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NFL Predictions for Divisional Round: Picks for Every Playoff Game

Patrick Mahomes - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL DFS

Kansas City Chiefs 27, Houston Texans 20

In what can be considered one of Wild Card Weekend’s few upsets, the Texans dismantled the Chargers by a score of 32-12. Houston’s defense looked dominant, intercepting Justin Herbert four times, while also recording four sacks and nine QB hits.

Well-rested and arguably as healthy as they’ve been all season, the Chiefs’ quest for a historic three-peat begins against a Texans team they recently dispatched 27-19 in Week 16. For all the (well-deserved) hype that surrounds superstars like Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce, the Kansas City defense is the true driver of this club’s championship hopes. I look for the Chiefs’ defensive front to wreak havoc on C.J. Stroud behind what’s been one of the NFL’s leakiest offensive lines.

Jahmyr Gibbs - Fantasy Football, Rankings, Draft, Sleeper, DFS, Running Back

Detroit Lions 31, Washington Commanders 27

Superstar-in-the-making Jayden Daniels didn’t disappoint in the Wild Card round, leading the long-suffering Commanders to a win over the Tampa Bay Bucs. Equally impressive both through the air and on the ground, Daniels should continue to make some noise this week against the top-seeded Lions, who have been decimated by injuries on the defensive side of the ball.

That banged-up Detroit defense showed serious heart against the Vikings in Week 18, holding Minnesota to nine points to help clinch the NFC’s No. 1 seed. Following a week of rest, Dan Campbell’s begins their Super Bowl quest behind a sizzling offense that’s 31 or more points in four straight. Look for the Lions to pound the rock with Jahmyr Gibbs – and possibly a returning David Montgomery – against a Commanders run defense that finished 30th in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game this season. Expect plenty of offensive fireworks with Detroit successfully defending their home turf at Ford Field.

Saquon Barkley - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Philadelphia Eagles 27, Los Angeles Rams 17

The Eagles continued to roll in Wild Card Weekend with a 22-10 pounding of the Green Bay Packers. Philadelphia has lost just one game since their Week 5 bye. One of those many wins was a 37-20 blowout victory over the L.A. Rams back in Week 12 of the regular season, an outing in which Saquon Barkley set an Eagles franchise record with 255 rushing yards.

Sean McVay shouldn’t be underestimated in the postseason, especially when considering the veteran offense and up-and-coming defense he’ll bring to the Divisional Round. The Rams’ young defensive front led by Jared Verse absolutely tormented Minnesota QB Sam Darnold in last week’s Wild Card round. L.A. sacked Darnold a record-tying nine times in the 27-9 win. Despite L.A.’s ability on both sides of the ball – and McVay’s coaching savvy – the Eagles are perhaps the NFL’s most talented roster from top to bottom. I look for Philadelphia to outlast the feisty Rams here.

Five Fantasy Football Overvalued Quarterbacks

Buffalo Bills 28, Baltimore Ravens 27

This is the one we’ll all be waiting for, right? The Divisional Round closes with the weekend’s most intriguing matchup in a game that pits the NFL’s top-two MVP candidates against each other. We can expect both Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson to make superstar-caliber plays in this clash of the quarterback titans.

The status of Baltimore’s top receiver, Zay Flowers, is something to keep an on. While the Ravens were able to overcome his absence last week against the Steelers, he would be sorely missed in this matchup against Buffalo. The Ravens will look to reenact their Week 4 beatdown of the Bills by leaning on Derrick Henry, though I suspect Sean McDermott will do everything in his power to contain Henry and force Jackson to beat his defense from the pocket. Easier said than done.

Buffalo will bring their own offensive firepower to the party, as Allen is capable of being a one-man wrecking crew. Though they haven’t been tested of late, Baltimore’s secondary ranked 31st in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game in 2024. My advice would be to watch and enjoy this terrific matchup rather than trying to pick a side, but I’ll give the slightest of edges to the Bills at home.

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