy football from a value perspective. Quarterback Drake Maye, entering his second season, has also shown a ton of promise.

I expect this offense to improve as the year goes on, especially if Stefon Diggs can return to form. But things might be a bit rough to start the season with a new coaching staff and so many new personnel. Expect NE's place on this list to be higher after the season is over.

20. Indianapolis Colts

The strength of this team has typically been its offensive line over the past few seasons. But the OL is starting to show cracks, and head coach Shane Steichen's offense has been less than inspiring. This team has an awful quarterback situation, with Daniel Jones winning the job.

They have promise at receiver, and running back Jonathan Taylor has been hyper-productive in seasons past, but I expect this team to regress, as if it already hasn't. Both Anthony Richardson Sr. and Jones are bad, with Jones being seemingly incapable of throwing with anticipation and Richardson being the least accurate QB in the NFL on short passes.

Still, the offensive line remaining somewhat intact should help Taylor have a nice season. With Jones starting, we could see a solid season from top wideout Josh Downs.

19. Houston Texans

I think Houston has an excellent wide receiver corps. But for fantasy football, I'm not sure that I trust drafting any of them except for Nico Collins, and maybe the rookie Jayden Higgins, though they have plenty more talent to spread the ball to in Christian Kirk and Jaylin Noel.

The biggest issue, of course, is the offensive line. It was atrocious last season, and elite left tackle Laremy Tunsil isn't even on the team anymore. Houston is likely to have one of the league's worst offensive lines, and quarterback C.J. Stroud played far, far worse under pressure last season than when he was kept clean.

C.J. Stroud saw an over 25% dip in his completion percentage and 17% drop in yards per attempt when under pressure in 2024. In 2023, his YPA shockingly plummeted by nearly 34% when under pressure, though. A better WR corps and OC should help, but the numbers are big pic.twitter.com/nzZ0GZLRPy

— JohnJohn Analysis (@JohnJohnalytics) August 14, 2025

Stroud's struggles under pressure likely won't evaporate, which should hold back the entire offense. Running back Joe Mixon (foot/ankle) is injured, meaning that Nick Chubb, an aging veteran with two devastating knee injuries in his history, is set to take over the lead role.

Other than Collins, drafting anyone from the Texans seems like a pretty significant risk. Collins himself has missed 17 games in his first four seasons in the NFL, so he could be another injury waiting to happen.

18. Green Bay Packers

The Packers do have a very good offense. The problem is how the work is distributed so evenly among the team's pass-catchers. Before 2024, how much of a committee system did Packers head coach Matt LaFleur prefer to run for his backfield? This has made it tough to know who to trust at any position group.

Quarterback Jordan Love had a nice 2023, but in 2024, he was hampered by injuries. Additionally, the team's backup running back, MarShawn Lloyd, was hurt for most of the season. This led to LaFleur adjusting the offense to be incredibly run-heavy, with Josh Jacobs as the primary beneficiary.

I'm not convinced that the Packers won't have more of a committee backfield in 2025. They always did (before 2024) under Matt LaFleur, even though AJ Dillon sucks. 2 UDFAs and Jacobs were the only healthy RBs in 2024. And Aaron Jones >>> Dillon. pic.twitter.com/avg43eslFm

— JohnJohn Analysis (@JohnJohnalytics) March 6, 2025

However, the team passed the ball a lot more in 2023, so I expect them to return to a more balanced attack. More worrisome yet, a healthy Lloyd could lead LaFleur to return to his committee-style system, where we could see Jacobs handle much less of a workload than he did in 2024.

It's tough to know who to draft here, so I'll be avoiding pretty much all of them. The targets will be distributed between wide receivers Matthew Golden, Jayden Reed, Romeo Doubs, Dontayvion Wicks, and Savion Williams, tight end Tucker Kraft, and both running backs. Yuck.

LaFleur's scheme, on film, manages to get all of his receivers open at an alarming rate, meaning it could be more about that than WR skill in determining where the ball goes. This, of course, is great for real-life football, but an absolute nightmare for fantasy managers.

17. Kansas City Chiefs

Other than wide receiver Rashee Rice, who's now embroiled in a potential suspension hearing coming on September 30, the Chiefs didn't produce elite fantasy players. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes, once again, put up disappointing numbers. He hasn't been the same since tight end Travis Kelce fell off a cliff.

Kelce, in his own right, is no longer an elite fantasy asset. This makes sense when you look at his age. He's 35 years old and will turn 36 during the season. Drafting him isn't something I'll be doing because his strength and route-running prowess have fallen off a cliff.

Living On The Deep Ball!

Most Passing Yards on Balls Thrown 20+ Yards In The Air (2024)

1. Sam Darnold (1,183)
2. Jordan Love (1,053)
3. Justin Herbert (939)
4. Bo Nix (909)
5. Lamar Jackson (876)
6. Geno Smith (827)
…
26. Patrick Mahomes (462) 🤔 pic.twitter.com/T8I2vNnpDw

— Fantasy Points Data (@FantasyPtsData) July 8, 2025

Mahomes has been ineffective in deep passing for a few seasons now, and last year, he was often unable to connect with rookie WR Xavier Worthy on deep shots. Worthy deserves some blame, but Mahomes was simply one of the least accurate QBs in the NFL on deep downfield throws.

The running back situation could be an ugly committee between Isiah Pacheco and Kareem Hunt, with rookie Brashard Smith eventually taking passing game work from both of them. I'm a fan of taking Smith in dynasty, but for this year, I'd avoid that backfield entirely. Pacheco was bad last season, even before his injury.

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